A dictatorship would be a heck of a lot easier, there's no question about it. George W. Bush

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1 Dictatorships in the 21 st Century POLI 391 Gambrell Hall Room 005 University Of South Carolina Spring 2015 MW 8:05 9:20AM Dictatorship naturally arises out of democracy, and the most aggravated form of tyranny and slavery out of the most extreme liberty. - Plato A dictatorship would be a heck of a lot easier, there's no question about it. George W. Bush One does not establish a dictatorship in order to safeguard a revolution; one makes a revolution in order to establish a dictatorship. George Orwell Instructor: Clay R. Fuller Instructor Website: Office: Gambrell Hall fullercr@ .sc.edu Phone: Office Hours: By appointment, virtual office hours, MW 9:30am 10:30am Course Description: Authoritarianism, neo-authoritarianism, dictatorship, monarchy, autocracy, totalitarianism, single-party regime, military junta, and the all-encompassing non-democracy are merely a few of the many names given to world s oldest and most common form of government. In 2014 Freedom House reported that 55% of the world s countries and 60% of the world s population are not fully free. This class will explain and explore what these data and terminology mean, the methodologies used to generate these stats, and the major theoretical explanations for the continued survival of non-democracies and their leaders (among other things such as the role of dictatorships in popular culture). This class combines the traditionally domestic and/or area focus of comparative politics with the global and/or interstate levels of analysis associated with international relations. Required Texts: Ezrow, Natasha M. & Erica Frantz Dictators and Dictatorships: Understanding Authoritarian Regimes and Their Leaders. London: Bloomsbury. Dobson, William J The Dictator s Learning Curve: Inside the Global Battle for Democracy. New York: Anchor Books. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce & Alastair Smith The Dictator s Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics. New York: Public Affairs. Articles and book chapters from textbooks and journals will be posted for download in Blackboard (BB) and are listed in the schedule. Recommended Texts: Newell, Waller R Tyranny: A New Interpretation. Cambridge University Press. Gandhi, Jennifer Political Institutions Under Dictatorship. Cambridge University Press. Levitsky, Steven & Lucan A. Way Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes After the Cold War. Cambridge University Press. Svolik, Milan The Politics of Authoritarian Rule. Cambridge University Press. Wintrobe, Ronald The Political Economy of Dictatorship. Cambridge University Press. Olson, Mancur Power and Prosperity. New York: Basic Books. 1

2 Learning Outcomes and Objectives: After successful completion of this course, students should have A working knowledge of several contemporary comparative theories of dictatorships Be able to coherently speak and write about non-democratic governance in the 21 st Century Be able to empirically distinguish the differences between a democracy and a non-democracy Have specific knowledge of several modern dictatorships and their institutional makeups Identify the strengths and weaknesses of several different styles of non-democratic governance Understand how domestic level institutions affect international outcomes Assignments: A final exam, three in-class exams, and three analyst papers. Final Exam: Content to be determined. The Final Exam will be given on Friday May 1 st at 9:00AM in GAMB 005. Exams: There will be three (3) exams. You will need to bring a blue book to class for each exam. One will not be provided for you. The exams will consist of maps, definitions, and short answers. Exam 1 = countries #1-30, 2 = #31-60, 3 = #61-90 (list at end of syllabus). Analyst Papers: Detailed instructions handed out and posted on BB. Pick a country from exam period, write a brief (no more than 2 pages single-spaced) analysis of a specific question pertaining to your country and use theory and research to give a well-reasoned prediction of what the answer will be five-ten years out. Participation and Attendance: 1. ABSENCES: The University allows three absences per student without penalty. Attendance will begin on January 20 th, the next class period after the last day to add/drop. There are no excused absences, so make sure that if you miss, you HAD to miss. Extenuating circumstances will be dealt with individually if necessary. Each absence after three (3) absences will result in a letter-grade deduction from your final grade total. 2. READINGS: Every student is expected to do the readings for each class period. Some of the readings will be posted to Blackboard in pdf form. Most will be in your required textbooks. A BB next to them in the class schedule denotes readings posted on Blackboard. Grades: Each grade is worth 25% of your final grade. Exam pts. Exam pts. Exam pts. Analyst Report pts. Analyst Report pts. Analyst Report pts. Final Exam..100pts. TOTAL...700pts. ***Take your total points and divide it by seven. This number will determine your final grade. 90+ = A = B = B = C = C = D Below 60 = 2

