INFOTRAK PUBLIC POLICY AND GOVERNANCE RESEARCH DIVISION
|
|
- Shana April Poole
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 INFOTRAK PUBLIC POLICY AND GOVERNANCE RESEARCH DIVISION INFOTRAK HARRIS POPULARITY POLL APRIL Manyani East Rd, Lavington P.O. Box Nairobi, Kenya, Tel: /1/2, For more information contact: Raphael Mulwa
2 1. Introduction The implication of the new constitution on Kenyan politics cannot be underestimated. All political candidates must adhere to the national values and pass the integrity test under chapter six of the Constitution. It is possible that the mind-set of the Kenyan voter has changed after the 2007/2008 post-election violence. Through opinion polls, politicians are able to tell what the voters perceive to be most important in terms of policies, voting preference, the message and also a candidate s popularity among Kenyans from different socio-economic backgrounds. The forthcoming general elections will be the first under the new constitution. Alliances have been formed as part of the strategies to win the presidential race. The campaigns have also witnessed new entrants into the race. Ultimately, the Kenyan voter will be the determinant of who holds which elective post. In executing its mandate as a pollster and in bid to inform Kenyans, Infotrak Research and Consulting conducted a nationwide opinion poll to establish the popularity of various presidential hopefuls and political parties. The survey further sought to establish the preferred running mates for various presidential hopefuls. 2. The Methodology The poll was sponsored and conducted by Infotrak Research and Consulting between 11th and 13th March, 2012 through face to face interviews with a nationwide sample of 2400 respondents, to represent the Kenyan adult population of 19,462,358 translating into a margin of error of -/+ 2 at 95% degree of confidence. The survey was conducted in all regions of Kenya. The sample was developed using Probability Proportional to Size (PPS) with the 2009 Kenya Population and Housing Census being used as the sampling frame. The sample was further split into key demographics i.e. by area, age and gender. The key administrative boundary was the district of residence which was further split into urban and rural areas. 2
3 The survey adopted stratified, random and systematic sampling technique. This was carefully done so as to ensure that every adult Kenyan was given an equal opportunity of being selected. From the same sample, specific attention was given to both male and female respondents. 3. Key Insights a) Key Insight 1: Majority of Kenyans intent to vote in the forthcoming general elections; On being asked whether they intend to vote in the forthcoming general elections, majority of Kenyans (91%) indicated that they intended participate. Another seven percent (7%) of the surveyed respondents indicated that they did not intend to vote in the forth coming general elections. A further eight (2%) of the surveyed respondents did not know how to respond to the question. No, 7% Don t Know, 2% Yes, 91% n-2400 Do you intend to vote in the forth coming General Elections? Majority of those who indicated their intention to vote in the forthcoming general elections were mainly from the middle age i.e. between the age of 26 years to 45 years. 3
4 Intention to vote by age Yes No Don t Know 10 87% 9 91% 92% 98% 93% 88% % 7% 7% 11% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 5% 2% 1% 5% 5% Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs Yrs 51 + Yrs Lack of faith/trust in political leadership (29%) coupled with lack of identity cards/passport (28%) came out as the main reasons as to why seven percent of Kenyans do not intend to participate in the forthcoming general elections n=171 29% 28% 22% 17% 6% Lack of Faith/trust in Don t have an political leadership Identity Card/passport/voters card Fear of violence Don t think it will be of any benefit Early to tell still undecided If No or Don t Know in question one above, why don t you intend to participate in the forthcoming General Elections? A trend analysis of Infotrak Harris polls indicate that voting intentions among Kenyans has been increasing over time. 4
5 Trend analysis for voting intention 10 89% 91% 78% 8 12% 1 7% 4% 7% 2% July_2011 October_2011 April_2012 Yes 78% 89% 91% No 12% 7% 7% Don t Know 1 4% 2% b) Key Insight 2: The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) is the most popular political party among Kenyans Slightly more than half (54%) of the surveyed respondents indicated that their favorite political party is ODM. It was followed by the Party of National Unity (PNU) and WIPER Democratic Movement at 22% and 7% respectively. Other mentioned parties include KANU (5%), NARC Kenya (3%), UDM (2%) and NARC (1%). Five percent (5%) of the respondent did have any favorite political party at the time of the survey Which is your favourite Political Party? N = % 22% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 5% Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) Party of national Unity (PNU) WIPER KANU NARC - K UDM NARC Others None ODM s strongholds include: Nyanza (84%), Western (79%), Coast (7) and North Eastern regions (59%). The Party of National Unity is the most popular political party in central province at 5. Wiper Democratic Movement s stronghold is Eastern province at 34%. 5
