WIDEWATER & WINDING CREEK ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS REDISTRICTING COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATION

WIDEWATER & WINDING CREEK ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS REDISTRICTING COMMITTEE RECOMMENDATION

AGENDA Introduction General Information Redistricting Committee Attendance Area Policy Goals Options Recommendation

General Information 2015 2024 Student Enrollment Projections ORED (Consultant) 10 year Forecast Elementary School Enrollment Concerns WES Short & Long Term WCES Mid & Long Term

General Information ES Enrollment Forecast Grades K-5 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 ANTHONY BURNS ES 950 760 762 789 814 813 814 827 824 817 818 CONWAY ES 950 910 912 966 999 1013 1011 1010 1010 1013 1017 FALMOUTH ES 794 535 536 565 583 576 582 592 594 600 602 FERRY FARM ES 732 628 628 647 636 630 629 625 623 625 622 GARRISONVILLE ES 768 517 516 531 538 539 552 556 556 562 564 GRAFTON VILLAGE ES 754 573 572 560 563 559 558 560 561 560 553 HAMPTON OAKS ES 950 801 803 820 805 784 781 775 772 762 758 HARTWOOD ES 649 584 586 604 614 614 618 624 627 644 664 KATE WALLER BARRETT ES 950 776 778 814 829 829 817 815 819 818 811 MARGARET BRENT ES 950 887 886 897 905 898 900 898 898 904 906 MONCURE ES 754 689 690 716 717 723 721 722 721 723 718 PARK RIDGE ES 843 598 599 594 552 547 551 542 543 534 533 ROCKHILL ES 843 613 611 612 587 582 582 571 565 544 542 ROCKY RUN ES 950 820 821 849 845 847 844 842 842 843 838 STAFFORD ES 794 704 704 727 731 737 735 738 740 739 731 WIDEWATER ES 843 880 883 908 896 897 902 907 910 930 962 WINDING CREEK ES 925 738 746 842 923 960 1014 1055 1078 1171 1306 Totals 14399 12014 12033 12439 12537 12549 12611 12657 12684 12788 12946

General Information Rebuild Moncure ES Start 2015 Construction Start 2017 Open Sep 2018 950 Student 196 Student Increase

Redistricting Committee WES & WCES Redistricting Committee Relief to WES & WCES Starting 2015 2016 School Year Goal WES/MES/HOES/KWBES 90 95% Utilization Rate School Year WES Decrease 90 135 Students MES Increase < 35 Students HOES- Increase 50 95 Students KWBES Increase 25 70 Students

Redistricting Committee WES & WCES Redistricting Committee Goal WCES/PRES WCES Decrease 45-90 Students PRES Increase < 90 Students Stakeholders WES MES PRES HOES KWBES WCES

Redistricting Committee WES & WCES Redistricting Committee Membership Associate Superintendent (Voting) Chief Elementary Officer (Voting) Principals from each School (Voting One per School) Parent Representative(s) from each School (Up to Two Reps) Demographic Planner (Facilitator) Asst. Superintendent for Operations (Facilitator) Pupil Transportation (Non-voting) Student Services (Non-voting) One Vote per School

Redistricting Committee WES & WCES Redistricting Committee Greg Machi Anna Killion Emily Fallen Kristen Nash Chad Armstrong Steven Wert Lisa Billingsly Kim Austin Allen Hicks Barbara Warren Rebecca Wardlow Flavia Hall Moncure Principal Moncure Parent Moncure Parent Widewater Principal Widewater Asst Principal Widewater Parent Widewater Parent Kate Waller Barrett Principal HOES Asst Principal Hampton Oaks Parent Winding Creek Principal WCES Asst Principal Mary Ellen Samuelsen Winding Creek Parent Meg Crane Keana Butler Winding Creek Parent Park Ridge Principal Nicole Gramenopoulos Park Ridge - PTO Pam Kahle Carrie Neeley Scott Horan Pat Druash Susan Clark Barry Sudduth Jacqui Mejeur Valerie Cottongim Associate Superintendent Chief Elementary Education Assistant Superintendent Facilities Demographics Planner Student Services Transportation Administrative Assistant Public Information Officer

