A proven winner in survey research and public opinion polling
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1 A proven winner in survey research and public opinion polling 604 North Third Street, 1 st Floor Harrisburg, PA Phone: (717) Fax: (717) Cell Phone: (717) james@susquehannapolling.com James Lee, President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`3773'B&)*0A-//*-JA0*I)-3/(0A)'A-/_31 )CC(3K)*3')')0-3')**&K&*Q)')K&()J&3L=O\)CC(3K&F=O\,-/)CC(3K&)DD3(,-'J03 (&)*D*&)(C3*-0-D/MD373'=>?=R9BA-DAD32*,1&)L2(0A&(37-'32//-J'L3(.&73D()0-D-'D271&'0/-' :&''/I*K)'-)1&D)2/&a&I/03'&W0)0&K30&(/2/2)**IK30&)L&BC3-'0/73(&.&73D()0-D0A)'0A& ')0-3'1)/&,3'C)/0C(&/-,&'0-)*&*&D0-3'/MS':&''/I*K)'-)95&C21*-D)'/,-/)CC(3K&3LA-/_31QN[>?GR BA-*&.&73D()0/)CC(3K&QON>G?RXS',&C&',&'0/*&)'-'3CC3/-0-3'1I)=]>[P7)(J-'M bi)=n>=[7)(j-'973/0:&''/i*k)'-)'/3cc3/&0a&'&ba&)*0ad)(&(&l3(7*)b9-'d*2,-'j)'&)(g#? 7)(J-'-'T-'0&'/-0IUBA&(&)/[]\T/0(3'J*IU3CC3/&-0QD37C)(&,033'*IG?\BA3T/0(3'J*IUL)K3( -0RM"CC3/-0-3'-'D*2,&/E]\3L5&C21*-D)'/)',=]\3LS',&C&',&'0/9BA-*&O]\3L.&73D()0/L)K3( 0A&'&B*)BM8)DH3L7)_3(-0I/2CC3(0L3(0A&'&B*)B7-((3(/0A&')0-3')*)K&()J&03)*)(J&&c0&'0M
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3 604 N. Third Street Harrisburg, PA Phone: (717) Fax: (717) Cell Phone: (717) James Lee, President Final Top Line Survey Results Susquehanna Polling - Spring 2010 Statewide Poll Sample Size: 700 Registered Likely Voters (With Democrat Primary Voter Oversample, N=400) Conducted: April 7-12, 2010 INTRODUCTION: We are conducting a survey of attitudes and opinions concerning some important issues facing Pennsylvania today. May we have a few minutes of your time to complete the survey? Great, thank you Q1. What is the single most important problem facing Pennsylvania today? That is, the one you would like to see resolved by your state elected officials. (DO NOT READ CHOICES - ONE ANSWER ONLY) 1. Taxes 84 12% 2. Drugs/crime/violence 5 01% 3. Economy/jobs/unemployment % 4. Growth/development/traffic 2 00% 5. Streets/roads/transportation 26 04% 6. Utility rate caps 1 00% 7. Politicians/government 89 13% 8. Environment/Pollution 5 01% 9. Healthcare/prescription drugs 50 07% 10. Medicare/social security 5 01% 11. Education/schools 33 05% 12. Morality/family values 7 01% 13. Immigration/illegal aliens 3 00% 14. Quality of life issues 7 01% 15. Gas/energy prices 3 00% 16. Undecided/none 47 07% 17. Other 33 05%
4 Q2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Barack Obama is doing? 10/09 %Ch 1. Approve % 50% Disapprove % 37% Undecided 64 09% 13% -4 Q3. Do you support or oppose the new healthcare reform law recently enacted by President Obama and the national Democrats in Washington? (TEST INTENSITY) 1. Strongly support % Total Support: 43% 2. Somewhat support % Total Oppose: 48% 3. Strongly oppose % 4. Somewhat oppose 58 08% 5. Undecided 62 09% Q4. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else? 1. Republican % 2. Democrat % 3. Independent/other 63 09% [IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT, ASK Q5; IF NOT SKIP TO Q9] Thinking ahead to the upcoming primary election for United States Senate and governor on Tuesday, May 18 Q5. Would you rank your chances of voting in this election as excellent, good, fair, or poor? [N=637] 1. Excellent % 73% 2. Good % 27% 3. Fair 54 09% Poor 20 03% Undecided 4 01% -- [IF FAIR/POOR, SKIP TO Q9; IF REPUBLICAN SKIP TO Q6, IF DEMOCRAT SKIP TO Q7-Q8]
