Arizona Polling. Contact: Doug Kaplan,

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1 Arizona Polling Executive Summary Contact: Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 925 likely voters across Arizona. The poll was conducted from June 27 th through July 2 nd and has a margin of error of ±3.2%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users and interactive voice responses. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump s job performance? Q3: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 15.7% 16.5% 22.8% 4.0% 7.6% 18.9% 12.6% 7.6% 8.7% 11.3% 10.7% Somewhat Disapprove 17.4% 1.9% 22.0% 6.7% 10.5% 9.0% 4.9% 7.0% 5.5% 6.8% 5.9% Strongly Approve 11.9% 76.5% 1.7% 4.5% 3.0% 23.5% 34.3% 39.5% 37.6% 29.2% 41.1% Strongly Disapprove 42.6% 4.2% 53.0% 80.4% 79.0% 42.0% 44.3% 43.4% 45.3% 48.1% 39.6% Uncertain 12.4% 0.9% 0.6% 4.5% 0.0% 6.5% 3.9% 2.5% 2.9% 4.6% 2.6%

2 4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Flake s job performance? Q4: FLAKEPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 12.6% 15.7% 28.5% 31.3% 10.3% 12.2% 18.1% 26.4% 27.2% 20.0% 24.3% Somewhat Disapprove 25.2% 12.6% 24.4% 21.0% 54.3% 19.4% 28.6% 14.1% 15.0% 18.1% 20.1% Strongly Approve 11.4% 10.4% 23.0% 16.0% 4.7% 12.4% 14.1% 11.1% 14.5% 12.3% 13.7% Strongly Disapprove 13.1% 53.2% 13.2% 15.7% 23.4% 17.5% 26.0% 39.7% 34.8% 28.9% 33.6% Uncertain 37.7% 8.0% 11.0% 15.9% 7.3% 38.4% 13.2% 8.7% 8.5% 20.6% 8.3%

3 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator McCain s job performance? Q5: MCCAINPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 34.0% 14.5% 43.5% 37.8% 9.3% 23.7% 28.9% 24.7% 29.9% 27.1% 26.9% Somewhat Disapprove 19.7% 14.5% 17.8% 18.2% 8.1% 24.4% 18.6% 12.2% 14.7% 15.7% 17.4% Strongly Approve 9.3% 12.7% 14.2% 28.4% 6.5% 10.5% 16.1% 20.6% 24.5% 18.0% 19.6% Strongly Disapprove 7.3% 54.2% 24.5% 7.6% 68.8% 13.1% 25.8% 41.3% 28.1% 28.7% 29.6% Uncertain 29.7% 4.1% 0.0% 8.0% 7.3% 28.3% 10.6% 1.2% 2.8% 10.6% 6.4%

4 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Ducey s (Doo-see) job performance? Q6: DUCEYPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 23.1% 47.0% 26.0% 12.9% 3.5% 29.7% 27.4% 28.1% 28.3% 27.5% 29.0% Somewhat Disapprove 15.4% 14.4% 15.1% 18.7% 50.9% 20.6% 15.8% 17.2% 17.4% 17.9% 16.9% Strongly Approve 5.0% 24.7% 12.2% 3.7% 1.9% 5.5% 16.0% 12.6% 13.8% 9.3% 16.2% Strongly Disapprove 16.5% 8.0% 32.6% 54.7% 43.7% 15.2% 28.1% 35.5% 35.6% 30.6% 30.0% Uncertain 40.0% 5.8% 14.1% 10.0% 0.0% 28.9% 12.6% 6.7% 4.9% 14.6% 7.9% 7) What is your party affiliation?

