Thinking about Inequality

Transcription

1 Thinking about Inequality What is inequality? In recent years there has been an explosion of interest in the subject that has yielded a substantial body of formal tools and results for income-distribution analysis. Nearly all of this is founded on a small set of core assumptions such as the principle of transfers, scale independence and the population principle that are used to give meaning to specific concepts of inequality measurement, inequality ranking and, indeed, to inequality itself. But does the standard axiomatic structure coincide with public perceptions of inequality? Or is the economist s concept of inequality a thing apart, perpetuated through serial brainwashing in the way the subject is studied and taught? Amiel and Cowell examine the evidence from a large international questionnaire experiment using student respondents. Along with basic cake-sharing issues, related questions involving social welfare rankings, the relationship between inequality and overall income growth and the meaning of poverty comparisons are considered. Y. A miel is head of Economics and Management at the Ruppin Institute. His previous work has been published in Economica, Economics Letters, the Journal of Public Economics and the Scandinavian Journal of Economics. F. A. Cowell is Professor of Economics at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He is also Editor of Economica and Associate Editor of the Journal of Public Economics. His previous books include Measuring Inequality.

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3 Thinking about Inequality Personal Judgment and Income Distributions Y. AMIEL AND F. A. COWELL

4 cambridge university press Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, São Paulo, Delhi, Tokyo, Mexico City Cambridge University Press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge cb2 8ru, UK Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York Information on this title: / This publication is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 1999 A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloguing in Publication data Amiel, Y. (Yoram) Thinking about inequality /. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references (p. ). ISBN (hb) ISBN (pb) 1. Income distribution. 2. Equality. 3. Poverty. I. Amiel, Yoram. II. Title. HB523.C dc CIP isbn Hardback isbn Paperback Cambridge University Press has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party internet websites referred to in this publication, and does not guarantee that any content on such websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate. Information regarding prices, travel timetables, and other factual information given in this work is correct at the time of first printing but Cambridge University Press does not guarantee the accuracy of such information thereafter.

5 Contents List of figures List of tables Preface page viii x xiii 1 Introduction A look at inequality analysis A second look A guide to the book 6 2 What is inequality? The economists view The axiomatic approach Inequality rankings and orderings The transfer principle Income and population Decomposability Summary 17 3 An investigative strategy What are we investigating? Experiments Questions A new approach Implementing the approach Summary 30 4 What is inequality? The students view Drawing an inequality map An introduction to the questionnaires 32

6 vi Contents 4.3 Inequality and changes in income and population Transfers and the structure of inequality comparisons Do the answers make sense? More on the transfer principle 45 5 Income and welfare What is welfare? Social welfare Empirical results Summary: welfare judgments and inequality comparisons 66 6 Income change Introduction: comparing cakes Uniform enrichment The dependence hypothesis Unbalanced enrichment Policy appraisal 86 7 Poverty Introduction What does poverty mean? The poverty questionnaires Income distributions and poverty Conclusions: the approach to poverty comparisons A cross-cultural perspective Introduction A statistical approach Principles of distributional judgments Direct and indirect approaches to inequality Does economics matter? An appraisal Thinking again about inequality Second thoughts about second thoughts Applying inequality judgments Where next? A final word 133 Appendix A Inequality analysis: a summary of concepts and results 136 A.1 The axiomatic approach 136

7 Contents vii A.2 Inequality and welfare rankings 139 A.3 Poverty comparisons 140 Appendix B The questionnaires 143 References 173 Index 178

8 Figures 1.1 A simple distributional experiment page A simple distributional experiment: second view A simple distributional experiment: third view An inequality ranking Inequality in a two-person world Inequality comparisons in a three-person world Scale independence Translation independence The population principle Population replication has inequality fallen? Decomposability Two extreme approaches to identity in the distribution problem The identity problem with some information The framework for a three-person inequality map The framework for the two-person projection of the inequality map Verbal questions on scale and translation independence Numerical problems on changes in income and population The question on the population principle Scale-independent and translation-independent iso-inequality lines Deviations from scale transformation Numerical problems on the transfer principle and decomposability Verbal questions on the transfer principle and decomposability The transfer principle in the two-person projection Two-dimensional projection of the inequality map The Lorenz curve Lorenz ranking The anonymity principle 51

9 List of figures ix 5.2 Anonymity and history Monotonicity Dominance and monotonicity The setting for the social welfare numerical problems Contours of a standard social welfare function A social welfare function which satisfies the transfer principle, but not decomposability Contours of a non-monotonic welfare function Two pie distributions, before and after income growth Additions to Irene s and Janet s incomes Enlargement of figure Scale independence Translation independence Intermediate-type independence Transformation direction dependent on income (1) Transformation direction dependent on income (2) Introduction to questionnaire A Unbalanced enrichment Inequality and growth: first view Inequality and growth: second view Extract from questionnaire A Extract from questionnaire A Mean income and inequality as incomes grow from $5 to $ Mean income and inequality as incomes grow from $1 to $ A fundamental partition of the population The poverty line, incomes and poverty gaps Counting the poor (1): all the poor are equal Counting the poor (2): poverty is proportional to poverty gap Counting the poor (3): sensitivity to inequality amongst the poor A poverty interval Numerical problems in the first poverty questionnaire Weak monotonicity The monotonicity question Income transfers and the poverty count Transfer principle (weak version) Positions for an additional population member Numerical problems in the second poverty questionnaire Extract from the verbal questions in the second poverty questionnaire 107

