1997 SOUTH AUSTRALIAN ELECTION

Transcription

1 1997 SOUTH AUSTRALIAN ELECTION 11 October 1997 CONTENTS Introduction...1 Summary of 1994 Redistribution...3 Changes in Assembly Membership...4 House of Assembly Results Summary of House of Assembly Election...5 House of Assembly Results by Electoral Division...8 Summary of Two-Party Preferred Results Regional Summaries By-elections Legislative Council Results Summary of Legislative Council Election Progress of Count in Detail Summary Distribution of Party Preferences Council Results by Electorate Party Vote by Electorate Selected Differences in Vote between Assembly and Council Comparison of Assembly and Council vote by Electorate Electorate Maps... 48

2 Symbols.. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MP... 'Ghost' candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the current election. Party Abbreviations (blank) Non-Affiliated Candidates AFP Australia First Party AIA Australian Independent Alliance ALP Labor Party ARF Australian Recreation and Fishing Party CTA Call to Australia DEM Australian Democrats GRN Green Alliance GRY Grey Power HEMP Help End Marijuana Prohibition IND Independents ILAB Independent Labor ILIB Independent Liberal LAW Natural Law LIB Liberal Party NA National Action NAT National Party OTH Others OTM Over-Taxed Motorists, Drinkers, Smokers Association POK No Pokies RA Republic Australia RN Racism NO! SMO Smokers Rights Association UAP United Australia Party Important Dates Issue of Writs Saturday 13 September 1997 Close of Rolls Monday 22 September 1997, 12 noon Close of Nominations Friday 26 September 1997, 12 noon Polling Day Saturday 11 October 1997 Return of Writs on or before Friday 14 November 1997

3 INTRODUCTION This paper contains a summary of the 1997 South Australian election. It contains details of voting for all House of Assembly districts, as well as summaries of voting for the Legislative Council. A summary of the 1994 electoral redistribution is also included to assist in understanding the results. Full details of first preference and two-candidate preferred votes by party are provided for each electorate. Where appropriate, a two-party preferred count is also provided. (See note on twocandidate and two-party preferred vote below). The format for the results is summarized below. : The votes shown for each candidate is the total primary votes received. Percentage votes are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote for each electorate. Swing is calculated by subtracting the percentage vote received by a party at the previous election (adjusted for the new electoral boundaries) from the percentage received at the current election. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the previous election, ghost candidates (indicated by "...") have been included representing candidates not contesting the current election. As a result, all primary swings add to zero, subject to rounding errors. : Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the final distribution of preferences in an electorate. All votes which did not indicate a preference to the two remaining candidates are included in the total listed as Exhausted. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote by the votes remaining in the count. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the adjusted previous election results. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differ from the previous election (eg Davenport), a ghost candidate appears, and three swing figures are shown. A two-party preferred count is also provided in these cases. Two-Candidate versus Two-Party Preferred results To win an electorate, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote after the distribution of preferences. This is carried out by successively excluding the candidate with the lowest primary vote, and distributing those votes as preferences to candidates remaining in the count. At the end of the count, the vote for the two remaining candidates is referred to as the 'two-candidate preferred count'. In most electorates, this will also be the 'two-party preferred' vote, representing the final distribution of preferences between the Labor and Liberal Parties. However, there were 11 electorates at the 1997 South Australian election that did not finish with a two-party preferred count. In Davenport, Finniss, Heysen, Kavel, Schubert and Waite, the two-candidate preferred count was between Liberal and Australian Democrat candidates, in Chaffey and Flinders between Liberal and National Candidates, in Gordon and Mackillop between Liberal and Independent candidates, and in Napier, between Labor and an Australian Democrat candidate. In these electorates, the South Australian State Electoral Office carried out a second distribution of preferences between Labor and Liberal candidates. In these electorates, both two-candidate and twoparty preferred results are provided, while the two-party preferred count is used to analyse swing in the analysis starting on Page 16. By-Elections In re-calculating redistributions, all estimates are based upon results of the previous election. Byelection results have been ignored. Details of by-elections conducted between 1993 and 1997 are provided on page 21. Antony Green ABC Election Unit 1

4 House of Assembly Ticket Votes Unique in Australia, candidates in South Australia register lists of preferences in House of Assembly seats, so called 'ticket' votes. Any ballot paper with a single first preference, which in other jurisdictions would be declared informal or result in 'exhausted' preferences, has its preferences implied according to the tickets lodged by the candidates. If no ticket is lodged, the vote is informal. If more than one ticket is lodged, the total of votes where preferences are implied is divided by the number of tickets. This system produces some small discrepancies between the result of the distribution of preferences for the electorate as a whole, and the booth by booth two-party count carried out under legislation. If a candidate with two registered tickets has an odd number of votes to which preferences are implied, a vote is lost in the count, as it is not possible to count half a vote. At an electorate level, this could only result in the loss of one vote for a candidate. However, in the booth by booth count, votes may be lost at several booths in an electorate, resulting in a slight discrepancy between the booth totals, and the overall election results. Throughout this publication, electorate level distributions of preferences have been used, which may result in some slight discrepancies from certain tables in results published by the South Australian State Electoral Office. Disclaimer All redistribution calculations have been performed by the author, by transferring booths to conform with the new electoral boundaries. All results for the 1996 election are based on the published results of the SA State Electoral Office. However, responsibility for all calculations and omissions is taken by the author. Antony Green ABC Election Unit December Antony Green ABC Election Unit