Redistricting Committee WES & WCES Redistricting Committee Time Line SB Approved Strategy Oct 28, 2014 1 st Redistricting Meeting Nov 18, 2014 2 nd Redistricting Meeting Dec 2, 2014 3 rd Redistricting Meeting Dec 16, 2014 SB Work Session Jan 12, 2015 Public Hearing Jan 14, 2015 SB Agenda Item (Info) Jan 27, 2015 SB Agenda Item (Action) Feb 10, 2015

Policy 1403 Attendance Zone Policy Proximity of schools to student residences, Walking distances, Walking and busing safety, Impact on neighborhoods, Contiguous school attendance areas, Student Accommodation Reports, Distribution of programs and resources, Comparative long-term costs, Frequency of previous changes for affected neighborhoods Forecasted school enrollment and capacity, Busing times and costs, Natural and man-made geographic features, School feeder patterns, Capital Improvement Plan, Socioeconomic characteristics of school populations, Overall impact on families and students, Parental Input

OPTIONS

OPTION 1 Hills of Aquia and Port Aquia to MES, APU 169 to KWBES, APU 167 to HOES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in KWBES* (+39) 817 56.35 56.6 447 878 92.42 950 HOES (+45) 848 57.97 58.2 463 850 89.47 950 MES* (+28) 721 22.52 22.7 154 753 99.87 754 WES* (-112) 768 46.49 41.7 375 766 90.87 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (2014-15 +3, +18) *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for

OPTION 1a Hills of Aquia and Port Aquia to MES, APU 169 to KWBES, APU 167 to HOES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R % Estimate 12/16/2014 Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in KWBES (+39) 817 56.35 56.6 447 878 92.42 950 HOES (+45) 848 57.97 58.2 463 850 89.47 950 MES (+25) 721 22.52 22.7 154 753 99.87 754 WES (-109) 768 46.49 41.7 375 766 90.87 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (2014-15 +3, +18) *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) End Result 2015-16 Enrollment Forecast Result 2015-16 Add Two Modulars Main Building in 2015-16 % in 2015-16 MES (+25) 721 753 50 671 88.99 754 Main Building in % in 703 93.24 754 PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES meets goal for

OPTION 2 Port Aquia & Potomac Hills to MES, APU 167 to HOES, & 169 to KWBES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimat e Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Results % in KWBES (+39) 817 56.35 56.6 447 878 92.42 950 HOES (+45) 848 57.97 58.2 463 850 89.47 950 MES (+55) 745 25.5 22.7 154 762 101.06 754 WES (-139) 744 45.82 41.7 375 757 89.80 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for MES does not meet goal for WES does not meet goal for

OPTION 2a End Result Port Aquia & Potomac Hills to MES, APU 167 to HOES, & 169 to KWBES 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Results % in KWBES* (+39) 817 56.35 56.6 447 878 92.42 950 HOES (+45) 848 57.97 58.2 463 850 89.47 950 MES* (+55) 745 25.5 22.7 154 762 101.06 754 WES (-139) 744 45.82 41.7 375 757 89.80 843 3154 3247 * Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run - 10 Students Option - Add two Modular Units to MES 2015-16 2015-16 End Result Forecast Add Two Enrollment Result Modulars Main Building in 2015-16 % in 2015-16 MES (+25) 745 762 50 695 92.18 754 Main Building in % in 712 94.43 754 PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for MES meets goal for WES does not meet goal for

OPTION 3 Aquia Harbor to HOES, Hills of Aquia & Port Aquia to MES; Woodstream,Staffordborough, Foxwood Village, & Sunningdale to MES, APU 167 to HOES, and APU 169 to KWBES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in 2017-18 HOES (+75)*** 899 30.55 56.6 447 943 99.26 950 KWBES (+39)** 817 56.35 58.2 463 878 92.42 950 MES (-5)*,**,*** 667 55.12 22.7 154 657 87.14 754 WES (-109)* 771 48.28 41.7 375 769 91.22 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hills of Aquia - WES to MES - 3 students in 2014-15, 18 in ** Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run - 10 students in - MES to KWBES *** Adjustment for anticipated growth in Aquia Town Center - 21 in 2015/16, 63 students by 2017/18. MES to HOES PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for

