GREECE: THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD

Transcription

1 GREECE: THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD Annual nationwide poll DECEMBER 2016

2 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 I. EXPERIENCES FROM 2016 AND EXPECTATIONS FROM 2017 kaparesearch.com

3 Compared to a year ago, your financial situation today is: Better 8.0 Worse 58.0 About the same 34.0

4 Compared to a year ago, the country s economy today is: 0.5 Better 7.5 About the same 26.0 Worse 66.0

5 What are, in your opinion, the three most important events that took place in the world in 2016? UP TO 3 CHOICES The election of Donald Trump 63.0 The terrorist attacks in European cities 58.0 Brexit 53.0 The humanitarian tragedy in Aleppo, Syria 42.5 The closed European borders to refugees 30.0 The attempted coup in Turkey The "No" vote in the Italian referendum The death of Fidel Castro The deaths of great artists (D. Bowie, Umberto Eco, L. Cohen, Prince, etc.) The EU-Turkey agreement on the refugee issue The peace agreement in Colombia The Rio Olympics The European football championship in France Other

6 What are, in your opinion, the three most important events that took place in Greece in 2016? UP TO 3 CHOICES The exacerbation of the refugee issue 69.0 The new pensions law The aggressive rhetoric of Turkey on the Aegean The competition and the decision of the Higher Court on television licenses The visit of US President Barack Obama The interruption of normal operation of traditional media The election of Kyriakos Mitsotakis as president of ND The establishment of a proportional representation electoral system The negotiations on the Cyprus issue The short-term measures for national debt relief The one-time subsidy to low income pensioners The completion of the first program review The synod of the Orthodox churches in Crete Other

7 You feel that in 2017 your financial situation will: 1.5 Improve 10.5 Remain about the same 27.5 Deteriorate 60.5

8 And how about the country s economy? You feel that in 2017 it will: 1.5 Improve 14.0 Remain about the same 19.5 Deteriorate 65.0

9 Would you personally accept to make sacrifices with more work, lower pay or higher taxes in order for the country to overcome the economic crisis, or you think others have to pay for the poor state of the Greek economy? 6.0 I would accept Change I would accept Others have to pay Others have to pay 78.0

10 Which of the following would you be willing to accept in order to avoid the bankruptcy of the Greek economy in 2017? Change More work without higher wage Lower wage with less working hours Lower wage Higher taxes Nothing

11 Many argue that, in our country, the safest area of work is the public sector. Others believe that the only way to a successful career is to work in the private sector. If you had the opportunity to choose between a permanent position in the public sector and a similar position with the same salary in the private sector, what would you choose? 9.5 The job in the public sector Change The job in the public sector The job in the private sector The job in the private sector

12 Considering your own situation in recent years, would you say you belong to those people for whom things went well and are rather benefited or to those have not benefited? Neither Rather benefited Rather benefited Change Rather not benefited Neither Rather not benefited 47.5

13 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 II. POLITICIANS THAT MADE A DIFFERENCE IN 2016 kaparesearch.com

14 Which political leader would you say made the most difference in the past year? Kyriakos Mitsotakis 27.0 Alexis Tsipras 24.0 Vassilis Leventis Fofi Gennimata Panos Kammenos Dimitris Koutsoumpas Stavros Theodorakis Nikos Michaloliakos Other 4.0 None

15 Which SYRIZA politician would you say made the most difference in the past year? OPEN-ENDED Nikos Pappas Euclid Tsakalotos Nikos Filis Giannis Mouzalas Pavlos Polakis Nikos Kotzias Giorgos Katrougalos Efi Achtsioglou Olga Gerovassili Alekos Flabouraris Other None

16 Which ND politician would you say made the most difference in the past year? OPEN-ENDED Adonis Georgiades 17.5 Kostis Hatzidakis 10.0 Dora Bakoyannis Vassilis Kikilias Nikos Dendias Nikitas Kaklamanis Makis Voridis Olga Kefalogianni Lefteris Avgenakis Niki Kerameus Other None

17 And which politician from the other parties would you say made the most difference in the past year? OPEN-ENDED Evangelos Venizelos 12.5 Ilias Kasidiaris Thanasis Pafilis Elena Kountoura Spyros Lykoudis Andreas Loverdos Haris Theocharis Giannis Maniatis Kostas Zouraris Odysseas Konstantinopoulos Other 6.5 None

18 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 III. THE EU s IMAGE & GREECE s PATH WITHIN EUROPE kaparesearch.com

19 To what extend do you trust: A lot & Somewhat A little & Not at all The European Union The local/regional governments The Greek state government

20 How much do you trust each of the following institutions and EU bodies? A lot & Somewhat A little & Not at all Change European Parliament European Parliament European Commission European Commission European Central Bank (ECB) ECB Summit of Heads of EU member states EU Summit Eurogroup % A lot & Somewhat

