National Survey Results 18 General Election Likely Voters Political Environment, Trends & Analysis April 24, 18 John McLaughlin On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com
Direction: United States Time Series 8 7 Right Direction 64 62 63 64 64 61 64 62 65 64 66 69 66 66 66 67 62 62 55 27 29 31 29 28 29 32 35 28 28 28 29 26 27 26 26 28 28 Wrong Track 59 56 56 56 58 52 52 54 54 55 48 41 38 39 36 38 37 38 34 35 April 18 2
7 April 18 39 Direction: United States 55 Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. 6 3 East 39 55 Midwest 38 55 South 41 54 West 39 55 Trump Voter 74 22 Clinton Voter 12 83 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 76 22 Generic Vote GOP 71 24 Generic Vote DEM 11 85 Generic Vote UND 32 Vote Cong To Reelect 58 39 Vote Cong Give New Person Chance 32 63 Approve Trump 79 16 Disapprove Trump 7 89 Approve GOP Majority 75 21 Disapprove GOP Majority 21 76 Swamp GOP Leaders Helping 71 25 Swamp GOP Leaders Not Helping 35 63 Freedom/Rights Threatened Agree 41 55 Freedom/Rights Threatened Disagree 56 Republican 75 21 Democrat 13 83 Independent 32 87 Liberal 78 Moderate 29 63 Conservative 63 31 No College Degree 41 52 College Graduate 38 58 White 46 48 African- American 17 75 Hispanic 29 66 Under 55 38 56 Over 55 42 53 Men 45 Women 34 59 R W
Job Rating: Donald Trump Time Series 7 Approve Disapprove 48 41 47 48 45 51 49 49 44 48 46 51 51 47 48 47 53 53 53 52 53 52 44 45 46 46 46 45 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2//17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 April 18 4
7 45 26 19 52 14 38 APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref. April 18 Job Rating: Donald Trump 3 5 App. Disapp. East 42 56 Midwest 43 55 South 49 47 West 43 54 Trump Voter 87 12 Clinton Voter 8 9 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority Generic Vote GOP 83 15 Generic Vote DEM 8 9 Generic Vote UND 42 45 Vote Cong To Reelect 62 37 Vote Cong Give New Chance 38 Approve Trump -- Disapprove Trump -- Approve GOP Majority 84 14 Disapprove GOP Majority 22 76 Swamp GOP Helping 76 23 Swamp GOP Not Helping 36 62 Freedom Threatened Agree 46 51 Freedom Threatened Disagree 42 56 Republican 84 15 Democrat 12 86 Independent 42 52 Liberal 21 79 Moderate 33 63 Conservative 73 24 No College Degree 78 48 College Graduate 41 56 White 53 45 African- American 14 79 Hispanic 34 62 Under 55 42 54 Over 55 48 49 Men 49 48 Women 41 56
Opinion: Donald Trump Time Series 7 65 62 35 37 33 Favorable Unfavorable 49 49 45 44 46 46 48 52 51 52 54 54 54 54 55 53 46 46 44 42 43 43 43 42 41 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 April 18 6
7 41 24 18 53 16 37 FAV. Very Smwt UNFAV. Smwt Very NO OPIN. April 18 Opinion: Donald Trump 7 6 Fav. Unfav. East 37 57 Midwest 39 55 South 46 47 West 38 59 Trump Voter 85 12 Clinton Voter 5 9 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 84 13 Generic Vote GOP 8 17 Generic Vote DEM 7 9 Generic Vote UND 28 Vote Cong To Reelect 37 Vote Cong Give New Chance 34 62 Approve Trump 89 7 Disapprove Trump 2 96 Approve GOP Majority 81 16 Disapprove GOP Majority 78 Swamp GOP Helping 74 24 Swamp GOP Not Helping 35 64 Freedom Threatened Agree 44 52 Freedom Threatened Disagree 36 61 Republican 8 17 Democrat 85 Independent 36 56 Liberal 18 8 Moderate 26 67 Conservative 71 22 No College Degree 43 College Graduate 38 58 White 49 46 African- American 11 79 Hispanic 32 62 Under 55 39 55 Over 55 44 51 Men 46 49 Women 36 57
