National Likely General Election Voter Survey November 14 th, 17 On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com
Methodology This survey of 1, likely general election voters nationwide was conducted on Nov. 9 th to 13 th, 17. All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a nationwide general election. This poll of 1, likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
Direction: United States - Time Series- Right Direction Wrong Track 8 7 6 64 62 63 61 64 646462 6564 6669 66666667 62 6255 48 525256565659 31 29 2729 28 29 32 3839 36 3837 34 28 28 28 26 29 27 2626 28283541 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/172//173//174/24/175/31/178/28/17/13/17 11/14/17
8 7 6 Direction: United States 34 59 Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. 8 RD WT East 35 58 Midwest 32 61 South 34 56 West 32 61 Cont. Obama Pols. 12 84 Change Direction 59 33 Approve Trump 69 24 Disapprove Trump 6 89 Approve GOP Majority 69 25 Disapprove GOP Majority 17 78 Favorable Trump 7 23 Unfavorable Trump 7 88 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 9 87 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 65 27 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 65 28 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 86 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 23 57 Republican 63 29 Democrat 13 83 Independent 26 62 Liberal 18 78 Moderate 24 67 Conservative 55 36 No College Degree 35 55 College Graduate 32 63 White 39 53 African- American 83 Hispanic 32 6 Under 55 32 6 Over 55 37 57 Married 37 57 Single 29 62 Men 37 58 Women 31 59
Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to? Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the polices of President Obama - Time Series- Continue Obama Policies Change Direction 7 6 57 58 58 58 57 56 52 48 49 51 48 48 34 33 33 34 39 41 39 42 41 44 47 44 48 45 47 44 46 31 31 9/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2//17 3//17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 /13/17 11/14/17
Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to? Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the policies of President Obama 8 7 6 44 Continue Obama Policies 46 Change Direction 9 DK/Ref. Cont. Change East 45 41 Midwest 45 47 South 42 West 49 43 Cont. Obama Pols. Change Direction Approve Trump 12 85 Disapprove Trump 73 15 Approve GOP Majority 22 74 Disapprove GOP Majority 57 32 Favorable Trump 11 87 Unfavorable Trump 72 16 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 82 9 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 9 86 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 12 86 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 79 11 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 23 48 Republican 15 79 Democrat 8 14 Independent 35 48 Liberal 78 16 Moderate 49 37 Conservative 15 78 No College Degree 41 47 College Graduate 49 44 White 36 55 African- American 76 14 Hispanic 59 33 Under 55 49 42 Over 55 37 53 Married 42 51 Single 51 39 Men 43 49 Women 46 43
Job Rating: Donald Trump - Time Series- Approve Disapprove 7 6 48 41 47 45 48 51 48 44 49 48 49 46 51 51 47 48 47 53 44 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2//17 3//17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 /13/17 11/14/17
6 44 Job Rating: Donald Trump 22 23 53 13 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. 2 App. Disapp. East 58 Midwest 44 54 South 46 West 44 54 Cont. Obama Pols. 12 88 Change Direction 82 17 Approve Trump Disapprove Trump Approve GOP Majority 84 16 Disapprove GOP Majority 25 74 Favorable Trump 97 3 Unfavorable Trump 5 94 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 6 93 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 91 8 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 85 14 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 11 89 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 42 49 Republican 83 16 Democrat 12 86 Independent 42 55 Liberal 79 Moderate 34 64 Conservative 75 23 No College Degree 46 51 College Graduate 43 56 White 53 46 African- American 9 88 Hispanic 36 6 Under 55 41 57 Over 55 52 47 Married 48 Single 36 61 Men 48 51 Women 41 56