5 SUMMARY OF 1994 REDISTRIBUTION The following notes summarize the status of the 47 electorates drawn by the 1994 Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission. All estimates of two party preferred margin are provided by the Commission, as unique in Australia, redistributions occur after each election, and must take account of the political impact of the boundaries. As a result, the Commission provides estimates of new two-party preferred margins for all seats. Throughout this publications, the Commission's two-party estimates are used, but the primary vote analysis has been carried out by the author. By-elections have been ignored in the analysis. Summary of Redistribution State of Parties Labor Liberal National Others Total Result of 1993 Election results adjusted to new boundaries Including Torrens by-election Electorates (47) Name New Margin Old Margin Notes Adelaide Lib 14.2 Lib 14.2 Bragg Lib 29.4 Lib 28.8 Bright Lib 18.3 Lib 19.1 Chaffey Lib 29.1 Lib 29.1 Coles Lib 16.0 Lib 16.0 Colton Lib 10.7 Lib 10.6 Davenport Lib 22.3 Lib 22.3 Elder Lib 3.6 Lib 3.5 Elizabeth ALP 2.8 ALP 7.7 Finniss Lib 25.4 Lib 24.5 Fisher Lib 20.8 Lib 20.8 Flinders Lib 30.4 Lib 30.7 Florey Lib 11.0 Lib 10.5 Frome Lib 8.2 Lib 5.8 Giles ALP 4.4 ALP 2.5 MP Frank Blevins retired Gordon Lib 21.6 Lib 22.3 MP Harold Allison retired Goyder Lib 22.6 Lib 23.4 Hammond Lib 25.1 Lib 25.2 New name for Ridley Hanson Lib 1.9 Lib 1.3 Hart ALP 8.8 ALP 8.6 Hartley Lib 12.3 Lib 13.3 Heysen Lib 24.6 Lib 24.6 Kaurna Lib 2.5 Lib 2.9 Kavel Lib 24.1 Lib 24.4 Lee Lib 1.1 Lib 1.2 Light Lib 15.3 Lib 16.5 Mackillop Lib 29.5 Lib 27.8 Mawson Lib 9.3 Lib 9.7 Mitchell Lib 9.5 Lib 9.5 Morphett Lib 22.5 Lib 22.0 Napier ALP 6.5 ALP 1.2 Newland Lib 16.7 Lib 17.5 Norwood Lib 7.5 Lib 7.5 Antony Green ABC Election Unit 3

6 Continuing Electorates (38) Name New Margin Old Margin Notes Peake Lib 5.0 Lib 5.7 MP Heini Becker retired Playford ALP 2.2 ALP 2.8 MP John Quirke retired Price ALP 11.1 ALP 11.1 Ramsay ALP 10.4 ALP 10.0 Reynell Lib 2.6 Lib 1.3 Ross Smith ALP 2.2 ALP 2.2 Schubert Lib 22.5 Lib 24.6 New name for Custance Spence ALP 7.8 ALP 7.8 Stuart Lib 9.0 Lib 6.6 New name for Eyre Taylor ALP 9.5 ALP 8.1 Torrens Lib 6.6 Lib 6.6 Was won by the Labor Party at a 1994 byelection Unley Lib 11.6 Lib 11.6 Waite Lib 24.4 Lib 24.0 MP Stephen Baker retired Wright Lib 3.3 Lib 4.1 CHANGES IN PARLIAMENTARY MEMBERSHIP House of Assembly Electorate Departing MP (Party) Reason New MP (Party) Chaffey Kent Andrew (LIB) Defeated Karlene Maywald (NAT) Elder David Wade (LIB) Defeated Pat Conlon (ALP) Florey Sam Bass (LIB) Defeated Frances Bedford (ALP) Giles Frank Blevins (ALP) Retired Lyn Breuer (ALP) Gordon Harold Allison (LIB) Retired Rory McEwen (IND) Hanson Stewart Leggett (LIB) Defeated Steph Key (ALP) Kaurna Lorraine Rosenberg (LIB) Defeated John Hill (ALP) Lee Joe Rossi (LIB) Defeated Michael Wright (ALP) MacKillop Dale Baker (LIB) Defeated Mitch Williams (ILIB) Mitchell Colin Caudell (LIB) Defeated Kris Hanna (ALP) Norwood John Cummins (LIB) Defeated Vini Ciccarello (ALP) Peake Heini Becker (LIB) Retired Tom Koutsantonis (ALP) Playford John Quirke (AL) Retired Jack Snelling (ALP) Reynell Julie Greig (LIB) Defeated Gay Thompson (ALP) Waite Stephen Baker (LIB) Retired Martin Hamilton-Smith (LIB) Wright Scott Ashenden (LIB) Defeated Jennifer Rankine (ALP) Note: Seats in bold changed party status at the election. Graham Gunn (Eyre to Stuart), Peter Lewis (Ridley to Hammond) and Ivan Venning (Custance to Schubert) were re-elected to electorates that underwent a name change. Torrens had been gained by Labor at a 1994 by-election. Legislative Council Retiring MLCs Peter Dunn (LIB) 2 Ann Levy (ALP) 2 Paolo Nocella (ALP) 1 Bernice Pfitzner (LIB) 1 Footnotes 1 Defeated at election 2 Did not contest election New MLCs John Dawkins (LIB) Ian Gilfillan (DEM) Nick Xenophon (No Pokies) Carmel Zollo (ALP) 4 Antony Green ABC Election Unit

