Obama for America January 29, David Plouffe Campaign Manager
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1 Obama for America January 29, 2008 David Plouffe Campaign Manager
2 25 Pledged Delegate Totals After Early States Iowa New Hampshire Nevada 5 South Carolina 0 Obama Clinton Edwards
3 Clinton Dropping in National Polls National Public Polling Trend ABC/Wash Post AP/Ipsos Gallup HRC, -11 Obam Clinton 70% 60% 50% 40% 49% 53% BO, % 42% HRC, -6 BO, % 45% 40% 33% HRC, -5 BO, % 45% 45% 33% 30% 20% 26% 23% 25% 23% 21% 27% 10% 0% Oct Dec Jan Oct Dec Jan Oct Dec Jan
4 In 3 of the 4 Early States, Obama Has Exceeded Late Polling Latest Polling Numbers vs. Actual Results Obama Vote South Carolina 60% Iowa Nevada 55% 50% 45% 40% 38% 38% 32% 32% 30% 20% 10% 0% Des Moines Register (12/30) Actual Results Las Vegas Review Journal (1/16) Actual Results MSNBC (1/23) Actual Results
5 Obama Gaining Strength in Key Feb. 5 Primary States Obama Vote in Public Polls: Feb 5 States Obama Clinton 70% 60% Calif. Field Poll Arizona Rocky Mt Poll & Behavior Research New Jersey Monmouth Univ. Poll GA Mason Dixon* CO Mason Dixon* 50% 40% 30% 20% 19% 49% 27% 39% 14% 44% 32% 38% 23% 42% 42% 30% 36% 33% 34% 32% 10% 0% Aug Jan Nov Jan - 1/25 Sept Jan Jan Jan * No earlier poll for comparison
6 Obama Has Highest Favorability Among Independent Voters 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% + 22% Obama -9% Clinton +16% Fav Unfav Source: Fox News Poll, 12/14/2007
7 February 5 th States with Open Primaries or Caucuses NOTE: Waiting on Map from Slaby
8 Obama Winning Solidly with Rural Voters RURAL VOTE* IN IOWA, NEW HAMPSHIRE, NEVADA % of IA Delegates % of NH Voters % of NV Delegates Barack Obama 32.1% 39.0% 45.3% Hillary Clinton Obama Advantage over Clinton
9 Obama Won 40 of 42 Counties in SC Waiting on Map from Slaby
10 Obama Endorsed by over 50 Newspapers AL Tuscaloosa News AZ The Arizona Republic CA San Francisco Chronicle CA Riverside Press Enterprise CA San Francisco Bay Guardian CA Santa Barbara Independent CA Sacramento Bee CA S.F. Bay View CA San Diego City Beat CA Palm Springs Desert Sun CA Modesto Bee CA Chico News and Review CA San Jose Mercury News CA Los Angeles Sentinel CA Inland Valley Daily News FL Gainesville Sun FL Palm Beach Post FL Tampa Tribune FL St. Petersburg Times GA Atlanta Journal Constitution GA Atlanta Daily World IA Ames Iowa State Daily IA Des Moines El Latino IA Iowa City Press Citizen IA Iowa City Daily Iowan IA Sioux City Journal IA Logan Herald-Observer IA Ottumwa Courier IL Chicago Defender IL Chicago Tribune IL Daily Herald IL Belleville News Democrat MA Bay State Banner MA Boston Globe MA Daily News Tribune MA The Springfield Republican ME Portland Press Herald MO Kansas City Call MO St. Louis Post-Dispatch NH Littleton Courier NH Nashua Telegraph NH Portsmouth Herald NH Valley News NJ Trenton Times NV Las Vegas Review Journal NV Reno Gazette Journal NY New York Observer PA Philadelphia Inquirer SC The State SC The Greenville News TX Dallas Morning News WA: The Seattle Times
11 Strong Support in February 5 th States Across the Country Governors Governor Deval Patrick, MA Governor Rod Blagojavich, IL Governor Janet Napolitano, AZ Mayors Mayor Shirley Franklin of Atlanta Mayor Cory Booker of Newark Mayor Daley of Chicago Mayor Rybak of Minneapolis Former Mayor Federico Pena of Denver Senators Former Senator Gary Hart, CO Former Senator Bill Bradley, NJ Former Senator Jean Carnahan, MO Senator John Kerry, MA Senator Kent Conrad, ND Senator Dick Durbin, IL Senator Claire McCaskill, MO Senator Ted Kennedy, MA
