A GENERATION IN TRANSITION: RELIGION, VALUES AND POLITICS AMONG COLLEGE- AGE MILLENNIALS

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1 A GENERATION IN TRANSITION: RELIGION, VALUES AND POLITICS AMONG COLLEGE- AGE MILLENNIALS Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey Public Religion Research Institute Analysis by Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research

2 A GENERATION IN TRANSITION Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 2

3 Type of College A<ended or A<ending Type of College A<ended or A<ending Among those who have a<ended at least some college 7 3 Public College/University 8 Community College 8 47 Non- Religious Private College/ University Religiously Affiliated College/ University Other/Technical School 26 DK/Refused Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 3

4 RelaHonship with Parents 30% Frequency of Talking With Parents At least once a day Once or twice a week A few Pmes a month Seldom/Never DK/Refused Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 4

5 Comparisons to Parents GeneraHon "In Their Own Words": Millennials Compare their Generation to their Parents Negative Neutral Positive Other KL# II#!M#!"#!B# ='.'(54,.'C5%1?' I# *+(',>'4:1>&H, 4'>>,('>-'9%:84!)# *+(',%'9&,>5??< 6# 7'%%'(, '2895%'23 1.:+(0'23 ;+(24<!"# $%&'( )# E+(>',+::3 0+(',9&544'.C'> 6# F.%1%4'2 "# D5G1'( )# D'>>,('41C1+8>3 0+(54!# A5>%'(,-59'2 6# *+(' )# *+(', +-'./01.2'23 %+4'(5.% 6# ='.'(54,-+>1%1?' B# J.2'-'.2'.%3 1.21?128541>%19 Source: Public Religion Research Institute, Millennial Values Survey, March 12 (N=13) Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 5

6 Religious Switching Religious Change Among Millennials Childhood Religion Entering Group ExiHng Group Current Religion Net Gain/Loss Unaffiliated Catholic White Catholic LaBno Catholic Other Catholic White Mainline Protestant White Evangelical Protestant Black Protestant Other ChrisPan Non- ChrisPan Religions DK/Other Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 6

7 THE 12 ELECTION Likelihood of VoPng in 12 Voter Preference & Excitement Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 7

8 Registered to Vote by Race Are You Registered to Vote? By Race/Ethnicity Yes No DK/Refused All Millennials White Millennials Black Millennials Hispanic Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 8

9 The 12 Vote Barack Obama vs. Republican Candidate Among Millennial Voters Obama 48 Other/DK 11 Romney 14 Paul 12 Santorum 8 Republican Candidate 41 Gingrich 6 Source: Public Religion Research Institute, Millennial Values Survey, March 12 (N=2,013) Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 9

10 Obama vs. Generic Republican Candidate 30% Barack Obama vs. Republican Candidate by Race Barack Obama Republican Candidate Other/DK All Millennial Voters Black Millennial Voters Hispanic Millennial Voters White Millennial Voters Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey

11 Obama vs. Generic Republican Candidate % All Millennial Voters Barack Obama vs. Republican Candidate by Religion 95 Barack Obama Republican Candidate Other/DK 1 4 Black Protestant Voters Unaffiliated Voters Catholic Voters White Mainline Voters White Evangelical Voters Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 11

12 Voter Excitement: Obama vs. Romney 30% Percent Excited to Vote for Obama & Romney Among Candidate Supporters Excited Not Excited Barack Obama Mid Romney Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 12

13 Favorability: Obama vs. Romney View of PoliHcal Leaders and ParHes Among Millennial Voters 0 Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Barack Obama DemocraPc Party Republican Party Mid Romney Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 13

14 ISSUES AND POLICIES Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 14

15 Issue PrioriHes CriHcal Issues Facing the Country CriPcal Issue One among many Not that important Jobs and unemployment Federal deficit EducaPon Growing gap between the rich and poor Environment NaPonal security ImmigraPon AborPon Same- sex marriage Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 15