Opinion: Donald Trump - Time Series- Favorable Unfavorable 7 6 62 65 6 35 33 37 49 49 45 44 46 48 46 46 48 52 51 52 54 46 46 44 42 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2//17 3//17 4/24/17 5/31/17 8/28/17 /13/17 11/14/17
6 42 22 Opinion: Donald Trump 54 13 41 FAV. Very S mwt UNFAV. S mwt Very NO OPIN. 4 Fav. Unfav. East 38 58 Midwest 42 54 South 44 52 West 41 57 Cont. Obama Pols. 88 Change Direction 79 18 Approve Trump 92 6 Disapprove Trump 2 96 Approve GOP Majority 8 18 Disapprove GOP Majority 23 74 Favorable Trump Unfavorable Trump Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 5 92 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 87 11 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 83 15 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 9 89 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 37 51 Republican 81 17 Democrat 11 86 Independent 37 58 Liberal 19 79 Moderate 31 64 Conservative 71 25 No College Degree 43 53 College Graduate 41 56 White 47 African- American 8 82 Hispanic 33 65 Under 55 38 58 Over 55 49 49 Married 48 Single 34 61 Men 47 Women 37 58
7 6 Job Rating: GOP Majority in Congress 32 7 25 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. 62 25 37 6 App. Disapp. East 31 64 Midwest 32 63 South 35 6 West 29 65 Cont. Obama Pols. 16 79 Change Direction 52 44 Approve Trump 61 35 Disapprove Trump 9 86 Approve GOP Majority Disapprove GOP Majority Favorable Trump 61 35 Unfavorable Trump 11 85 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 9 86 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 59 37 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 63 33 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 9 87 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 66 Republican 61 33 Democrat 11 84 Independent 26 68 Liberal 23 74 Moderate 26 67 Conservative 45 48 No College Degree 35 58 College Graduate 28 68 White 37 58 African- American 11 8 Hispanic 32 64 Under 55 35 59 Over 55 28 69 Married 34 61 Single 61 Men 33 64 Women 32 61
Generic Ballot for Congress - Time Series- Democratic Republican Undecided 6 48 51 41 41 42 424 44 4443 44 42 43 41 43 42 4642 41 42 44 46 43 43434344 42 42 4144 4242 43 4343 43 45 44 44 45424543444445 444444 41 17 171817 141414 15 1313 14141312131313 16 141313141312 15 14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/172//173//174/24/175/31/178/28/17/13/17 11/14/17
6 22 Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress 11 8 46 7 14 GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. GOP DEM. UND. East 37 13 Midwest 47 13 South 43 42 15 West 37 13 Cont. Obama Pols. 83 7 Change Direction 74 11 14 Approve Trump 76 11 13 Disapprove Trump 77 13 Approve GOP Majority 78 14 9 Disapprove GOP Majority 21 64 15 Favorable Trump 79 12 Unfavorable Trump 11 76 13 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 5 87 8 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 78 8 14 Vote Cong. 18 GOP Vote Cong. 18 DEM Vote Cong. 18 - UND Republican 88 5 7 Democrat 4 92 4 Independent 37 33 Liberal 18 76 6 Moderate 25 54 21 Conservative 72 17 11 No College Degree 39 44 16 College Graduate 49 11 White 48 37 15 African- American 8 84 8 Hispanic 34 56 Under 55 49 12 Over 55 41 42 17 Married 46 14 Single 33 55 12 Men 42 47 11 Women 38 46 16
Top Priority of President Trump and the new Congress 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App. DJT Disapp. DJT Men Women ECONOMIC 47 45 45 54 46 47 42 45 48 36 6 47 6 37 35 6 46 Creating Jobs 35 33 32 37 32 32 28 28 31 19 42 31 42 34 19 19 31 Reducing Taxes 12 12 13 17 15 15 14 18 17 17 19 17 18 16 18 15 19 16 SECURITY 34 33 38 37 37 38 39 36 46 29 33 28 36 43 47 27 36 37 Nat l Sec./Terror 23 19 18 24 24 24 27 25 29 23 22 28 27 28 23 24 27 Stop/Mideast Refugees 7 5 14 6 6 6 7 6 6 2 5 5 9 11 2 7 6 Tear up Iran Nuke Deal. 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 3 3 5 1 1 1 2 5 6 4 2 Building Wall/Mexico 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 REPEAL/REPLACE OBAMACARE 13 16 11 11 15 11 12 17 5 15 6 11 18 18 7 13 D.K./REFUSED 6 6 6 5 7 6 5 5 4 1 6 5 7 3 3 6 3 4 14
