International Trade and Investment Economics Course Outline and Reading List

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1 International Trade and Investment Economics Fall 2011 Monday & Wednesday 12:00 1:15 in Econ 5. Professor Wolfgang Keller, Econ 206C; office hours: WF 9:00-10:00, W 1:30-2:30, and by appointment Course Outline and Reading List Overview Economics 8413 is a course on the real side of International Economics designed for Ph.D. students. We will strive to achieve a balance between theory and empirics on the one, and current work versus classics in international trade and investment on the other hand. The field of international trade has seen many important developments recently, and we will necessarily be selective. Please see me if you have an interest in a particular subject not covered on the syllabus. This course presumes knowledge of the first-year graduate sequences in microeonomics, macroeconomics, and econometrics. Students from other departments are welcome subject to instructor s approval. It is highly recommended that you form a study group that meets weekly with some of your class mates. Requirements 1. Preparation of a one-page assessment of each required paper (20%) 2. Class participation (10%) 3. Presentation of a research paper (20%) 4. Midterm exam (15%) 5. Final exam (35%) The one-page assessment of each required paper should include a summary in your own words, the main contribution(s) of the paper, and the main limination(s). Also note any questions you might have. The last weeks of class will consist of presentations of research papers by students. Each presentation will be about 30 minutes long. The specific papers are chosen by students subject to my approval. There is no textbook for this class. Currently the best textbook for graduate trade is: Feenstra, Robert, Advanced International Trade: Theory and Evidence, Princeton University Press, 2004.

2 Other useful books for this class are the following: Dixit, A., and V. Norman, 1980, Theory of International Trade, Cambridge University Press. Helpman, E., and P. Krugman, 1985, Market Structure and Foreign Trade, MIT Press Grossman, G., and E. Helpman, 1991, Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy, MIT Press. Grossman, G., and K. Rogoff (eds.), 1995, Handbook of International Economics, Vol.3, North- Holland. Fujita, M., P. Krugman, and A. Venables 1999, The Spatial Economy, MIT Press. Reading List Outline This version: August 21, 2011 Papers in each section are covered in varying detail. Background readings are indicated by (B). 1. Comparative Advantage and the Gains from Trade Deardorff, A., "The General Validity of the Law of Comparative Advantage", JPE Bernhofen, D., and J. Brown, "A Direct Test of the Theory of Comparative Advantage, JPE (B) Dixit and Norman, Chapters The Ricardian Trade Model Dornbusch, R., S. Fischer, and P. Samuelson, "Comparative Advantage, Trade and Payments in a Ricardian Model with a Continuum of Goods", AER Eaton, J., and S. Kortum, "Technology, Geography, and Trade, Eca Feenstra pp Factor Endowment Models Jones, R., "The Structure of Simple General Equilibrium Models", JPE Feenstra, Chapters 1-3 Dixit and Norman, Chapter 4 Helpman and Krugman, Chapter 1 Trefler, D., "The Case of the Missing Trade and Other HOV Mysteries", AER 1995.

3 Davis, D., and D. Weinstein, An Account of Global Factor Trade, AER (B) Helpman, E., "The Structure of Foreign Trade", NBER WP. 4. Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Gravity Equation Krugman, P., "Increasing Returns, Monopolistic Competition, and International Trade", JIE Antweiler, W., and D. Trefler, "Increasing Returns and all That: A View from Trade", AER Evenett, S., and W. Keller, "On Theories Explaining the Success of the Gravity Equation", JPE Hummels, D. and P. Klenow, The Variety and Quality of a Nation s Trade, AER Weinstein, D., and C. Broda, Globalization and the Gains from Variety, QJE Anderson, James, and Eric Van Wincoop. Gravity with Gravitas. AER Schott, P., Do Rich and Poor Countries Specialize in a Different Mix of Goods? Evidence from Product-Level U.S. Trade Data. QJE Helpman and Krugman, Chapters 6-8. Feenstra, Chapter Foreign Direct Investment I Helpman, E., "A Simple Theory of Trade with Multinational Corporations", JPE Markusen, J., Multinationals, Multi-Plant Economies, and the Gains from Trade, JIE 1984 Carr, J. Markusen, and K. Maskus, "Estimating the Knowledge-Capital Model of the Multinational Enterprise", AER Brainard, S., "An Empirical Assessment of the Proximity-Concentration Trade-off Between Multinational Sales and Trade", AER Helpman and Krugman, Chapters 12 and 13. Feenstra, Chapter Transport Costs, Borders, Institutions, Trust, and Geography Krugman, P., "Scale Economies, Product Differentiation and the Pattern of Trade", AER Anderson, J., and E. van Wincoop, Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle, AER Trefler, D., The Long and the Short of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement, AER Keller, W., and C. Shiue, Tariffs, Trains, and Trade: The Role of Institutions versus Technology in Market Expansion, NBER # Nunn, N., "Relationship-Specificity, Incomplete Contracts and the Pattern of Trade," Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 122, No. 2, May 2007, pp Donaldson, D., Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the Economic Impact of Transportation

