CENTER FOR EAST EUROPEAN AND ASIAN STUDIES (CEEAS)

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1 CENTER FOR EAST EUROPEAN AND ASIAN STUDIES (CEEAS) EASTERN PARTNERSHIP: THE ROAD SO FAR Mihail E. Ionescu (ed.) (#l MILITARY PUBLISHING HOUSE BUCHAREST, 2013

2 CONTENTS Abbreviations 11 Introduction - Dr. Mihail E. Ionescu 13 PART ONE - The EaP Road So Far The Eastern Partnership: a tool to involve the Citizens, build democracy and provide security - Mihaela-Adriana Pädureanu Introduction Research design Methodology The institutionellframework EaP Platforms 1 and Platform 1 - Democracy, stability and good governance Implementingplatform Armenia Azerbaijan Belarus Georgia Republic of Moldova Ukraine Platform 4 - People to people contacts Implementing the platform Armenia Azerbaijan Belarus Georgia Republic of Moldova Ukraine Conclusions 66 The Eastern Partnership - Platform 2: Economic Integration and Convergence with EU Policies - Mihai-Bogdan Popescu Introduction Ukraine Moldova The South Caucasus countries Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia Belarus 89

3 6 CENTER FOR EAST EUROPEAN AND ASIAN STUDIES 5. Conclusions 90 The Eastern Partnership: Platform 3 - The Energy Security and the Eastern Partnership - Angela Grämadä Introduction The issue of energetic security and Eastern Partnership Why Does the EU Need an Energy Platform in the Eastern Partnership Framework? Evaluating Energy Security Needs of the Eastern Partnership's Member States Armeni a Azerbaijan Belarus Georgia The Republic of Moldova Ukraine Conclusions 126 The Eastern Partnership's ßoad So Far: An Assessment of the EaP Multilateral Track's Performance - Dr. Simona R. Soare Introduction Research design The Development of the EaP's multilateral track The assessment of the EaP multilateral track's Performance Economic challenges that obstruct the EaP's Performance Institutional challenges that obstruct the EaP's Performance Regional competition, rival integration models obstructing EaP Performance Conclusions 191 PART TWO - A Regional View of EaP Introductory remarks - H.E., Jiri Sitler, Ambassador ofthe Czech Republic to Romania 201 Introductory remarks -H.E. Iurie Renitä, Ambassador of the Republic of Moldova to Romania 203 Introductory remarks - H.E. Ilya Giorgadze, Ambassador of Georgia to Romania 205 Introductory remarks - H.E. Teofil Bauer, Ambassador of Ukraine to Romania 208 Introductory remarks - Mrs. Magdalena Bogdziewicz, Charge d'affairs, Embassy of the Republic of Poland to Romania 212 Introductory remarks - Alexei Babenko, 1" Secretary of the Russian Federation Embassy to Romania 215 The Eastern Partnership: challenges and opportunities for regional Cooperation in the South Caucasus - Mikayel Avetisyan 216

4 EASTERN PARTNERSHIP: THE ROAD SO FAR 7 The Role of Georgia in the EU-funded Programme for the Prevention, Preparedness and Response to Man-made and Natural Disasters in the ENPI East Region - Dr. Nika Chitadze Introduction PPRD program Objectives Program Purposes Georgia: one of the active members in PPRD Risk types in Georgia. General overview The Role ofthe Civil Society of Georgia in increasing public awareness on the EU, the Eastern Partnership and PPRD Project (EU Studies) overview Goal ofthe project Expected results Sharing the EU member states' experience and Establishing a Crisis Management System in Georgia 230 S, 1. Current Realities (including criteria)for Institutional Arrangement Conclusions 231 Institutional Incentives in Structuring Ethnic Conflict Resolution - Dr. Irina Khmelko and Dr. Krista E. Wiegand Ethnic Conflict and Territorial Separatist Movements Cultural Legacies ofthe Past or Institutions? Democratic Institutional Mechanisms and Nonviolent Conflict Resolution Methodology Rindings and Analysis Conclusions 247 Institution Building in the EAP countries: A Structure vs. Process Analysis - Dr. Simona R. Soare Introduction Research design An assessment of EaP Performance in the iield of civil crisis management Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia The Republic of Moldova Ukraine Conclusions 275 The effectiveness of Eastern Partnership on the Ukrainian Dimension - Olena Snigyr 280

5 CENTER FOR EAST EUROPEAN AND ASIAN STUDIES The economic crisis and its impact on the European Integration process in the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine - Angela Grämadä 287 Energy Security in Central and Eastern Europe The Southern Gas Corridor and Its Prospects - Dr. Radu Dudäu Introduction The Southern Gas Corridor: economic and policy background Nabucco and the Southern Gas Corridor TANAP, TAP and Nabucco West South Stream Conclusion 309 The Eastern Partnership Roadmap versus the European Enlargement Strategy: Main Objectives and Challenges - Agnes Nicolescu Introduction Russia's role in the shared neighborhood Challenges for the EU in giving more substance to the Eastern Partnership Economic conditionality between Russia and the EU The EU and Russia's modernization agenda Russia's rising profile inside the BRIC Group Conclusions 321 Promoting Civil Society in the Eastern Partnership: The case of Belarus - Ryhor Nizhnikau Introduction Civil society in democracy promotion Socialization as an Instrument of norm promotion Linkage and Leverage in Belarus Increasing linkage and empowering civil society? Civil Society in the framework ofeap Civil society in the Eastern Partnership National platform of the EaP Conclusion 337 The Legitimization of new institutions in the Eastern Partnership: The role of an empowered civil society - Mihaela Adriana Pädureanu Collected data - the Republic of Moldova and Ukraine Republic of Moldova Ukraine Conclusions 348 Integrated Border Security Aspects: Bulgarian Academic Experience and Development Perspectives - Dr. Zlatagor Minchev Introduction Methodology & Software Implementation 351

6 EASTERN PARTNERSHIP: THE ROAD SO FAR 9 3. Generalized border security model National academic activities related to model identified potential gaps Conclusions 357 Securing the EU's eastern neighbors' borders against non-conventional risks: Role of the Eastern Partnership - Dr. erban Filip Cioculescu The border between Moldova and Ukraine Border between Armenia and Georgia 367 CONCLUSIONS - Dr. Mihail E. lonescu 370 Index 375

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