OPTION 4 Modulars until Moncure Rebuild - Opens in 2018-19 2015-16 Forecast 2015-16 Add 2 Modulars Main Building % Widewater 883 50 833 843 98.81 2016-17 Forecast 2016-17 Add 2 Modulars Main Building % Widewater 908 100 808 843 95.85 Forecast No Additions Main Building % Widewater 896 100 796 843 94.42 PROS Defers Redistricting Until New MES CONS Stress on CORE Facilities @ WES Additional Cost for Lease and Operation

OPTION 5 End Result Hills of Aquia, Port Aquia & APU 167 to HOES, APU 169 to KWBES, Foxwood Village to MES, Villages of Aquia to SES 2015-16 Enrollme nt F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in HOES (-129) 674 36.54 56.6 447 668 70.32 950 KWBES** (+39) 817 56.35 58.2 463 888 93.47 950 MES*, ** (+125) 818 44.00 22.7 154 858 113.79 754 WES* (-109) 771 45.00 41.7 375 759 90.04 843 SES (+74) 778 26.25 23.40 161 805 101.39 794 3858 3978 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (2014-15 +3, +18) *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for SES does not meet goal for

OPTION 6 Hills of Aquia, Port Aquia, Villages of Aquia & APU 167 to HOES, APU 169 to KWBES, Sunningdale, Staffordborough, and Woodstream MES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in HOES (+39) 842 33.65 56.6 447 844 88.84 950 KWBES* (+39) 817 56.35 58.2 463 878 92.42 950 MES* (+23) 713 26.00 22.7 154 730 96.82 754 WES (-101) 782 45.00 41.7 375 795 94.31 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run - 10 students from MES to HOES PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for

OPTION 7 End Result Hills of Aquia and Port Aquia to MES, APU 169 to KWBES, APU 167 to HOES, Cabin Creekwood & Colonial Terrace from KWBES to PRES 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in KWBES** (-2) 776 57.00 56.6 447 837 88.11 950 HOES (+45) 848 57.97 58.2 463 850 89.47 950 MES*,** (+28) 718 22.52 22.7 154 753 99.87 754 PRES (+41) 640 24.43 21.7 129 593 70.34 843 WES* (-112) 771 46.49 41.7 375 766 90.87 843 3753 3799 Note: If APU 156 moves from WCES to PRES, result for PRES would be: End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in PRES (+119) 718 22.00 21.7 129 671 79.60 843 *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (2014-15 +3, +18) *Adjustment for anticipated new home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) PROS WES meets goal for CONS KWBES, HOES, MES and PRES do not meet goal for

OPTION 8 PART 1 Hills of Aquia and Port Aquia to HOES, APU 169 to KWBES, Sunningdale and Staffordborough to MES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimated Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in HOES (+50) 853 52.96 56.6 447 855 KWBES* (+39) 817 56.35 58.2 463 878 MES* (+20) 710 28.97 22.7 154 727 WES (-109) 774 47.79 41.7 375 787 90.00 92.42 96.42 93.36 950 950 754 843 3154 3247 * forecast adjusted by 10 students due to anticipated growth from Hampton Run Subdivision

PART 2 Foxwood Village, Villages of Aquia, and APU 167 to HOES from MES, Potomac Hills from WES to HOES End Result 2018-19 Enrollment Estimated F&R % in 2018-19 HOES (-41) 743 38.22 78.21 950 KWBES (+39) 868 56.35 91.37 950 MES (+184) 907 44.10 95.47 950 WES (-182) 715 47.79 84.82 843 3233 *2018-19 forecast adjusted by 15 students due to anticipated growth from Hampton Run Subdivision PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for MES meets goal for 2018-19

OPTION 9 - APU 156 from WCES to PRES & Shelton Woods from WCES to GES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students 2017-2018 Forecast Result % in 2017-18 PRES (+78) 677 28.37 21.7 129 630 74.73 843 WCES* (-78) 660 18.61 17.0 126 793 85.73 925 GES* (+52) 524 26.20 25.5 143 590 76.82 768 1861 2013 *2015-16 Enrollment increases by a projected 8 students for GES in 2015-16 and decreases by 8 for WCES. Shelton Woods has not built houses - total build out with an additional 44 students is reflected in. PROS CONS WCES reduced to allow for growth PRES does not meet goal for WCES does not meet goal for GES does not meet goal for

