How geo-referenced data can improve statistics on migrants

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1 International Forum on Migration Statistics January 2018, Paris Session 2.C: The future census as a source of data on migrant populations How geo-referenced data can improve statistics on migrants Janusz Dygaszewicz Director Department of Programming and Coordination of Statistical Surveys Central Statistical Office of Poland

2 Long-term history (tradition) of Polish statistics first countrywide population census in Poland (based on registers!) The register of nobility and burghers (townsmen) The parish register of births and deaths Statistics always present demographic and migration phenomena on maps 2

3 The Central Statistical Library CSO Poland

4 The Central Statistical Library CSO Poland

5 The Central Statistical Library CSO Poland

6 Percentage of native population and immigrants in Poland in 1921 Gawryszewski A, 2005: The population of Poland in the 20th century

7 Population of Poland in scope of density and nationalities in 1931 Szturm de Sztrem E, 1942: Statistical Atlas of Poland

8 Integration statistics and geodetic data Reference geodetic maps Statistical data Information technologies Computer visualisation of spatial databases

9 US Census Bureau

10 US Census Bureau

11 US Census Bureau

12 US Census Bureau

13 Main directions of emigration from Poland in Statistical Office in Olsztyn, Poland

14 Main directions of immigration to Poland in Statistical Office in Olsztyn, Poland

15 Population of Poland according to national and ethnic identification in 2011 Statistical Office in Olsztyn, Poland

16 Census data dissemination

17 International net migration for permanent residence by population of Poland at working age

18 International net migration for permanent residence by population of Poland at working age

19 International net migration for permanent residence by population of Poland at working age

20 GEOSTATISTICS PORTAL One phenomenon various presentation levels LAUNUTS NUTS LAU województwa gminy podregiony regiony powiaty 20

21 GEOSTATISTICS PORTAL Diagram maps 21

22 GEOSTATISTICS PORTAL New methods of cartographic presentation (anamorphic cartogram) cartograms 22

23 GEOSTATISTICS PORTAL Geostatistics Portal benefits easy access to a huge amount of geo-referenced data which can improve statistics on migrants a variety of cartographic presentation methods statistical geospatial analysis tools INSPIRE compliant network services in the future: Geo-visualization platform for data from alternative sources including Big Data 23

24 Main directions of immigration to Poland by countries in

25 Main directions of emigration from Poland by countries in

26 Net migration for population of Poland by countries in

27 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2002 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

28 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2003 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

29 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2004 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

30 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2005 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

31 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2006 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

32 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2007 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

33 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2008 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

34 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2009 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

35 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2010 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

36 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2011 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

37 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2013 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

38 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2012 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

39 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2014 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

40 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2015 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

41 Crude rate of net migration in Europe 2016 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) Per inhabitants

42 Crude rate of net migration for NUTS3 regions in Europe 2014 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) for NUTS3 regions

43 Crude rate of net migration for NUTS3 regions in Europe 2015 Crude rate of net migration (plus statistical adjustment) for NUTS3 regions

44

45 Impact of migration on population in Europe in

46 Address point identification system

47 Spatial address point identification system

48 Demographic data in 1 km2 grid (persons) 48

49 49

50

51 Global population distribution Copyright The Trustees of Columbia University in the City of New York.

52 Geostatistics portal - conclusions New functionalities will enable very advanced analyses of statistical information, e.g. exploratory geostatistical data analyses or geostatistical modelling. The Portal will present official statistical data and results of geostatistical analyses, necessary to the functioning of the state, local governments and communities. The Portal will provide data in a machine readable form as linked open data to allow automated querying and analysis. The long-term goal will be to develop and present the results of censuses including migration phenomena - of the round

53 Usage of the geospatial analysis Taking into consideration time and space, it is possible to find answers to the following questions, concerning migrant phenomena: How does migration present itself in terms of space...? What is the course of the process in time...? What is located in a certain area...? What caused the migration phenomenon...? What is the relation between environment and density of migration...? What happens with statistics on migrants if...? Example: What is average distance between parents and children? What percentage of families living less then x kilometers from each other migrated abroad and what has been the dynamics of the phenomenon over the last 5 years...?

54 Thank you for your attention Janusz Dygaszewicz

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