Tennessee 2018 Primary Election Results

Transcription

1 Special Report Tennessee 2018 Primary Election Results Tennessee Chamber of Commerce & Industry s Morning after Report: 2018 Primary Election On Thursday, August 2, 2018, Tennessee voters went to the polls to elect primary nominees for state and federal offices. For Tennessee s business community, 2018 is a significant election cycle that will usher in a new era of leadership in Tennessee to the Governor s office, the Tennessee General Assembly and a number of new congressional members. The Tennessee Chamber has been working to ensure this transition is smooth for business, meeting with candidates and talking to them about important business issues. It is crucially important that our new leaders work to maintain and enhance Tennessee s business climate with continued focus on workforce development and a strong business policy climate for economic growth. Let s look at the primary winners and begin to assess the general election matchups. Governor After a total of eight years in office, term limited Governor Bill Haslam s retirement spurred a vigorous multi-candidate primary race for both the Democratic and Republican nominations. Both primaries have been highly contested setting new records for campaign spending (over $51 million). Most attention has focused on high profile Republican candidates, who have spent the most and where the available polling data showed a tight race heading into Election Day. In the end political outsider Bill Lee decisively won the Republican nomination over former ECD Commissioner Randy Boyd, U.S. House member Diane Black and TN House Speaker Beth Harwell, respectively. In the Democratic primary former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean captured 75% of the vote and cruised to victory over State Representative Craig Fitzhugh. Now, both primary winners must quickly regroup as the general election is less than 100 days away. U.S. Senate As expected Congressman Marsha Blackburn (R-Brentwood) and former-gov. Phil Bredesen (D- Nashville) won their parties respective nominations to replace retiring Senator Bob Corker (R-Chattanooga). Both candidates have a broad swath of supporters statewide, and potentially this race has national implications for control of the U.S. Senate. Current public polling shows the Senate race to be tight; several national outlets are rating it a toss up. For the U.S. Senate race we expect a heated battle up until election day in November. We predict that by Labor Day voters will be unable to avoid these candidates as they make their case for the November general election. U.S. Congress Three of the nine Congressional seats were vacated this year, providing a number of open seat opportunities. Tim Burchett (TN-02), John Rose (TN-06) and Mark Green (TN-07) were victorious in the Republican primaries. Each of these Congressional seats are safe Republican with a voting index of R+20 or higher. Historical Note: In east TN Congressman Jimmy Duncan (TN-02, R-Knoxville) is retiring after 30 years in office. He was preceded in the

2 office by his father, John Duncan, Sr. Many have noted next year will be the first year since 1964 that a Duncan has not represented the Knoxville area in Congress. Tennessee Legislature: State Senate & State House Please see chart below for unofficial primary results. The State Legislature has an historic number of retirements this year, generating at least 24 races in the House and 3 in the Senate to fill these seats. If you add in the members who were appointed to fill previous vacancies in the past year and are running now, there will be more than 30 new legislators sworn into office in January There are also several hotly contested primaries for both Democrat and Republican incumbents across the state. Republicans will retain control of both Chambers in the Legislature in 2019, but this has been one the most interesting primary election seasons in recent memory. Incumbents Rep. Barry Doss, Rep. Tim Wirgau and Senator Reginald Tate were defeated in their reelection efforts. Background: Previous Election Year Outcomes Similar to a number of Southern states, Tennessee state and federal election results have almost entirely trended Republican since Democrats are predicting better performance in 2018, touting an energized base, strong and unified campaign message and increased candidates fielded in a number of contests. Looking at recent primary turnout it is difficult to predict what impact this will have in Tennessee s November election results. Below is a chart that shows political party performance in Tennessee. Election U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor St. Senate St. House R 5 R / 4 D R Dem control Dem control R 4 R / 5 D D Dem control Dem control R 4 R / 5 D D Rep control Dem control R 7 R / 2 D R Rep control Rep control R; open seat: tbd likely 7 R / 2 D open seat: tbd maintain Rep control maintain Rep control Below we have made our best effort to capture all of the primary results from across the state. Please note that these are unofficial results complied from the best sources available. Tennessee does not have run-offs in state and federal elections. Winners of each primary will face off in the general election in November. ##

3 GOVERNOR'S RACE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Diane Black 23.1% Karl Dean 75.0% Randy Boyd 24.4% Craig Fitzhugh 19.5% Beth Harwell 15.3% Mezianne Vale Payne 5.5% Bill Lee 36.6% Basil Marceaux 0.2% 1290 Kay White 0.4% 3167 TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% US SENATE RACE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Marsha Blackburn 84.5% Phil Bredesen 91.5% Aaron L. Pettigrew 15.5% Gay Davis 5.3% John Wolfe 3.2% TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% prepared by Chas TN Chamber 1