5 8) What primary will you be voting in for the 2018 election? Q8: PRIMARY 42.8% 75.6% 56.2% 70.9% 56.2% 60.4% 71.7% 70.7% 69.5% 68.1% 69.9% Democratic Primary 12.8% 2.0% 28.6% 17.4% 23.8% 12.8% 8.6% 10.7% 12.5% 9.9% 12.1% Neither 26.0% 6.2% 2.8% 7.9% 18.1% 21.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.5% 11.1% 7.5% Republican Primary 18.4% 16.2% 12.5% 3.8% 1.9% 5.1% 13.1% 11.7% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 9) If the Republican Primary election for Senator were held today and the candidates were Kelli Ward, Martha McSally, and Joe Arpaio, who would you vote for? Only Republican Primary participants Sample size = 501, margin of error of ±4.4% Q9: HELDTODAY Joe Arpaio 18.9% 27.6% 0.0% 8.4% 0.0% 42.1% 30.6% 17.8% 22.1% 21.4% 26.5% Kelli Ward 7.7% 29.7% 25.8% 17.9% 0.0% 10.1% 35.1% 28.2% 23.3% 20.0% 33.3% Martha McSally 37.1% 33.8% 36.1% 46.5% 8.0% 20.6% 21.9% 41.1% 42.4% 38.5% 32.9% Uncertain 36.3% 8.9% 38.1% 27.1% 92.0% 27.2% 12.4% 12.9% 12.3% 20.1% 7.3%

6 10) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Doug Ducey and Democrat Steve Farley, who would you vote for? Q10: GOVTODAY1 Doug Ducey 27.5% 78.7% 17.5% 10.5% 45.4% 39.0% 46.0% 39.3% 42.5% 33.2% 50.9% Steve Farley 20.4% 11.5% 40.4% 71.6% 33.2% 26.3% 40.4% 40.8% 43.7% 37.3% 41.1% Uncertain 52.2% 9.8% 42.1% 18.0% 21.4% 34.7% 13.6% 19.9% 13.8% 29.6% 8.0% 11) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Doug Ducey and Democrat David Garcia, who would you vote for? Q11: GOVTODAY2 David Garcia 28.1% 10.8% 48.4% 73.0% 76.7% 27.9% 46.5% 41.6% 45.8% 38.5% 45.3% Doug Ducey 20.9% 81.8% 13.9% 10.4% 1.9% 40.0% 42.6% 38.7% 42.7% 34.5% 47.7% Uncertain 51.0% 7.4% 37.7% 16.6% 21.4% 32.2% 10.9% 19.8% 11.4% 27.0% 7.0%

7 12) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Kyrsten Sinema (cin-ema) and Republican Kelli Ward, who would you vote for? Q12: SENATETODAY1 Kelli Ward 23.0% 73.0% 10.8% 9.1% 4.5% 29.4% 37.8% 39.0% 38.5% 30.0% 44.3% Kyrsten Sinema 23.2% 15.0% 59.1% 80.1% 76.7% 24.9% 46.9% 52.4% 51.3% 46.6% 45.9% Uncertain 53.8% 12.0% 30.2% 10.8% 18.7% 45.7% 15.3% 8.6% 10.1% 23.4% 9.8% 13) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Martha McSally, who would you vote for? Q13: SENATETODAY2 Kyrsten Sinema 25.7% 12.9% 44.4% 77.2% 25.1% 24.7% 37.6% 49.1% 50.8% 43.8% 41.2% Martha McSally 24.7% 71.2% 14.4% 11.2% 48.6% 37.0% 40.7% 38.3% 38.3% 32.7% 45.1% Uncertain 49.7% 15.9% 41.2% 11.7% 26.3% 38.3% 21.8% 12.6% 10.9% 23.6% 13.7%