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2//17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress Time Series Democrat Republican Undecided 42 43 43 44 41 41 41 41 43 41 42 43 41 42 42 41 51 48 41 42 42 44 44 42 44 43 46 43 44 42 41 42 42 43 43 43 43 44 45 44 45 41 42 42 45 42 41 42 43 43 46 45 45 45 43 44 44 45 43 44 44 44 44 4444 41 42 42 4343 16 19 17 17 16 15 18 16 17 17 18 17 14 14 14 15 13 13 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 16 14 13 13 14 13 12 15 14 12 13 13 13 14 April 18 8
7 43 GOP 24 April 18 Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress 11 8 44 28 6 14 Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. 9 GOP DEM. UND. East 38 44 18 Midwest 41 48 1 South 47 39 14 West 48 12 Trump Voter 84 6 11 Clinton Voter 5 87 8 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 74 11 16 Generic Vote GOP Generic Vote DEM Generic Vote UND Vote Cong To Reelect 59 35 7 Vote Cong Give New Chance 37 49 14 Approve Trump 79 8 13 Disapprove Trump 13 76 12 Approve GOP Majority 83 11 6 Disapprove GOP Majority 23 65 12 Swamp GOP Helping 77 18 5 Swamp GOP Not Helping 39 55 7 Freedom Threatened Agree 45 43 12 Freedom Threatened Disagree 39 49 12 Republican 93 4 3 Democrat 4 89 7 Independent 34 34 32 Liberal 17 77 6 Moderate 27 51 22 Conservative 76 15 9 No College Degree 43 43 15 College Graduate 43 45 12 White 49 37 14 African- American 12 75 13 Hispanic 39 11 Under 55 42 45 12 Over 55 43 42 15 Men 46 42 12 Women 45 15
Job Rating: GOP Majority in Congress Time Series 7 Approve Disapprove 57 58 58 57 35 36 37 36 34 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 April 18
7 Job Rating: GOP Majority in Congress 34 24 57 27 31 APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref. April 18 11 9 App. Disapp. East 35 59 Midwest 34 57 South 38 53 West 27 64 Trump Voter 62 32 Clinton Voter 11 82 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority Generic Vote GOP 66 31 Generic Vote DEM 9 85 Generic Vote UND 16 Vote Cong To Reelect 54 41 Vote Cong Give New Chance 25 67 Approve Trump 64 29 Disapprove Trump 9 84 Approve GOP Majority Disapprove GOP Majority Swamp GOP Helping 74 22 Swamp GOP Not Helping 23 74 Freedom Threatened Agree 36 58 Freedom Threatened Disagree 35 Republican 7 25 Democrat 11 81 Independent 22 64 Liberal 76 Moderate 24 64 Conservative 54 38 No College Degree 36 52 College Graduate 32 63 White 37 55 African- American 19 7 Hispanic 35 56 Under 55 35 56 Over 55 33 59 Men 39 55 Women 59
7 There will be a congressional election in November of this year. Would you vote to reelect your member of Congress or would you like to give a new person a chance? April 18 31 Reelect New Person DK/Ref. 9 RE New East 31 62 Midwest 61 South 32 58 West 31 Trump Voter 42 53 Clinton Voter 26 65 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 23 72 Generic Vote GOP 43 51 Generic Vote DEM 24 68 Generic Vote UND 15 63 Vote Cong To Reelect Vote Cong Give New Chance Approve Trump 43 Disapprove Trump 22 69 Approve GOP Majority 49 44 Disapprove GOP Majority 22 7 Swamp GOP Helping 49 46 Swamp GOP Not Helping 64 Freedom Threatened Agree 32 Freedom Threatened Disagree 32 62 Republican 48 46 Democrat 26 64 Independent 19 7 Liberal 34 56 Moderate 23 68 Conservative 38 54 No College Degree 28 63 College Graduate 35 56 White 32 African- American 21 66 Hispanic 33 58 Under 55 59 Over 55 32 61 Men 34 59 Women 29 61 12