7 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY STATE-WIDE TOTALS ENROLLED Candi- Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Vote Swing Liberal Party (-13) Labor Party (+10) Australian Democrats National Party 4 1 (+1) United Australia Party Independent 19 1 (+1) Independent Liberal 2 1 (+1) Independent Labor Help End Marjuana Prohibition Green Alliance National Action Call to Australia Others Formal Votes Informal Total Votes / Turnout Seats changing hands Labor gains from Liberal (10+1) National gains from Liberal (1) Independent gains from Liberal (2) Elder Florey Hanson Kaurna Lee Mitchell Norwood Peake Reynell Torrens (By-election 7 May 1994) Wright Chaffey Gordon MacKillop (Independent Liberal) Antony Green ABC Election Unit 5

8 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTES BY ELECTORATE Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LIB NAT DEM UAP Other Votes Votes Roll Adelaide Bragg Bright Chaffey Coles Colton Davenport Elder Elizabeth Finniss Fisher Flinders Florey Frome Giles Gordon Goyder Hammond Hanson Hart Hartley Heysen Kaurna Kavel Lee Light MacKillop Mawson Mitchell Morphett Napier Newland Norwood Peake Playford Price Ramsay Reynell Ross Smith Schubert Spence Stuart Taylor Torrens Unley Waite Wright TOTAL Antony Green ABC Election Unit

9 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF PERCENTAGE VOTE BY ELECTORATE Electoral Percentage of First Preference Votes Informal District ALP LIB NAT DEM UAP Other Votes Turnout Adelaide Bragg Bright Chaffey Coles Colton Davenport Elder Elizabeth Finniss Fisher Flinders Florey Frome Giles Gordon Goyder Hammond Hanson Hart Hartley Heysen Kaurna Kavel Lee Light MacKillop Mawson Mitchell Morphett Napier Newland Norwood Peake Playford Price Ramsay Reynell Ross Smith Schubert Spence Stuart Taylor Torrens Unley Waite Wright TOTAL Antony Green ABC Election Unit 7

10 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY ELECTORATE RESULTS Adelaide Roll Moran GRN Armitage * LIB Callaghan ALP Meeuwissen DEM OTH Armitage * LIB Callaghan ALP Formal Informal Total Bragg Roll Ingerson * LIB Dearing DEM Schultz ALP OTH Ingerson * LIB Schultz ALP Formal Informal Total Bright Roll Blinco DEM Williams ALP Matthew * LIB OTH Williams ALP Matthew * LIB Formal Informal Total Chaffey (NAT gain) Roll Maywald NAT Andrew * LIB Subacius ALP Lannstrom DEM OTH Maywald NAT Andrew * LIB Party Preferred Andrew * LIB Subacius ALP Formal Informal Total Coles Roll Lynch IND Hall * LIB Dawe ALP Grear DEM OTH Hall * LIB Dawe ALP Formal Informal Total Colton Roll Condous * LIB Tree DEM Cappella ALP Randall IND CTA Condous * LIB Cappella ALP Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit

11 Davenport Roll King IND Evans * LIB Marshall ILIB Seaman IND Russell DEM Bradbury ALP OTH Evans * LIB Russell DEM Bradbury ALP Party Preferred Evans * LIB Bradbury ALP Formal Informal Total Elder (ALP gain) Roll Low UAP Stokes HEMP Apap IND Hull IND Conlon ALP Wade * LIB Kennedy DEM OTH Conlon ALP Wade * LIB Formal Informal Total Elizabeth Roll Bristow LIB Stevens * ALP Pilling DEM OTH Bristow LIB Stevens * ALP Formal Informal Total Note: See by-elections Page 21. Finniss Roll Brown * LIB Lavers DEM Detchon ALP NAT OTH Brown * LIB Lavers DEM Detchon ALP Party Preferred Brown * LIB Detchon ALP Formal Informal Total Fisher Roll Farrell ALP Jones DEM Such * LIB OTH Farrell ALP Such * LIB Formal Informal Total Flinders Roll Kroezen UAP Penfold * LIB Chrisan ALP Pedler DEM Blacker NAT OTH Penfold * LIB Blacker NAT Party Preferred Penfold * LIB Chrisan ALP Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit 9

