Russia and the Ukraine Affair. Too Few Facts, Too Much Fiction Third Age Learning York Region Aurora Cultural Centre 21 September 2015

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1 Russia and the Ukraine Affair Too Few Facts, Too Much Fiction Third Age Learning York Region Aurora Cultural Centre 21 September 2015

3 POPULATION OF UKRAINE, 2007 CENSUS Total million Ethnic Ukrainian 77% (37 m) Ethnic Russian 17.3 % (8.3 m) (others: Romanian, Moldova, Belarus, Hungarian, Tatar, Jewish, etc.) Languages spoken at home: Ukrainian 67% Russian 30% Donetsk Oblast (No. 1) Luhansk Oblast (No 7) 4.4 million 2.3 million Crimea 2.3 million 58.3% Russian; 24% Ukrainian; 12% Tatar Native Language in Crimea: 77% Russian; 11% Tatar; 10% Ukrainian

4 Native Russian Speakers in Ukraine. Survey conducted by Kyiv-based Razumkov Think Tank, 2011, Kyiv-Post

6 War Dead & Refugees Ukrainians killing Ukrainians DEAD Euromaidan protests (end of Feb 2014) Crimea 6 (end of March 2014) Odessa Trade Union Bldg massacre (2 May 2014) 48 Donbass official 7,000 (end of Aug 2015) 67% civilian Unofficial perhaps 50,000 Missing 2,000 REFUGEES 1.4 million majority to Russia 430,000 official applications for refugee status in RF 122,000 applied for permanent residency by June Tens of thousands unofficial & hope to return to Ukr INJURED many, many more!

7 Ukrainian Presidential Elections st round Viktor Yanukovych % Julia Tymoshenko 25.05% Viktor Yushchenko 5.5% (5 th ) 7 others (turnout 67%) 2 nd round Yanukovych Tymoshenko % invalid 4.45 Against all (turnout 69%)

9 Verkhovna Rada(Parliamentary) Elections seats; 50% party lists/ 50% simple-majority; 5% election threshold Party of Regions- 185 seats (30.4%) (6.1 m) Batkivshchyna (Fatherland)- 101 (25.5%) (5.2 m) UDAR- 40 (14%) (2.8 m) *Svoboda (Freedom)- 37 (10.4%) (2.3 m) Communist- 32 (13.8%) (2.7 m) * racist, xenophobic, anti-semitic PACE, 2012 (no coalition resolution) * neo-nazi World Jewish Congress, 2013

10 The Battle is Joined Economic Choices November 2013 A) EU Association no tariffs on EU goods; tariffs remain on Ukrainian goods; Must reform banking & taxations, set EU standards; no subsidies; market prices on domestic use of gas; end corruption; end free trade with RF B) Customs Union (RF, Kazakhstan, Belarus; Armenia, etc) Broader free trade (already had free trade with RF & CIS) $15 Billion bailout 30% discount on gas price

11 Yanukovych chooses B 31 November ) Demonstrators on Maidan Nezalezhnosti [Independence Square] - seize buildings (eventually 9 govt. bldgs occupied); set up barricades; closed centre of capital city for 2.5 months (!!) 2) 18 Feb 2014 violence killed 3) 21 Feb 2014 TRUCE & DEAL 1) Yanukovych to stay in office; but early election 2) Both sides step back 3) Opposition to form govt of national unity - Brawl in parliament; Euromaidans rejects (cleared out only in September)- Yarosh (Rt. Sek.) called for armed resurrection 4) 22 Feb 2014 Yanukovych flees to Kharkiv

12 Coup d état 23 February 2014 Interim Government 23 February 2014 No Government of National Unity Batkishchyna (Yatsenyuk) *Svoboda Legislation: 1) ban language laws 2) No federalization 3) Join NATO 4) Lustration Law (1 March) 24 February general Uprising in eastern Ukraine (prior to any Russian action in Crimea) *Political arm of Right Sector (Praviy Sektor) & Azov Battalion

13 Crimean Parliamentary Elections % opposed to joining NATO Party of Regions 80 Communist Party 5 Tatar Party 5 Soyuz 3 Russian Unity (Aksyonov) 3 Strong Ukraine 2 Batkivshchyna 0 (2.6%) Svoboda 0 (0.2%) Population of Crimea 2.2 million

14 Separatism is Crimea 1994 Separatist Winning Crimea Presidency The New York Times, 31 January 1994 A separatist candidate who wants Crimea to leave Ukraine and integrate with Russia won more than 70 percent of the vote today in run-off presidential elections,...

15 Crimea annexation or reunification? 1 Post- coup d état 27 Feb RF forces seize Black Sea Naval Base at Sevastopol 1 Mar - Masked troops seize govt buildings in Crimea - Russian flags pop up everywhere in Crimea - Aksyonov named PM - announces referendum - RF takes over Crimea without firing a shot 2 Mar Ukr forces (e.g. Ukr Chief of Navy Staff) in Crimea defect, or turn weapons over to rebels.