12 Growing Latino Support throughout February 5 th States Key National Supporters Sec. Federico Pena US Rep. Luis Gutierrez (IL) US Rep. Linda Sancez (CA) US Rep. Xavier Becerra (CA) Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero (CA) Maria Elena Durazo, Executive Secretary- Treasurer LA County Federation of Labor (CA) Arizona Steve Gallardo- AZ House Minority Whip California Rep. Linda Sanchez Maria Elena Durazo, Executive Secretary Treasurer Los Angeles County Federation of Labor (OFA National Co-Chair) CA Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero CA Senator Gil Cedillo CA Senator Dean Florez Colorado Federico Peña, Former Energy Secretary National Crisanta Duran, Colorado Young Democrat President Arturo Jimenez, Denver School Board Member Paul Lopez, Denver City Council Kansas John Alcala: City Council, Topeka Guadalupe Ramirez: Kansas Latino Caucus Chairman, Lawrence Minnesota State Sen. Patricia Torres Ray Missouri Former City councilman and Latino activist Bobby Hernandez. New Jersey Jersey City Council President Mariano Vega Newark Councilman at-large Luis Quintana New Mexico House Majority Leader Ken Martinez Former State Representative Patsy Trujillo New York Vivian Viloria-Fisher (Co-Chair, NY Latino Leadership Council) Tennessee City Council Candidate Fabian Bedne Utah Josie Valdez, Community Activist
13 Senator Edward Kennedy Senator John Kerry Governor Deval Patrick Former Senator Tom Daschle
14 Governor Janet Napolitano Sec. Federico Pena Governor Tim Kaine Senator Claire McCaskill
15 Senator Dick Durbin Senator Ben Nelson Former Senator Bill Bradley Congresswoman Betty McCollum
16 Barack Obama Has Developed an Unprecedented National Grassroots Campaign for February 5 th
17 February 5 th 22 States have primaries or caucuses The Obama campaign currently has 90 offices open in all 22 of the February 5 states. The Obama campaign was also the FIRST and ONLY candidate to open offices in all 22 states. We are continuing to open up additional offices as we move into the GOTC/GOTV period. The Obama campaign has been active in the February 5 th states for months. The Obama campaign has 503 staffers spread across the country in February 5 th States and over 75,000 active volunteers.
18 Financial Ability to Compete on February 5 th & Beyond Well over 600,000 donors and growing Over a million contributions Only 2.9% of donors have maxed out Raised over $5 million since the polls in South Carolina closed
19 On the Air: Obama First to Launch TV Ads Obama launched national advertising on January 17 th On The Radio 1.Connecticut 2.Delaware 3.Alabama 4.Arizona 5.Colorado 6.Idaho 7.Minnesota 8.Missouri 9.New Mexico 10.Alaska 11.Utah On Television 1. Alabama 2. Arizona 3. California 4. Connecticut 5. Delaware 6. Georgia 7. Kansas 8. Minnesota 9. Missouri 10.New Mexico 11.North Dakota 12.Utah 13.New Jersey 14.New York 15.Massachusetts 16.Colorado
20 North Dakota Senator Conrad** **Click on the image to view the ad.
21 Arizona Governor Napolitano** **Click on the image to view the ad.
22 Missouri Senator McCaskill** **Click on the image to view the ad.
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