21 Overall, given the advantages and disadvantages of European integration so far, would you say that it is better if the dismantled, or not? European Union Euro zone Yes, it should be dismantled 16.5 Yes, it should be dismantled ,0 47,0 Probably yes, it should be dismantled 9.5 Probably yes, it should be dismantled 15.5 Probably not, it should not be dismantled 20.0 Probably not, it should not be dismantled 14.5 No, it should not be dismantled ,0 49,5 No, it should not be dismantled

22 With which of the following opinions regarding economic policy in the EU do you agree more? "Europe must follow tight economic policy to survive in the globalized economic environment", which is expressed mainly by Germany 13.0 "Europe must follow looser economic policiy and give more weight to social cohesion", which is expressed by most member-states of the South

23 In January 2017, we complete 15 years of using the Euro and in our country. If you do an overall assessment, would you say that our country has been benefited or harmed by using the Euro? Rather harmed & Harmed Change Benefited & Rather benefited Benefited & Rather benefited Rather harmed & Harmed Benefited Rather benefited Rather harmed Harmed

24 Are you satisfied that in Greece we use the Euro or you think it would have been better with the Drachma? 12.0 Better with Euro 45.5 Better with Drachma 42.5

25 Do you want Greece to hold a referendum on whether the country should remain in the Euro, or not? Yes & Yes, probably 43.0 Probably not & No Yes Yes, probably Probably not No

26 If a referendum on whether Greece should remain in the Euro was being held today, what would you vote? Change YES to the Euro NO to the Euro Blank / Invalid Unspecified

27 With which of the following statements regarding the role of Europe in the Greek financial crisis do you agree more? "Europe probably deteriorated the effects of the financial crisis" 56.0 "Europe rather protected us from the effects of the financial crisis" 28.5 "Europe did not affect the course of the financial crisis"

28 In the next national election, whenever it takes place, you will probably vote for a party that is positively inclined towards the European Union or a party that is critical towards the European Union? Probably a party that is positively inclined towards the EU 40.5 Probably a party that is critical towards the EU 32.5 That will probably not affect my vote

29 In recent years, Euroscepticism has risen the in many EU countries. In your opinion, this is a result of: UP TO 2 CHOICES The deterioration of the economy and inequality after the adoption of the Euro 53.5 The distance between the economic and political elites of the EU and its citizens 52.5 The inability of Europe to become an effective Union with a global role 41.5 IThe refugee-migrant crisis 30.0 The EU's failure to safeguard the security of its citizens (terrorism etc.)

30 Several major elections were conducted in Western countries in Were you satisfied with each of the following results, or not? Satisfied Not satisfied The NO vote in the Italian referendum The Brexit vote The victory of Donald Trump in the US

31 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 IV. NATIONAL ISSUES kaparesearch.com

32 How concerned are you with recent developments in the Cyprus issue? Very much & Somewhat A little & Not at all Very much Somewhat A little Not at all 1.5

33 What should be the stance of the Greek government in the negotiations on the Cyprus issue? Take a more active role, even if this conflicts with the Cypriot government's strategy Providing support to the Cypriot government and to its chosen strategy 79.0

34 On Cyprus, you lean more towards a compromise solution or to the solution of separation of the island into two States? 23.5 I lean more towards a compromise 46.0 I lean more towards the separation solution 30.5

35 In recent months, the Turkish president Tayyip Erdogan s rhetoric on issues of Turkish foreign policy has become more aggressive than usual. In your opinion: 2.5 The rhetoric of Erdogan is addressed mainly to his domestic audience and does not pose a serious threat on Greece 45.0 The tension cultivated by the Turkish leadership should worry the Greek authorities 52.5

36 Are you personally afraid that there is a risk of sovereign loss in the Aegean? Yes & Yes, probably Probably not & No Yes Yes, probably Probably not No

37 How would you evaluate the way the Greek government is handling national issues? 40 Rather negatively & Negatively Positively & Rather positively Positively Rather positively Rather negatively Negatively

38 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 V. THE REFUGEE ISSUE kaparesearch.com

39 What feelings does the the refugee crisis in our country bring to you? UP TO 2 CHOICES March 2016 December 2016 Change Compassion 45.0 Compassion Solidarity Understanding Solidarity Understanding Tolerance 17.5 Tolerance Indifference 1.5 Indifference Concern 57.0 Concern Anger Fear Anger Fear Repulsion 6.5 Repulsion

40 You personally are in favor or against the welcoming of refugees arriving in the Greek islands? In favor & Rather in favor 58.5 March 2016 December 2016 Change Rather against & Against 37.5 In favor & Rather in favor Rather against & Against In favor Rather in favor Rather against Against

