Florida Polling. Contact: Doug Kaplan,
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1 Florida Polling Executive Summary Contact: Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 753 likely voters in Florida. The poll was conducted from October 29 th through November 2 nd, with a margin of error of ±3.6%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was Paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump s job performance? Q3: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 5.1% 37.7% 28.1% 10.5% 18.6% 24.7% 8.1% 6.2% 9.2% 19.0% Somewhat Disapprove 1.0% 5.3% 19.0% 2.9% 4.7% 3.0% 4.9% 1.4% 5.9% 1.1% Strongly Approve 50.5% 26.4% 7.5% 41.4% 35.2% 30.9% 41.7% 50.9% 39.9% 39.7% Strongly Disapprove 42.9% 28.0% 37.5% 40.2% 40.5% 31.5% 43.7% 39.9% 41.7% 36.1% Uncertain 0.6% 2.6% 7.9% 5.0% 0.9% 9.9% 1.5% 1.5% 3.3% 4.1% 1
2 4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Rubio s job performance? Q4: RUBIOPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 26.6% 29.0% 34.4% 18.5% 17.3% 20.8% 24.3% 27.3% 21.6% 24.3% Somewhat Disapprove 13.5% 33.6% 3.8% 16.1% 24.8% 19.6% 13.9% 14.2% 18.3% 16.2% Strongly Approve 31.0% 17.6% 8.8% 23.4% 18.8% 20.6% 23.8% 31.0% 24.4% 23.0% Strongly Disapprove 25.7% 8.8% 37.3% 32.7% 20.0% 29.6% 32.5% 23.9% 26.4% 29.3% Uncertain 3.2% 11.0% 15.8% 9.3% 19.1% 9.4% 5.5% 3.7% 9.3% 7.2% 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Nelson s job performance? 2
3 Q5: NELSONPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 16.3% 29.4% 38.3% 13.6% 23.0% 14.9% 18.2% 17.2% 17.5% 18.2% Somewhat Disapprove 9.1% 25.8% 7.9% 13.8% 3.0% 25.9% 12.4% 9.8% 10.3% 18.1% Strongly Approve 32.5% 9.1% 22.5% 24.4% 12.8% 22.8% 29.6% 25.6% 22.2% 26.3% Strongly Disapprove 40.9% 25.2% 8.5% 37.3% 44.6% 25.4% 34.2% 41.0% 40.0% 29.5% Uncertain 1.2% 10.5% 22.8% 10.9% 16.6% 11.0% 5.6% 6.4% 10.1% 7.9% 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Scott s job performance? Q6: SCOTTPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 10.4% 38.2% 40.3% 11.0% 15.0% 24.2% 11.8% 14.4% 15.6% 17.0% Somewhat Disapprove 6.4% 6.1% 6.9% 6.6% 0.6% 4.9% 8.7% 9.3% 6.0% 7.0% Strongly Approve 44.5% 19.8% 3.7% 34.8% 32.6% 25.9% 35.3% 40.5% 35.2% 31.6% Strongly Disapprove 37.7% 24.8% 31.3% 41.0% 37.9% 37.3% 38.9% 34.5% 38.4% 36.2% Uncertain 1.0% 11.2% 17.7% 6.6% 14.0% 7.7% 5.3% 1.2% 4.8% 8.3% 3
4 7) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Ron DeSantis and Democrat Andrew Gillum, who would you vote for? Q7: DESANTISVSGILLUM Democrat Andrew Gillum 43.6% 32.4% 64.7% 50.2% 45.0% 51.8% 47.6% 40.5% 47.3% 46.1% Republican Ron DeSantis 55.8% 51.8% 18.7% 43.1% 43.2% 36.0% 48.9% 57.0% 47.6% 44.8% Uncertain 0.7% 15.8% 16.7% 6.7% 11.8% 12.2% 3.6% 2.5% 5.1% 9.0% 8) If the election for Governor were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? Q8: DESANTISVSGILLUM2 N/A 99.3% 84.2% 83.3% 93.3% 88.2% 87.8% 96.4% 97.5% 94.9% 91.0% Democrat Andrew Gillum 0.2% 0.0% 1.7% 2.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 0.3% 2.7% Republican Ron DeSantis 0.1% 0.0% 7.1% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.7% 1.4% Uncertain 0.5% 15.8% 7.9% 3.1% 5.9% 8.0% 3.6% 0.6% 4.1% 5.0% 4
