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1 1 MARCH 2015 POLITICAL SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE MARCH 25-29, 2015 N=1,500 QUESTIONS 1-2, 14a-d, 15, 16b-d HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE NO QUESTIONS 3-13, 16a Next, Q.16 Would you say your overall opinion of [INSERT NAME; RANDOMIZE ITEMS b-d WITH ITEM e ALWAYS LAST] is very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly UNfavorable, or very unfavorable? How about [NEXT NAME]? [IF NECESSARY: Just in general, is your overall opinion of [NAME] very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly UNfavorable, or very unfavorable?] [INTERVIEWERS: PROBE TO DISTINGUISH BETWEEN NEVER HEARD OF AND CAN T RATE. ] Favorable Unfavorable Never Can t rate/ Total Very Mostly Total Very Mostly heard of Ref e. Benjamin Netanyahu Mar 25-29, Feb 18-22, NO QUESTIONS 17-19, 23-24, 28-29, 31, 34-39, 42, 46, QUESTIONS 20-22, 25-27, 30, 32-33, 40-41, 43-45, HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE On a different subject Q.57 In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians, how much do you sympathize with [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE]? A lot, some, not much, or not at all? And how much do you sympathize with [NEXT ITEM]? A lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/Ref a. Israel Mar 25-29, Aug 20-24, b. The Palestinians Mar 25-29, Aug 20-24, NO QUESTIONS 58-59, QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE Q.70 How much, if anything, have you heard about negotiations between the United States and Iran on Iran s nuclear program? Have you heard [READ IN ORDER] Mar Dec 3-8 Oct 30-Nov A lot A little Nothing at all Don t know/refused In December 2013, question referred to the recent agreement between the United States and Iran on Iran s nuclear program. In November 2013, question referred to recent international talks regarding Iran s nuclear enrichment program.
2 2 QUESTION 70 TREND FOR COMPARISON CONTINUED TRENDS FOR COMPARISON: How much, if anything, have you read or heard about the dispute over Iran s nuclear program? Have you heard Mar 7-11 Feb 8-12 Jan Sept 30-Oct 4 Sep Feb A lot A little Nothing at all * Don t know/refused * 2 * 1 1 Q.71 From what you know, do you approve or disapprove of the United States negotiating directly with Iran over the issue of its nuclear program? TREND FOR COMPARISON: The agreement between the United States and Iran on Iran s nuclear program Mar Sep 30-Oct 4 Sep Dec Approve Disapprove Don t know/refused NO QUESTIONS Q.74 Do you think Iranian leaders are serious about addressing international concerns about their country s nuclear enrichment program, or not? BASED ON THOSE WHO HAVE HEARD A LOT OR A LITTLE [N=1,204]: Mar Dec 3-8 Oct 30-Nov Serious Not serious Don t know/refused 9 7 Q.75 In your view, who should have the final authority for approving any nuclear agreement between the United States and Iran [READ AND RANDOMIZE]? Mar Congress 29 President Obama 4 Depends 5 Don t know/refused 3 4 In January 11-16, 2012, the question read: recent tensions between the U.S. and Iran over Iran s nuclear program and disputes in the Persian Gulf. In February 2006, question read: The Iranian government recently said it will resume research on nuclear technology, despite opposition from other countries. How much, if anything, have you read or heard about this? In September 2006, question read: From what you know, would you favor or oppose the United States negotiating directly with Iran over the issue of its nuclear program?
3 3 QUESTION 75 TREND FOR COMPARISON CONTINUED TRENDS FOR COMPARISON: Deciding whether the U.S. should conduct military strikes against Syria Sep Congress 30 President Obama 2 Depends 6 Don t know/refused Deciding whether the U.S. should invade Iraq with ground troops Gallup/CNN/USA Today: October Congress 40 President Bush 2 Depends 4 Don t know/refused Deciding whether the U.S. should send ground troops to serve in a combat situation in Yugoslavia Gallup/CNN/USA Today: May Congress 31 President Clinton 1 Depends 4 Don t know/refused NO QUESTIONS QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or independent? ASK IF INDEP/NO PREF/OTHER/DK/REF (PARTY=3,4,5,9): PARTYLN As of today do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? No Other Lean Lean Republican Democrat Independent preference party DK/Ref Rep Dem Mar 25-29, * Feb 18-22, Jan 7-11, Dec 3-7, Nov 6-9, * Oct 15-20, * Sep 2-9, Aug 20-24, Jul 8-14, Apr 23-27, Jan 23-Mar 16, Yearly Totals
4 4 PARTY/PARTYLN CONTINUED No Other Lean Lean Republican Democrat Independent preference party DK/Ref Rep Dem Post-Sept Pre-Sept ASK REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS ONLY (PARTY=1 OR PARTYLN=1): TEAPARTY3 From what you know, do you agree or disagree with the Tea Party movement, or don t you have an opinion either way? BASED ON REPUBLICANS AND REPUBLICAN LEANERS [N=627]: Not No opinion Haven t heard of/ Agree Disagree either way heard of Refused DK Mar 25-29, Feb 18-22, * * -- Jan 7-11, Dec 3-7, Nov 6-9, Oct 15-20, Sep 2-9, Aug 20-24, * 2 -- Jul 8-14, Apr 23-27, Jan 23-Mar 16, Feb 14-23, Jan 15-19, * -- Dec 3-8, Oct 30-Nov 6, Oct 9-13, Sep 4-8, Jul 17-21, Jun 12-16, May 23-26, May 1-5, Mar 13-17, Feb 13-18, Feb 14-17, Jan 9-13,
5 5 TEAPARTY3 CONTINUED... Not No opinion Haven t heard of/ Agree Disagree either way heard of Refused DK Dec 5-9, * -- Oct 31-Nov 3, 2012 (RVs) Oct 4-7, Sep 12-16, Jun 28-Jul 9, Jun 7-17, May 9-Jun 3, Apr 4-15, Mar 7-11, Feb 8-12, Jan 11-16, Jan 4-8, Dec 7-11, Nov 9-14, * 1 -- Sep 22-Oct 4, Aug 17-21, * 1 -- Jul 20-24, * 1 -- Jun 15-19, May 25-30, Mar 30-Apr 3, * 1 -- Mar 8-14, * -- Feb 22-Mar 1, Feb 2-7, Jan 5-9, Dec 1-5, Nov 4-7, Oct 27-30, 2010 (RVs) Oct 13-18, 2010 (RVs) Aug 25-Sep 6, 2010 (RVs) * 9 Jul 21-Aug 5, Jun 16-20, * 19 May 20-23, Mar 11-21, Key to Pew Research trends noted in the topline: Pew Research Center/USA Today polls 5 In the February 2-7, 2011, survey and before, question read do you strongly agree, agree, disagree or strongly disagree with the Tea Party movement In October 2010 and earlier, question was asked only of those who had heard or read a lot or a little about the Tea Party. In May 2010 through October 2010, it was described as: the Tea Party movement that has been involved in campaigns and protests in the U.S. over the past year. In March 2010 it was described as the Tea Party protests that have taken place in the U.S. over the past year.
1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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