7 Who do you trust more to actually keep their campaign promises? 31 6 27 2 28 Trump GOPs DEMs All None DK April 18 6 T R D None East 23 8 29 32 Midwest 5 27 29 South 35 7 23 26 West 4 32 29 Trump Voter 68 1 17 Clinton Voter 2 3 61 28 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 66 2 5 26 Generic Vote GOP 63 13 2 16 Generic Vote DEM 2 59 32 Generic Vote UND 19 2 4 55 Vote Cong To Reelect 48 9 23 16 Vote Cong Give New Chance 34 5 29 35 Approve Trump 67 8 5 14 Disapprove Trump 1 4 47 41 Approve GOP Majority 15 8 11 Disapprove GOP Majority 16 1 39 39 Swamp GOP Helping 55 19 11 9 Swamp GOP Not Helping 28 3 34 31 Freedom Threatened Agree 33 6 27 28 Freedom Threatened Disagree 26 26 32 Republican 64 15 2 15 Democrat 5 1 65 23 Independent 26 3 Liberal 11 6 52 25 Moderate 17 4 Conservative 57 9 8 18 No College Degree 32 6 28 25 College Graduate 29 6 26 33 White 37 6 21 29 African- American 6 4 52 25 Hispanic 23 6 36 Under 55 27 8 29 27 Over 55 35 4 24 31 Men 33 7 26 29 Women 28 5 28 28 13
7 Do you want congressional leadership to support, or oppose the President s agenda? April 18 43 44 13 Support Oppose DK/Ref. Sup Opp East 39 45 Midwest 42 45 South 48 39 West 38 Trump Voter 87 4 Clinton Voter 6 83 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 87 5 Generic Vote GOP 83 7 Generic Vote DEM 6 8 Generic Vote UND 34 31 Vote Cong To Reelect 62 32 Vote Cong Give New Chance 37 51 Approve Trump 88 4 Disapprove Trump 6 81 Approve GOP Majority 8 Disapprove GOP Majority 23 68 Swamp GOP Helping 77 18 Swamp GOP Not Helping 36 56 Freedom Threatened Agree 46 43 Freedom Threatened Disagree 38 52 Republican 82 8 Democrat 8 81 Independent 41 39 Liberal 17 76 Moderate 51 Conservative 72 17 No College Degree 45 41 College Graduate 48 White 52 37 African- American 72 Hispanic 32 54 Under 55 39 47 Over 55 48 Men 47 44 Women 39 45 14
President Trump made several campaign promises, like repealing Obamacare and building a wall along the southern border, that have not been realized. Knowing this, among President Trump, the Democrats in Congress, the Republicans in Congress, and the Swamp, who is most responsible for not achieving these priorities? 7 33 27 34 Trump GOPs DEMs The Swamp April 18 17 16 DK T R D Swamp East 34 27 31 18 Midwest 34 26 38 14 South 32 26 32 17 West 33 29 37 21 Trump Voter 25 27 48 25 Clinton Voter 45 28 21 11 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 9 39 46 46 Generic Vote GOP 23 27 51 23 Generic Vote DEM 46 22 12 Generic Vote UND 17 23 18 Vote Cong To Reelect 37 26 36 17 Vote Cong Give New Chance 32 29 34 18 Approve Trump 21 25 49 25 Disapprove Trump 44 29 23 11 Approve GOP Majority 28 22 49 15 Disapprove GOP Majority 38 32 26 Swamp GOP Helping 36 27 41 14 Swamp GOP Not Helping 39 33 31 24 Freedom Threatened Agree 34 28 36 19 Freedom Threatened Disagree 32 26 14 Republican 24 25 49 23 Democrat 44 29 24 Independent 27 31 Liberal 55 34 23 Moderate 31 25 29 16 Conservative 21 25 48 24 No College Degree 29 22 36 16 College Graduate 37 33 33 19 White 27 37 African- American 45 25 9 Hispanic 36 32 38 Under 55 38 28 32 14 Over 55 26 26 37 23 Men 34 35 21 Women 32 24 33 15 15