6 Which is favorite political party? Political Party Nairobi Central Coast Eastern North Eastern Nyanza Rift Valley Western Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) Party of National Unity (PNU) 55% 7 24% 59% 84% 5 79% 29% 5 21% 22% 28% 4% 22% 8% WIPER 3% 4% 2% 34% 4% 1% 1% 1% Kenya African National Union (KANU) National Rainbow Coalition - Kenya (NARC-K) United Democratic Movement (UDM) National Rainbow Coalition (NARC) 5% 7% 2% 5% 3% 4% 7% 2% 1% 1 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% - - 4% 1% 2% % - Reasons why various political parties are favourites for Kenyans Political Party Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) Party of National Unity (PNU) WIPE R Kenya African National Union (KANU) National Rainbow Coalition - Kenya (NARC-K) United Democra tic Moveme nt (UDM) National Rainbow Coalition (NARC) Aggregate It is a popular party 37% 68% 26% 17% 38% 36.3% It is a Democratic Party 34% 18% 39% 12% 24% 32% % It has good leadership 15% 36% 8% 25% 32% 23% 17.9% It has brought development in the country 13% 4% 1 25% 5% 38% 13.9% It is an independent party 2% 1% 1% 2% - 7% - 1.9% All the parties are the same - 1% % It is a Stable party 1% 1% 4% It s a non-tribal party 1% - - 1% - 7% - 1. Why is ---- your favorite political party? 6
7 Raila Odinga Uhuru Kenyatta Kalonzo Musyoka Martha Karua William Ruto Musalia Mudavadi Raphael Tuju Peter Kenneth George Saitoti Eugene Wamalwa Others Undecided c) Key Insight 3: Prime Minister Raila Odinga is the man to beat in the fourth coming general elections On being asked on whom they would vote for as their president if presidential elections were held today, forty two percent (42%) of the surveyed respondents indicated that they would vote for Rt. Hon. Raila Odinga (42%) with twenty percent (22%) of the respondents preferring to vote for deputy Prime Minister Hon. Uhuru Kenyatta (22%). Another nine percent (9%) of the surveyed respondents indicated they would vote for Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka (9%). Other presidential hopefuls cited include: Hon. Martha Karua (5%), Hon. William Ruto (5%), Hon. Musalia Mudavadi (5%), Hon. Raphael Tuju (2%), Hon. Peter Kenneth (2%), Hon. George Saitoti (1%), Hon. Eugene Wamalwa (1%) among others. Five percent (5%) of the surveyed respondents indicated to be undecided on whom to vote for. This necessitates a run off between Raila Odinga and Uhuru Kenyatta % 22% 9% Apart from President Kibaki, who would you vote for as your president if presidential elections were held today? n=2400 5% 5% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% Raila s strongholds include Nyanza (81%), Coast (67%), Western (62%), North Eastern (61%) and Nairobi (5). Uhuru Kenyatta is the most popular presidential candidate in central province at 61% while Kalonzo s stronghold is Eastern province at 43%. Rift Valley region seems to accommodate all presidential hopefuls with Raila Odinga, William Ruto and Uhuru Kenyatta being the main contenders at 37%, 26% and 21% respectively. 7
8 Popularity of Presidential hopefuls by Region Popularity Nairobi Central Coast Eastern N.Eastern Nyanza R.Valley Western Raila Odinga 5 11% 67% 19% 61% 81% 37% 62% Uhuru Kenyatta 25% 61% 9% 16% 4% 21% 7% Kalonzo Musyoka 5% 8% 4% 43% 6% 2% 3% 2% Martha Karua 5% 7% 8% 9% 2% 4% 3% 4% William Ruto 6% 1% 4% 2% 5% 2% 26% 4% Musalia Mudavadi 5% 4% 4% 1% 5% 3% 5% 16% Raphael Tuju 1% 2% 1% 3% - 1% 2% 1% Peter Kenneth 1% 6% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% - George Saitoti 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% - Eugene Wamalwa 1% 1% % 4% Total A trend analysis of Infotrak Harris polls indicate that some presidential hopefuls have lost ground while others have gained popularity since February this year. Among those who have gained popularity include Hon. Raila Odinga (from 38% to 42%), Hon. Uhuru Kenyatta (from 18% to 22%), Hon. Kalonzo Musyoka (from 6% to 9%), Hon. Musalia Mudavadi (from 3% to 5%) and Hon. Raphael Tuju (0.4% to 2%). This can be attributed to their intensified campaigns over the last few months. Hon. Martha Karua (5%), Hon. Peter Kenneth (2%), Hon. George Saitoti (1%) and Hon. Eugene Wamalwa (1%) have maintained their popularity since February this year. Hon. William Ruto is among the presidential hopefuls who have lost popularity (from 7% in February to 5% in April). 8