4 U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS re-elect 01 Mickie Lou Banyas 4.4% 4250 Marty Olsen James Brooks 5.2% 5053 Todd A. McKinley 16.7% Phil Roe 73.7% TOTALS, GOP 100% Tim Burchett 48.2% Renee Hoyos 72.4% Jason Emert 2.3% 2274 Joseph W. Schenkenfelder 4.5% 1382 Hank Hamblin 0.9% 855 Joshua Williams 23.1% 7076 Jimmy Matlock 36.1% Ashley Nickloes 11.0% Vito Sagliano 0.8% 844 David Stansberry 0.7% 656 re-elect re-elect re-elect TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% Chuck Fleischmann 79.4% Danielle Mitchell Jeremy Massengale 12.0% Harold E. Shevlin 2.4% 2055 William E. Spurlock, Sr 6.3% 5352 TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM Scott DesJarlais 70.0% Christopher J. Hale 34.7% Jack Maddux 30.0% Mariah Phillips 47.5% Steven Reynolds 17.8% 5786 TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 65% Jody M. Ball 55.8% Jim Cooper Glen Dean 44.2% TOTALS, GOP 100% Bob Corlew 31.2% Dawn Barlow 54.5% Judd Matheny 15.8% Christopher Martin Finley 15.1% 4662 Christopher B. Monday 2.8% 3021 Peter Hefferman 8.4% 2590 John Rose 41.2% Merrilee Wineinger 22.1% 6828 Lavern Vivio 9.0% 9506 re-elect re-elect TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% Mark Green Justin Kanew 62.0% Matt Reel 38.0% TOTALS, GOP TOTALS, DEM 100% George Flinn 39.7% John Boatner 49.6% David Kustoff 56.0% Erika Stotts Pearson 50.4% Colleen Owens 4.3% 4456 TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% Charlotte Bergmann Steve Cohen 91.0% Isaac Richmond 2.7% 1975 Kasandra L. Smith 6.4% 4728 TOTALS, DEM 100% prepared by Chas TN Chamber 2

5 TENNESSEE SENATE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS 01 Steve Southerland Wesley P. Maples 15.5% 3791 Art Swann 56.5% Scott P. Williams 27.9% 6831 appointee special Open Seat TOTALS, GOP 100% Rusty Crowe 05 Randy McNally Stuart Starr 07 Richard Briggs Jamie Ballinger 09 Mike Bell Carl Lansden 11 Bo Watson Randy Price Ernest Burgess 41.8% 7633 Kelly Northcutt Dawn White 58.2% TOTALS, GOP 100% Paul Bailey Angela Hedgecough 17 Mark Pody Mary Alice Carfi 19 Brenda Gilmore 64.7% Howard Jones 24.6% 5331 Sandra V. Moore 5.5% 1188 George Thomas 5.3% 1144 TOTALS, DEM 100% Jeff Yarbro 23 Jack Johnson Kristen Grimm 25 Kerry Roberts Wade Munday Brandon Dodds, Newbern 29.2% 5951 Jackie Williams 42.3% Ed Jackson, Jackson 70.8% Savannah Williamson 43.0% 3692 John H. York, Jr. 14.7% TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% 8588 Tom Stephens Raumesh Akbari 58.9% Justin Ford 41.1% 8083 TOTALS, DEM 100% Brian Kelsey Rodanial Ray Ransom 9.5% 1095 Gabby Salinas 46.4% 5358 David Weatherspoon 44.1% 5084 TOTALS, DEM 100% Katrina Robinson 68.3% Reginald Tate 31.7% 4963 TOTALS, DEM 100% prepared by Chas TN Chamber 3