5 LikelIHOOD Age group Gender Q7+Q8 Democrat Andrew Gillum 43.7% 32.4% 66.4% 52.6% 48.6% 53.6% 47.6% 42.3% 47.6% 48.8% Republican Ron DeSantis 55.8% 51.8% 25.7% 44.3% 45.5% 38.4% 48.9% 57.1% 48.3% 46.2% Uncertain 0.5% 15.8% 7.9% 3.1% 5.9% 8.0% 3.6% 0.6% 4.1% 5.0% 9) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Bill Nelson and Republican Rick Scott, who would you vote for? Q9: NELSONVSSCOTT Democrat Bill Nelson 45.1% 36.0% 63.7% 51.4% 41.8% 53.8% 49.7% 43.9% 47.2% 49.4% Republican Rick Scott 52.5% 51.8% 25.7% 43.5% 49.9% 37.4% 45.5% 54.8% 46.6% 45.5% Uncertain 2.4% 12.3% 10.6% 5.1% 8.3% 8.9% 4.9% 1.3% 6.2% 5.2% 5
6 10) If the election for Senate were held today and you had to make a decision, which candidate are you leaning towards? Q10: NELSONVSSCOTT2 N/A 97.6% 87.7% 89.4% 94.9% 91.7% 91.1% 95.1% 98.7% 93.8% 94.8% Democrat Bill Nelson 0.1% 5.1% 0.0% 1.3% 2.3% 1.2% 2.1% 0.1% 2.8% 0.0% Republican Rick Scott 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% Uncertain 0.5% 6.8% 10.6% 3.8% 5.9% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 3.2% 4.3% Q9+Q10 Democrat Bill Nelson 45.2% 41.0% 63.7% 52.6% 44.1% 55.0% 51.7% 44.0% 50.0% 49.4% Republican Rick Scott 54.3% 52.2% 25.7% 43.6% 49.9% 38.9% 45.5% 55.2% 46.8% 46.3% Uncertain 0.5% 6.8% 10.6% 3.8% 5.9% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 3.2% 4.3% 6
7 11) If the election for Chief Financial Officer were held today and the candidates were Republican Jimmy Patronis and Democrat Jeremy Ring, who would you vote for? Q11: PATRONISVSRING Democrat Jeremy Ring 43.9% 21.1% 63.7% 44.5% 44.5% 45.4% 40.8% 38.0% 40.4% 43.8% Republican Jimmy Patronis 53.1% 50.2% 21.4% 38.9% 34.0% 34.3% 46.6% 55.4% 44.6% 41.7% Uncertain 3.1% 28.7% 14.9% 16.6% 21.5% 20.3% 12.5% 6.5% 15.0% 14.5% 12) If the election for Attorney General were held today and the candidates were Republican Ashley Moody and Democrat Sean Shaw, who would you vote for? Q12: MOODYVSSHAW Democrat Sean Shaw 42.8% 22.5% 59.2% 42.0% 28.7% 46.5% 41.9% 38.8% 39.7% 41.0% Republican Ashley Moody 55.4% 46.4% 26.6% 49.0% 49.8% 43.8% 48.2% 56.5% 49.6% 48.5% Uncertain 1.8% 31.2% 14.1% 8.9% 21.6% 9.8% 9.9% 4.7% 10.7% 10.4% 7
8 13) If the election for Commissioner of Agriculture were held today and the candidates were Republican Matt Caldwell and Democrat Nikki Fried, who would you vote for? Q13: CALDWELLVSFRIED Democrat Nikki Fried 44.9% 12.3% 64.3% 47.1% 33.9% 49.3% 41.5% 42.0% 38.1% 47.2% Republican Matt Caldwell 50.2% 58.4% 22.1% 40.7% 45.5% 34.5% 47.2% 52.4% 45.7% 43.5% Uncertain 4.9% 29.3% 13.7% 12.2% 20.7% 16.2% 11.3% 5.5% 16.2% 9.3% The following questions are for demographic purposes: 1) Are you registered to vote in Florida? 8
9 2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Florida General Elections? 10) What is your party affiliation? 11) What is your political ideology? 9
10 12) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? 13) What race do you identify yourself as? 14) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 10
11 15) What is the highest level of education you have completed? 16) How old are you? 17) What is your gender? 11
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