3 Expectations: G.I.G.O. = garbage in, garbage out. In this course you will get out of it what you put into it. I cannot make you want to learn and I cannot read your mind. Make a genuine effort, do the work, ask questions, and participate and you will learn a lot. If you just show up, don t do the readings, surf the internet, and do the bare minimum, well, it will be like teaching pigs to fly it will just waste the teacher s time and annoy the pigs. If you are able to, I would suggest keeping up with a current blog relevant to this class. Two good ones for this class are the Foreign Policy Magazine Democracy Lab and the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict Late Assignments: I do not accept late assignments. Special circumstances will be dealt with individually are left to the instructor s discretion. Academic Integrity: The University of South Carolina has clearly articulated its policies governing academic integrity and students are encouraged to carefully review the policy on the Honor Code in the Carolina Community. Any deviation from these expectations will result in academic penalties as well as disciplinary action. The only area of risk for inadvertent or purposeful academic dishonesty is plagiarism in your individual papers. Plagiarism includes, but is not limited to, paraphrasing or direct quotation of the published or unpublished work of another person without full and clear acknowledgement. Accommodating Disabilities: Reasonable accommodations are available for students with a documented disability. If you have a disability and may need accommodations to fully participate in this class, contact the Office of Student Disability Services: , TDD , sasds@mailbox.sc.edu, or stop by LeConte College Room 112A. All accommodations must be approved through the Office of Student Disability Services. Classroom Behavior: Computers are fine, but NO CELLPHONES. The first time I see you on a phone I will stop class and ask you to share with us. The second time and any time after that I may ask you to leave. If you are doing anything disruptive during class defined as anything that I notice other people noticing you do that is voluntary and not class related (such as texting, watching videos, etc.), you should expect to be called upon and asked to share with the rest of the class what you thought was more important than class. If it continues you may be asked to leave. If you know in advance that you must leave early or be late to class, you should let me know in advance. Communication: You are expected to maintain and check your university issued regularly. me. I am very willing to help with any questions. If I do not respond within 48 hours to an , that means I did not receive it. Format your s properly and respectfully. s that resemble text messages, have no subject line, no greeting, no signature, or are disrespectful in tone will be deleted immediately with no response. Blackboard: I will use BB to post readings, post grades, send s, check for plagiarism (safe assign), and use message boards. Extra Credit: There is no such thing as extra credit, but it may happen. 3

4 Schedule, Topics and Assignments: REQUIRED READING: this means you are required to read it before class RECOMMENDED READING: these are not required, but they are suggested DD = Dictators and Dictatorships by Ezrow and Frantz BB = Posted on BlackBoard Class 1. January 12 (M): Introduction: Go over syllabus, class structure, rules, learning outcomes, assignments, expectations, etc. Start typologies. Make predictions for College Championship game. EXTRA CREDIT: Watch Movie, make posts to discussion board due by Wednesday 1/21. Class 2. January 14 (W): What is a dictatorship?: Measurement and Typologies, choose your dictatorship Required Reading: DD Introduction (pp. xii-xviii) and DD Chapter 1 (pp.1-24) Recommended Reading: CGG Ch. 2 pp (including Box 2.1)(BB) Websites: Visit the POLITY IV project website and look around. Visit the Freedom House website and look around. NO CLASS. January 19 (M): MLK Day NO CLASS Class 3. January 21 (W): Typologies cont. Required Reading: DD Chapter 1; Geddes (1999)(BB) Recommended Reading: CGG Ch. 2 pp (including Box 2.2)(BB) Class 4. January 26 (M): Competitive Authoritarianism Required Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010) Chapter 1-2 (BB) Recommended Reading: Mancur Olson, Logic of Collective Action pp (BB); CCG Chapter 8 pp (BB) Collier, David & Steven Levitsky Democracy with Adjectives: Conceptual Innovation in Comparative Research World Politics. (BB) Class 5. January 28 (W): Causes of Dictatorship Required Reading: DD Chapter 2 (pp ) Recommended Reading: CGG Ch. 3 pp (BB) Class 6. February 2 (M): Regime Survival Strategies Required Reading: DD Chapter 3 (pp ) Recommended Readings: CGG Ch. 5 pp (BB) Class 7. February 4 (W): Leader Survival Strategies Required Reading: DD Chapter 4 (pp ) Recommended Readings: Dictator s Handbook, Introduction pp. xi xxv (BB). 4

5 Class 8. February 9 (M): Dictator s Handbook Required Reading: BdM Chapters 1-3 Recommended Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010), Chapter 7, pp CGG Ch. 10 pp Class 9. February 11 (W): Dictators 1-30 Recommended Reading: Gandhi (2008) pp Class 10. February 16 (M): EXAM 1 DAY In-class: EXAM 1 Class 11. February 18 (W): Dictatorships and Political Gridlock Required Reading: DD Chapter 6 (pp ) Class 12. February 23 (M): Legislatures in Dictatorships ; Analyst Paper 1 Due Required Reading: Gandhi (2008) Chapter 1 (BB) Wright, Joseph Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? (BB) Class 13. February 25 (W): Dictatorships and the Economy Required Reading: DD Chapter 7 (pp ) Recommended Reading: The Dictator s Handbook, Chapter 3, Staying in Power pp (BB). Class 14. March 2 (M): Dictatorships and the Economy Required Reading: DD Chapter 7 (pp ) & Olson, Mancur Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development The American Political Science Review. 87 (3): (BB) Class 15. March 4 (W): Movie Bringing Down a Dictator NO CLASSES March 9 13 NO CLASS SPRING BREAK Class 16. March 16 (M): Power Sharing in Dictatorships Required Reading: Svolik (2009), Svolik & Boix (2013) (BB) Class 17. March 18 (W): Dictators Recommended Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010), Chapter 2, pp Class 18. March 23 (M): Exam 2 Day In-class: Exam 2 5