12 Florey (ALP gain) Roll Bedford ALP Bartholomew DEM Burns IND Bass * LIB Batten UAP Wohltmann IND OTH Bedford ALP Bass * LIB Formal Informal Total Frome Roll Reseigh DEM Gray UAP McGavisk ALP Kerin * LIB OTH McGavisk ALP Kerin * LIB Formal Informal Total Giles Roll Garrett DEM Stephens LIB Sotos UAP Breuer ALP OTH Stephens LIB Breuer ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Labor MP Frank Blevins retired. Gordon (IND gain) Roll Dixon LIB McEwen IND Godfrey ALP Mill DEM Whelan IND OTH Dixon LIB McEwen IND Godfrey ALP Party Preferred Dixon LIB Godfrey ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Liberal MP Harold Allison retired. Goyder Roll Runeckles NAT Meier * LIB Snewin ALP Kenny DEM OTH Meier * LIB Snewin ALP Formal Informal Total Hammond Roll Young ALP Lewis * LIB Haddy DEM Steinborner UAP OTH Young ALP Lewis * LIB Formal Informal Total Note: New name for the former electorate of Ridley. 10 Antony Green ABC Election Unit

13 Hanson (ALP gain) Roll Le Poidevin IND Wacyk UAP Trainer ILAB Leggett * LIB Key ALP Macaskill DEM Eckermann HEMP OTH Leggett * LIB Key ALP Formal Informal Total Heysen Roll Scrymgour DEM Kenyon ALP Wotton * LIB OTH Scrymgour DEM Kenyon ALP Wotton * LIB Party Preferred Kenyon ALP Wotton * LIB Formal Informal Total Hart Roll Foley * ALP Kealley LIB Fisher DEM OTH Foley * ALP Kealley LIB Formal Informal Total Hartley Roll Kaurna (ALP gain) Roll Krieg HEMP Dorney DEM Hill ALP Rosenberg * LIB Shaw UAP Fraser IND OTH Hill ALP Rosenberg * LIB Formal Informal Total Richards DEM Black ALP Scalzi * LIB OTH Black ALP Scalzi * LIB Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit 11

14 Kavel Roll Olsen * LIB Tucker-Lee DEM Trousse UAP Kieselbach ALP OTH Olsen * LIB Tucker-Lee DEM Kieselbach ALP Party Preferred Olsen * LIB Kieselbach ALP Formal Informal Total Lee (ALP gain) Roll Clements DEM O'Connor IND Meschino IND Rossi * LIB Wright ALP Cotton IND Fonovic UAP OTH Rossi * LIB Wright ALP Formal Informal Total Light Roll Reynolds DEM Gill ALP Buckby * LIB OTH Gill ALP Buckby * LIB Formal Informal Total MacKillop (ILIB gain) Roll Baker * LIB McInnes UAP Cornish CTA Hayes NAT Netherton DEM Williams ILIB Rogers ALP Baker * LIB Williams ILIB Rogers ALP Party Preferred Baker * LIB Rogers ALP Formal Informal Total Mawson Roll McInnes ALP Pratt DEM Brokenshire * LIB OTH McInnes ALP Brokenshire * LIB Formal Informal Total Mitchell (ALP gain) Roll Elsley HEMP Caudell * LIB Hanna ALP Wapnah DEM OTH Caudell * LIB Hanna ALP Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit

15 Morphett Roll Oswald * LIB Carroll DEM Graney ALP OTH Oswald * LIB Graney ALP Formal Informal Total Napier Roll Knott DEM Hurley * ALP Zurawel LIB OTH Knott DEM Hurley * ALP Zurawel LIB Party Preferred Hurley * ALP Zurawel LIB Formal Informal Total Norwood (ALP gain) Roll Duffy UAP Drummond GRN Ciccarello ALP Cummins * LIB Oehme DEM OTH Ciccarello ALP Cummins * LIB Formal Informal Total Peake (ALP gain) Roll Parry LIB Koutsantonis ALP Robertson DEM OTH Parry LIB Koutsantonis ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Liberal MP Heini Becker retired. Playford Roll Newland Roll Regan ALP Kotz * LIB Armstrong-Quince DEM OTH Regan ALP Kotz * LIB Formal Informal Total Carman UAP Panagaris LIB Snelling ALP Cummings DEM OTH Panagaris LIB Snelling ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Labor MP John Quirke retired and was appointed to a Senate vacancy. Antony Green ABC Election Unit 13