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App. DJT Disapp. DJT Men Women ECONOMIC 38 38 38 37 36 32 39 36 36 37 34 34 37 37 34 Improving the Economy 14 14 13 13 14 13 11 9 14 11 12 13 11 12 11 12 Jobs/Unemployment 11 12 11 12 8 9 11 7 15 14 13 7 8 13 11 11 Wasteful Gov t Spending 8 8 6 6 7 8 7 8 6 7 6 7 7 7 6 7 6 Reduce Budget/Deficit 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 2 7 2 3 9 6 4 6 4 Hold Line/Taxes 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SOCIAL 24 29 24 25 29 27 29 23 35 27 23 23 35 27 31 Protect Medicare 11 14 12 11 13 14 16 9 17 22 15 12 11 16 16 Reform Healthcare 7 7 6 7 9 9 11 8 7 9 8 9 7 7 Improving Education 6 8 6 7 6 5 5 3 6 5 4 2 2 8 5 5 SECURITY 23 17 24 22 19 18 31 11 19 13 19 27 12 21 Nat l Sec./Terror 9 11 11 9 8 15 6 9 6 13 14 6 9 Defeat/Destroy ISIS 7 5 8 8 5 6 6 9 4 5 5 6 6 8 4 7 5 Fix Immigration 6 3 6 4 4 4 5 8 2 5 2 3 8 8 2 4 5 HONESTY/ INTEGRITY/D.C. 13 11 13 13 12 13 13 14 13 11 15 14 12 15 15 12 D.K./REFUSED 2 3 4 3 4 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 15
Current Opinion of the U.S. Economy 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons App. DJT Disapp. DJT Men Women NOT RECESSION 51 54 54 54 61 58 62 71 57 59 63 59 65 67 6 7 56 Getting Better 31 34 31 34 34 38 58 22 34 29 53 57 23 45 31 Getting Worse 19 23 24 26 24 25 13 35 25 33 31 12 37 25 24 RECESSION 37 35 33 34 29 27 23 31 26 28 27 25 25 28 22 31 Getting Better 24 22 22 19 17 17 16 18 13 16 14 15 18 21 12 14 18 Getting Worse 13 13 11 14 11 14 11 5 17 14 12 7 4 17 8 13 D.K./REFUSED 12 11 13 12 11 12 11 6 12 14 9 13 8 12 8 14 GETTING BETTER 54 57 53 51 53 76 36 44 44 71 78 34 59 49 GETTING WORSE 33 32 32 38 38 38 36 18 52 36 47 42 19 14 54 34 38 D.K./REFUSED 12 11 14 12 11 12 11 6 12 14 9 13 8 12 8 14 Net Diff. 21 25 21 12 13 13 18 58-17 14-4 2 51 64-25 11 16
Do you approve or disapprove of repealing and replacing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, also known as ObamaCare? -Time Series- Approve Disapprove 7 6 6 33 54 41 57 56 54 38 39 43 56 39 52 46 42 12/16 1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17
Approve/Disapprove: Repealing/ Replacing Obamacare 6 33 17 46 15 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. 5 App. Disapp. East 44 Midwest 49 48 South 55 39 West 45 52 Cont. Obama Pols. 16 81 Change Direction 86 11 Approve Trump 86 12 Disapprove Trump 21 75 Approve GOP Majority 79 17 Disapprove GOP Majority 35 62 Favorable Trump 87 Unfavorable Trump 22 74 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 15 82 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 85 11 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 85 12 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 18 79 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 57 31 Republican 83 14 Democrat 77 Independent 49 43 Liberal 25 73 Moderate 44 51 Conservative 75 No College Degree 52 42 College Graduate 47 White 57 39 African- American 17 78 Hispanic 45 49 Under 55 49 46 Over 55 52 44 Married 55 Single 43 53 Men 52 45 Women 48 47
Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services?- Time Series- Smaller Larger 6 5252 5555 56 5454 49 53 51 52 53 55 53 55 53 52 55 51 53 53 51 32 31 31 32 31 32 29 34 32 32 31 29 32 3131 31 34 32 34 32 32 31 32 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 /15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 8/17 /17 11/17
Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services? 8 7 6 33 17 Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref. Smaller Larger East 43 34 Midwest 51 33 South 51 33 West 54 Cont. Obama Pols. 33 49 Change Direction 67 19 Approve Trump 65 22 Disapprove Trump 38 42 Approve GOP Majority 55 33 Disapprove GOP Majority 49 33 Favorable Trump 66 21 Unfavorable Trump 38 42 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 31 48 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 69 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 68 23 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 35 46 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 52 15 Republican 64 25 Democrat 32 49 Independent 56 21 Liberal 56 Moderate 46 31 Conservative 69 16 No College Degree 49 32 College Graduate 52 34 White 55 29 African- American 37 42 Hispanic 42 39 Under 55 45 37 Over 55 59 25 Married 57 29 Single 44 38 Men 56 32 Women 45 33
Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump s plan to cut taxes? 6 56 28 28 /14/17 11/14/17 Approve 57 56 Disapprove 28 35 35 14 21 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. 9 App. Disapp. East 52 37 Midwest 54 33 South 6 34 West 54 39 Cont. Obama Pols. 31 6 Change Direction 86 9 Approve Trump 9 6 Disapprove Trump 28 61 Approve GOP Majority 9 6 Disapprove GOP Majority 39 52 Favorable Trump 91 5 Unfavorable Trump 59 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 27 64 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 9 6 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 91 5 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 28 63 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 48 28 Republican 89 6 Democrat 31 59 Independent 49 38 Liberal 35 57 Moderate 49 Conservative 8 13 No College Degree 58 32 College Graduate 53 39 White 62 African- American 39 54 Hispanic 49 Under 55 56 34 Over 55 56 37 Married 59 33 Single 54 35 Men 58 36 Women 54 35
Is it personally more important to you that Congress pass a bill to reform taxes or to cut taxes? 8 7 6 36 14 Reform Taxes Cut Taxes DK/Ref. Reform Cut East 43 41 Midwest 54 South 49 38 West 51 36 Cont. Obama Pols. 56 31 Change Direction 46 44 Approve Trump 46 45 Disapprove Trump 55 Approve GOP Majority 48 42 Disapprove GOP Majority 54 33 Favorable Trump 46 45 Unfavorable Trump 55 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 55 29 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 46 44 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 46 45 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 58 29 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 36 37 Republican 44 45 Democrat 53 31 Independent 52 33 Liberal 63 25 Moderate 45 37 Conservative 45 44 No College Degree 47 38 College Graduate 54 35 White 51 35 African- American 34 51 Hispanic 49 37 Under 55 47 38 Over 55 54 34 Married 52 34 Single 46 39 Men 55 38 Women 45 35
Which do you think is the most important goal for President Trump's tax cut plan: 9 8 7 6 31 Grow Economy Grow the economy to create millions of jobs Simplify the tax code Provide tax relief to middle income families 17 Simplify Tax Code /14/17 11/14/17 Grow Economy 31 Simplify Code 17 Tax Relief 39 43 43 Middle Income Tax Relief 8 Don't Know Econ. Code Relief East 32 15 42 Midwest 16 46 South 18 44 West 35 39 Cont. Obama Pols. 26 14 49 Change Direction 39 21 37 Approve Trump 43 19 35 Disapprove Trump 22 17 Approve GOP Majority 44 18 36 Disapprove GOP Majority 25 19 47 Favorable Trump 43 34 Unfavorable Trump 23 16 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 24 15 49 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 42 19 36 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 44 19 34 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 22 16 51 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 26 16 43 Republican 18 38 Democrat 25 16 47 Independent 19 43 Liberal 28 18 41 Moderate 15 46 Conservative 36 19 No College Degree 32 17 43 College Graduate 31 18 43 White 31 19 43 African- American 29 15 46 Hispanic 34 14 Under 55 34 17 38 Over 55 27 18 51 Married 18 45 Single 33 19 37 Men 36 21 37 Women 27 15 48
Do you support or oppose lowering the corporate tax rate for large and small businesses in the United States from 35% to %? 6 /14/17 11/14/17 Support 51 Oppose 34 37 37 17 12 SUPPORT Strongly Smwt OPPOSE Smwt Strongly DK/Ref. Support Oppose East 46 42 Midwest 44 44 South 56 31 West 52 38 Cont. Obama Pols. 34 55 Change Direction 7 19 Approve Trump 73 17 Disapprove Trump 32 56 Approve GOP Majority 72 17 Disapprove GOP Majority 41 49 Favorable Trump 75 16 Unfavorable Trump 33 55 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 58 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 74 17 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 75 15 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 31 58 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 45 31 Republican 73 17 Democrat 34 53 Independent 45 41 Liberal 33 57 Moderate 43 42 Conservative 72 18 No College Degree 52 34 College Graduate 49 41 White 53 36 African- American 36 47 Hispanic 55 33 Under 55 37 Over 55 52 39 Married 52 37 Single 48 39 Men 55 36 Women 46 38