7 Are you more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who supports, and would vote for, the impeachment of President Trump? 43 28 MORE Much More April 18 15 Smwt More 42 LESS 6 Smwt Less 36 Much Less 9 No Diff 16 6 DK/ Ref. ML East 44 Midwest 42 42 South 41 44 West 46 41 Trump Voter 19 75 Clinton Voter 71 13 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 9 82 Generic Vote GOP 74 Generic Vote DEM 7 14 Generic Vote UND 28 Vote Cong To Reelect 43 49 Vote Cong Give New Chance 43 41 Approve Trump 18 75 Disapprove Trump 66 16 Approve GOP Majority 27 66 Disapprove GOP Majority 55 29 Swamp GOP Helping 38 57 Swamp GOP Not Helping 49 Freedom Threatened Agree 44 44 Freedom Threatened Disagree 44 41 Republican 22 72 Democrat 7 16 Independent 34 41 Liberal 76 13 Moderate 45 32 Conservative 7 No College Degree 39 46 College Graduate 47 37 White 38 48 African- American 62 19 Hispanic 54 Under 55 48 36 Over 55 36 49 Men 43 42 Women 42 42 LL
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? "I am concerned that the American traditions of freedom and individual rights are being threatened by growing social movements, public bullying and increasing political violence." 9 8 7 8 48 32 14 Agree Strongly Smwt Dis- Agree April 18 9 Smwt 6 6 Strongly DK/Ref. 17 Agree Disagr. East 81 14 Midwest 8 15 South 81 12 West 77 17 Trump Voter 85 13 Clinton Voter 79 14 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 88 11 Generic Vote GOP 85 13 Generic Vote DEM 78 16 Generic Vote UND 7 13 Vote Cong To Reelect 83 15 Vote Cong Give New Chance 8 15 Approve Trump 83 13 Disapprove Trump 8 15 Approve GOP Majority 84 14 Disapprove GOP Majority 81 15 Swamp GOP Helping 83 15 Swamp GOP Not Helping 85 13 Freedom Threatened Agree Freedom Threatened Disagree Republican 85 13 Democrat 77 15 Independent 78 14 Liberal 8 16 Moderate 77 15 Conservative 83 12 No College Degree 76 16 College Graduate 84 12 White 83 13 African- American 71 15 Hispanic 76 19 Under 55 75 17 Over 55 86 Men 84 12 Women 76 16
7 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? My elected officials in Washington share my level of concern for the threats to my freedom.." 39 13 6 53 Agree Strongly Smwt Dis- Agree April 18 29 Smwt 24 9 Strongly DK/Ref. 18 Agree Disagr. East 38 53 Midwest 41 48 South 39 53 West 37 56 Trump Voter 47 49 Clinton Voter 37 52 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 22 73 Generic Vote GOP 47 Generic Vote DEM 36 54 Generic Vote UND 23 56 Vote Cong To Reelect 59 35 Vote Cong Give New Chance 31 61 Approve Trump 48 47 Disapprove Trump 31 59 Approve GOP Majority 61 37 Disapprove GOP Majority 28 65 Swamp GOP Helping 64 34 Swamp GOP Not Helping 64 Freedom Threatened Agree 54 Freedom Threatened Disagree 37 58 Republican 52 43 Democrat 38 51 Independent 26 64 Liberal 51 Moderate 36 53 Conservative 53 No College Degree College Graduate 37 56 White 39 53 African- American 37 47 Hispanic 55 Under 55 42 Over 55 35 56 Men 39 55 Women 38
