RUTGERS UNIVERSITY The S/arc University of New Jersey

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1 this fall, his New Jersey supporters will split between the likely Democratic Institute of Politics of Rutgers University. THE EAGLETON INSTITUTE OF POLITIS FOR RELEASE FRIDAY, JUNE 2, 1972 Wood Lawn,Neilson ampus New Brunswick, New Jersey If George Wallace is not on the ballot in the Presidential election ontact: Stephen Salmore 22i0 28- Tel. 2oiJ RUTGERS UNIVERSITY The S/arc University of New Jersey 3- In a three-way race between President Nixon, Governor Wallace and run seven points behind the President in New Jersey at this time. Nixon When Wallace supporters were asked whom they would support if their -more,cr - -._.., the Alabama Governor were out of the race. Independents who favor Wallace also tend to support the President if at this time. insignificant and makes the race for Wallace supporters too close to call and the. rest were undecided. The slight edge accorded Mr. Nixon is statistically Wallace voters gave 7% to the President, 5% to the Democratic contender, and his Democratic opponent. In both Humphrey and McGovern contests, favorite was not in the race, they split almost evenly between President Nixon and tops Humphrey With Wallace out of the race, President Nixon leads McGovern 46 37, McGovern with 15% going to Wallace. leads Humphrey 40 33, with Wallace attracting 13%, while Nixon leads either Senator Hubert Humphrey or Senator George McGovern, both Democrats New Jersey Poll conducted between April 28 and May 6 by the Eagleton and Republican candidates almost evenly. This is a finding of the Third

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3 . If Wallace were out of the race, a large majority of his Republican a larger number of his supporters. since New Jersey has more Democrats than Republicans, Democrats make up and Republicans, about 14% of each party s adherents in the state. However, 2 tw,r._.-,- fl - _,_ fl:t-n flr 1-30 the Wallace Eljabar Foundation and the Eagleton Institute. of Princeton, New Jersey. The New Jersey Poll is financed by grants from 28 and May 6. Results were tabulated by the Opinion Research orporation residents over age 18 by telephone from the Eagleton Institute between April The Third New Jersey Poll surveyed 1218 randomly selected state McGovern. The rest mostly favor the President, or are undecided. half of the Wallace Democrats would back either Senator Humphrey or Senator supporters say they would vote for President Nixon. However, only about Wallace draws his support from almost an equal percentage of Democrats

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5 heats involving Humphrey and McGovern. themselves small. Eagleton Institute of Politics held today and you had to choose right now-- (Democratic contender s name), the Democrat, (Democratic contender s name) the Democrat? would you vote for Richard Nixon, the Republican, Suppose the election for President were being I TO: New Jersey Political Reporters FROM: Stephen A. Salmore SUBJET: Release #6, Third New Jersey Poll, June 2, 1972 THE EAGLETON INSTITUTE OF POLITIS Wood Lawn, Neilson ampus New Brunswick, New Jersey Tel May 31, 1972 differences in percentages, especially when the percentages involved are Extreme caution should be used before drawing conclusions from small Table 2 gives a more detailed breakdown of the Wallace vote in the trial Table 1 gives the results of the trial heats with and without Wallace. likely to vote for Nixon the Republican or ground memorandum. The general trial heat question was: Democratic contenders were given in Release *3 and its accompanying back The results of the trial heats between President Nixon and the major or George Wallace as an Independent? All respondents who favored Wallace were then asked: If Wallace were not running, would you be more RUTGERS UNIVERSITY The Stale Uniuersfty of New Jersey

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7 I. N.J. Political Reporters 2 May 31, 1972 TABLE 1 Three-Way Race Two-Way Race Nixon 42% 50% Muskie Wallace 16 Undecided Nixon McGovern Wallace 15 Undecided Nixon Humphrey Wallace 13 Undecided Nixon Kennedy Wallace 12 Undecided rr - -

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9 Three-Way Race Two-Way Race Republicans Wallace Nixon Humphrey Undecided Independents Democrats All Respondents TABLE 2 *less than 1% Republicans * Independents Democrats All Respondents Wallace Nixon McGovern Undecided N.J. Political Reporters 3 May 31, 1972

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