8 14) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Kyrsten Sinema and Republican Joe Arpaio, who would you vote for? Q14: SENATETODAY3 Joe Arpaio 15.9% 69.9% 9.0% 5.5% 6.6% 30.5% 37.6% 33.1% 31.5% 27.9% 39.3% Kyrsten Sinema 46.9% 15.7% 60.5% 86.9% 85.9% 35.1% 51.4% 57.6% 57.4% 54.8% 49.7% Uncertain 37.2% 14.4% 30.4% 7.6% 7.5% 34.4% 11.0% 9.2% 11.1% 17.3% 11.0% 15) If the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican Michele Reagan, who would you vote for? Q15: SECTODAY1 Katie Hobbs 21.0% 9.2% 15.9% 69.4% 73.7% 24.9% 38.5% 41.9% 40.7% 35.5% 40.5% Michele Reagan 12.0% 74.5% 18.4% 9.3% 9.1% 30.9% 36.4% 39.3% 38.1% 30.4% 43.6% Uncertain 67.0% 16.3% 65.7% 21.4% 17.3% 44.2% 25.2% 18.8% 21.2% 34.2% 15.9%

9 16) If Governor Doug Ducey had to appoint someone to Senator McCain s Senate seat who would you support? Q16: DUCEYAPPOINT Ben Quayle 0.0% 2.8% 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% Joe Arpaio 7.3% 24.6% 2.0% 3.9% 3.0% 17.4% 17.9% 8.4% 10.1% 11.3% 14.4% Kelli Ward 15.7% 21.6% 17.7% 10.8% 0.0% 16.3% 16.9% 17.5% 11.9% 13.3% 18.2% Martha McSally 5.3% 23.8% 7.2% 11.8% 48.6% 8.3% 22.2% 15.4% 19.2% 14.7% 19.6% Matt Salmon 9.1% 4.6% 6.8% 4.4% 7.5% 2.0% 6.2% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 3.9% Paul Gosar 0.0% 6.5% 8.2% 6.6% 0.0% 4.8% 4.1% 9.0% 3.8% 5.7% 5.6% Uncertain 62.5% 16.1% 58.1% 61.4% 41.0% 49.3% 30.7% 43.7% 47.3% 47.0% 36.8% 17) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would support Nancy Pelosi to be Speaker of the House?

10 Q17: SUPPORTPELOSI Less Likely 41.1% 77.1% 56.2% 21.7% 61.3% 28.0% 55.1% 54.6% 48.4% 48.4% 49.3% More Likely 8.5% 7.0% 9.5% 47.6% 2.3% 23.3% 20.0% 23.5% 29.9% 24.4% 24.0% Uncertain 50.4% 15.9% 34.2% 30.6% 36.3% 48.7% 24.9% 21.9% 21.7% 27.2% 26.6% 18) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would vote to impeach President Donald J. Trump? Q18: IMPEACHTRUMP Less Likely 28.0% 83.3% 39.1% 13.9% 7.9% 45.9% 40.7% 45.0% 47.6% 41.1% 48.3% More Likely 34.8% 11.3% 52.5% 73.0% 86.0% 38.5% 45.9% 42.9% 43.4% 45.9% 40.2% Uncertain 37.3% 5.4% 8.3% 13.1% 6.2% 15.6% 13.5% 12.1% 9.0% 13.0% 11.4% 19) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Q19: TAXREFORM Approve 20.1% 72.1% 22.1% 8.5% 13.8% 25.8% 40.6% 38.3% 37.3% 33.8% 39.7% Disapprove 25.6% 8.4% 47.0% 72.0% 78.6% 33.5% 34.3% 44.6% 44.9% 35.7% 44.8% Uncertain 54.3% 19.5% 30.9% 19.5% 7.6% 40.7% 25.0% 17.1% 17.8% 30.6% 15.5%

11 20) Do you support or oppose the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States? Q20: SAMESEXMARRIAGE Oppose 10.6% 59.2% 17.0% 13.2% 4.5% 12.7% 27.7% 39.3% 39.0% 29.9% 33.8% Support 55.3% 26.5% 73.2% 81.8% 94.4% 68.0% 59.3% 54.5% 47.4% 58.7% 53.5% Uncertain 34.1% 14.3% 9.9% 5.0% 1.1% 19.3% 13.0% 6.2% 13.6% 11.5% 12.7% 21) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion in Arizona? Q21: ABORTION1 Oppose 36.9% 37.0% 52.3% 56.8% 31.6% 44.2% 40.9% 48.1% 48.3% 44.4% 46.8% Support 22.3% 42.5% 3.8% 28.1% 64.2% 33.3% 36.8% 34.0% 31.3% 32.8% 35.1% Uncertain 40.8% 20.5% 43.9% 15.0% 4.2% 22.5% 22.3% 18.0% 20.4% 22.8% 18.1%