6 TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS 01 John Crawford 02 Bud Hulsey, Kingsport Arvil Love, Jr. 03 Timothy Hill, Bluff City John B. Holsclaw, Jr. 69.5% 7024 Tim Lingerfelt 30.5% TOTALS, GOP 100% Steve Darden [suspended campaign] 30.3% 2116 Micah Van Huss 69.7% David B. Hawk Park Overall 06 TOTALS, GOP 100% Matthew Hill Nathan Farnor Rick Hillegas 24.4% 1982 Jay Clark Jerome Moon 75.6% TOTALS, GOP 100% 8124 Melville Bailey 33.3% 2954 Derek Winkle Gary W. Hicks, Jr. 66.7% 5926 TOTALS, GOP 100% 8880 Rick Eldridge 62.8% 4435 Barbara Simmons Tommy Pedigo 37.2% 2632 TOTALS, GOP 100% 7067 Jeremy Faison 72.1% 7531 Vincyl Fitzgerald, II Greg Fodness 27.9% 2914 TOTALS, GOP 100% Dale Carr Robert G. Williams 13 Eddie Smith Gloria Johnson Jason Zachary Justin Davis 54.8% Alex Dunn, Jr. 45.2% 1632 TOTALS, DEM 100% Rick Staples 16 Bill Dunn Kate Trudell 17 Andrew E. Farmer Delynn McCash Martin Daniel Joshua Gregory 35.2% 1313 Greg Mackay 64.8% TOTALS, GOP TOTALS, DEM 100% 3727 Dallas E. Sivley 24.1% 1755 Edward Nelson, Knoxville Donald M. Wiser 13.2% 959 Dave Wright 62.7% 4563 TOTALS, GOP 100% Bob Ramsey Susan Sneed Tony R. Aikens 36.6% 4504 Laura Miller Doyle Arp 18.6% Lowell Russel 44.9% 5528 TOTALS, GOP 100% Dan Howell 23 Mark Cochran 58.8% 6008 Brad W. Hartley Donald (Trey) Winder 41.2% 4210 TOTALS, GOP 100% prepared by Chas TN Chamber 4

7 TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS 24 Israel David Farless 12.2% 951 Mallory Pickert Mark Hall 53.9% 4219 Alan Ledford 13.8% 1076 Garry D. Moore 20.1% 1576 TOTALS, GOP 100% 7822 Robin Smith* David Jones 45.8% 1668 Jean-Marie Lawrence 54.2% Cameron Sexton Anne F. Quillen TOTALS, DEM 100% 3639 Patsy Hazlewood Danielle Johnson #DIV/0! Brent S. Morris #DIV/0! 28 TOTALS, DEM #DIV/0! 0 Lemon C. Williams, Jr Dennis Clark 12.0% 873 Yusuf A. Hakeem 37.9% 2766 Melody Shekari 22.4% 1637 Jackie Anderson Thomas 11.5% 839 Brandon D. Woodruff 16.3% 1187 TOTALS, DEM 100% Mike Carter Tammy Magouirk Ester Helton 51.0% 3507 Joda Thongnopnua Jonathan Mason 49.0% TOTALS, GOP 100% Ron Travis Dean M. Sparks 32 Kent Calfee Mary Ellen Blencoe John D. Ragan Richard Dawson 78.1% Nathaniel Varner 21.9% 670 TOTALS, DEM 100% Tim Rudd Jennifer Vannoy 35 James Acuff 24.0% 2439 Jerry Sexton 44.5% 4533 Mike Williams 31.5% 3204 Op en Se TOTALS, GOP 100% Dennis H. Powers Cassandra Mitchell 37 Charlie Baum Deanna D. Osborne 38 Kelly T. Keisling Carol Venea' Abney R.C. Helton 23.8% 2042 Sharon "Layne" Adams Iris Rudder 40.3% Sloan Stewart 35.9% TOTALS, GOP 100% 8585 Terri Lynn Weaver 72.5% 8689 Chad Z. Williams 27.5% 3289 TOTALS, GOP 100% Ed Butler John Mark Windle 42 Ryan Williams Terry Scott Jerry Lowery 35.4% 3311 Les Trotman Paul Sherrell 64.6% TOTALS, GOP 100% William Lamberth Rachel Mackey prepared by Chas TN Chamber 5

8 TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS Avery Field [suspended campaign] 16.1% 1219 Hana Ali Johnny C. Garrett 83.9% 6362 TOTALS, GOP 100% 7581 Clark Boyd 84.0% 9205 Mark Cagle 53.4% 1890 Menda McCall Holmes 16.0% 1757 Faye Northcutt-Knox 46.6% TOTALS, GOP 100% TOTALS, DEM 100% 3541 Rush Bricken 55.6% 5008 Mike Winton Ronnie Holden 44.4% 3993 TOTALS, GOP 100% Bryan Terry Matt Ferry 49 Tim Morrell 49.0% 2335 Chris Mayor 68.7% 1823 Mike Sparks 51.0% 2430 Richard C. Petty 31.3% 830 TOTALS, GOP 100% 4765 TOTALS, DEM 100% 2653 Bill Beck 72.9% 5473 Trey Palmedo 27.1% Judd Cowan Bo Mitchell 51 0% 0 TOTALS, DEM 100% Michael Stewart 53 Amberlee' Brooks Jason Powell Lola Denise Brown 17.5% 1671 Terry R. Clayton 29.7% 2833 Scott Davis 19.3% Vincent Dixie 33.6% John Ray Clemmons Brent Moody 56.0% 5303 Bob Freeman Joseph Williams 44.0% 4175 TOTALS, DEM 100% 9553 TOTALS, GOP 100% 9478 Susan M. Lynn 65.7% 8686 Jordan Cole Aaron Shane 34.3% TOTALS, GOP 100% Leah Dupree [suspended campaign?] 24.8% 1484 Harold M. Love 75.2% TOTALS, DEM 100% 5982 David R. Birdsong Jason Potts 71.9% 3026 Kyle G. Southern 28.1% Darren Jernigan Gino Bulso 24.3% 2685 Rebecca Purington Rebecca Ann Burke 14.5% 1604 Jeff Ford 17.0% Robert Hullett 6.4% 709 Brandon Ogles 35.5% 3913 Terrence A. Smith 2.3% 250 TOTALS, DEM 100% 4211 TOTALS, GOP 100% Pat Marsh Marty Davis 63 Glen Casada Bill Peach prepared by Chas TN Chamber 6