16 OpHmism About Economic Outlook Be<er Off Than Parents Financially by Race/Ethnicity Beder off About the same Less well off All Millennials Hispanic Millennials Black Millennials White Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 16

17 Equal Opportunity in Society Equal Opportunity by PoliHcal AffiliaHon One of the big problems in this country is that we don t give everyone an equal chance in life It is not really that big a problem if some people have more of a chance in life than others All Millennials DemocraPc Millennials Independent Millennials Republican Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 17

18 Economic Inequality 30% Agree Disagree The economic system in this The government should do more to country unfairly favors the wealthy reduce the gap between the rich and poor Poor people have become too dependent on government assistance programs Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 18

19 Support for the Buffe< Rule 30% The "Buffe< Rule by Party AffiliaHon Increasing the tax rate on Americans earning more than $1 million a year All Millennials Favor Oppose DemocraPc Millennials Independent Millennials Republican Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 19

20 Support for the DREAM Act The DREAM Act by Religious AffiliaHon Allowing illegal immigrants brought to the U.S. as children to gain legal resident status if they join the military or a<end college 71 Favor Oppose All Millennials Unaffiliated Catholic Non- ChrisPan Affiliated Black Protestant White Mainline White Evangelical Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey

21 TRADITIONALISM, SOCIAL ISSUES AND PERSONAL MORALITY Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 21

22 TradiHonalism vs. Change What Makes America Great? It is open to change and new ways of doing things It protects tradiponal values and ways of doing things All Millennials White Evangelical White Mainline Black Protestant Catholic Unaffiliated Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 22

23 Same- Sex Marriage Allowing Gay and Lesbian People to Marry Favor Oppose DK/Refused All Millennials White Evangelical Black Protestant White Mainline Non- ChrisPan Affiliated Catholic Unaffiliated Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 23

24 Pornography 30% Making it More Difficult to Access Pornography on the Internet 70 Favor 65 Oppose All Millennials Millennial Women Millennial Men Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 24

25 Covering ContracepHon Costs Should religiously affiliated colleges and hospitals be required to provide employees with health care plans that cover contracephon at no cost? Yes, should have to provide No, should not have to provide DK/Refused All Millennials All Americans All Seniors (65+) Source: Public Religion Research InsPtute, Millennial Values Survey, March 12 (N=2,013 ); Public Religion Research InsPtute, Religion & PoliPcs Tracking Survey, Feb. 12 (N=1,009) Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 25

26 AborHon 567)!"#$%&'()*+),-*./*0)-()1234$/*0) %*# +*# $%# $!# $*#!*#!"# ""#!&# "%# "'# "%# "(#!%# "*# ()# ("# (*# )*# &*# *#,--#./--011/2-3# 45/6270#89--0:0; <1/6053/7=# <1/6053/7=# 89AA>1/7=# 89--0:0# E033# F0-/:/9>3#89--0:0; <1/6053/7=# Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 26

27 Morality vs. Legality Same- sex Marriage Among those who say sex btw two people of the same gender is wrong Strongly favor Favor Oppose Strongly oppose 4 AborHon should be Among those who say aborbon is wrong Legal in all cases Illegal in most cases 6 Legal in most cases Illegal in all cases Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 27

28 RACIAL AND RELIGIOUS DIVIDES Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 28

29 Reverse DiscriminaHon % DiscriminaHon Against Whites Has Become as Big a Problem as DiscriminaHon Against Blacks and Other MinoriHes 58 Agree Disagree All Millennials White Millennials Hispanic Millennials Black Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 29

30 Government Support for MinoriHes 30% The Government Has Paid Too Much A<enHon to the Problems of Blacks and Other MinoriHes Agree Disagree All Millennials White Millennials Hispanic Millennials Black Millennials Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 30

31 Ambivalence About Present- Day ChrisHanity Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey 31

32 A GENERATION IN TRANSITION: RELIGION, VALUES AND POLITICS AMONG COLLEGE- AGE MILLENNIALS Findings from the 12 Millennial Values Survey Follow us Online: Ø Ø Ø Public Religion Research Institute Analysis by Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research

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