Why Canada is a Great Sourcing Option for Wood Pellets
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- Dominick Cole
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1 Why Canada is a Great Sourcing Option for Wood Pellets RISK IDENTIFICATION IN THE WOOD PELLET SUPPLY CHAIN Scott Bax, Senior VP Operations, Pinnacle Renewable Energy Inc. 8 th Biomass Pellets Trade & Power Conference
2 WHAT IS CANADIAN SUPPLY CHAIN RISK? FIBRE MANUFACTURING QUALITY LOGISTICS 2
3 WHY BUYING FROM CANADA MAKES GOOD SENSE You need a supply of wood pellets, what should you consider? Proximity & Logistics distance to Japan, port infrastructure Fibre feedstock Availability, consistency; security, sustainability, quality Transport Infrastructure reliable, safe Manufacturing experience and technology safety, quality, best available technologies Financial muscle well funded owners / producers; stable fibre suppliers Economic & Political Stability well managed, politically stable & AAArated LOW RISK SUPPLIABILITY 2
4 WHAT IS CANADIAN SUPPLY CHAIN RISK? Internal : Controllable External : Uncontrollable 4
5 GEOGRAPHIC RISK ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL STABILITY Source: Coface Website 5
6 GEOGRAPHIC RISK PROXIMITY AND ACCESS Soma, Japan to: Sailing Time Prince Rupert, BC 11.5 days Long Beach, CA 15.0 days Chesapeake, VA Perth, Australia Jakarta, Indonesia Saigon, Vietnam Shanghai, China 30.0 days 15.0 days 11.0 days 8.0 days 4.0 days 6
7 FEEDSTOCK RISK LONG TERM FIBRE SECURITY Global Leaders; Long Term Contractable Quantity & Abundance of Fibre Fibre Supplier Reliability 7
8 FEEDSTOCK RISK SUSTAINABILITY & FOREST MANAGEMENT Source of raw material? Meets all local and national legislation? Ø Forestry & Environmental laws Ø Conservation and habitat laws Ø Labour Laws Ø Welfare, Health & Safety laws Forest Management Certification Chain of Custody Certification Greenhouse Gas Certification Paid up stumpage, taxes and duties Land use change Deforestation Contamination 8
9 FEEDSTOCK RISK SUBSTITUTION, MIXING AND ALTERNATIVE USE Substitution Risks: Ø Tropical Hardwood Ø Agricultural residue (husks) Ø MSW, RDF, SRF etc Mixing Risks: Ø Different types of Fuels Ø Certified with non-certified pellets Ø Legal with illegal raw material Ø Legal with illegal pellets Alternative use Risks: Ø Demand & Supply of pellets Animal comfort Sorbent Domestic markets Ø Demand & Supply of wood fibre Lumber Chips for fuel or pulp MDF, OSB, 9
10 MANUFACTURING RISKS Manufacturing experience? Ø How long in the business Ø Safety record Ø Manufacturing record Ø Maintenance record Best Available Manufacturing Technology? Regular Capital Expenditure? Ø Updated & upgraded equipment Quality? Ø Handleability Ø NCV / heat Ø Chemistry; Trace elements Ø Ash content & melting behavior Ø Consistency 10
11 INFRASTRUCTURE RISKS Inland Transportation: Ø Roads Ø Rail Ø Intermodal points Ø Critical points Ports: Ø Safety Ø Labor Ø Draft (air and water) Ø Services Export Terminals: Ø Storage Ø Surveys Ø Sampling Ø Loading 11
12 SERVICES RISKS Load Port Services Ø Supervision Ø Surveys Ø Sampling and Testing Biomass Services Ø Sustainability and GHG audits Ø Wood traceability Ø Stumpage / Tax payment verification General Services Ø Export administration Ø Fuel and Power Ø Telecommunications 12
13 COUNTERPARTY RISK Financial capacity Credit wrap availability Customer default risk Long term contract competency Business risks Ø Key personnel Ø Business processes Ø Planning and control Ø Cultural risk Ø Mitigation and contingency Proven supply capability to Japan 13
14 FINANCIAL RISK Basic Risk Capital Risk Country Risk Default Risk Economic Risk Exchange RateRisk Interest Rate Risk Liquidity Risk Operations Risk Payment System Risk Political Risk Refinancing Risk Reinvestment Risk Settlement Risk Sovereign Risk Underwriting Risk 14
15 CANADIAN WOOD PELLET CAPACITY Total Canadian Capacity About 4 million Tonnes BC has 58% of Canadian Wood Pellet Capacity 42% of Canadian capacity would logistically flow through the East coast. Pinnacle Pacific Bioenergy OtherBC Central Canada Eastern Canada 15
16 WHY BUYING FROM CANADA MAKES GOOD SENSE Geography 1.5 weeks sailing to Japan Available feedstock 55 million hectares of forest lands, 1.5 times area of Japan. Fibre security long term contracts with established Canadian sawmillers Sustainability 95% forests are certified to international standards Quality made primarily from clean sawmilling residuals, consistent high heat I2 standard. Port Infrastructure 2 deep water modern ports, west coast Terminal Infrastructure most modern pellet terminal in the world, panamax capable Transport Infrastructure dependable rail and road network with world class operators Manufacturing experience & technology 25 yrs of experience & many sites utilize BAT Financial muscle well funded owners; stable fibre suppliers Economic and Political Stability well managed, politically stable and AAA rated LOW RISK SUPPLIABILITY 16
17 Canadian Wood Pellets Leading the World Scott Bax, Senior Vice President, Operations Pinnacle Renewable Energy Inc
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