Statewide General Benchmark August

Transcription

1 Performed by Commonwealth Leaders Fund The PA Statewide Benchmark Survey was conducted by IVR Interviews from August 13 - August 15 among a random sample of 2012 likely voters. The poll has a margin error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points. Results are weighted. Some percentages in crosstab reports for this poll may not add to 100% due to rounding.

2 Q1. Voter Likelihood: Thinking ahead, what is the likelihood that you will vote in the November 2018 General Election for Governor, United States Senator, Congress and other state legislative offices in Pennsylvania? Extremely Likely Very Likely Somewhat Likely Extremely Likely 1, % Very Likely % Somewhat Likely % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

3 Q2. Age: Which of the following is your age range? Statewide General Benchmark August % % % % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

4 Q3. Gender: Are you male or are you female? Statewide General Benchmark August Male Female Male % Female 1, % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

5 Q4. Party: With which political party are you registered? Democrat Republican Independent Other Democrat % Republican % Independent 161 8% Other 40 2% Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

6 Q5. Voter Enthusiasm: Please tell us how enthusiastic you are in voting in the upcoming 2018 General Election for Governor, US Senator and other state legislative offices? Very Enthusiastic Somewhat Enthusiastic Not Very Enthusiastic Unenthusiastic Do Not Know Very Enthusiastic 1, % Somewhat Enthusiastic % Not Very Enthusiastic % Unenthusiastic % Do Not Know % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

7 Q6. PA Direction: Generally speaking, would you say that Pennsylvania is headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track? Right Direction Off Track Right Direction % Off Track 1, % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

8 Q7. Trump Approval: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve % Somewhat Approve % Somewhat Disapprove % Strongly Disapprove % Not Sure % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

9 Q8. Wolf Approval: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Wolf is handling his job as Governor? Strongly Approve Somewhat Appove Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve % Somewhat Appove % Somewhat Disapprove % Strongly Disapprove % Not Sure % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

10 Q9. Governor Ballot: If the General Election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Democrat Tom Wolf or Republican Scott Wagner? Tom Wolf Scott Wagner Other Candidate Undecided Tom Wolf % Scott Wagner % Other Candidate % Undecided % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

11 Q10. US Senate Ballot: If the General Election for United State Senate were held today, would you vote for Democrat Bob Casey or Republican Lou Barletta? Bob Casey Lou Barletta Other Candidate Undecided Bob Casey % Lou Barletta % Other Candidate % Undecided % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

12 Q11. Wolf Opinion: For Tom Wolf: Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Not Formed Opinion Never Heard Of Very Favorable % Somewhat Favorable % Somewhat Unfavorable % Very Unfavorable % Not Formed Opinion % Never Heard Of % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

13 Q12. Wagner Opinion: For Scott Wagner: Statewide General Benchmark August Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Not Formed Opinion Never Heard Of Very Favorable % Somewhat Favorable % Somewhat Unfavorable % Very Unfavorable % Not Formed Opinion % Never Heard Of % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

14 Q13. Issue: Which of the following issues is most important to you when deciding on whom to vote for as your next Governor in Harrisburg? Taxes and Govt Spending Jobs and the Economy Education Healthcare Infrastructure and Transportation Reforming State Govt Open Space and Enviornment Crime and Safety Social Issues Taxes and Govt Spending % Jobs and the Economy % Education % Healthcare % Infrastructure and Transportation % Reforming State Govt % Open Space and Enviornment % Crime and Safety % Social Issues % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

15 Q14. Race: What is your race? White Not Hispanic Black Not Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Other White Not Hispanic 1, % Black Not Hispanic % Hispanic % Asian or Pacific Islander % Other % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

16 Q15. Political Philosophy: Regarding your political philosophy and positions, do you consider yourself to be Very Conservative, Somewhat Conservative, Moderate, Somewhat Liberal or Very Liberal? Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Very Conservative % Somewhat Conservative % Moderate % Somewhat Liberal % Very Liberal % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

17 Q16. Marital Status Which of the following choices describes your current marital status? Single Never Married Married Separated Divorced Widowed Single Never Married % Married 1, % Separated % Divorced % Widowed % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

18 Q17. Education: What is your highest level of education? Statewide General Benchmark August Some High School High School Graduate Technical or Vocational School College Graduate Post Graduate or Professional Some High School % High School Graduate % Technical or Vocational School % College Graduate % Post Graduate or Professional % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

19 Q18. Geography: From file. South Central SEPA Lehigh Valley Northeast Heartland Southwest Northwest South Central % SEPA % Lehigh Valley % Northeast % Heartland % Southwest % Northwest % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19

20 Q19. Vote History: From File. 2 of 4 3 of 4 4 of 4 2 of % 3 of % 4 of 4 1, % Statewide General Benchmark August of 19