9 Trend Analysis Trend analysis of top five presidential hopefuls since March Mar_11 Jun_11 Jul_11 Aug_11 October_2 011 February_ 2012 April_2012 Raila Odinga 48% 45% 42% 41% 38% 42% Uhuru Kenyatta 9% 19% 17% 19% 18% 22% William Ruto 7% 9% 13% 13% 7% 7% 5% Kalonzo Musyoka 11% 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 9% Martha Karua 1 12% 1 15% 11% 5% 5% d) Key Insight 4: Prime Minister Raila Odinga would beat Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta if a run off was held between Raila and Uhuru. If the presidential elections resulted into a two horse race, Raila Odinga would beat all the presidential hopefuls with Uhuru Kenyatta Kenyatta coming closer at 47.5%. Uhuru Kenyatta would beat Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka and Hon. William Ruto by 58.3 % and 67.3% respectively. If the presidential contest resulted into a two horse race as outlined in the following scenarios, whom would you vote for as your President? No. Presidential Candidate Incidence Scenario Presidential Candidate Incidence 1 Raila Odinga 52.5% Versus Uhuru Kenyatta 47.5% 2 Raila Odinga 61. Versus Kalonzo Musyoka Raila Odinga 59.4% Versus Musalia Mudavadi 40.6% 4 Raila Odinga 64.8% Versus William Ruto 35.2% 5 Raila Odinga 61.7% Versus Peter Kenneth 38.3% 6 Raila Odinga 63.3% Versus Martha Karua 36.7% 7 Uhuru Kenyatta 58.3% Versus Kalonzo Musyoka 41.7% 8 Uhuru Kenyatta 67.3% Versus William Ruto 32.7% 9
10 4. About Infotrak Research and Consulting Infotrak Research and Consulting is a full service research company that was founded in 2004 following the vision of the founder to provide the Pan African Market with suitable information solutions required to sustain the ever-growing economies in the continent. Headquartered in Nairobi, Kenya, Infotrak also has affiliate offices in Uganda, Tanzania, Nigeria and field contacts in more than 12 other countries in Sub Saharan Africa. The firm attributes its rapid growth to not only innovation, high level of professionalism and dynamism, but also on the excellent caliber of personnel who have been described by many as Business minds who specialize in research. Services provided include: Customer & Employee Satisfaction Surveys, Market Segmentation Studies, Brand Health checks, Consumer Usage and attitude studies, advertising awareness/impact surveys, advertising pre-post testing, media surveys, pricing studies, new product research, market feasibilities, formative research, perception surveys, KAP studies etc Whilst Infotrak has already carved a niche in market research, the firm s reputation in Social research has quickly gained impetus. In 2009, the Infotrak Public Policy and Governance Research division was created to provide research to civil Society organizations, Foreign Embassies, Donor Agencies, UN Agencies, Government Ministries, Corporations and Commissions. Today, Infotrak is one of the most authoritative pollsters in East Africa, providing political opinion polling under the Infotrak Harris Poll flagship brand. In the period culminating to the 2010 referendum on the constitution in Kenya, Infotrak was the only pollster to accurately predict the poll outcome reaffirming its competence in sampling, data collection and analysis. Infotrak is a global network affiliate of Harris Interactive USA, the 12th largest and one of the fastest-growing market and social research firm in the world. Harris Interactive is widely known for the Harris Poll. The team has extensive and proven experience in both qualitative and quantitative research. 10
INFOTRAK RESEARCH & CONSULTING
INFOTRAK RESEARCH & CONSULTING Will there Really be a Run-off in 2013? Prepared by The Infotrak Public Policy and Governance Research Division MEMBER OF ESOMAR MEMBER OF WAPOR MEMBER OF MSRA 2012 E A S
More informationRepublic of Kenya Election Day Poll. December 27, 2007 International Republican Institute Strategic Public Relations and Research
Republic of Kenya Election Day Poll December 27, 2007 International Republican Institute Strategic Public Relations and Research 1 List of Acronyms ECK Electoral Commission of Kenya Kshs Kenya shillings
More informationThe Pre-Election Coverage by Kenyan Newspapers March Monitoring Report THE PRE-ELECTON COVERAGE BY KENYAN NEWSPAPERS 1
The Pre-Election Coverage by Kenyan Newspapers March 2012 Monitoring Report THE PRE-ELECTON COVERAGE BY KENYAN NEWSPAPERS 1 Published by: Media Council of Kenya P.O. Box 43132 00100 Nairobi, Kenya Ground
More informationKenya after the Elections
Africa Summary Kenya after the Elections Bryan Kahumbura Horn of Africa Analyst, International Crisis Group Discussant: Daniel Branch Associate Professor, University of Warwick Chair: Russell Pickard Deputy
More informationTensions and Reversals in Democratic Transitions
Tensions and Reversals in Democratic Transitions Tensions and Reversals in Democratic Transitions The Kenya 2007 General Elections Edited by Karuti Kanyinga and Duncan Okello Society for International
More informationREPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE HIGH COURT AT NAIROBI CONSTITUTIONAL PETITION NO. OF 2017
REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE HIGH COURT AT CONSTITUTIONAL PETITION NO. OF 2017 IN THE MATTER OF ARTICLE 1, 2, 3, 10, 19, 20, 23, 258 259 OF THE CONSTITUTION OF KENYA 2010. IN THE MATTER OF ALLEGED CONTRAVENTION
More informationCorruption Survey. October, 2007
Corruption Survey October, 2007 Sample by Province North Eastern Nairobi Coast 4% 8% 9% Total : 2400 Rural : Urban Split 65 : 35 Western Central Nyanza Eastern 12% 13% 15% 15% Rift Valley 25% 0% 5% 10%
More informationIN THE REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI PETITION NO... OF 2017 BETWEEN AND INDEPENDENT ELECTORAL AND BOUNDARIES
