General Election 2015

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1 General Election 2015 Voter Registration, Campaigns, and Turnout Alex Jones, NUS

2 674 days until general election 2015

3 Challenges Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

4 Responses Activities Intermediate outcomes Long-term aims Impact

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6 Challenges Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

7 Electoral Landscape Electoral Landscape

8 Road to General Election 2015

9 UK Local Elections (May 2014) European Elections (22 May 2014) Scotland Referendum (September 2014) UK General Election (7 May 2015)

10 Following the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 the date of the next general election has been set at the 7 May The Act provides for general elections to be held on the first Thursday in May every five years.

11 Two exceptions A motion of no confidence is passed in the Government by a simple majority and 14 days elapses without the House passing a confidence motion in any new Government formed A motion for a general election is agreed by two thirds of the total number of seats in the Commons including vacant seats (currently 434 out of 650)

12

13 Writs will be issued for elections in the UK's 650 constituencies. Dissolution Parliament is due to dissolve on Monday 13 April A proclamation will be made announcing when Parliament will meet after the general election and setting the date of the Queen's Speech at State Opening. The election looks set to be contested on existing boundaries following conflict in the Coalition over the boundary review which would have reduced the number of constituencies.

14 Voter Registration Deadline Cut-off date for UK citizens aged 18 and over to register to vote in the general election. Also marks the deadline for voters to apply for a postal or a proxy vote.

15 Individual Electoral Registration. polls close.

16 Polling Day Polling day will be Thursday 7 May Polling booths open between 7am and 10pm. Counting of votes will begin when polling stations close. polls close.

17 Electoral Landscape

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19 Electoral Landscape

20 Electoral Landscape

21 Largest Students (Population) 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Sheffield Central Manchester Central Nottingham South Liverpool, Riverside Oxford East Leeds Central Cambridge Bristol West Newcastle upon Tyne East Cardiff Central Leicester South Holborn and St Pancras Manchester, Gorton East Ham Birmingham, Ladywood West Ham Portsmouth South Canterbury Coventry South Leeds North West 0

22 Largest Students (Percentage) Sheffield Central Cardiff Central Nottingham South Liverpool, Riverside Newcastle upon Tyne East Manchester Central Leeds North West Cambridge Oxford East Bristol West Manchester, Gorton Leeds Central Swansea West Portsmouth South Leicester South Coventry South Canterbury Bath Birmingham, Ladywood Birmingham, Selly Oak

23 Highest Qualification Level 4 Brentford and Isleworth Oxford West and Abingdon Finchley and Golders Bermondsey and Old Streatham Westminster North Twickenham Bristol West Islington North Vauxhall Hornsey and Wood Green Kensington Wimbledon Chelsea and Fulham Battersea

24 Highest Qualification Level 4 Mole Valley Henley Kenilworth and Southam Reading East Chipping Barnet Oxford East Greenwich and Woolwich Kingston and Surbiton Hove Maidenhead Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner Wokingham Bath Altrincham and Sale West Chesham and Amersham South West Surrey Leeds North East South Cambridgeshire Guildford Winchester Esher and Walton Hitchin and Harpenden Brighton, Pavilion St Albans Oxford West and Abingdon Sheffield, Hallam Manchester, Withington Twickenham Bristol West Cambridge

25 Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

26 Public Opinion

27 YouGov / The Sun Survey Results Fieldwork: June 2013

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36 YouGov / The Sun Survey Results Fieldwork: June Con 14 Lab UKIP Lib Dem Other 39

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38 Foregone conclusion?

39 1. It s the economy, stupid and Labour are struggling

40 2. It s the economy, stupid and Labour are struggling

41 3. Leader Ratings (Negative)

42 Cameron

43 Miliband

44 Clegg

45 4. Preferred Outcome

46 5. History

47 Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

48 Student Vote

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53 Lenar Gilmullin

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60 Overal Turnout Student Turnout

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64 Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

65 Policy Context

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69 Fabian Society/YouGov (July 2012)

70 Fabian Society/YouGov (July 2012)

71 The UK government considers the interests of future generations Far too little Too little The right amount Too much Far too much

72 The UK government considers the interests of future generations Too Little Too Much

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75 Work Education Community New Deal for the Next Generation

76 Electoral Landscape Public Opinion Policy Context Student Vote

77 General Election (674 days) Year 1: Organising Year 2: Mobilising

78 So, what are we doing? Surveying the Landscape Building External Partnerships Encouraging Student Participation Developing Campaign Themes

79 Surveying the Landscape

80 Building Partnerships

81 Developing Campaign Themes Education Education Passport Student Support Guarantee Work Good Opportunities, Good Deeds Good Jobs, Good Wages Community Active Student Citizens Student Power in Communities

82 Encouraging Student Participation I am the Change Community Organising We Are the Change Activism

83 So, what are we doing? Surveying the Landscape Building External Partnerships Encouraging Student Participation Developing Campaign Themes

84

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