Montana Polling. Contact: Doug Kaplan,

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1 Montana Polling Executive Summary Contact: Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 710 registered, likely voters in Montana. The poll was conducted from September 19 th through the 22 nd, with a margin of error of ±3.7%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and a panel of cell phone users; the results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump s job performance? Q3: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 11.5% 16.6% 25.6% 40.7% 18.7% 8.9% 14.6% 17.6% 19.6% Somewhat Disapprove 11.8% 8.4% 1.0% 13.4% 9.4% 2.5% 3.2% 9.9% 3.1% Strongly Approve 7.0% 27.9% 67.4% 14.6% 31.3% 50.9% 42.3% 28.5% 46.0% Strongly Disapprove 65.5% 34.8% 4.9% 14.8% 36.8% 34.9% 36.0% 35.8% 28.2% Uncertain 4.3% 12.2% 1.0% 16.5% 3.7% 2.9% 3.8% 8.2% 3.2% 1

2 4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Tester s job performance? Q4: TESTERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 22.6% 20.1% 13.5% 47.0% 20.8% 4.9% 11.5% 25.6% 10.7% Somewhat Disapprove 0.1% 14.1% 25.7% 11.5% 18.3% 14.1% 13.1% 11.0% 18.4% Strongly Approve 56.2% 32.2% 3.1% 3.5% 26.9% 35.8% 37.6% 27.5% 28.3% Strongly Disapprove 5.8% 28.0% 54.2% 11.9% 28.8% 44.1% 33.3% 24.0% 39.8% Uncertain 15.3% 5.6% 3.5% 26.1% 5.2% 1.2% 4.5% 12.0% 2.9% 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Daines job performance? 2

3 Q5: DAINEPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 19.1% 36.8% 25.6% 53.0% 32.4% 12.4% 23.4% 27.9% 27.3% Somewhat Disapprove 11.1% 15.9% 7.7% 9.9% 15.6% 7.0% 14.1% 12.5% 10.4% Strongly Approve 7.5% 12.5% 51.3% 6.4% 16.5% 41.5% 30.5% 20.6% 31.3% Strongly Disapprove 36.5% 23.1% 2.2% 4.9% 19.2% 24.6% 21.5% 16.4% 21.5% Uncertain 25.8% 11.7% 13.2% 25.8% 16.2% 14.5% 10.6% 22.6% 9.5% 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Bullock s job performance? Q6: BULLOCKPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 37.5% 27.3% 21.3% 32.2% 30.2% 22.7% 29.4% 30.5% 25.2% Somewhat Disapprove 8.9% 10.1% 19.9% 12.3% 12.9% 13.7% 14.9% 13.8% 13.2% Strongly Approve 37.3% 21.2% 2.9% 4.3% 16.8% 22.4% 27.9% 17.7% 19.8% Strongly Disapprove 6.2% 22.4% 45.0% 11.9% 26.0% 36.4% 24.0% 23.2% 29.9% Uncertain 10.1% 19.0% 11.0% 39.3% 14.1% 4.9% 3.8% 14.9% 11.9% 3

4 7) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Matt Rosendale and Jon Tester, who would you vote for? Q7: ROSENDALETESTER1 Democrat Jon Tester 92.2% 55.0% 11.4% 55.6% 47.9% 47.6% 46.5% 55.4% 42.1% Republican Matt Rosendale 5.3% 34.3% 85.0% 32.7% 45.7% 49.6% 49.5% 38.6% 52.7% Uncertain 2.5% 10.7% 3.6% 11.7% 6.4% 2.8% 4.0% 6.1% 5.3% 8) If the election for Senate were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? Democrat Independent or In Another Party Republican or older Female Male Q8: ROSENDALETESTERLEAN2 N/A 97.5% 89.3% 96.4% 88.3% 93.6% 97.2% 96.0% 93.9% 94.7% Democrat Jon Tester 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 1.2% 0.0% Republican Matt Rosendale 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.7% 2.9% 0.2% 0.4% 1.9% 0.3% Uncertain 0.8% 7.1% 3.6% 8.5% 3.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 5.0% 4