Which do you think is the better way to pay for the tax cuts proposed by President Trump: Grow the economy to provide more jobs, higher wages and more tax revenue. Eliminating tax deductions and raising taxes on upper income taxpayers and businesses. 8 7 6 57 /14/17 11/14/17 Grow the Economy 57 57 Raise Taxes 35 35 35 Grow the Economy Raise Taxes Unsure 8 Growth Taxes East 6 32 Midwest 52 38 South 58 33 West 58 35 Cont. Obama Pols. 48 45 Change Direction 69 25 Approve Trump 72 22 Disapprove Trump 45 46 Approve GOP Majority 7 23 Disapprove GOP Majority 51 42 Favorable Trump 71 23 Unfavorable Trump 46 45 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 46 46 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 73 22 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 73 21 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 43 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 58 23 Republican 7 23 Democrat 46 45 Independent 56 35 Liberal 47 49 Moderate 53 36 Conservative 68 22 No College Degree 58 31 College Graduate 56 39 White 58 33 African- American 53 36 Hispanic 56 38 Under 55 57 36 Over 55 57 33 Married 59 33 Single 54 39 Men 6 35 Women 54 34
Do you approve or disapprove of eliminating all federal income tax deductions for state and local taxes that taxpayers pay on property and income taxes? 45 35 25 15 5 36 16 /14/17 11/14/17 Approve 39 36 Disapprove 37 45 45 23 22 19 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. App. Disapp. East 36 46 Midwest South 42 39 West 33 49 Cont. Obama Pols. 28 56 Change Direction 47 33 Approve Trump 33 Disapprove Trump 26 57 Approve GOP Majority 57 25 Disapprove GOP Majority 26 57 Favorable Trump 51 32 Unfavorable Trump 26 56 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 23 58 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 33 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 32 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 24 58 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 37 38 Republican 51 33 Democrat 26 54 Independent 32 47 Liberal 57 Moderate 35 42 Conservative 42 39 No College Degree 37 College Graduate 35 White 37 45 African- American 31 49 Hispanic 44 33 Under 55 42 37 Over 55 26 59 Married 36 47 Single 37 Men 39 49 Women 34 41
Do you approve or disapprove of KEEPING the federal income tax deductions for state and local taxes for property and income taxes for households who earn less than $, a year, BUT ELIMINATING the deduction for those who have ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOMES ABOVE $,? 7 6 59 29 /14/17 11/14/17 Approve 59 Disapprove 27 26 26 APP. Strongly Smwt DISAPP. Smwt Strongly DK/Ref. 12 14 33 App. Disapp. East 58 28 Midwest 63 22 South 52 West 66 Cont. Obama Pols. 56 31 Change Direction 64 21 Approve Trump 65 21 Disapprove Trump 56 Approve GOP Majority 63 22 Disapprove GOP Majority 58 28 Favorable Trump 65 Unfavorable Trump 56 Vote Pres. 16 Clinton 54 32 Vote Pres. 16 Trump 65 21 Vote Cong. 18 GOP 64 22 Vote Cong. 18 DEM 57 Vote Cong. 18 - UND 51 22 Republican 61 23 Democrat 52 34 Independent 65 19 Liberal 61 Moderate 55 28 Conservative 62 21 No College Degree 55 26 College Graduate 63 26 White 62 23 African- American 39 38 Hispanic 56 27 Under 55 55 29 Over 55 66 Married 62 25 Single 54 26 Men 65 24 Women 54 27
Voter Profile Party Total Age Total Race Total Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71% Democrat 36% - 19% African American 12% Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11% Ideology % 56-65 % Asian 4% Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender % Moderate 39% Male 47% Conservative 35% Female 53%