IN THE REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI PETITION NO... OF 2017 BETWEEN RAILA AMOLO ODINGA. 1 ST PETITIONER STEPHEN KALONZO MUSYOKA 2 ND PETITIONER AND INDEPENDENT ELECTORAL AND
More informationTHE ANALYSIS OF POLITICAL PARTIES POLICY DOCUMENTS FROM A GENDER PERSPECTIVE
THE ANALYSIS OF POLITICAL PARTIES POLICY DOCUMENTS FROM A GENDER PERSPECTIVE Presented by Njeri Kabeberi, Executive Director, CMD-Kenya 21 st February, 2012 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Kenyan political landscape
More informationREPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE HIGH COURT AT NAIROBI CONSTITUTIONAL PETITION NO. OF 2017
REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE HIGH COURT AT CONSTITUTIONAL PETITION NO. OF 2017 IN THE MATTER OF ARTICLE 1, 2, 3, 10, 19, 20, 23, 258 AND 259 OF THE CONSTITUTION OF KENYA 2010. AND IN THE MATTER OF ALLEGED
More informationICC confirmation of charges hearings on Kenya situation
BRIEFING PAPER ICC confirmation of charges hearings on Kenya situation SEPTEMBER 2011 THIS BRIEFING PAPER sets out the background to the pre-trial confirmation of charges hearings at the International
More informationPCs Lead in Ontario FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE. MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE PCs Lead in Ontario Wynne at lowest approval ever In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1124 Ontario voters, more than 4-in-10 will vote for the Conservatives
More informationTax Cut Welcomed in BC, But No Bounce for Campbell Before Exit
Page 1 of 10 PROVINCIAL POLITICAL SCENE Tax Cut Welcomed in BC, But No Bounce for Campbell Before Exit The provincial NDP maintains a high level of voter support, and two-thirds of British Columbians would
More informationKENYA FINAL REPORT. General Elections 27 December April 2008 EUROPEAN UNION ELECTION OBSERVATION MISSION
KENYA FINAL REPORT General Elections 27 December 2007 3 April 2008 EUROPEAN UNION ELECTION OBSERVATION MISSION.This report was produced by the EU Election Observation Mission and presents the EU EOM s
More informationMalawi AB R5 Survey Results. First Release: 4 September 2012
Malawi AB R5 Survey Results First Release: 4 September 2012 Centre for Social Research 1 What is the Afrobarometer The Afrobarometer (AB) is a comparative series of public opinion surveys that measure
More informationViolent protests break out in Kenya after Uhuru Kenyatta officially declared winner of presidential election
Violent protests break out in Kenya after Uhuru Kenyatta officially declared winner of presidential election Telegraph News Supporters of President Uluru Kenyatta celebrate in Kikuyu Town, Kenya Credit:
More informationImproving democracy in spite of political rhetoric
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Improving democracy in spite of political rhetoric Findings from Afrobarometer Round 7 survey in Kenya At a glance Democratic preferences: A majority of Kenyans prefer democratic,
More informationGeneral Election Opinion Poll. May 2018
General Election Opinion Poll May 2018 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,015 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 10 th -16 th May 2018. A random digit dial (RDD) method
More informationKENYA S 2017 ELECTIONS: POPULISM AND INSTITUTIONAL CAPTURE A THREAT TO ELECTION STABILITY
ISSUE NO. 9, JUNE 2017 KENYA S 2017 ELECTIONS: POPULISM AND INSTITUTIONAL CAPTURE A THREAT TO ELECTION STABILITY In the run up to August 8, 2017, General Elections, Kenya exemplifies the global surge of
More informationMass Biometric Voter registration Lessons from Kenya
By Ellen Dingani 1 P a g e Mass Biometric Voter registration Lessons from Kenya ELECTIONS today are unarguably the most preferred way to elect leaders the world over. Credible, free and fair elections
More informationMost Believe Kinder Morgan Pipeline will have a Positive Economic Effect, But a Negative Environmental One
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Most Believe Kinder Morgan Pipeline will have a Positive Economic Effect, But a Negative Environmental One Toronto, March 3 rd In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The
More informationCanadians Divided on Assuming Non-Combat Role in Afghanistan
Page 1 of 13 WAR IN AFGHANISTAN Canadians Divided on Assuming Non-Combat Role in Afghanistan Support for the current military engagement remains below the 40 per cent mark across the country. [VANCOUVER
More informationWomen Boost Obama, Pan Republicans
For immediate release Wednesday, Mar.14, 2012 6 pp. Contact: Peter Woolley 973.670.3239 Krista Jenkins 908.328.8967 Women Boost Obama, Pan Republicans The president s approval is up in New Jersey, and
More information8 5 Sampling Distributions
8 5 Sampling Distributions Skills we've learned 8.1 Measures of Central Tendency mean, median, mode, variance, standard deviation, expected value, box and whisker plot, interquartile range, outlier 8.2
More informationParticipation of women in peace building and reconciliation after2007 post election violence in Rift Valley Kenya. By Daniel O Mbakaya BMED, MCHD St.
