Natural increase in Newfoundland and Labrador, 2003 to 2011
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1 Appendix Demographic Data on Newfoundland and Labrador Natural increase in Newfoundland and Labrador, 23 to 211 3/ 4 4/ 5 5/ 6 6/ 7 7/ 8 8/ 9 9/ 1 1/ 11 11/ 12 Births Deaths Natural increase Total Fertility Rate in Canada, 2 to 211 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Yukon Northwest Territories Nunavut Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 32 33
2 migration and In-migration in Newfoundland and Labrador by age, 28 to 211 Age 28/29 29/21 21/ / In to In to In to In to In to In to In In Total in-migration Total out-migration Net migration
3 Immigration in Atlantic Canada, Persons /2 5 25/2 6 26/2 7 27/2 8 28/2 9 29/2 1 21/ /2 12 Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-4, Components of Population Growth (immigration) 741 Provincial Nominee Program Retention Rates by Percentage, 2 to Source: Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Evaluation of the Provincial Nominee Program, September 211. Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 34 35
4 Inter-provincial -migrants (persons who have settled in another province) by Age, Newfoundland and Labrador: 1991, 21, and Persons / /22 211/212 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Inter-provincial migrants, by age group In-migrants (persons who have settled in Newfoundland and Labrador) by Age: 1991, 21, and Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Interprovincial migrants, by age 25 2 Persons / /22 211/212 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-12, Interprovincial migrants, by age
5 Total Census Families by the Presence of Children in Newfoundland and Labrador, 26 and Without children With children Source: Statistics Canada Census. Catalogue Number XCB Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 36 37
6 Total Census families by the Number of Children in Newfoundland and Labrador % 23% 4% 31% Without children 1 child 2 children 3 or more children Source: Statistics Canada Census. Catalogue Number XCB Children and Teenage Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 1971 to 211
7 Children and Teenage Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 1971 to Persons to 4 years to 9 years to 14 years to 19 years Source: Statistics Canada Census. Catalogue Number XCB Youth in Newfoundland and Labrador, 22 to 212 Persons to 14 years 15 to 19 years 2 to 24 years 25 to 29 years 3 to 34 years Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 51-1, Estimates of Population by Age Group Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 38 39
8 Total Fertility Rate, Atlantic Provinces, 27 to Total Fertility Rate Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table , Total Fertility Rates
9 Fertility Rates in Canada, 211 Source: Statistics Canada, Table , Total Fertility Rates Age-specific Fertility Rate in Newfoundland and Labrador, Fertility rate to to to to to to Source: Statistics Canada. Table , Total Fertility Rates Changing Course: A Discussion Paper on Population Growth in Newfoundland and Labrador 4 41
10 Definitions Birth rate The number of children born per 1, inhabitants. Ex-patriate A person who has moved away from their province. Family-friendly policies Public policies that improve the lives of residents and their families. These policies may include: assistance to families through employment supports; efforts to foster welcoming, vibrant, and innovative communities; actions to promote child development; measures to encourage gender equity and diversity in the workplace; supports to the family unit throughout the life course. Fertility rate The average number of children a woman is expected to have during the childbearing years, generally accepted as the years. A fertility rate of 2.1 ensures that the number of children born will be higher than the number of deaths. Immigrant A person who resides in Canada, but was born outside of Canada; excludes temporary foreign workers, Canadian citizens born outside Canada and those with student or working visas. Labour productivity The amount of goods produced by a single worker in a given amount of time. Mean age The sum of ages of all persons, divided by the total number of persons. Also known as average age Median age The age at which the two halves of the population are either older or younger. Natural increase The balance between the number of births and deaths. If there are more births than deaths, there is positive natural increase, whereas if a population has more deaths than births, then there is negative natural increase. Temporary Foreign Worker A foreign worker who is contracted to work for a given employer, in a given position, for a temporary, set period of time. Acronyms PPGS Provincial Population Growth Strategy SLID Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics TFWs Temporary Foreign Workers LMO Labour Market Opinion NLPNP/PNP Newfoundland and Labrador Provincial Nominee Program MCP Medical Care Plan CMA Census Metropolitan Area
11 1. These findings are based on a Provincial Nominee Program retention rate evaluation conducted by Citizenship and Immigration Canada for Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency. Rural Youth Study, Phase II: Rural Youth Migration Exploring the Reality Behind the Myths, Malatest, R & Associates, 22. Retrieved at: 3. Statistics Canada. Rural Youth: Stayers, Leavers, and Return Migrants. Richard Dupuy, Francine Mayer, and Rene Morissette. 2. Retrieved at: 4. Ibid. 5. Conference Board of Canada. Provincial look 213 Long-term Economic Forecast: Economic Performance and Trends, The Statistics Canada definition of immigrant is as follows: Persons residing in Canada who were born outside of Canada, excluding temporary foreign workers, Canadian citizens born outside Canada and those with student or working visas. 7. Statistics Canada. Education Indicators in Canada: An International Perspective, p. 68, Department of Foreign Affairs and International Trade. Economic Impact of International Education in Canada: Final Report, Roslyn Kunin and Associates, July Prior to this change, TFWs could receive up to 15 per cent less in wages than the local workers. 1. Chamie, Joseph. The Choice: More Immigrants or Fewer Citizens, Yale Global Online, 4 March, 213. Retrieved at: content/choice-more-immigrants-or-fewer-citizens 11. Family-friendly policies represent those public policies that improve the lives of residents and their families. These policies may include: assistance to families through employment supports; efforts to foster welcoming, vibrant, and innovative communities; actions to promote child development; measures to encourage gender equity and diversity in the workplace; and, supports to the family unit throughout the life course. 12. United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects, 21. Retrieved at: htm 13. Der Spiegel. Study Shows Germany Wasting Billions on Failed Family Policy, March 213. Retrieved at Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung. (Keine) Lust auf Kinder? Geburtenentwicklung in Deutschland, December, 212. Retrieved at keine_ l ust_auf_kinder_212.pdf;jsessionid=72f51897dc- 26DC551C9564C1836CA.2_cid284? blob=publicationfile&v= Iceland and Ireland lead with marginally higher rates. 16. Lutz, Wolfgang and Vegard Skirbekk. Policies Affecting the Tempo Effect in Low-Fertility Countries. Population and Development Review 31.4 (Dec. 25), pp Mcdonald P. Sustaining Fertility through Public Policy: The Range of Options. Population, 57.3 (22), pp Retrieved at fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/pop_ _22_num_57_3_ Lutz and Skirbekk, Drolet, Beaujot Roderic and Don Kerr. Emerging Youth Transition Patterns in Canada, Investing in Youth: Evidence from Policy, Practice and Research. Policy Research Initiative, Ottawa. 21. Statistics Canada. Population 15 years and over by hours spent looking after children, without pay, by sex, by province and territory (26 Census). 22. McDonald, P. Sustaining Fertility through Public Policy: The Range of Options, pp Ibid. 25. Locke, Wade and Scott Lynch. A Survey of the Attitudes of Employers in Newfoundland and Labrador toward the Recruitment and Employment of New Canadians and International Workers, Harris Centre, Memorial University, 25. Retrieved at: reports/research/26/immigartion_final_report.pdf 25. Office of Immigration and Multiculturalism. 26. Includes Newfoundlanders and Labradorians who have returned to the province.
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