Following are two different opinions regarding Congress passing government spending bills. Please tell me which opinion most closely reflects your own personal opinion Lisa Smith who says it's better that Congress pass one giant spending bill in a simple allor-nothing process to make sure important areas are funded, even if unpopular or controversial items are included in the final bill. OR, Mary Jones says it's better that lawmakers pass smaller bills with more amendments, longer periods of debate and scrutiny for each individual government program and agency so that we aren't paying for unpopular or controversial items. 7 April 18 One Giant Spending Bill 58 Smaller Bill 22 DK/Ref. One Small East 21 57 Midwest 18 61 South 22 53 West 17 64 Trump Voter 61 Clinton Voter 21 57 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 15 7 Generic Vote GOP 22 62 Generic Vote DEM 59 Generic Vote UND 14 43 Vote Cong To Reelect 23 61 Vote Cong Give New Chance 19 59 Approve Trump 22 59 Disapprove Trump 18 59 Approve GOP Majority 26 56 Disapprove GOP Majority 17 63 Swamp GOP Helping 29 51 Swamp GOP Not Helping 16 72 Freedom Threatened Agree 21 61 Freedom Threatened Disagree 17 55 Republican 22 Democrat 22 54 Independent 15 61 Liberal 62 Moderate 56 Conservative 58 No College Degree 23 51 College Graduate 16 66 White 18 62 African- American 28 37 Hispanic 19 59 Under 55 23 54 Over 55 15 63 Men 23 61 Women 17 56 19
At the end of March, Congress passed, and President Trump signed, an omnibus spending bill of over 2, pages that few people had time to read. The omnibus spending bill grew the government with $1.3 TRILLION in spending through just September of this year. It added military spending and continued full funding of Planned Parenthood, sanctuary cities, while refusing to fund President Trump s wall. Knowing this, who do you hold responsible for passing this bill into law? 45 35 25 15 5 15 18 14 6 36 2 Trump GOPs DEMs Swamp All None DK April 18 T R D Swmp All East 17 17 15 3 39 Midwest 15 16 13 8 38 South 15 19 16 4 31 West 14 19 13 7 39 Trump Voter 16 16 15 36 Clinton Voter 17 24 14 2 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 5 7 15 Generic Vote GOP 15 17 17 35 Generic Vote DEM 17 23 14 1 33 Generic Vote UND 8 6 6 5 49 Vote Cong To Reelect 21 18 17 5 31 Vote Cong Give New Chance 13 19 14 6 38 Approve Trump 15 14 18 36 Disapprove Trump 16 22 12 2 36 Approve GOP Majority 18 15 22 8 Disapprove GOP Majority 14 22 5 39 Swamp GOP Helping 17 4 Swamp GOP Not Helping 14 25 12 8 37 Freedom Threatened Agree 16 18 15 6 37 Freedom Threatened Disagree 14 22 15 6 29 Republican 17 17 18 9 34 Democrat 18 16 17 2 26 Independent 9 19 7 7 Liberal 19 14 1 27 Moderate 16 18 12 4 Conservative 11 19 17 37 No College Degree 15 14 16 6 34 College Graduate 16 22 13 5 39 White 13 15 14 7 38 African- American 19 22 11 1 28 Hispanic 19 15 24 4 28 Under 55 22 15 5 31 Over 55 8 17 13 7 43 Men 16 22 13 7 37 Women 14 19 16 4 35