12 22) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion after a pregnancy has lasted for 20 weeks in Arizona? Q22: ABORTION2 Oppose 28.9% 39.0% 50.5% 52.0% 23.2% 36.6% 38.1% 49.0% 45.6% 44.3% 42.1% Support 41.0% 48.2% 32.7% 31.3% 29.1% 42.8% 44.8% 35.5% 36.1% 40.7% 37.9% Uncertain 30.1% 12.8% 16.8% 16.7% 47.7% 20.6% 17.1% 15.5% 18.3% 15.0% 20.0% 23) Do you support or oppose laws that would stop LGBTQ individuals from being discriminated against in regards to employment, housing, and healthcare in Arizona? Q23: LGBTQDISCRIMINATION Oppose 30.0% 31.8% 17.3% 17.8% 17.2% 21.3% 19.3% 31.9% 24.7% 24.0% 25.9% Support 43.5% 41.6% 58.0% 69.6% 81.7% 62.9% 59.4% 51.3% 50.9% 54.5% 56.0% Uncertain 26.6% 26.6% 24.7% 12.6% 1.1% 15.8% 21.3% 16.8% 24.5% 21.5% 18.2%

13 24) Do you support or oppose President Trump s actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement? Q24: NUCLEAR Oppose 35.3% 7.7% 30.4% 75.4% 79.0% 38.8% 35.1% 45.1% 47.2% 38.9% 45.1% Support 15.4% 81.0% 25.2% 9.1% 13.5% 30.4% 39.5% 44.5% 41.5% 36.7% 43.7% Uncertain 49.4% 11.3% 44.3% 15.5% 7.5% 30.7% 25.4% 10.4% 11.3% 24.5% 11.2% 25) As you may know there is an investigation into possible dealings with President Trump s associates and Russia being led by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Do you believe the investigation is justified or do you believe it is politically motivated? Q25: RUSSIA Justified 44.8% 12.8% 56.3% 79.8% 82.2% 41.0% 48.2% 48.6% 50.2% 50.2% 45.0% Politically motivated 24.8% 80.0% 32.2% 12.0% 7.9% 32.8% 39.6% 45.3% 46.3% 37.9% 46.3% Uncertain 30.4% 7.2% 11.6% 8.2% 10.0% 26.2% 12.3% 6.2% 3.5% 11.9% 8.7%

14 26) Would you approve or disapprove of a border wall built between the Mexican & Arizonan border? Q26: WALL Approve 23.2% 88.5% 32.5% 11.9% 7.8% 35.7% 45.5% 47.9% 48.0% 43.5% 47.2% Disapprove 52.6% 6.6% 41.7% 84.8% 92.2% 52.9% 44.2% 48.8% 48.2% 50.6% 45.4% Uncertain 24.2% 4.9% 25.7% 3.3% 0.0% 11.4% 10.4% 3.3% 3.9% 5.9% 7.4% 27) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for? Q27: 2016ELECTION Didn't vote 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.7% 13.5% 5.2% 3.4% 14.0% 7.7% Donald Trump 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.5% 41.5% 40.8% 47.4% 36.5% 46.8% Gary Johnson 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 3.8% 1.2% 3.4% 1.5% Hillary Clinton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 35.4% 36.0% 48.0% 45.8% 43.5% 40.7% Jill Stein 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.4% 5.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.4%

15 The following questions are for demographic purposes: 1) Are you registered to vote in Arizona? 2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Arizona Primary Elections? 28) What is your political ideology? 29) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

16 30) What race do you identify yourself as? 31) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 32) What is the highest level of education you have completed? 33) How old are you?

17 34) What is your gender?