16 Price Roll Thomas DEM De Laine * ALP Del Pin LIB OTH De Laine * ALP Del Pin LIB Formal Informal Total Ross Smith Roll Clarke * ALP Shelly UAP Woods DEM McGuire LIB Clarke * ALP McGuire LIB Formal Informal Total Ramsay Roll Newton LIB Michalski NA Schultz UAP Bawden DEM Rann * ALP Newton LIB Rann * ALP Formal Informal Total Reynell (ALP gain) Roll Thomas DEM Crago HEMP Moriarty IND Thompson ALP Greig * LIB OTH Thompson ALP Greig * LIB Formal Informal Total Schubert Roll Kelly DEM Manefield UAP May ALP Venning * LIB OTH Kelly DEM May ALP Venning * LIB Party Preferred May ALP Venning * LIB Formal Informal Total Note: New name for the electorate of Custance. Spence Roll Smith LIB Atkinson * ALP Grimsey DEM OTH Smith LIB Atkinson * ALP Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit

17 Stuart Roll Browne ALP Coulthard IND Gunn * LIB Weetman DEM OTH Browne ALP Gunn * LIB Formal Informal Total Note: New name for the electorate of Eyre. Unley Roll Drohan ALP Thompson DEM Keenan IND Brindal * LIB Parmiter UAP OTH Drohan ALP Brindal * LIB Formal Informal Total Taylor Roll White * ALP Munro DEM Schultz NA Dyki LIB OTH White * ALP Dyki LIB Formal Informal Total Note: See by-elections page 21. Torrens (ALP gain by-election) Roll Harris LIB Geraghty * ALP Hill DEM Lupp UAP OTH Harris LIB Geraghty * ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Swings compared to the 1993 election. Labor had gained Torrens at a 1994 by-election, see page 21 Waite Roll Cochrane ALP Hamilton-Smith LIB Gilbert DEM OTH Cochrane ALP Hamilton-Smith LIB Gilbert DEM Cochrane ALP Hamilton-Smith LIB Formal Informal Total Note: Liberal MP Stephen Baker retired. Wright (ALP gain) Roll Rankine ALP Weston UAP McDonald HEMP Posta DEM Siemers IND Ashenden * LIB OTH Rankine ALP Ashenden * LIB Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit 15

18 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : SUMMARY OF TWO-PARTY RESULTS BY ELECTORATE Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percent District ALP Liberal ALP Liberal Swing Adelaide to Labor Bragg to Labor Bright to Labor Chaffey (*) to Labor Coles to Labor Colton to Labor Davenport (*) to Labor Elder to Labor Elizabeth to Labor Finniss (*) to Labor Fisher to Labor Flinders (*) to Labor Florey to Labor Frome to Labor Giles to Labor Gordon (*) to Labor Goyder to Labor Hammond to Labor Hanson to Labor Hart to Labor Hartley to Labor Heysen (*) to Labor Kaurna to Labor Kavel (*) to Labor Lee to Labor Light to Labor MacKillop (*) to Labor Mawson to Labor Mitchell to Labor Morphett to Labor Napier (*) to Labor Newland to Labor Norwood to Labor Peake to Labor Playford to Labor Price to Labor Ramsay to Labor Reynell to Labor Ross Smith to Labor Schubert (*) to Labor Spence to Labor Stuart to Labor Taylor to Labor Torrens to Labor Unley to Labor Waite (*) to Labor Wright to Labor State-wide Totals to Labor (*) - Based on two-party preferred rather than two-candidate preferred result. 16 Antony Green ABC Election Unit

19 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : ACTUAL TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED RESULTS Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote % Chaffey NAT LIB Davenport LIB DEM Finniss LIB DEM Flinders LIB NAT Gordon IND LIB Heysen LIB DEM Kavel LIB DEM MacKillop ILIB LIB Napier ALP DEM Schubert LIB DEM Waite LIB DEM HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATE RANKED BY TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED VOTE Electorate Margin Electorate Margin Liberal Seats (23) Flinders (*) 28.5 Chaffey (*) (NAT held) 21.0 MacKillop (*) (ILIB held) 20.9 Bragg 18.8 Goyder 17.2 Finniss (*) 15.9 Kavel (*) 15.0 Schubert (*) 14.9 Hammond 14.7 Davenport (*) 13.8 Morphett 13.0 Gordon (*) (IND held) 12.3 Waite (*) 12.2 Heysen (*) 12.1 Fisher 9.8 Newland 8.0 Coles 7.8 Light 6.3 Bright 6.1 Adelaide 5.4 Mawson 4.7 Unley 4.5 Colton 4.0 Frome 2.9 Stuart 1.5 Hartley 0.5 Labor Seats (21) Price 24.4 Spence 23.3 Hart 22.7 Taylor 22.2 Napier (*) 21.1 Ramsay 18.2 Ross Smith 14.8 Elizabeth 14.3 Playford 12.9 Giles 11.4 Torrens 10.1 Lee 7.1 Peake 7.0 Kaurna 5.8 Hanson 5.6 Reynell 3.7 Wright 3.1 Elder 2.6 Florey 1.3 Mitchell 0.9 Norwood 0.8 Others (3) Gordon (IND vlib) 0.1 Chaffey (NAT v LIB) 2.6 MacKillop (ILIB v LIB) 7.9 (*) - Based on two-party preferred rather than two-candidate preferred result. Antony Green ABC Election Unit 17

