NEXUS GOVERNANCE IN A MULTI-POLAR WORLD. Michele Ferenz, EastWest Institute
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2 NEXUS GOVERNANCE IN A MULTI-POLAR WORLD Michele Ferenz, EastWest Institute
3 A Changing Geopolitical Landscape
4 SHIFT IN SHARE OF GLOBAL GROWTH Share of global GDP growth (forecast) Source: IMF
5 WHO HOLDS THE MONEY TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE? Total ODA is only $125.6 bn Source: IMF, OECD, Bain, 2012
6 SHIFT FROM WEST TO EAST ALSO IN FINANCE By 2020, developing countries will account for 25% of global financial capital
7 Instability Source: Foreign Policy / Fund for Peace 2013 Failed States Index
8 CHALLENGE TO POST-1945 INSTITUTIONS Source: Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs
9 The Battle Over Institutional Reform Currently, the EU, U.S. and Japan hold 55% of votes Lagarde: Quota reforms need the support of all our member countries, including the U.S. Source: IMF
10 THE GROWTH OF REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Europe European Union (EU) Western European Union Council of Europe (CoE) European Free Trade Association (EFTA) European Patent Organisation (EPO) European Science Foundation Group of 9 (G9) International Commission on Civil Status (ICCS) Central Commission for Navigation on the Rhine (CCNR) Council of the Baltic Sea States (CBSS) Assembly of European Regions (AER) Eiroforum CERN European Fusion Development Agreement (EFDA JET) European Molecular Biology Laboratory (EMBL) European Space Agency (ESA) European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) European Southern Observatory (ESO) European Synchrotron Radiation Facility (ESRF) European x-ray free electron laser (European XFEL) Institut Laue Langevin (ILL) European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation (EUROCONTROL) Baltic Marine Environment Protection Commission Belgium Luxembourg Economic Union British Irish Council Nordic Council Nordic Investment Bank Northern Dimension Partnership in Public Health and Social Well-being (NDPHS) Organisation for Joint Armament Cooperation(OCCAR) Agency for International Trade Information and Cooperation (AITIC) Visegrád Group (V4) EUREKA European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) Community for Democracy and Rights of Nations (Commonwealth of Unrecognized States) Asia Asia Cooperation Dialogue (ACD) Asian Development Bank (ADB) East Asia Summit (EAS) Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Africa South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) African Union Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf Conseil de l'entente Colombo Plan Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Southeast Asian Ministers of Education Organization East African Community (EAC) (SEAMEO) West African Economic and Monetary Union (UEMOA) Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Southern African Development Community (SADC) Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Mekong Ganga Cooperation (MGC) Arab Maghreb Union Mekong River Commission (MRC) Transcontinental Eurasia Central Asian Cooperation Organization Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) Eurasian Economic Community GUAM Organization for Democracy and Economic Development Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) TRACECA Trans-Atlantic North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) South Atlantic Peace and Cooperation Zone (ZPCAS) Mediterranean Union for the Mediterranean Indian Ocean Indian Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation (IOR-ARC) Indian Ocean Commission (COI) Arctic Ocean Arctic Council Pacific Ocean: ANZUS Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Melanesian Spearhead Group (MSG) Pacific Islands Forum Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) Secretariat of the Pacific Community African, Caribbean and Pacific Group of States Technical Centre for Agricultural and Rural Cooperation ACP-EU (CTA) Americas Organization of American States (OAS) Union of South American Nations Mercosur Andean Community of Nations Justice Studies Center of the Americas (JSCA) Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Association of Caribbean States (ACS) Organisation of Eastern Caribbean States (OECS) Central American Parliament Bolivarian Alliance for the Americas (ALBA) Rio Group System of Cooperation Among the American Air Forces (SICOFAA) Central American Bank for Economic Integration (CABEI) Central American Integration System Organización Latinoamericana de Energia (OLADE) And the list goes on
11 GLOBAL POPULATION SURGE 2025: 5.3 billion to suffer from water shortages Image sources: United Nations World Population Prospects, Deutsche Stiftung Weltbevolkerung
12 Today s energy infrastructure is equipped to sustain a global middle class population of 1 billion -Phil Lambert CEO, Lambert Energy Advisory
13 BRINGING TOGETHER THOSE WHO DON T NORMALLY COOPERATE
14 NEXUS BARRIER- BREAKING DIALOGUES
15 CONFLICT HOTSPOT AVOIDANCE DIALOGUES
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Dr Fraser Cameron Director EU-Asia Centre, Brussels Importance of SCS The SCS is the largest maritime route after the Mediterranean and a vital corridor for EU trade to and from East Asia - 25% of world