16 Crimea annexation or reunification? 2 6 Mar 2014 Crimea parliament secedes from Ukraine (had done so in 1992 & 94, failed) 7 Mar - Sevastopol City Council votes to join Russia 11 Mar Crimea Parliament proclaims official independence from Ukraine (cites Kosovo precedent) 16 Mar Referendum in Crimea: a) join Russia or b) revert to Const. of % turnout; 92% say yes to a [no foreign monitors allowed]

17 The West accuses Russia of meddling BUT 5 Dec 2013 John Baird in Kyiv offering help to EuroMaidans 9 Dec 2013 Joe Biden (Hunter-Burisma) calls Yanukovych, tells him to join EU if he wants US financial aid Dec 2013 McCain in Kyiv offering help to Maidans 10 & 16 Dec 2013 US s Victoria Nuland & EU s Catherine Ashton hand out bread to Maidans in Kyiv & offer support 4 Feb 2014 Nuland telephone recording tells US Amb. Pyatt that US wants Yatsenyuk to take over Ukr Govt - adds Fuck the EU when Pyatt says EU won t like it April 2014 head of CIA Brennan in Kyiv (secretly) 22 April Joe Biden back in Kyiv promises financial aid 5 Feb 2015 Obama boasts on TV that we brokered a transition government in Ukraine oops! 10 Feb 2015 PACE Commissioner admits threatening Ukr in Nov- Dec told - PM Azarov that if he didn t sign the accord with EU then it would be signed by another government.

18 Meddling Anyone? US Assist Sec. of State Victoria Nuland, Tyahnybok (Svoboda), Klitschko (UDAR) Yatsenyuk (Fatherland) 10 December 2013

19 Oleh Tyahnybok, head of Svoboda, a party labelled racist, anti-semitic and xenophobic by European Parliament (2012) & neo-nazi by World Jewish Congress (2013)

20 John McCain in Kyiv with Svoboda leader, 15 December 2013

21 Don t Go Away. Here s Our Guy getting his photo-op, 4 December 2013

22 Foreigners Awarded Ukrainian Citizenship by Petroshenko and named to key government posts Natalie Jaresko, American, Minister of Finance; CEO Horizon Capital; co-founder of Open Ukraine with Yatsenyuk; former US State Dept. official (Dec 2014) Alexander Kvitashvili, Georgian, Minister of Health (degrees from US universities) (Dec 2014) Aivaras Abromavicius, Lithuanian, Minister of Economic Development. Doesn t speak Ukrainian (Dec 2014) Michael Saakashvili, former Pres. of Georgia; heads Ukr s International Council on Reforms (with John McCain); named Gov. of Odessa Region June Wanted in Georgia for crimes Giorgi Lortkipanidze, former head of Georgia s MVD now head of MVD in Odessa Region US to pay staff of Odessa Administration and provide police from California to train Odessa police Saakashvili 5 July 2015

23 Former Georgian President Saakashvili Gets Ukrainian Citizenship; gives up Georgian citizenship

24 Saakashvili & McCain head Poroshenko s International Advisory Committee

25 What our Media wants to Believe 1:Yatsenyuk claims 10,000 Russian regular troops & 30,000 Russian-led terrorists trained by FSB & Russian army in Ukraine, 9 June 2015

26 What our Media wants to believe 2: Poroshenko on Russian Troops in Ukraine, Spring May Por. tells Ukr Security Council 40,000 4 June: Por. tells Ukr Parliament 9, June: Ukr. Defence Minister (Stepan Poltorak) told Ukr-NATO Council 42,500 men and 558 tanks 21 June: Ukr. Field Commander 54, June: Por. tells Corriere della Sera (Rome): Today, on Putin s order, there are 200,000 men and an arsenal of armoured vehicles, sophisticated missile systems and anti-air arms amassed in Ukraine. [i.e. Nearly a quarter of Russia s entire armed force!]

27 What our Press tells us 2a: Poroshenko on Russian troops in Ukraine, August August 2015: Poroshenko tells interview for Libération (Paris), there are 9,000 Russian troops in Ukraine BUT no intelligence service or the OSCE has seen them there has been NO DEMONSTRATED EVIDENCE OF LARGE-SCALE RUSSIAN TROOP PRESENCE IN UKRAINE 25 Aug 2015: Delovaya zhizn reports compensation to families of 2,000 dead or injured Russian troops in eastern Ukraine!!