20 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY SWING TO LABOR Primary 2-Party Primary 2-Party Electorate Swing Swing Electorate Swing Swing Flinders (*) Mawson Frome Goyder Elder Reynell Wright Colton Giles Unley Stuart Hanson Schubert (*) Ramsay Chaffey (*) Lee Kaurna Norwood Davenport (*) MacKillop (*) Adelaide Newland Light Coles Kavel (*) Gordon (*) Morphett Finniss (*) Mitchell Hammond Bragg Playford Fisher Elizabeth Hartley Peake Waite (*) Bright Florey Heysen (*) Ross Smith Taylor Price Hart Napier (*) Spence Torrens (*) - Based on two-party preferred rather than two-candidate preferred result. '+' indicates a swing to the Labor Party, '-' a swing against the Labor Party. Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 1997 election. Torrens had been won by Labor at a 1994 by-election. 18 Antony Green ABC Election Unit

21 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : ELECTORATES RANKED BY PRE-ELECTION MARGIN Primary 2-Party Primary 2-Party Electorate (Margin) Swing Swing Electorate Swing Swing Labor seats Price (11.0%) Ramsay (10.3%) Taylor (9.5%) Hart (8.7%) Spence (7.7%) Napier (6.5%) Giles (4.4%) Elizabeth (2.8%) Ross Smith (2.1%) Playford (2.1%) Liberal Seats Lee (1.0%) Hanson (1.9%) Kaurna (2.4%) Reynell (2.5%) Wright (3.3%) Elder (3.5%) Peake (5.0%) Torrens (6.5%) Norwood (7.4%) Frome (8.2%) Stuart (9.0%) Mawson (9.3%) Mitchell (9.4%) Colton (10.7%) Florey (11.0%) Unley (11.5%) Hartley (12.2%) Adelaide (14.1%) Light (15.2%) Newland (16.7%) Coles (16.9%) Bright (18.3%) Fisher (20.7%) Gordon (21.5%) Davenport (22.2%) Morphett (22.4%) Schubert (22.5%) Goyder (22.5%) Kavel (24.0%) Waite (24.3%) Heysen (24.5%) Hammond (25.1%) Finniss (25.4%) Chaffey (29.0%) Bragg (29.3%) MacKillop (29.4%) Flinders (30.4%) Underlining indicates seats that changed party status. '+' indicates a swing to the Labor Party, '-' a swing to the Liberal Party. The figures for Torrens ignore the 1994 by-election. Antony Green ABC Election Unit 19

22 HOUSE OF ASSEMBLY : TWO-PARTY SUMMARY BY ELECTORATE PARTY STATUS Electoral 2PP Votes 2PP Percentage Category (No. of seats) ALP Liberal ALP Liberal Swing Marginal Labor (4) to Labor Safe Labor (7) to Labor Total Labor (11) to Labor Marginal Liberal (7) to Labor Safe Liberal (8) to Labor Very Safe Liberal (21) to Labor Total Liberal (36) to Labor Note: Electorates classified according to their 2-party preferred margin based on a redistribution of the 1993 results. Torrens has been classified as Safe Labor based on the 1994 by-election result. Seats on margins under 6% are classified as Marginal, on margins of 6-12% as Safe, and above 12% as Very Safe. REGIONAL SUMMARIES (Party winning each electorate shown in brackets. Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 1997 election. Labor gained Torrens at a 1994 by-election.) Country (13) Metropolitan (34) Chaffey (NAT), Finniss (LIB), Flinders (LIB), Frome (LIB), Giles (ALP), Gordon (IND), Goyder (LIB), Kavel (LIB), Light (LIB), MacKillop (ILIB), Hammond (LIB), Schubert (LIB), Stuart (LIB) Adelaide (LIB), Bragg (LIB), Bright (LIB), Coles (LIB), Colton (LIB), Davenport (LIB), Elder (ALP), Elizabeth (ALP), Fisher (LIB), Florey (ALP), Hanson (ALP), Hart (ALP), Hartley (LIB), Heysen (LIB), Kaurna (ALP), Lee (ALP), Mawson (LIB), Mitchell (ALP), Morphett (LIB), Napier (ALP), Newland (LIB), Norwood (ALP), Peake (ALP), Playford (ALP), Price (ALP), Ramsay (ALP), Reynell (ALP), Ross Smith (ALP), Spence (ALP), Taylor (ALP), Torrens (ALP), Unley (LIB), Waite (LIB), Wright (ALP) COUNTRY Enrolled Party Votes % Swing Labor (1) Liberal (9) National (1) Democrat United Australia Others (2) Labor 2PP Liberal 2PP Formal Informal Total Votes METROPOLITAN Enrolled Party Votes % Swing Labor (20) Liberal (14) Democrat United Australia Others Labor 2PP Liberal 2PP Formal Informal Total Votes Antony Green ABC Election Unit