10 Tables 4.1 Inequality and proportionate and absolute income differences page The effect on inequality of cloning the distributions The transfer principle Decomposability What happens to inequality if you add or subtract a fixed sum? Agreement with the transfer principles for different types of transfer: numerical responses Verbal agreement with the transfer principle Agreement with basic axioms: summary Agreement with transitivity of inequality and social welfare orderings The anonymity principle The transfer principle again: numerical responses Transfer principle: verbal responses on social welfare questionnaire The effect on social welfare of cloning the distribution Decomposability of social welfare? Agreement with monotonicity: numerical questions Agreement with monotonicity: verbal questions Agreement with basic axioms on social welfare: summary Support for basic principles of inequality comparisons What income change will leave inequality unchanged? What happens to inequality when you increase people s incomes? Perceived inequality change in the growth process of figure Comparing extremes in the growth process What happens to poverty if a poor person gets $1 more income? What happens to poverty if $1 is taken from fairly poor Irene and given to very poor Janet? 101

11 List of tables xi 7.3 If we permute the incomes, does poverty stay the same? What happens to poverty if we clone the economy? Population decomposability What happens to poverty if the rich get richer? The effect of introducing one new person What happens to poverty if there is one more non-poor person? What happens to poverty if there is one more poor person? What happens to poverty when the basic needs income level increases? What happens to poverty when you double incomes and basic needs? Shifting incomes and the poverty line by a fixed sum What is poverty? Support for standard axioms in inequality, social welfare and poverty analysis Breakdown of views on the transfer principle: direct approach Do X and Y have the same pattern of responses on the transfer principle? Direct approach Agreement with monotonicity: does B exhibit higher social welfare than A? Breakdown of verbal responses on the monotonicity principle Breakdown of views on the poverty line: verbal question Do X and Y have the same pattern of verbal responses on the poverty line question? Breakdown of views on the transfer principle: indirect approach Do X and Y have the same pattern of responses on the transfer principle? Indirect approach Do X and Y have the same pattern of responses on monotonicity? Standard axioms in three related fields Standard axioms in the analysis of income and probability distributions What happens to risk when you increase people s incomes? What income change will leave risk unchanged? 132 B.1 Breakdown of the combined sample 144

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13 Preface This book started life during a conversation at the LSE in the late 1980s. One author suggested to the other the shocking thought that the standard approach to the study of economic inequality and income distribution might be all wrong. Somehow this led to an even more shocking thought: that we might investigate whether this was so by asking other people, lots of them. This led to a full-scale research project which resulted in a number of papers (see Amiel and Cowell, 1992, 1994a, 1994b, 1995, 1996, 1997a, 1997b, 1998a, 1999) and finally to this volume which draws together the main results of the research project. The number of people to whom we have become indebted in the course of preparing this book is enormous. First, our thanks go to Hayka Amiel who started the thought running that eventually led to the research for this book (see chapter 1 for this story). We would also like to acknowledge the input of Avraham Polovin, who has collaborated with us in our related work on risk, and of Eytan Sheshinski, who acted as joint supervisor (with Frank Cowell) of Yoram Amiel s Ph.D. thesis; some of the ideas which have been developed in this book had their origin in Yoram s thesis. Our thanks too for the patience of Mary Roye, Erik Schokkaert and colleagues at the Ruppin Institute who read the text and provided many useful comments. We are also grateful to Tony Atkinson, Gary Fields, Serge Kolm and Amartya Sen for helpful discussions, to Janet Stockdale for helping us with the questionnaire design, and to all those colleagues who patiently ran questionnaire sessions in classes or lecture groups: Gideon Amit, Gershon Ben-Shahar, Stuart Birks, Dieter Bös, Sorel Cahan, John Creedy, Rolf Cremer, Wolfgang Eichhorn, Gideon Fishelson, John Formby, Wulf Gaertner, Jim Gordon, Charles Greenbaum, Boyd Hunter, Jochen Jungeilges, Karl Jungenfeldt, Reuben Kahana, David Levhari, Avishai Margalit, Dalia Mor, Mårten Palme, Tomasz Panek, Wilhelm Pfähler, David Pines, Avraham Polovin, Eli Sagi, Abba Schwartz, Moshe Semionov, Ramii Shalom, Jacques Silber, Dan Slottje, Tehila Tamir, Harald Wiese, Yossi Yahav and Yitzhak Zilcha. After the

14 xiv Preface running of all the questionnaire series some 4,000 questionnaires had to be processed and we are very glad to have benefited from the help of Trudy Ackersveen, Yafit Bar-David, Sue Coles, Anja Green, Hanana Giladi, Ann Harding, Chen Michaeli, Ceema Namazie, Elisabeth Steckmest and the data-processing staff of the Ruppin Institute. Tasneem Azad, Paolo Belli, Lupin Rahman, Christian Schluter and Silva Ule provided valuable help in the preparation of this text. We also wish to acknowledge the Hebrew University, the Ruppin Institute and STICERD all of which in many ways made our collaborative work easier. Finally, we want to thank all those students in many countries who completed the questionnaires; without them, none of this would have been possible. Yoram Amiel Ruppin Institute Israel Frank Cowell STICERD London School of Economics