OPTION 10 - Aquia Harbor to HOES, Hills of Aquia & Port Aquia to MES; Woodstream,Staffordborough, Foxwood Village, & Sunningdale to MES, and APU 169 to KWBES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in 2019-20 HOES (+33) 836 31.98 56.6 447 838 88.21 950 KWBES (+39) 817 56.35 58.2 463 878 92.42 950 MES (+37) 730 54.60 22.7 154 744 98.67 754 WES (-109) 771 48.91 41.7 375 787 93.35 843 3154 3247 *Adjustment for anticipated home growth - Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (2014-15 +3, +18) *Adjustment for anticipated home growth in Hampton Run from MES to KWBES ( - +10 students) PROS CONS KWBES meets goal for HOES does not meet goal for WES meets goal for MES does not meet goal for

OPTION 12 Aquia Harbor to HOES, Hills of Aquia & Port Aquia to MES; Woodstream,Staffordborough, Foxwood Village, & Sunningdale to MES, and APU 169 to KWBES End Result 2015-16 Enrollment F&R Estimate Nov F&R % Nov F&R Students Forecast Result % in 2019-20 HOES (+30) 854 30.55 56.6 447 898 94.53 950 KWBES (+39) 817 56.35 58.2 463 878 92.42 950 MES (+40) 712 55.12 22.7 154 702 93.10 754 WES (-109) 771 48.28 41.7 375 769 91.22 843 3154 3247 Note: Adjustments for anticipated growth in Aquia Town Center (21 in 2015/16, 63 students by 2017/18) from MES to HOES; new home growth in Hills of Aquia from WES to MES (3-2014/15, 18-2017/18), and new home growth in Hampton Run (10-2017/18 from MES to KWBES) PROS All schools meet goals for CONS Large numbers of students moved - too drastic change per MES

OPTION 13 PART 1 Hills of Aquia and Port Aquia to from WES to HOES; APU 169 from MES to KWBES, Sunningdale and Staffordborough to from HOES to MES, Cabin Creekwood & Colonial Terrace from KWBES to PRES; APU 156 from WCES to PRES; Shelton Woods from WCES to GES End Result 2015-16 Enrollm ent F&R Nutritio n Nov F&R % Nutritio n Nov F&R Student s Forecast Result % in HOES (+50) 853 52.96 58.2 447 855 90.00 950 KWBES (+8) 776 56.35 56.6 463 837 88.11 950 MES (+20) 710 28.97 22.7 154 727 96.42 754 WES (-109) 774 47.79 41.7 375 787 93.36 843 PRES (+119) 718 22.97 21.7 129 671 79.60 843 GES (+52) 524 25.50 25.5 143 590 76.82 768 WCES (-130) 660 17.51 17.0 126 793 85.73 925 5015 5260 *2015-16 increase of 8 students from WCES to GES in 2015-16, 52 students in for Shelton Woods * increase of 10 students from MES to KWBES for Hampton Run Subdivison

PART 2 Villages of Aquia from MES to HOES; Foxwood Village from HOES to MES; Potomac Hills from WES to HOES; and APU 167 from MES to HOES PROS HOES meets goal for WES meets goal for 2018-19 % in 2018-19 End Result 2018-19 Enrollment F&R Estimate HOES (-41) 743 38.22 78.21 950 KWBES (+8) 837 56.35 88.11 950 MES (+174) 897 44.10 94.42 950 WES (-182) 715 47.49 84.82 843 PRES(+119) 666 22.97 79.60 843 GES(+52) 611 25.50 76.82 768 WCES(-130) 830 17.51 85.73 925 5299 CONS MES does not meet goal for 2018-19 & 19-20 KWBES does not meet goal for 2015-16, 17-18 HOES does not meet goal in 2018-19 WES does not meet goal in 2018-19

Recommendation Option #13 Combines Option #8 and #9 Redistricted Rising 8 th Graders Be Allowed to Stay at Current School But Must Provide Own Transportation Will Not Apply to Siblings No Transfers Will be Approved from Redistricted Neighborhoods