Participation of women in peace building and reconciliation after2007 post election violence in Rift Valley Kenya. By Daniel O Mbakaya BMED, MCHD St. Mary s School of Clinical Medicine (Public Health Research
More informationKenyan Elections: Corruption, Violence, and the Dangers of Tribal Politics
Kenyan Elections: Corruption, Violence, and the Dangers of Tribal Politics Once again, Kenya faces a tense election crisis. In a stunning decision, the country s Supreme Court declared the August reelection
More informationPasadena Minimum Wage Poll Results February 6 th, 2019
Pasadena Minimum Wage Poll Results February 6 th, 201 Methodology David Binder Research conducted a survey of 700 likely voters who voted in 11/16 or 11/18 or have registered since 11/18 with no previous
More informationNigeria heads for closest election on record
Dispatch No. 11 27 January 215 Nigeria heads for closest election on record Afrobarometer Dispatch No. 11 Nengak Daniel, Raphael Mbaegbu, and Peter Lewis Summary Nigerians will go to the polls on 14 February
More informationRef: TBA Date: 10 th August, 2017
Ref: TBA Date: 10 th August, 2017 Hon. James Orengo, SEN. Chief Agent, NASA Campaign Secretariat Capital Hill Square, 4 th Floor Upperhill NAIROBI RE: PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RESULT We acknowledge receipt
More informationNATIONAL DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTE JAMAICA TRIP REPORT April 11, 2002
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTE JAMAICA TRIP REPORT April 11, 2002 Introduction The National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI) conducted a political assessment mission to Jamaica from
More informationThe Experience of the National Rainbow Coalition (NARC): Political Parties in Kenya from 1991 to 2007
INSTITUTE OF DEVELOPING ECONOMIES IDE Discussion Papers are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussions and critical comments IDE DISCUSSION PAPER No. 222 The Experience of the National Rainbow
More informationAsylum Seekers Should Enter the Country Legally: Plurality
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Asylum Seekers Should Enter the Country Legally: Plurality Divided opinion on refugees who made their refugee claim in the US, but now want to live in Canada Toronto, March 6 th In
More informationPOLL: CLINTON MAINTAINS BIG LEAD OVER TRUMP IN BAY STATE. As early voting nears, Democrat holds 32-point advantage in presidential race
DATE: Oct. 6, FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, CONTACT: Brian Zelasko at 413-796-2261 (office) or 413 297-8237 (cell) David Stawasz at 413-796-2026 (office) or 413-214-8001 (cell) POLL: CLINTON MAINTAINS BIG LEAD
More informationGeneral Election Opinion Poll. 29 th July 2016
General Election Opinion Poll 29 th July 20 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,000 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 25 th 27 th July 20. A random digit dial (RDD)
More informationCONSERVATIVES SWING INTO LEAD IDEA OF COALITION GOVERNMENT REMAINS POPULAR EVERYWHERE OUTSIDE CONSERVATIVE
CONSERVATIVES SWING INTO LEAD IDEA OF COALITION GOVERNMENT REMAINS POPULAR EVERYWHERE OUTSIDE CONSERVATIVE BASE This survey was sponsored by La Presse. The full article is available on their website at:
More informationResults from the Afrobarometer Round 5 Survey in Zimbabwe
Results from the Afrobarometer Round 5 Survey in Zimbabwe 20 September 2012 www.mpoi.net 1 What is the Afrobarometer? The Afrobarometer (AB) is a comparative series of public opinion surveys that measure
More informationHalf of Ontarians Believe Government to Blame for Rising Hydro Rates
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Half of Ontarians Believe to Blame for Rising Hydro Rates s and executive salaries well back Toronto, February 21 st In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll
More informationElections Alberta Survey of Voters and Non-Voters
Elections Alberta Survey of Voters and Non-Voters RESEARCH REPORT July 17, 2008 460, 10055 106 St, Edmonton, Alberta T5J 2Y2 Tel: 780.423.0708 Fax: 780.425.0400 www.legermarketing.com 1 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
More informationREPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI ELECTION PETITION NO. 1 OF Between H.E RAILA AMOLO ODINGA... 1 ST PETITONER AND
REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI ELECTION PETITION NO. 1 OF 2017 Between H.E RAILA AMOLO ODINGA... 1 ST PETITONER H.E STEPHEN KALONZO MUSYOKA.. 2 ND PETITIONER AND INDEPENDENT
More informationREPUBLIC OF KENYA THE JUDICIARY REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI
REPUBLIC OF KENYA THE JUDICIARY MEDIA BRIEF April 17, 2013 REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI PETITION NO 5 OF 2013 AS CONSOLIDATED WITH PETITION NO. 3 OF 2013 AND PETITION NO 4
More informationWho, Where and When?
