ECONOMICS 825 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS

Transcription

1 ECONOMICS 825 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS Winter 2015 Instructor Beverly Lapham Office: Dunning Hall, Room 232 Phone: Office Hours: Please check the Econ 825 course website for current office hours. You may also send me an message to make an appointment outside of posted office hours. Teaching Assistant Ralph Pierre-Jacques Office: Dunning Hall, Room 332 Phone: Office Hours: Please check the Econ 825 course website for current office hours. Course Website The Econ 825 website is accessible to students registered in the course through Queen s at Please note that the material on the Econ 825 website is copyrighted and is for the sole use of students registered in Economics 825. The material on this website may be downloaded for a registered student s personal use, but shall not be distributed or disseminated to anyone other than students registered in Economics 825. Failure to abide by these conditions is a breach of 1

2 copyright, and may also constitute a breach of academic integrity under the University Senate s Academic Integrity Policy Statement. Class Times and Location Mondays: 11:30-12:50 and Thursdays: 1:00-2:20 Dunning Hall, Room 213 (Hand-Purvis Conference Room) Course Objectives This course is divided into two parts. Part 1 is labeled International Trade and examines static models of trade (intra-temporal trade) while Part 2 is labeled International Macroeconomics and examines dynamic models of trade (inter-temporal trade) and monetary issues. The primary objectives of Part 1 of this course are to rigorously examine theoretical models and empirical studies of international trade. This part of the course is primarily organized to present the evolution of thought in the branch of international economics which focuses on intratemporal trade in goods and services. We will examine theories that offer explanations for why countries trade, that present various determinants of the pattern of trade, and that examine the positive and normative effects of trade. These theories include the specific-factors model of trade, the factor-proportions theory of trade, trade models with increasing returns to scale and imperfect competition, the gravity model of trade, and trade in the presence of heterogeneous firms. We will also examine the implications of these models for trade policy. The primary objectives of Part 2 of this course are to examine issues associated with intertemporal trade using balance of payments analysis, the behavior of nominal and real exchange rates, and relationships among countries business cycles. Supplementary Materials Useful graduate reference texts include: Advanced International Trade by Robert C. Feenstra, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2004, (F). Foundations of International Macroeconomics by Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1996, (OR). Useful undergraduate reference texts include: International Economics: by Robert C. Feenstra and Alan B. Taylor, Third Edition, Worth Publishers, New York, 2014, (FT). International Trade: Theory and Evidence by James Markusen, James Melvin, William 2

3 Kaempfer, and Keith Maskus, McGraw Hill, Boston, 1995, (MMKM). International Macroeconomics by Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe, manuscript, 2012, (SGU). The Schmitt-Grohé and Uribe manuscript is available for download from the course website. The Markusen et al. textbook is available for download from the course website and from markusen/textbook.html. The remaining texts will be on reserve in Stauffer library. Relevant journal articles will be posted to the course website. Evaluation Students performance is evaluated through assignments, a class presentation, and three exams. Grades will be determined according to the following criteria: Notes: Assignments: 20 % Presentation: 5 % First Exam: 20 % Second Exam: 25 % Third Exam: 30% Late assignments will not be accepted. Suggested answers to assignments will be available from the course website after the due date. Students are encouraged to work together on assignments but each student must submit their own completed assignment (no photocopies). Some previous exams are available from the course website. answers to previous exams are not be provided. Please note that written There will be no changes to the weighting scheme. 3

4 Econ 825 Course Outline Winter 2015 Course Outline is subject to change. Reference codes refer to the supplementary materials listed above and items on the Related Reading Lists. International Trade I. Introduction A. Empirical Observations B. History of Thought in International Trade Overview C. Theoretical Approach Overview D. Review of Producer and Consumer Theory (Presented in a separate tutorial) FT: 1; MMKM: 1 II. Gains from Trade A. The Gains From Trade Theorem B. Distributional Concerns F: 6, p MMKM: 4,5, Appendix 2 DN: 3; W: 7, 9 III. Specific-Factors Model of Trade A. Description B. Closed Economy Equilibrium C. Open Economy Equilibrium FT: 3; MMKM: 9 IV. Aggregation of Consumers A. Income Measures B. Aggregate Demand C. Preference Aggregation MMKM: 3 V. Factor Proportions Models of Trade A. Heckscher-Ohlin-(Samuelson) Model 4

5 (i). Description (ii). Pattern of Comparative Advantage (iii). Discussion of Diversified Production (iv). Heckscher-Ohlin-(Samuelson) Theorem (v). The Leontief Paradox (vi). Trade and Factor Prices B. Heckscher-Ohlin-Vanek Model (i). Description (ii). Factor Contents of Trade (iii). The Factor Content Theorems (iv). Combining Factor Supply Differences with Technology Differences F: 1, p and 2, p ; F: 4; MMKM 8, Appendix 3 DN: 4; W: 7 VI. Empirical Tests of Trade Patterns A. The Leamer Test B. Tests of Factor Content Theorems F: 2, p ; 3, p ; and 4, p ; FT: 4; MMKM 13 Trefler (1995); Davis and Weinstein (2001) VII. Trade with Imperfect Competition and Increasing Returns A. Imperfect Competition with Constant Returns to Scale B. Imperfect Competition and Increasing Returns to Scale C. Monopolistic Competition Model of Trade F: 5, p ; MMKM: 11,12; DN: 9 Krugman (1980); Krugman (1979) VIII. Gravity Model of Trade A. Description B. Empirical Applications F: 5, p ; McCallum (1995); Anderson and van Wincoop (2003) IX. Trade with Heterogeneous Firms 5

6 A. Empirical Observations from Firm- or Plant-Level Data B. Modeling Trade with Heterogeneous Firms Melitz (2003) Melitz and Redding (2014); (2013) Bernard, Eaton, Jensen, and Kortum (2003) Bernard, Jensen, Redding, and Schott (2007) X. Empirical Studies of Scale and Selection Effects Head and Ries (1999); Trefler (2004) XI. Trade Policy under Constant Returns to Scale and Perfect Competition A. Import Tariffs B. Quotas C. Voluntary Export Restraints F: 7, p ; and 8, p ; FT: 8; MMKM: 15,16; DN: 6; W: 10, 11 XII. Trade Policy under Imperfect Competition A. Profit-Shifting Motives for Policy B. Infant Industry Protection C. Antidumping and Countervailing Duties D. Policy Implications of Trade Models with Heterogeneous Firms F: 7; FT: 9; MMKM: 17 International Macroeconomics I. Introduction II. National and International Accounts and Transactions A. Balance of Payments Accounts B. Models of Current Account Determination FT: 16-17; OR: 1-2; SGU: 1-4 6

7 III. Nominal and Real Exchange Rates FT: 13-15, 19-20; OR: 4,8-10; SGU: 7,10 IV. International Business Cycles Backus, Kehoe, Kydland (1995) 7