28 Wild Accusations 2. After a Swiss Red Cross Worker was killed in Donetsk by (illegal) cluster bomb Ukrainian Foreign Ministry: bandits and terrorists, in a barbaric way [did it]... He was killed as a result of shelling by terrorists. Mayor of Donetsk: can they really believe we are shelling ourselves? Human Rights Watch after 2-week investigation: Ukrainian armed forces launched cluster munitions attacks on Donetsk and killed the Red Cross Worker (20 Oct 2014) This NOT reported by our media

29 Wild Accusations 6 Russia a greater threat to USA than ISIL US General Joseph Dunford, new US Joint Chief of Staff: Russia presents the greatest threat to our national security. 9 July 2015 US General Philip Breedlove, NATO Supreme Commander Europe, PBS interview, agrees with Dunford, 30 July 2015 Gen. Ray Odierno, outgoing US Army Chief of staff, Russia is the most dangerous threat to the US, The Hill, 12 August 2015 Ashton Carter, U.S. Defense Secretary, Russia is a very, very significant threat to US, Pentagon News Conference, 20 August 2015

30 Wild Accusations 7 10 August 2015 O. Turchynov, head of Ukrainian Security Council: In the occupied territories [of Donetsk and Luhansk regions] Russian special services are in the process of identifying targets with a high civilian concentration: kindergartens, schools, apartment buildings, infrastructure facilities, etc., scheming the execution of various scenarios of terrorist acts to attack and then blame Kyiv forces of crimes against humanity. [printed in Voice of America, 10 August 2015]

31 (Rtd.) Gen. Scales the only way to turn tide [in Ukr] is start killing Russians... killing so many that Putin s media can t hide the fact..., 10 March 2015

32 Poroshenko There are no Nazis fighting for Ukraine : Azov Battalion s Nazi & neo-nazi symbols. (Nazi) Black Sun (Chorne sontse; Schwarze sonne) is also the name of Azov Battalion s newspaper

33 Azov Battalion

34 Azov Battalion Facebook post, 31 January 2015 Cannonfire blog.com (USA)1 Feb 2015

35 Dmytro Yarosh, head of Right Sector (Praviy Sektor), extreme nationalist party in Ukr. now challenging government in Kyiv

36 Dmytro Yarosh from At the Edge of Two Worlds, 2008 So, what does NATO membership bring for Ukrainians in fact? Right - a new standard of living. Namely: dechristianization of society, full legalization and promotion of sexual perversion, aggressive feminism that will destroy the Ukrainian patriarchal family, pacifism that thrives in NATO countries, turning males into silent cattle and so on. See Ukrainiancrusade.blogspot.com

37 Dmytro Yarosh on Facebook 13 February 2015 * "If the Armed Forces of Ukraine receives an order to withdraw heavy weaponry and artillery [from the front lines] and set the ceasefire regime, the Right Sector Volunteer corps reserves the right to continue military actions in accordance with its own operative plans until complete liberation of Ukrainian territories" * erased from his Facebook the next day

38 Right Sector s Yarosh Red Noticed by Interpol, March Public incitement to terrorist & extremist activities

39 Right Sector (Praviy Sektor). The Honour of the Homeland is Above Life; We Don t Care about the EU

40 Isa Musaev (2 nd from left, btm row), head of Sheik Mansour Battalion, one of 3 Chechen Battalions allied with Right Sector

41 Chechen Dzhokhar Dudaev Battalion fighting vs. Separatists in Lysychansk, Ukr., February; NYT 7 July 2015

42 Chechen Death Battalion fighting for Separatists in Ukraine, Moscow Times, 26 March Kadyrovtsy

43 The Great Wall of Ukraine

44 Wild Accusations 6 Russia a greater threat to USA than ISIL US General Joseph Dunford, new US Joint Chief of Staff: Russia presents the greatest threat to our national security. 9 July 2015 US General Philip Breedlove, NATO Supreme Commander Europe, PBS interview, agrees with Dunford, 30 July 2015 Gen. Ray Odierno, outgoing US Army Chief of staff, Russia is the most dangerous threat to the US, The Hill, 12 August 2015 Ashton Carter, U.S. Defense Secretary, Russia is a very, very significant threat, Pentagon News Conference, 20 August 2015 Russia is biggest threat facing US : US Air Force Secretary Deborah James & US Air Force Gen. Paul Selva (Dunford s No. 2), both in July 2015 REMEMBER WHEN THEY SAID SAME ABOUT IRAQ?

45 Stephen F. Cohen, Prof. Emeritus, Princeton. The Nation 19 August Predicts US-RF War... if Kiev, semi-trained as it may be by American and other Western soldiers, launches an all-out offensive on Donbass, the Kiev army will either be dramatically defeated or destroyed. There won't be any army anymore. It is no match for thirty thousand rebel soldiers who are defending their territory who have at their rear their moms, their pops, their kids, their grannies. They are defending their homeland

PERSONAL INTRODUCTION

Forum: Issue: Student Officer: Position: Legal Committee The Referendum Status of Crimea Leen Al Saadi Chair PERSONAL INTRODUCTION Distinguished delegates, My name is Leen Al Saadi and it is my great pleasure