Purpose A comparative series of national public attitude surveys in Africa on Democracy, Markets and Civil Society Social scientific project dedicated to accurate and precise measurement of nationally
More informationNDI Albania National Survey. July 2007
NDI Albania National Survey July 2007 1 Introduction This public survey was conducted on behalf of the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs by AGENDA Institute, an Albanian research
More informationGeneral Election Opinion Poll. 3 rd December 2015
General Election Opinion Poll 3 rd December 20 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,016 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 30 th November 2 nd December 20. A random digit
More informationSierra Leonean perceptions of democracy Findings from Afrobarometer Round 6 survey in Sierra Leone
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG Sierra Leonean perceptions of democracy Findings from Afrobarometer Round 6 survey in Sierra Leone At a glance Support for democracy: A majority of Sierra Leoneans prefer democracy,
More information1. The food crisis and state of Kenyan Refugee Camps
Mikhala Lantz-Simmons: MIGS Media Monitor Reporter for Kenya July 11 th to 18 th 2011 Content Report: 1. The food crisis and state of Kenyan Refugee Camps 2. Updates on the 2012 General Election 3. Change
More informationTuesday, April 16, 2013
Tuesday, April 16, 13 What is the Afrobarometer? The Afrobarometer (AB) is a comparative series of public opinion surveys that measure public attitudes toward democracy, governance, the economy, leadership,
More informationWISCONSIN ECONOMIC SCORECARD
RESEARCH BRIEF Q4 2013 Joseph Cera, PhD CUIR Survey Center University of Wisconsin Milwaukee WISCONSIN ECONOMIC SCORECARD The Wisconsin Economic Scorecard is a quarterly poll of Wisconsin residents conducted
More informationLiberals open up lead, Conservatives lag
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Liberals open up lead, Conservatives lag NDP in 3 rd nationwide, 1 st in Quebec - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1447 Canadian voters two weeks
More informationKENYA: KEY HISTORICAL AND CONSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENTS. 1944: Eluid Mathu became first African appointed to the Legislative Council (LEGCO)
KENYA: KEY HISTORICAL AND CONSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENTS 1944: Eluid Mathu became first African appointed to the Legislative Council (LEGCO) 1952: State of emergency declared. 183 Kenya African Union leaders
More informationI. Chapter Overview. Roots of Public Opinion Research. A. Learning Objectives
I. Chapter Overview A. Learning Objectives 11.1 Trace the development of modern public opinion research 11.2 Describe the methods for conducting and analyzing different types of public opinion polls 11.3
More informationThe Darfur Crisis: African and American Public Opinion
PROGRAM ON INTERNATIONAL POLICY ATTITUDES (PIPA) The Darfur Crisis: African and American Public Opinion June 29, 2005 GlobeScan Incorporated is a global public opinion and stakeholder research firm with
More informationThe Crime Issue in South Africa: Public Views of Safety and Government Performance
The Crime Issue in South Africa: Public Views of Safety and Government Performance Mari Harris and Tracy Hammond ISS Seminar, 9 March 2007 1 Your time here today Nuts and Bolts Overall perspective where
More informationNDP maintains strong lead
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE NDP maintains strong lead Liberals tied with Conservatives in second - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1308 Canadian voters in the days immediately
More informationKenya s 2013 Elections
Kenya s 2013 Elections Africa Report N 197 17 January 2013 International Crisis Group Headquarters Avenue Louise 149 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 Fax: +32 2 502 50 38 brussels@crisisgroup.org
More informationRelease # For Publication: Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research Institute of Governmental Studies 124-126 Moses Hall University of California Berkeley, CA 94720 Tel: 510-642- 6835 Email: igs@berkeley.edu Release #2017-16
More informationPublic Opinion on Health Care Issues October 2012
Public Opinion on Health Care Issues October 2012 One week before the 2012 presidential election, health policy issues including Medicare and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) remain a factor in voters views
More informationGeorgia Democratic Presidential Primary Poll 2/23/16. Fox 5 Atlanta
Sponsor(s) Fox 5 Atlanta Target Population Sampling Method Georgia; likely presidential primary voters; Democrat Blended sample; mixed mode: Likely Democratic primary voters were selected at random from
More informationIt still looks like a PC majority
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE It still looks like a PC majority but the race is tightening. Slightly. Toronto, May 9th - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among 777 voters, the s would
More informationRESULTS FROM THE AFROBAROMETER ROUND 5 SURVEY IN SWAZILAND Swaziland Round 5 Release Event 2
WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG RESULTS FROM THE AFROBAROMETER ROUND 5 SURVEY IN SWAZILAND Swaziland Round 5 Release Event 2 What is the Afrobarometer The Afrobarometer is an independent, nonpartisan research project
More informationFrom Violence to Peace: The Daily Nation and the change in how ethnicity is reported from the 2007 to the 2013 presidential elections
1 From Violence to Peace: The Daily Nation and the change in how ethnicity is reported from the 2007 to the 2013 presidential elections Just before New Years Eve 2007, following one of the most contentious
More informationStudy Background. Part I. Voter Experience with Ballots, Precincts, and Poll Workers
The 2006 New Mexico First Congressional District Registered Voter Election Administration Report Study Background August 11, 2007 Lonna Rae Atkeson University of New Mexico In 2006, the University of New
More informationReporting on Kenyan General Election 2017: A month to the polls
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, P.O. Box 66471 00800 Nairobi / Kenya Reporting on Kenyan General Election 2017: A month to the polls 1. Past Kenyan elections The 2017 General election will be the 11 th general
More informationCorruption in Kenya, 2005: Is NARC Fulfilling Its Campaign Promise?