5 9) If the election for U.S. Representative were held today and the candidates were Greg Gianforte and Kathleen Williams, who would you vote for? Q9: GIANFORTEWILLIAMS1 Democrat Kathleen Williams 78.8% 50.3% 6.4% 41.6% 46.1% 37.3% 42.2% 51.8% 30.9% Republican Greg Gianforte 17.2% 38.2% 86.5% 45.9% 48.3% 53.7% 53.4% 42.8% 59.0% Uncertain 4.0% 11.5% 7.1% 12.5% 5.6% 9.0% 4.4% 5.4% 10.1% 10) If the election for U.S. Representative were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? Q10: GIANFORTEWILLIAMS2 N/A 96.0% 88.5% 92.9% 87.5% 94.4% 91.0% 95.6% 94.6% 89.9% Democrat Kathleen Williams 1.4% 3.4% 0.0% 1.4% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 2.5% 0.6% Republican Greg Gianforte 1.7% 0.2% 7.0% 2.6% 0.0% 7.3% 1.6% 1.7% 4.7% Uncertain 0.9% 7.8% 0.1% 8.5% 2.2% 0.8% 2.5% 1.2% 4.8% 5

6 11) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would support Nancy Pelosi to be Speaker of the House? Q11: PELOSISUPPORT Less Likely 27.2% 50.2% 74.8% 32.9% 52.3% 63.7% 55.1% 43.9% 62.8% More Likely 27.3% 12.4% 5.1% 4.8% 13.1% 15.7% 19.5% 12.0% 15.7% Uncertain 45.5% 37.4% 20.0% 62.3% 34.6% 20.6% 25.4% 44.1% 21.5% 12) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would vote to impeach President Donald J. Trump? Q12: IMPEACHMENTSUPPORT Less Likely 15.2% 43.8% 87.0% 38.8% 51.6% 61.0% 50.8% 41.0% 63.9% More Likely 74.7% 26.3% 8.9% 40.0% 31.3% 32.0% 32.0% 43.5% 22.6% Uncertain 10.2% 29.9% 4.1% 21.2% 17.1% 7.0% 17.3% 15.6% 13.5% 6

7 13) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Q13: TAXREFORMAPPROVAL Approve 19.2% 39.6% 59.6% 28.9% 39.6% 50.0% 41.3% 33.9% 49.4% Disapprove 58.8% 33.0% 12.9% 15.9% 35.6% 38.2% 34.2% 35.4% 29.7% Uncertain 21.9% 27.4% 27.5% 55.2% 24.7% 11.8% 24.4% 30.7% 20.9% 14) Do you support or oppose the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States? Q14: SAMESEXMARRIAGE Oppose 15.1% 29.3% 67.7% 14.4% 27.6% 55.5% 53.8% 26.6% 53.8% Support 72.9% 55.7% 18.1% 80.6% 50.5% 32.9% 31.9% 55.8% 36.3% Uncertain 11.9% 15.0% 14.2% 5.0% 21.9% 11.6% 14.3% 17.6% 9.9% 7

8 15) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion in Montana? Q15: ABORTION Oppose 45.3% 58.0% 43.4% 52.5% 54.9% 41.6% 49.2% 51.4% 46.3% Support 43.6% 25.6% 38.1% 37.8% 27.0% 43.4% 32.0% 33.9% 37.0% Uncertain 11.1% 16.3% 18.5% 9.6% 18.1% 14.9% 18.8% 14.7% 16.7% 16) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion after a pregnancy has lasted for 20 weeks in Montana? Q16: 20WEEKABORTION Oppose 50.7% 41.8% 49.9% 20.9% 48.0% 53.6% 59.5% 45.0% 49.8% Support 25.1% 33.1% 39.2% 33.2% 39.8% 32.8% 24.8% 28.6% 37.9% Uncertain 24.2% 25.1% 10.9% 45.9% 12.2% 13.6% 15.7% 26.4% 12.3% 8

9 17) Do you support or oppose laws that would stop LGBTQ individuals from being discriminated against in regards to employment, housing, and healthcare in Montana? Q17: LGBTQDISCRIMINATION Oppose 15.3% 19.0% 37.9% 5.0% 20.1% 38.6% 28.0% 18.5% 32.1% Support 75.7% 64.4% 41.5% 83.1% 61.2% 52.5% 45.0% 63.5% 54.0% Uncertain 9.0% 16.6% 20.6% 11.8% 18.7% 8.9% 27.0% 18.0% 13.9% 18) Do you support or oppose President Trump s actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement? Q18: NUCLEAR Oppose 55.8% 33.0% 2.3% 5.4% 28.6% 33.5% 36.5% 29.1% 26.3% Support 28.0% 41.3% 80.4% 38.6% 52.8% 60.8% 50.6% 43.5% 61.7% Uncertain 16.1% 25.7% 17.3% 56.0% 18.6% 5.6% 12.8% 27.4% 12.0% 9