4 Infrastructure, mimeo, MIT. Guiso, L., P. Sapienza, and L. Zingales, Cultural Biases in Economic Exchange? QJE Krugman, P., and A. Venables, "Globalization and the Inequality of Nations", QJE Krugman, P., Increasing Returns and Economic Geography, JPE Firms in International Trade: Ex-ante vs ex-post heterogeneity, exporting decision, and import competition Melitz, M., The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity, Eca Yeaple, S., A Simple Model of Firm Heterogeneity, International Trade, and Wages, JIE Melitz, M., and G. Ottaviano, Market Size, Trade, and Productivity, ReStud 2008 Chaney, T., Distorted Gravity: Heterogeneous Firms, Market Structure and the Geography of International Trade, AER 2008 Helpman, E., M. J. Melitz, and Y. Rubinstein, 2007, Estimating Trade Flows: Trading Partners and Trading Volumes, QJE 2008 Bernard, A., J. Eaton, B. Jensen, and S. Kortum, Plants and Productivity in International Trade, AER Bernard, A., S. Redding, and P. Schott, Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms, ReStud Roberts, M., and J. Tybout, The Decision to Export in Colombia: An Empirical Model of Entry with Sunk Costs, AER Caliendo, L., and E. Rossi-Hansberg, International Trade and the Organization of Production, mimeo, Princeton. Iacovone, L., B. Javorcik, W. Keller, and J. Tybout, Supplier Responses to Wal-Mart s Invasion of Mexico, mimeo, Colorado Lileeva, A., and D. Trefler, Improved Access to Foreign Markets Raises Plant-level Productivity For Some Plants, QJE 2010: Bustos, P., Trade Liberalization, Exports, and Technology Upgrading: Evidence on the Impact of MERCOSUR on Argentinian Firms, American Economic Review 2011: Verhoogen, E., Trade, Quality Upgrading and Wage Inequality in the Mexican Manufacturing Sector: Theory and Evidence from an Exchange-Rate Shock, QJE 2008: Das, M., M. Roberts, and J. Tybout, Market Entry Costs, Producer Heterogeneity and Export Dynamics, Eca May (B) Redding, S., Theories of Heterogeneous Firms and Trade, Annual Reviews, April (B) Helpman, E., Trade, FDI, and the Organization of the Firm, JEL (B) Bernard, A., B. Jensen, S. Redding, and P. Schott, Firms in International Trade, Journal of Economic Perspectives Summer 2007.

5 8. FDI II, Offshoring, and Outsourcing Helpman, E., M. Melitz, and S. Yeaple, Exports versus FDI with Heterogeneous Firms, AER Antràs, P., Trade, Contracts, and Trade Structure, QJE Antràs, P., and E. Helpman, Global Sourcing, JPE Antràs, P., and E. Rossi-Hansberg, Organization and Trade, Annual Review of Economics. Antràs, P., L. Garicano, and E. Rossi-Hansberg, Offshoring in a Knowledge Economy, QJE 2006 Keller, W., and S. Yeaple, The Gravity of Knowledge, U Colorado, mimeo Grossman, G., and E. Rossi-Hansberg, Trading Tasks: A Simple Theory of Offshoring, AER Nunn, N. and D. Trefler, Incomplete Contracts and the Boundaries of the Multinational Firm, Keller, W., and S. Yeaple, Multinational Enterprises, International Trade, and Productivity Growth: Firm-Level Evidence from the US, ReSTAT (B) Helpman, E., Trade, FDI, and the Organization of the Firm, JEL (B) Markusen, J., Multinationals and the Theory of International Trade, MIT Press (B) Blonigen, B., A Review of the Empirical Literature on FDI Determinants, NBER # Trade, Growth, and International Technology Diffusion Grossman and Helpman, Chapter 6. Grossman, G., and E. Helpman, Product Development and International Trade, JPE 1989 Young, A., Learning-by-Doing and the Dynamic Effects on International Trade, QJE 1991 Howitt, P. Endogenous Growth and Cross-Country Income Differences, AER Keller, W., «Geographic Localization of International Technology Diffusion» AER Klenow, P, and A. Rodriguez-Clare, «Externalites and Growth», Handbook of Economic Growth (eds. Aghion/Durlauf). Acharya, R., and W. Keller, Estimating the Productivity Selection and Technology Spillovers Effects from Imports, NBER # Bloom, N., M. Draca, and J. van Reenen, Trade Induced Technical Change? The Impact of Chinese Imports on Innovation, IT and Productivity, CEP Working Paper # 1000, January 2011 Iacovone, L., W. Keller and F. Rauch, Innovation Responses Towards Import Competition, mimeo, U Colorado Hovhannisyan, N., and W. Keller, International Business Travel: An Engine of Innovation?, NBER WP. (B) Keller, W., International Trade, FDI, and Technology Spillovers, Handbook of the

6 Economics of Innovation, Elsevier, Vol. 2, Chapter 19. Feenstra, Chapter Trade Policy Feenstra, chapters 7-8. Romer, P., "New Goods, Old Theory, and the Welfare Costs of Trade Restrictions", JDE Feenstra, R Quality Change under Trade Restraints in Japanese Autos. QJE 103: Levinsohn, J Testing the Imports as Market Discipline Hypothesis. JIE 35: Koujianou, P Product Differentiation and Oligopoly in International Markets: The Case of the U.S. Automobile Industry. EMA 63: Berry, S., J. Levinsohn, and A. Pakes Voluntary Export Restraints on Automobiles: Evaluating a Strategic Trade Policy. AER 89(3): Grossman, G., and E. Helpman, "Protection for Sale", AER Maggi, G., "Strategic Trade Policies with Endogenous Mode of Competition", AER General equilibrium tariff analysis, Chapter 13 in Bhagwati, J., and T.N. Srinivasan, Lectures on International Trade, MIT Press, Dixit and Norman, Chapter 5 (pp ), chapter 6. (B) Staiger, R., "International Rules and Institutions for Trade Policy", Grossman and Rogoff (eds.), Handbook of International Economics V.3, chapter 29 (B) Rodrik, D., "Political Economy of Trade Policy", Grossman and Rogoff (eds.), Handbook of International Economics V.3, chapter 28. (B) Feenstra, R., "Estimating the Effects of Trade Policy", Grossman and Rogoff (eds.), Handbook of International Economics V.3. University policies on class behavior, honor code, disabilities, religious practices, and sexual harassment:

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