6 Class 19. March 25 (W): The Strategic Perspective In-class: lecture Required Reading: Principles of International Politics, BDM 4 th Edition, Chapter 1 The Strategic Perspective pp (BB) Class 20. March 30 (M): Non-Democracy and Foreign Aid In-class: lecture; Analyst Paper 2 Due Required Reading: Principles of International Politics, BdM 4 th Edition, Chapter 9 What is the Problem with Foreign Aid? pp (BB) Suggested Reading: Wright, Joseph How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes American Journal of Political Science, 53 (3): Bueno de Mesquita A Political Economy of Aid International Organization. 63: Class 21. April 1 (W): Non-democracy and Oil In-class: lecture Required Reading: Haber, Stephen & Victor Menaldo Do Natural Resources Fuel Authoritarianism?; A Reappraisal of the Resource Curse. American Political Science Review. 105(1):1-25.(BB) Class 22. April 6 (M): Dictatorships and International Conflict Required Reading: DD Chapter 8 (pp ); Principles of International Politics, BdM 4 th Edition, Chapter 6 Domestic Origins of Foreign Policy: Exploring the Democratic Peace. (BB) Recommended Reading: Gandhi (2008) pp Wright, Joseph Do Authoritarian Institutions Constrain? (BB) Class 23. April 8 (W): Movie - Swaziland In-class: lecture Recommended Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010), Chapter 3, pp Class 24. April 13 (M): Dictators in Popular Culture Recommended Reading: Levitsky & Way (2010), Chapter 4, pp Class 25. April 15 (W): Dictators Recommended Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010), Chapter 5, pp Olson (2000), Chapter 1 (pp.1-25) Class 26. April 20 (M): Exam 3 Day In-class: Exam 3 6

7 Class 27. April 22 (W): Learning Curve Required Reading: Dobson Chapters 1-3 (pp ) Recommended Reading: Levitsky and Way (2010), Chapter 6, pp Class 28. April 27 (M): The Dictator s Learning Curve ; Analyst Paper 3 Due Required Reading: Dobson Chapters 7-8 (pp ). Recommended Reading: Levitsky & Way (2010), Chapter 4, pp Friday, May 1 9:00AM : FINAL EXAM DAY List of contemporary Non-Democracies: 1-48 = Not Free and = Partly Free 1. Afghanistan 2. Algeria 3. Angola 4. Azerbaijan 5. Bahrain 6. Belarus 7. Brunei 8. Burma 9. Cambodia 10. Cameroon 11. Cent. Af. Rep. 12. Chad 13. China 14. Congo (Brazzaville) 15. Congo (Kinshasa) 16. Cuba 17. Djibouti 18. Egypt 19. Equatorial Guinea 20. Eritrea 21. Ethiopia 22. Gabon 23. The Gambia 24. Guinea-Bissau 25. Iran 26. Iraq 27. Jordan 28. Kazakhstan 29. Laos 30. Mauritania 31. North Korea 32. Oman 33. Qatar 34. Russia 35. Rwanda 36. Saudi Arabia 37. Somalia 38. Sudan 39. South Sudan 40. Swaziland 41. Syria 42. Tajikistan 43. Turkmenistan 44. United Arab Emirates 45. Uzbekistan 46. Vietnam 47. Yemen 48. Zimbabwe 49. Pakistan 50. Kyrgyzstan 51. Libya 52. Lebanon 53. Morocco 54. Papua New Guinea 55. Nepal 56. Indonesia 57. Malaysia 58. Philippines 59. Bolivia 60. Venezuela 61. Turkey 62. Niger 63. Ukraine 64. Georgia 65. Armenia 66. Uganda 67. Kenya 68. Burundi 69. Madagascar 70. Sri Lanka 71. Paraguay 72. Bolivia 73. Columbia 74. Ecuador 75. Nicaragua 76. Guatemala 77. Mexico 78. Haiti 79. Sierra Leone 80. Cote d Ivoire 81. Togo 82. Nigeria 83. Niger 84. Mali 85. Burkina Faso 86. Liberia 87. Mali 88. Tunisia 89. Zambia 90. Thailand 7