23 BY-ELECTIONS Elizabeth Roll (9 April 1994: Resignation of Martyn Evans) Milne DEM Charles IND Sag HEMP Bell GRY Nicholson LIB Cotton IND Stevens ALP Eversham ILAB Nicholson LIB Stevens ALP Formal Informal Total Note: Evans was elected to the House of Representatives at the Bonython by-election on 19 March 1994) Taylor Roll (5 Nov 1994: Resignation of Lynn Arnold) Gilbey-Riley GRY White ALP Lorenzon LAW Brander Cotton IND DEM LIB Gilbey-Riley GRY White ALP LIB Formal Informal Total Torrens (ALP gain) Roll (7 May 1994: Death of Joe Tiernan) Wilson IND Ernst LIB Payne IND Geraghty ALP Bremert IND Sag HEMP Patrick IND Cotton IND DEM OTH Ernst LIB Geraghty ALP Formal Informal Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit 21

24 LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL STATE-WIDE TOTALS ROLL Seats Change Party Votes % Vote Swing Quotas Won from 89 Liberal Party Labor Party Australian Democrats No Pokies Ind. HEMP Legalise Marijuana The Greens Grey Power United Australia Party National Party Ind. for Australia First Recreation & Fishing Party Over-Taxed Motorist, Drinkers, S Ind. for Voluntary Euthanasia Ind. Ban Duck Shooting National Action Ind. Students against HECS Smokers Rights Natural Law Party Ind. Representing Silent Majority Others Formal Informal Total Votes Party Composition of Council Liberal Labor Democrat No Pokies Total Retiring Members (Elected 1989) Coninuing Members (Elected 1993) New Members (Elected 1997) Old Council New Council Antony Green ABC Election Unit

25 Incidence of Ticket Voting No. % of Party Vote for 1997 Cands. % Vote Ticket Vote 1st Candidate Rest of Group The Greens No Pokies Natural Law Party Grey Power Ind. for Australia First Labor Party Liberal Party National Party United Australia Australian Democrats Ind. Students Against HECS Over-Taxed Motorist, Drinkers, S Smokers Rights Marijuana Party Recreation & Fishing Party National Action Ind. for Voluntary Euthanasia Ind. Representing Silent Majority Ind. Ban Duck Shooting Total Antony Green ABC Election Unit 23

26 LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL: DETAIL OF COUNT (Roll , Quota 74709) Count No. 1 (Total Primary Count) Party / Candidate Votes % Vote Quotas The Greens Ticket Vote Petit, Paul Helling, Rita No Pokies Ticket Vote Xenophon, Nick (Elected 10) Moran, Bob Dean, Patricia Craig, Graham Natural Law Party Ticket Vote Vincent, Lyndal Lorenzon, Heather Chipperfield, Pamela Luckman, Doug Dunning, Sandra Grey Power Ticket Vote Gilbey-Riley, Emily Darbishire, G Independent for Australia First Ticket Vote Preece, Bruce Moore, Evonne Labor Party Ticket Vote *Roberts, Ron (Elected 2) *Weatherill, George (Elected 5) *Cameron, Terry (Elected 7) Zollo, Carmel (Elected 11) *Nocella, Paolo Wall, Cressida Liberal Party Ticket Vote *Lucas, Rob (Elected 1) *Laidlaw, Diana (Elected 4) *Stefani, Julian (Elected 6) Dawkins, John (Elected 8) *Pfitzner, Bernice Voumard, John Harvey, Diana Provatidis, Sophia National Party Ticket Vote Mullan, Terry Jacka, Richard Party / Candidate Votes % Vote Quotas United Australia Ticket Vote Antony Green ABC Election Unit

27 Wayland, Ellis Hudson, Michael Baker, Jeanine Australian Democrats Ticket Vote *Elliott, Mike (Elected 3) Gilfillan, Ian (Elected 9) Mitchell, Matthew Apponyi, Natalija Mann, Susan Independent Students Against HECS Ticket Vote Kitschke, Brad Maher, Kyam Over-Taxed Motorist, Drinkers etc Ticket Vote Dobrowolski, Jenni Simpson, Neill Smokers Rights Ticket Vote McHolme, Brett Robinson, Dennis Ind. HEMP Legalise Marijuana Ticket Vote Danenberg, Jamnes Recreation & Fishing Party Ticket Vote Harris, Val National Action Ticket Vote Brander, Michael Independent for Voluntary Euthanasia Ticket Vote McLaren, Doug W Ind. Representing the Silent Majority Ticket Vote Mobbs, Clive Adrian Ind. Against Cruelty Ban Duck Shooting Ticket Vote Hahnheuser, Ralph Formal Votes Informal Total Votes Antony Green ABC Election Unit 25