Afrobarometer Briefing Paper No.2 January Corruption in Kenya, 5: Is NARC Fulfilling Its Campaign Promise? Kenya s NARC government rode to victory in the 2 elections in part on the coalition s promise
More informationPost-election round-up: New Zealand voters attitudes to the current voting system
MEDIA RELEASE 14 November 2017 Post-election round-up: New Zealand voters attitudes to the current voting system The topic: Following on from the recent general election, there has been much discussion
More informationIssues in African Economic Development. Economics 172. University of California, Berkeley. Department of Economics. Professor Ted Miguel
Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Professor Ted Miguel Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley Economics 172 Issues in African Economic Development Lecture 25 April
More informationOpposition to Syrian Airstrikes Surges
SEPTEMBER 9, 2013 Obama Job Approval Slips into Negative Territory Opposition to Syrian Airstrikes Surges A Pew Research Center/USA TODAY Survey FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT THE PEW RESEARCH CENTER
More informationTHE PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION CONTESTS May 18-23, 2007
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL For release: Thursday, May 24, 2007 6:30 P.M. EDT THE PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION CONTESTS May 18-23, 2007 The current front-runners for their party's Presidential nomination Senator
More informationKenya: Kenya's Supreme Court ruling rattles President Kenyatta Dimanche, 03 Septembre :24 - Mis à jour Dimanche, 03 Septembre :26
Nairobi, Kenya, September 3 (Infosplusgabon) - Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta, whose election was nullified on Friday, is still in shock over the decision of the Supreme Court, purposely set up by the
More informationJIHUSISHE FACT SHEET ON YOUNG WOMEN AND POLITICAL PARTIES
JIHUSISHE FACT SHEET ON YOUNG WOMEN AND POLITICAL PARTIES 212 Caroline Kogi: Content Developer Judy Nguru Walla: Editor Geoffrey Oigo: Design & Layout The Youth Agenda ( YAA ) Woodlands Court, Kirichwa
More informationNDP leads in first post-writ poll
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE NDP leads in first post-writ poll New Democrats headed for solid minority - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1399 Canadian voters immediately after
More informationREPORT TO PROPRIETARY RESULTS FROM THE 48 TH PAN ATLANTIC SMS GROUP. THE BENCHMARK OF MAINE PUBLIC OPINION Issued May, 2011
REPORT TO PROPRIETARY RESULTS FROM THE 48 TH PAN ATLANTIC SMS GROUP OMNIBUS POLL THE BENCHMARK OF MAINE PUBLIC OPINION Issued May, 2011 5 Milk Street Portland, Maine 04101 Tel: (207) 871-8622 www.panatlanticsmsgroup.com
More informationNEW JERSEY VOTERS TAKE ON 2008
Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-263-5858 (office) 732-979-6769 (cell) pdmurray@monmouth.edu Released: Wednesday, 30, For more information: Monmouth University Polling Institute 400 Cedar Avenue West Long Branch,
More informationKenya's New Constitution
Kenya's New Constitution The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. Citation As Published Publisher Kramon, Eric, and Daniel
More informationCHAPTER 11 PUBLIC OPINION AND POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION. Narrative Lecture Outline
CHAPTER 11 PUBLIC OPINION AND POLITICAL SOCIALIZATION Narrative Lecture Outline Public opinion and polling was front page news and the opening story in November 2000. Television and Web-based news organizations
More informationAP AMERICAN GOVERNMENT STUDY GUIDE POLITICAL BELIEFS AND BEHAVIORS PUBLIC OPINION PUBLIC OPINION, THE SPECTRUM, & ISSUE TYPES DESCRIPTION
PUBLIC OPINION , THE SPECTRUM, & ISSUE TYPES IDEOLOGY THE POLITICAL SPECTRUM (LIBERAL CONSERVATIVE SPECTRUM) VALENCE ISSUES WEDGE ISSUE SALIENCY What the public thinks about a particular issue or set of
More informationNATIONAL: RACE RELATIONS WORSEN
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Tuesday, 19, Contact: PATRICK MURRAY 732-979-6769
More informationApril Franklin & Marshall College Poll SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
For immediate release Wednesday, April 16, 2008 April 2008 Franklin & Marshall College Poll SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Prepared by: Center for Opinion Research Floyd Institute for Public
More informationA survey of 1,005 Canadians Conducted on February 23, 2011 Released: February 24,
Despite Oda, Conservative lead widens to 15 over the Liberals A survey of 1,005 Canadians Conducted on February 23, 2011 Released: February 24, 2011 www.abacusdata.ca Abacus Data: Not your average pollster
More informationMost think Trudeau resume ad will prompt liberal votes
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Most think Trudeau resume ad will prompt liberal votes One fifth of NDP voters are persuaded to vote Liberal by ad - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll
More informationNATIONAL: 2016 GOP REMAINS WIDE OPEN
Please attribute this information to: Monmouth University Poll West Long Branch, NJ 07764 www.monmouth.edu/polling Follow on Twitter: @MonmouthPoll Released: Monday, April 6, 2015 Contact: PATRICK MURRAY
More informationAlabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll 2/26/16. None
Sponsor(s) None Target Population Sampling Method Alabama; likely presidential primary voters; Republican Likely Republican primary voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters. Only
More informationReport. The Presidential Election Rerun in Kenya, Luke M. Obala* 16 January 2018