On a scale from 1-5, with 1 being not concerned at all, 3 being neutral and 5 being very concerned, how concerned are you about the DC Swamp? 7 6 4 2 Non Concerned / 1-2 April 18 24 1 2 Neutral / 3 19 36 55 4 5 Concerned 15 DK/ Ref. 21 Not Con. Neut. Concerned East 5 28 53 Midwest 5 24 52 South 7 24 56 West 6 22 57 Trump Voter 5 18 68 Clinton Voter 8 27 44 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 3 11 83 Generic Vote GOP 5 68 Generic Vote DEM 8 27 46 Generic Vote UND 5 31 38 Vote Cong To Reelect 8 24 56 Vote Cong Give New Chance 5 24 57 Approve Trump 5 19 67 Disapprove Trump 7 27 47 Approve GOP Majority 7 25 59 Disapprove GOP Majority 6 23 56 Swamp GOP Helping 8 29 57 Swamp GOP Not Helping 5 17 69 Freedom Threatened Agree 5 22 Freedom Threatened Disagree 11 38 Republican 6 66 Democrat 9 29 42 Independent 3 25 58 Liberal 9 28 51 Moderate 6 31 45 Conservative 4 15 67 No College Degree 6 26 College Graduate 6 22 White 5 22 59 African- American 8 31 37 Hispanic 8 32 49 Under 55 7 29 48 Over 55 4 19 63 Men 7 24 61 Women 5 25 49
How important, on a scale from 1-5, is it to eliminate the influence of the network of DC-centric professional bureaucrats, media, and insider elites who some call the swamp, from the way Washington works? 7 6 Not Important April 18 3 3 24 1 2 Neutral / 3 21 39 4 5 Important DK/ Ref. 22 Not Imp. Neut. Imprtnt. East 6 29 55 Midwest 5 21 66 South 5 23 61 West 7 26 59 Trump Voter 5 19 72 Clinton Voter 8 27 51 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 1 12 84 Generic Vote GOP 5 18 73 Generic Vote DEM 7 28 52 Generic Vote UND 3 32 48 Vote Cong To Reelect 8 22 66 Vote Cong Give New Chance 5 25 61 Approve Trump 4 19 72 Disapprove Trump 8 27 53 Approve GOP Majority 6 24 67 Disapprove GOP Majority 6 23 61 Swamp GOP Helping 7 25 64 Swamp GOP Not Helping 7 18 71 Freedom Threatened Agree 5 21 66 Freedom Threatened Disagree 12 39 46 Republican 5 17 74 Democrat 8 32 46 Independent 5 23 63 Liberal 11 26 57 Moderate 4 33 51 Conservative 4 14 73 No College Degree 5 27 57 College Graduate 7 21 66 White 5 23 64 African- American 7 28 44 Hispanic 12 23 58 Under 55 7 27 55 Over 55 4 21 68 Men 6 25 66 Women 6 24 56
7 Is the Republican Leadership helping drain the swamp, or supporting the swamp that President Trump promised to drain? 17 Helping to Drain April 18 46 Supporting the Swamp 37 DK/Ref. 23 Help Drain Supp. Swamp East 41 Midwest 14 46 South 18 46 West 16 Trump Voter 29 39 Clinton Voter 8 54 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 9 61 Generic Vote GOP 31 41 Generic Vote DEM 7 57 Generic Vote UND 7 22 Vote Cong To Reelect 27 44 Vote Cong Give New Chance 13 49 Approve Trump 29 37 Disapprove Trump 8 55 Approve GOP Majority 37 31 Disapprove GOP Majority 7 59 Swamp GOP Helping Swamp GOP Not Helping Freedom Threatened Agree 18 48 Freedom Threatened Disagree 18 44 Republican 32 36 Democrat 9 51 Independent 11 Liberal 17 56 Moderate 11 44 Conservative 24 41 No College Degree 16 43 College Graduate 18 White 17 47 African- American 12 36 Hispanic 19 Under 55 21 Over 55 12 53 Men 19 49 Women 15 43
April 18 24 Who or what are the top three impediments to draining the DC Swamp? 7 39 42 35 36 45 14 17 3 Advisors/ Bureaucrats GOPs DEMs Media Lobbyists The FBI / Justice Dept. Others Refused