28 Counts 2 to 9 filled the first eight vacancies, with the following candidates declared elected and their surpluses distributed. Order Candidate (Party) Order Candidate (Party) Order Candidate (Party) 1 Lucas, Rob (LIB) 2 Roberts, Ron (ALP) 3 Elliott, Mike (DEM) 4 Laidlaw, Diana (LIB) 5 Weatherill, George (ALP) 6 Stefani, Julian (LIB) 7 Cameron, Terry (ALP) 8 Dawkins, John (LIB) During the distribution of surpluses, 140 votes drifted out of the Democrat ticket, 120 from the Labor ticket and 209 from the Liberal ticket. Of these votes, the main beneficeries were No Pokies 83, the Greens 79, HEMP 36 and Grey Power votes were lost by fraction. Counts 10 to 283 excluded 25 candidates, including all but the leading candidate on each ticket. Also excluded at Count was Independent Clive Mobbs, 725 or 83.0% of whose votes were ticket votes with next preference for Independent Hahnheuser, 85.2% of preferences flowing that way as a result. At the end of Count 283, the votes for each candidate (excluding the quotas for the 8 candidates already elected) were as shown below. Most votes for candidates lower on the party tickets drifted to the head of the ticket as preferences. The two exceptions to this were the Democrats, who lost 119 votes between Counts 9 and 283, resulting in Ian Gilfillan still being just short of a quota, and No Pokies, where 304 votes did not flow to Nick Xenophon. All other tickets increased their vote. End of Count 283 Party Candidate Votes Quotas DEM Gilfillan, Ian ALP Zollo, Carmel LIB Pfitzner, Bernice POK Xenophon, Nick HEMP Danenberg, Jamnes GRN Petit, Paul GRY Gilbey-Riley, Emily UAP Wayland, Ellis NAT Mullan, Terry IND Preece, Bruce RFP Harris, Val OTM Dobrowolski, Jenni IND McLaren, Doug W IND Hahnheuser, Ralph NAT Brander, Michael IND Kitschke, Brad SMO McHolme, Brett LAW Vincent, Lyndal As the candidate with the lowest count, Lyndal Vincent (LAW) was excluded at counts This included 1,590 Natural Law Party ticket votes, 91.2% of the votes distributed, with next preference split between Labor and Liberal. These were distributed at Count 284, which also included118 nonticket votes for Vincent. These non-ticket votes were enough to put Ian Gilfillan (DEM) over the quota (ELECTED 9). Counts then distributed 35 votes that Vincent had received as preferences, but with Gilfillan now elected, no more preferences could be distributed to him. With the split preference ticket, 46.4% of preferences flowed to Labor, 46.0% to Liberal, with 7.6% to other candidates. Count 305 then distributed Gilfillan's 5 vote surplus, and following the Democrat preference ticket, 4 votes went to the Greens, and 1 vote was lost by fraction. 26 Antony Green ABC Election Unit

29 End of Count Party Candidate Distributed Votes Quotas DEM Gilfillan, Ian (ELECTED) ALP Zollo, Carmel LIB Pfitzner, Bernice POK Xenophon, Nick GRN Petit, Paul HEMP Danenberg, Jamnes GRY Gilbey-Riley, Emily UAP Wayland, Ellis NAT Mullan, Terry IND Preece, Bruce RFP Harris, Val OTM Dobrowolski, Jenni IND McLaren, Doug W IND Hahnheuser, Ralph NAT Brander, Michael IND Kitschke, Brad SMO McHolme, Brett LAW Vincent, Lyndal Counts distributed the preferences of the next three candidates to be excluded. These candidate, and there preferences were: Brett McHolme (Smokers Rights), including 2,559 ticket votes (95.4%) with next preference for Dobrowoslki (OTM). 97.0% of all preferences flowed to him. (Counts ) Brad Kitschke (Ind. Students Against HECS), including 2,507 ticket votes (83.6%) with next preference for Labor. 85.3% of all preferences flowed to Labor. (Counts ) Brett Brander (National Action), including 3,416 ticket votes (92.4%) with next preference for Dobrowoslki (OTM). 93.3% of all preferences flowed to him. (Counts ) Dobrowolski moved from eleventh to seventh amongst the remaining candidates, passing Harris (RFP), Preece (IND), Mullan (NAT) and Wayland (UAP). End of Count Party Candidate Distributed Votes Quotas ALP Zollo, Carmel LIB Pfitzner, Bernice POK Xenophon, Nick HEMP Danenberg, Jamnes GRN Petit, Paul GRY Gilbey-Riley, Emily OTM Dobrowolski, Jenni UAP Wayland, Ellis NAT Mullan, Terry IND Preece, Bruce RFP Harris, Val IND McLaren, Doug W IND Hahnheuser, Ralph NAT Brander, Michael IND Kitsche, Brad SMO McHolme, Brett Counts distributed the preferences of three more candidates: Ralph Hahnheuser (Ind. Against Cruelty Ban Duck Shooting), including 2,842 ticket votes of Hahnheuser with next preference for the Greens, and 725 ticket votes of Mobbs (Ind) with next preference for McLaren (Ind). Of Hahnheuser's votes, 85.7% were ticket votes, and overall 71.9% of preferences flowed to the Greens, and 21.3% to McLaren. Doug McLaren (Ind. for Voluntary Euthanasia), included 3,850 ticket votes for McLaren with next preference for the Greens, and 725 ticket votes from Mobbs (Ind) received at the previous Antony Green ABC Election Unit 27