10 19) As you may know there is an investigation into possible dealings with President Trump s associates and Russia being led by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Do you believe the investigation is justified or do you believe it is politically motivated? Q19: RUSSIAINVESTIGATION Justified 60.8% 36.9% 3.3% 7.1% 31.9% 35.6% 42.3% 30.8% 30.9% Politically motivated 21.3% 47.5% 83.1% 34.7% 56.2% 61.8% 54.0% 44.8% 63.0% Uncertain 17.8% 15.6% 13.6% 58.2% 12.0% 2.6% 3.7% 24.4% 6.1% 20) Would you approve or disapprove of a border wall built between the border of Mexico and the U.S.? Q20: BORDERWALL Approve 26.3% 38.4% 88.4% 54.2% 45.5% 60.5% 55.0% 44.9% 63.5% Disapprove 65.7% 47.1% 6.5% 24.3% 42.9% 38.2% 37.6% 40.5% 33.2% Uncertain 8.0% 14.5% 5.1% 21.6% 11.6% 1.3% 7.4% 14.6% 3.4% 10

11 21) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Special Counsel Robert Mueller s job performance? Q21: MUELLERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 17.2% 5.8% 6.8% 16.7% 5.0% 5.9% 14.3% 11.2% 7.4% Somewhat Disapprove 2.6% 12.7% 14.2% 2.0% 16.6% 11.1% 8.6% 5.6% 15.6% Strongly Approve 41.8% 31.3% 3.1% 4.3% 20.0% 31.2% 32.7% 20.3% 26.9% Strongly Disapprove 11.2% 24.1% 45.4% 11.9% 23.4% 40.7% 30.9% 22.4% 35.0% Uncertain 27.2% 26.1% 30.5% 65.2% 35.0% 11.2% 13.5% 40.5% 15.1% 22) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the Mainstream Media s job performance? 11

12 Q22: MEDIAPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 26.8% 14.8% 6.9% 5.2% 17.1% 18.7% 15.5% 13.2% 17.2% Somewhat Disapprove 28.9% 19.9% 9.7% 55.2% 13.3% 6.5% 13.1% 26.8% 9.9% Strongly Approve 23.7% 15.3% 1.7% 0.0% 9.7% 15.0% 22.9% 13.7% 11.2% Strongly Disapprove 8.0% 42.9% 74.3% 23.1% 51.0% 56.7% 37.6% 33.2% 57.4% Uncertain 12.5% 7.1% 7.5% 16.5% 8.8% 3.1% 10.9% 13.1% 4.2% 23) Do you believe the U.S. Senate should consider President Trump s nominee, Brett Kavanaugh to fill the vacancy of Justice Kennedy, who is retiring? Q23: SENTATEJUSTICE No 55.1% 28.1% 5.4% 18.7% 21.8% 35.0% 28.6% 29.2% 24.7% Uncertain 28.2% 26.3% 8.3% 50.9% 21.1% 5.2% 15.3% 29.0% 10.6% Yes 16.7% 45.6% 86.4% 30.4% 57.2% 59.7% 56.1% 41.7% 64.7% 12

13 24) Are you more or less likely to support a candidate for U.S. Senate who will confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court? Q24: KAVANAUGHCANDIDATE Less Likely 57.1% 30.6% 3.4% 6.9% 26.1% 36.6% 33.6% 27.9% 27.5% More Likely 14.2% 37.4% 79.6% 27.4% 45.3% 56.4% 51.0% 38.2% 56.0% Uncertain 28.7% 32.0% 17.0% 65.7% 28.6% 7.0% 15.4% 33.9% 16.5% 25) Do you think that Brett Kavanaugh is qualified to be a justice on the U.S. Supreme Court? Q25: KAVANAUGHQUALIFIED No 50.3% 22.6% 6.2% 17.9% 20.7% 30.0% 24.7% 22.4% 25.9% Uncertain 23.8% 20.3% 16.0% 26.6% 28.7% 8.2% 19.7% 26.9% 12.1% Yes 25.9% 57.1% 77.8% 55.5% 50.6% 61.8% 55.5% 50.7% 62.0% 13

14 26) Do you support or oppose President Trump s decision in revoking former CIA-Director John Brennan s security clearance? Q26: BRENNANCLEARANCE Oppose 57.3% 35.0% 9.3% 20.8% 35.6% 30.2% 37.1% 33.8% 29.0% Support 14.7% 36.7% 73.5% 30.3% 41.0% 56.7% 42.2% 35.8% 53.6% Uncertain 28.0% 28.4% 17.2% 48.9% 23.4% 13.0% 20.8% 30.4% 17.3% The following questions are for demographic purposes: 1) Are you registered to vote in Montana? 2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Midterm Elections in November? 14

15 27) What is your party affiliation? 28) What is your political ideology? 29) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? 30) What race do you identify yourself as? 15

16 31) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 32) What is the highest level of education have you completed? 33) How old are you? 34) What is your gender? 16