Advisors/ Bureaucrats GOP Leadership DEM Leadership The Media Lobbyists The FBI/ Justice East 39 39 34 39 41 16 Midwest 38 38 32 39 49 13 South 39 43 35 36 43 15 West 39 46 37 31 45 12 Trump Voter 39 33 55 56 43 22 Clinton Voter 42 56 18 19 47 8 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 43 41 58 57 43 26 Generic Vote GOP 37 32 56 54 44 22 Generic Vote DEM 43 56 17 21 49 7 Generic Vote UND 32 28 25 29 36 12 Vote Cong To Reelect 36 41 41 38 44 16 Vote Cong Give New Chance 42 44 33 37 47 14 Approve Trump 37 31 55 52 42 21 Disapprove Trump 42 53 18 23 49 8 Approve GOP Majority 38 31 53 49 43 18 Disapprove GOP Majority 43 52 26 31 12 Swamp GOP Helping 38 36 48 52 39 21 Swamp GOP Not Helping 45 61 37 33 57 13 Freedom Threatened Agree 42 43 37 39 47 15 Freedom Threatened Disagree 35 46 32 32 42 13 Republican 36 33 54 55 43 22 Democrat 51 19 42 11 Independent 42 41 32 35 11 Liberal 47 62 19 23 49 9 Moderate 39 41 25 28 43 Conservative 34 54 53 45 22 No College Degree 39 33 36 41 16 College Graduate 38 46 36 36 13 White 41 38 49 15 African- American 47 23 29 Hispanic 28 42 28 34 36 15 Under 55 36 42 33 37 38 12 Over 55 43 42 37 35 54 18 Men 42 47 39 36 51 12 Women 37 38 36 16 25
April 18 26 Which should be the overarching mission of Congressional Leadership in 18? 7 53 46 55 36 34 4 8 Serve People / Over Global & Corp. Eliminate Unelected Influence Keep Camp. Promises Repond to Crisis Eliminate Waste, Fraud, Abuse Others Refused
Serve the People Eliminate Influence Keep Camp. Promises Respond to Crisis Eliminate Waste East 46 33 43 35 58 Midwest 54 38 42 33 54 South 55 37 36 56 West 51 33 44 Trump Voter 55 38 54 36 55 Clinton Voter 37 34 35 52 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 58 59 35 66 Generic Vote GOP 56 37 53 35 57 Generic Vote DEM 55 39 33 34 55 Generic Vote UND 39 27 35 46 Vote Cong To Reelect 51 37 55 33 53 Vote Cong Give New Chance 56 38 44 36 59 Approve Trump 54 38 53 34 56 Disapprove Trump 52 35 35 34 55 Approve GOP Majority 53 33 52 36 53 Disapprove GOP Majority 55 42 43 35 Swamp GOP Helping 49 31 53 32 47 Swamp GOP Not Helping 61 44 47 35 61 Freedom Threatened Agree 56 49 37 61 Freedom Threatened Disagree 43 38 24 33 Republican 52 36 55 35 57 Democrat 45 26 45 23 29 Independent 54 36 36 34 55 Liberal 49 35 36 45 Moderate 54 33 34 55 Conservative 53 38 52 33 57 No College Degree 49 45 52 College Graduate 57 42 46 58 White 54 37 44 34 57 African- American 59 28 55 31 42 Hispanic 47 35 43 31 47 Under 55 51 31 46 34 Over 55 55 41 46 34 61 Men 56 41 49 32 58 Women 43 36 52 27
April 18 28 Which of the following issues would you say are the most important issues facing the country? 7 51 48 29 29 26 23 16 14 5 Jobs / Econ. Protect Const. Rights Resist Trump Border Security Reduce Size/Scope Gvt Pol. Correct Eliminate DC Culture Other DK/ Ref. Obama Care
Jobs/ Econ. Const. Rights Resist Trump Border Security Size Govt. End ObamaCare East 43 27 27 14 Midwest 53 49 28 26 13 South 43 49 29 26 16 West 54 49 31 28 22 13 Trump Voter 45 53 11 53 33 25 Clinton Voter 55 42 52 11 16 6 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 37 53 11 53 43 21 Generic Vote GOP 45 53 51 34 24 Generic Vote DEM 55 44 52 15 6 Generic Vote UND 57 45 15 35 Vote Cong To Reelect 46 51 28 36 27 18 Vote Cong Give New Chance 53 47 27 26 13 Approve Trump 43 55 52 32 25 Disapprove Trump 57 42 47 9 21 6 Approve GOP Majority 49 54 13 49 25 24 Disapprove GOP Majority 52 46 42 18 27 Swamp GOP Helping 48 49 15 44 26 21 Swamp GOP Not Helping 47 43 26 28 11 Freedom Threatened Agree 52 51 28 15 Freedom Threatened Disagree 48 32 27 23 18 15 Republican 44 54 12 51 29 26 Democrat 54 41 48 14 8 Independent 55 49 26 26 36 Liberal 54 39 52 13 9 Moderate 57 48 23 26 Conservative 42 53 14 46 34 23 No College Degree 51 47 27 34 24 15 College Graduate 51 49 32 22 28 13 White 49 48 26 34 16 African- American 53 47 42 11 11 7 Hispanic 55 43 35 23 22 14 Under 55 52 46 28 24 22 17 Over 55 31 35 31 11 Men 48 45 32 29 15 Women 54 51 26 27 23 14 29