9 TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS Scott E. Cepicky 53.3% 5785 A.J. Holmes Michael A. Fulbright 46.7% 5077 TOTALS, GOP 100% Sam Whitson Toby Shaffer 66 Sabi "Doc" Kumar Larry Proffitt Tommy J. Vallejos Jason Hodges 81.6% 2240 Houston Rye 18.4% Curtis Johnson Dennis Potvin 69 Michael G. Curcio Eddie Johnson Clay Doggett 51.7% 5277 Jessica B. Yokley Barry Doss 48.3% 4924 TOTALS, GOP 100% David "Coach" Byrd Frankie G. Floied Kirk Haston 37.6% 4590 James T. Haynes Dan Hughes 36.0% Gordon D. Wildridge 26.4% 3225 TOTALS, GOP 100% Jay Bush 43.4% 4016 James A. Baxter 54.5% 1790 Joe Coury [suspended campaign] 1.6% 145 T. Robert Hill 45.5% 1496 Chris Todd 55.1% 5098 TOTALS, GOP 100% 9259 TOTALS, DEM 100% Jay D. Reedy Billy Borchert Bruce I. Griffey 58.4% 6380 Richard Carl Tim Wirgau 41.6% 4547 TOTALS, GOP 100% Scott Fortner 20.5% 1685 Deane Arganbright Andy Holt 79.5% 6539 TOTALS, GOP 100% Bill Sanderson 78 Mary Littleton John E. Patrick 79 Curtis Halford Gregory Frye 80 Johnny W. Shaw 81 Debra Moody TOTALS, DEM 100% 2746 Andy Cole 43.3% 2575 Andrea Bond-Johnson 84.0% 3935 Chris Hurt 56.7% 3366 Robert A. Harris 16.0% 752 TOTALS, GOP 100% 5941 TOTALS, DEM 100% 4687 Doyle Silliman 10.3% 893 Danielle Schonbaum Mark White 89.7% 7767 TOTALS, GOP 100% Joe Towns, Jr. Jesse Chism 35.7% 3216 Ricky Dixon 30.4% 2743 Brett N. Williams 4.8% Lynnette P. Williams 29.1% 2620 TOTALS, DEM 100% 9012 prepared by Chas TN Chamber 7

10 TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS Barbara Cooper 76.8% 5147 Amber Huett-Garcia 17.8% Jesse Kirk Jeff 5.4% Karen Camper 88 Larry J. Miller 89 TOTALS, DEM 100% 6700 Stacey Campfield 21.4% 1929 Keifel A. Agostini 16.8% 463 Tim Hutchison 25.7% 2322 Coleen Martinez 83.2% 2290 Justin Lafferty 30.3% 2734 Jesse D. Nelson 11.3% 1019 Guy L. Smoak 11.4% TOTALS, GOP 100% 9033 TOTALS, DEM 100% 2753 John J. Deberry, Jr Torrey Harris 3110 TOTALS, DEM 0% 7846 Doris DeBerry Bradshaw 2134 Juliette Eskridge 1681 London P. Lamar, 3391 TOTALS, DEM 0% 7206 Bill Spivey 42.8% 3583 C.S. "Scott" Coffey Rick Tillis 57.2% 4788 TOTALS, GOP 100% 8371 TOTALS, DEM 0% 0 G.A. Hardaway, Sr. 83.4% 4816 Eddie Neal 16.6% Ron M. Gant Terry S. Saine 95 Kevin Vaughan Sanjeev Memula Scott McCormick 61.6% 3973 Dwayne Thompson Patricia "Patti" Possel 38.4% TOTALS, GOP 100% Jim Coley, Bartlett Allan Creasy 98 TOTALS, DEM 100% 5775 Johnnie Hatten 996 Antonio Parkinson 4387 TOTALS, DEM 0% Ron Lollar* David Cambron, Cordova prepared by Chas TN Chamber 8