41 Would you accept the creation of a refugee accommodation center in your neighborhood? Yes & Yes, probably Probably not & No Yes & Yes, probably March 2016 December 2016 Change 52,5 56,5 +4, Probably not & No 36,5 40,5 +4, ,0 3,0-8, Yes Yes, probably Probably not No

42 After all, what should be the goal of the Greek authorities with regard to refugee arrivals? 3.5 March 2016 December 2016 Change Try as much as they can to reduce the entry of refugees in Greece 46.5 Facilitate the journey of refugees Reduce the entry of refugees 51,5 50,0-1,5 45,0 46,5 +1,5 Facilitate as much as they can the journey of refugees into central Europe ,5 3,5

43 NATIONWIDE POLL ON THE YEAR THAT PASSED AND THE YEAR AHEAD DECEMBER 2016 VI. POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS IN GREECE kaparesearch.com

44 By decision of the Prime Minister and approval of the Parliament, an emergency subsidy of about 600m euro in total was granted to low-income pensioners. Do you approve this decision? 50 Yes & Yes, probably Probably not & No Yes Yes, probably Probably not No

45 That decision provoked reactions on the part of the "institutions" resulting in the temporary freeze of short-term debt relief measures. You consider this reaction justified or unjustified? 50 Rather unjustified & Unjustified Justified & Rather justified Justified Rather justified Rather unjustified Unjustified

46 The procedure for the second program review has started. In your opinion, what approach should the government follow? 4.5 Cause rupture with its creditor instititutions 23.0 Finish the review as soon as possible 41.5 Negotiate hard even if that delays the review 31.0

47 More specifically, in which of the following issues should the government compromise? Compromise Not compromise SYRIZA voters ND voters Compromise Restore collective bargaining Not compromise Compromise Mass lay-offs Not compromise Primary surplus of 3.5% for some years after Compromise Not compromise

48 What kind of government do want to emerge from the next elections? A SYRIZA-only government A SYRIZA-led coalition government A ND-led coalition government A ND-only government 14.0 A national unity government 24.0 Other

49 Do you think there is a need for the creation of a strong center-left pole in Greek politics? Yes & Yes, probably 48.0 Probably not & No Voters of: Yes & Yes, probably Probably not & No SYRIZA New Democracy PASOK-DIMAR* Potami* Centrists Union* Yes Yes, probably Probably not No *Indicative results due to small sub-samples

50 Which of the parties placed between the Center and the Left do you think should become the backbone of the center-left pole in Greek politics? Base: Those who believe that there is need for a strong center-left pole in Greek politics (48%) PASOK 35.0 SYRIZA 24.0 Smaller parties, networks, instituters or citizen movements of the center-left 17.0 Potami 7.0 Centrists' Union 2.0 Other

51 Which of the following do you think should happen: Early elections should take place immediately or more time should be given to the current government? 14.0 Early elections should take place immediately 40.0 Early elections should take place immediately September 2016 December 2016 Change More time should be given to the current government ,0 More time should be given to the current government ,0

52 If in national elections you were able to vote directly for Prime Minister, instead of political parties, which political leader would you vote for Prime Minister? Kyriakos Mitsotakis 23.5 Alexis Tsipras 18.0 Dimitris Koutsoumpas 5.0 Fofi Gennimata Nikos Michaloliakos Vassilis Leventis Stavros Theodorakis Panos Kammenos None of them

53 Between Alexis Tsipras and Kyriakos Mitsotakis, in your opinion, who is more suitable for the Prime Minister s job? 3.0 September 2016 December 2016 Change Αlexis Tsipras 25.0 Alexis Tsipras Νone of the two 40.0 Kyriakos Mitsotakis None of the two Κyriakos Mitsotakis

54 VOTING INTENTION If national elections were to be held today, which party would you vote for? Unspecified voting intention (27.9%) proportionally incorporated , ΣΥΡΙΖΑ ΧΡΥΣΗ ΑΥΓΗ ΚΚΕ ΑΝΕΞΑΡΤΗΤΟΙ ΕΛΛΗΝΕΣ ΛΑΪΚΗ ΕΝΟΤΗΤΑ ΠΛΕΥΣΗ ΕΛΕΥΘΕΡΙΑΣ Other Parties Λευκό/Άκυρο Blank/ Invalid Undecided Δεν Wouldn t θα ψήφιζα/αποχή vote Last poll, 7 September

55 VOTING INTENTION (Over time) SYRIZA New Democracy November 2015 January 2016 April 2016 June 2016 September 2016 December 2016

56 EXPECTED ELECTION WINNER If elections were to be held today, which party would win? 18.0 SYRIZA September December 2016 Change SYRIZA New Democracy New Democracy 61.0

57 When you will decide which party to vote in the next elections? I have already decided 55.5 Once the elections are announced 18.0 The last ten days 11.0 The last two days