Report The Presidential Election Rerun in Kenya, 2017 Luke M. Obala* 16 January 2018 Al Jazeera Centre for Studies Tel: +974 40158384 jcforstudies@aljazeera.net http://studies.aljazeera.net Supporters
More informationThe Ethnic Logic of Campaign Strategy in Diverse Societies: Theory and Evidence from Kenya
The Ethnic Logic of Campaign Strategy in Diverse Societies: Theory and Evidence from Kenya Jeremy Horowitz Dartmouth College July 6, 2015 Abstract Competitive elections are thought to pose unique challenges
More informationcontingency planning memorandum no. 17 Electoral Violence in Kenya
contingency planning memorandum no. 17 Electoral Violence in Kenya Joel D. Barkan January 2013 Author Bio Joel D. Barkan is professor emeritus of political science at the University of Iowa and senior
More informationThe 2013 general elections in Kenya
POLICY BRIEF 74 FEBRUARY 2015 The 2013 general elections in Kenya The integrity of the electoral process Collette Schulz-Herzenberg, Peter Aling o and Sebastian Gatimu Recommendations Kenya s Independent
More informationGeneral Election Opinion Poll. November 2017
General Election Opinion Poll November 2017 Methodology and Weighting RED C interviewed a random sample of 1,004 adults aged 18+ by telephone between the 20 th -24 th November 2017. A random digit dial
More informationPublic Opinion and Political Socialization. Chapter 7
Public Opinion and Political Socialization Chapter 7 What is Public Opinion? What the public thinks about a particular issue or set of issues at any point in time Public opinion polls Interviews or surveys
More informationTight N.J. Governor s Race in Final Days
Friday, October 30, 2009 7 pp. Contact: Peter Woolley 973.670.3239 Dan Cassino 973.896.7072 Tight N.J. Governor s Race in Final Days According to the most recent poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University
More informationConflict Analysis, Management & Mediation Course 21 st to 25 th May 2018, Nairobi, Kenya
Coalition for Peace in Africa Coalition Pour La Paix en Afrique P.O Box 61753-00200 City Square Nairobi Tele +254 020 3866686 Email: copa@copafrica.org Website: www.copafrica.org Conflict Analysis, Management
More informationBOOKER V. RIVERA AND THE POWER OF CABLE NEWS OBAMA APPROVAL DOWN SLIGHTLY
For immediate release Wednesday, March 13, 2013 Contact: Krista Jenkins Office: 973.443.8390 Cell: 908.328.8967 kjenkins@fdu.edu 8 pp. BOOKER V. RIVERA AND THE POWER OF CABLE NEWS OBAMA APPROVAL DOWN SLIGHTLY
More informationOntario Election Campaign Post- Debate Survey
Ontario Election Campaign Post- Debate Survey www.ekos.com September 26, 2003 Post-Debate Election Poll I. Methodology Methodology! This EKOS/Toronto Star poll was conducted by telephone September 24th
More informationState of the Facts 2018
State of the Facts 2018 Part 2 of 2 Summary of Results September 2018 Objective and Methodology USAFacts conducted the second annual State of the Facts survey in 2018 to revisit questions asked in 2017
More information6 THE NATIONAL RAINBOW COALITION
THE NATIONAL RAINBOW COALITION 179 6 THE NATIONAL RAINBOW COALITION Achievements and Challenges of Building and Sustaining a Broad-Based Political Party Coalition in Kenya DENIS KADIMA AND FELIX OWUOR
More informationToday s Presenters. John Chrastka Executive Director, EveryLibrary. Carrie Andrew Director, Lone Cone Library District, Norwood, CO
Today s Presenters John Chrastka Executive Director, EveryLibrary Carrie Andrew Director, Lone Cone Library District, Norwood, CO Building voter support for libraries Build Your Political Literacy Skills
More information2017 Citizen Satisfaction Survey City of Shawnee, Kansas
2017 Citizen Satisfaction Survey City of Shawnee, Kansas Presented by March 2017 ETC Institute A National Leader in Market Research for Local Governmental Organizations helping city and county governments
More informationREPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI ELECTION PETITION NO. 1 OF 2017
REPUBLIC OF KENYA IN THE SUPREME COURT OF KENYA AT NAIROBI ELECTION PETITION NO. 1 OF 2017 (Coram: Maraga: CJ & President, Mwilu; DCJ & V-P, Ibrahim, Ojwang, Wanjala, Njoki & Lenaola, SCJJ) BETWEEN H.E
More informationOPINION POLL ON CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM TOP LINE REPORT SOCIAL INDICATOR CENTRE FOR POLICY ALTERNATIVES
OPINION POLL ON CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM TOP LINE REPORT SOCIAL INDICATOR CENTRE FOR POLICY ALTERNATIVES OCTOBER 2016 The Centre for Policy Alternatives (CPA) is an independent, non-partisan organisation
More informationNDP Leads Going Into the Final Week, but the Gap is Narrowing
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE NDP Leads Going Into the Final Week, but the Gap is Narrowing Weaver most popular leader by far Toronto, May 1 st In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among
More informationKenya: Trial of William Samoei Ruto and Joshua arap Sang at the International Criminal Court
B R I E F I N G P A P E R Kenya: Trial of William Samoei Ruto and Joshua arap Sang at the International Criminal Court SEPTEMBER 2013 ON SEPTEMBER 10, 2013, the trial of William Samoei Ruto and Joshua
More informationMinnesota Public Radio News and Humphrey Institute Poll. Coleman Lead Neutralized by Financial Crisis and Polarizing Presidential Politics
Minnesota Public Radio News and Humphrey Institute Poll Coleman Lead Neutralized by Financial Crisis and Polarizing Presidential Politics Report prepared by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance
More information