Thinking specifically about these issues, among President Trump, the Republicans in Congress, and the Democrats in Congress, who is best at addressing these issues? 7 27 8 24 14 Trump GOPs DEMs All None DK April 18 9 T R D All East 25 8 22 17 Midwest 21 27 14 South 31 8 West 26 5 14 Trump Voter 58 12 2 12 Clinton Voter 3 3 13 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 59 6 2 Generic Vote GOP 56 15 2 13 Generic Vote DEM 2 2 51 12 Generic Vote UND 14 3 8 17 Vote Cong To Reelect 41 11 21 8 Vote Cong Give New Chance 21 7 27 16 Approve Trump 57 12 3 13 Disapprove Trump 2 4 43 12 Approve GOP Majority 17 7 15 Disapprove GOP Majority 15 4 37 11 Swamp GOP Helping 18 13 14 Swamp GOP Not Helping 26 6 32 9 Freedom Threatened Agree 29 7 25 14 Freedom Threatened Disagree 22 11 26 Republican 56 16 1 13 Democrat 3 3 55 13 Independent 23 6 14 14 Liberal 7 47 11 Moderate 16 5 26 15 Conservative 48 11 8 12 No College Degree 27 8 24 14 College Graduate 27 7 24 11 White 32 8 19 13 African- American 5 8 17 Hispanic 21 7 36 12 Under 55 26 9 25 Over 55 28 7 23 17 Men 29 9 25 13 Women 25 7 23 13
Do you support or oppose efforts by states like California or cities like Chicago, who have refused to comply with federal immigration law and will not cooperate with federal authorities in order to arrest suspected criminals who are in the U.S. illegally? 7 37 21 16 52 15 37 12 SUPP. Strongly Smwt OPPOSE Smwt Strongly DK/Ref. April 18 31 Supp Oppose East 39 49 Midwest 34 54 South 33 54 West 43 Trump Voter 17 79 Clinton Voter 59 26 App DJT/Disapp GOP Majority 13 85 Generic Vote GOP 17 79 Generic Vote DEM 57 28 Generic Vote UND 32 42 Vote Cong To Reelect 37 55 Vote Cong Give New Chance 38 52 Approve Trump 18 77 Disapprove Trump 53 33 Approve GOP Majority 25 71 Disapprove GOP Majority 47 43 Swamp GOP Helping 36 61 Swamp GOP Not Helping 44 52 Freedom Threatened Agree 37 55 Freedom Threatened Disagree 47 Republican 19 77 Democrat 57 26 Independent 33 54 Liberal 69 21 Moderate 38 49 Conservative 15 74 No College Degree 33 54 College Graduate 42 White 33 58 African- American 49 27 Hispanic 49 42 Under 55 41 47 Over 55 31 58 Men 38 54 Women 35
18 Likely General Election Voter Profile Party Total Age Total Race Total Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71% Democrat 36% - 19% African American 12% Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11% Ideology % 56-65 % Asian 4% Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender % Moderate 39% Male 47% Conservative 35% Female 53% April 18 32
Methodology This survey of 1, likely general election voters nationwide was conducted on April 17 th 22 nd, 18. All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a nationwide general election. This poll of 1, likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations. March 17
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