5 Q6. If the Republican primary election for governor were being held today, would you vote for Tom Corbett or Sam Rohrer (Roar)? (ROTATE NAMES) [N=254] 1. Corbett % 2. Rohrer 17 07% 3. None/other 9 03% 4. Undecided % Q7. If the Democratic primary election for United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for Arlen Specter or Joe Sestak? (ROTATE NAMES) [N=400] 10/09 %Ch 1. Specter % 44% Sestak % 16% None/other 11 03% 18% Undecided % 22% Refuse 5 01% 00% +1 Q8. If the Democratic primary election for governor were being held today, would you vote for Dan Onorato (Honor-otto), Jack Wagner, Joe Hoeffel, or Anthony Williams? (ROTATE NAMES) [N=400] 1. Onorato % 2. Wagner 23 06% 3. Hoeffel 50 13% 4. Williams 17 04% 5. None/other 8 02% 6. Undecided % 7. Refuse 5 01%
6 Q9. Have you recently seen, read, or heard anything on television, the radio, in the newspaper, on the internet, or through any other source about the candidates for governor? (CHECK ALL THAT APPLY) [N=385] 1. TV - news only 68 18% Total Yes: 60% 2. TV - paid advertising % 3. Radio 25 07% 4. Newspaper 72 19% 5. Internet 31 08% 6. Friends/family 4 01% 7. Other 8 02% 8. No % 9. Undecided 3 01% Thinking ahead to the general election in November Q10. If the general election for United States Senate were being held today, would you vote for Pat Toomey, the Republican, or Arlen Specter, the Democrat? (ROTATE NAMES) 3/10 10/09 %Ch 1. Toomey % 42% 41% Specter % 36% 42% None/other 22 03% 04% 04% Undecided 69 10% 18% 12% Refuse 7 01% 00% 00% +1 Now, I have a few more questions for demographic purposes and then we ll be through Q11. What is your approximate age according to the following brackets: 18-29, 30-44, or 60 and over? % 04% % 12% % 46% % 36% 5. Refuse 18 03% 02% THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THE SURVEY. HAVE A GOOD DAY. Gender: 1. Male % 46% 2. Female % 54%
7 Area: 34 (05%) 1. Northwest [Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Venango, Warren, 04% Forest] 85 (12%) 2. Southwest [Lawrence, Beaver, Washington, Greene, 15% Fayette, Westmoreland, Indiana, Armstrong, Butler] 97 (14%) 3. The T /Central [Jefferson, Elk, McKean, Cameron, Clarion, 10% Clearfield, Centre, Cambria, Somerset, Bedford, Fulton, Franklin, Huntingdon, Blair, Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Wyoming, Sullivan, Lycoming, Clinton, Union, Snyder, Northumberland, Montour, Columbia, Mifflin, Juniata] 91 (13%) 4. Northeast/Lehigh Valley [Luzerne, Carbon, Monroe, 13% Schuylkill, Lackawanna, Lehigh, Northampton, Pike, Wayne] 113 (16%) 5. South Central [Perry, Cumberland, Adams, York, 09% Lancaster, Lebanon, Dauphin, Berks] 138 (20%) 6. Southeast [Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks] 18% 79 (11%) 7. Allegheny County 14% 64 (09%) 8. Philadelphia 17% Times voted last four general elections: 1X 68 10% 12% 2X % 26% 3X % 29% 4X % 33% The margin of error for a sample size of 700 is +/-3.70% The margin of error for a sample size of 400 Democrats is +/-4.90% The margin of error for a sample size of 254 Republicans is +/-6.15% Susquehanna Polling and Research is a leading survey research and political polling firm for both candidates for public office (Republican only) and corporate clients mainly in PA, DE, NY, NJ, MD and FL.
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