Appendix J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, 51 DOI: / , The Author(s) 2014

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1 Appendix J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, DOI: / , Ó The Author(s)

2 52 Appendix Table A.1 Selected Cases of Color Revolutions in Eurasia in Comparison Country Year Election Incumbent Oppositional leader(s) Outcomes Serbia 2000 Presidential Slobodan Milošević Vojislav Koštunica Resignation Milošević Zoran Ðind ić Presidency Koštunica (until 2003) Parliamentary elections DOS government (prime minister Ðind ić) Georgia 2003 Parliamentary Eduard Shevardnadze (Aslan Abashidze) Mikhail Saakashvili Resignation Shevardnadze and later, Abashidze Nino Burjanadze Opposition-dominated parliament (prime minister Zhvania) Zurab Zhvania Presidential elections Presidency Saakashvili (until 2013) Armenia 2003/2004 Presidential Robert Kocharian Stepan Demirchian Presidential elections Artashes Geghamian Acknowledgement of fraud by the Constitutional Court [ referendum of confidence (never conducted) Presidency Kocharian (until 2008) Ukraine 2004/2005 Presidential Leonid Kuchma (not running) Viktor Yushchenko Legal battle over election result Viktor Yanukovych (designated successor) Yulia Tymoshenko Recognition election result Yanukovych Presidency Yushchenko (until 2010) Collapse Orange Collation Unstable political alliances and self-blockade Presidential elections 2010 Presidency Yanukovich (until 2014) (continued)

3 Appendix 53 Table A.1 (continued) Country Year Election Incumbent Oppositional leader(s) Outcomes Kyrgyzstan 2005 Parliamentary Askar Akaev Kurmanbek Bakiev Resignation Akaev Roza Otunbaeva Opposition dominated parliament Presidential elections Presidency Bakiev (until 2010) Protests 2010 ([ interim government Otunbaeva) Azerbaijan 2005 Parliamentary Ilham Aliev Isa Gambar Parliamentary elections, victory Ali Masimov YAP Presidential elections 2008, 2013 Presidency Aliev (until present) Belarus 2006 Presidential Aliaksandr Lukashenka Aliaksandr Milinkevich Presidential elections Aliaksandr Kazulin Presidency Lukashenka (until present) Parliamentary elections 2008, 2012 Russia 2011/2012 Parliamentary and presidential Vladimir Putin (prime minister running for president) Extra-parliamentary opposition mobilizing for protest: Alexei Navalni Boris Nemtsov Sergei Udaltsov Parliamentary elections, victory United Russia (prime minister Medvedev) Presidential elections Presidency Putin (until present)

4 References Alieva L (2006) Azerbaijan s frustrating elections. J Democracy 17: Ambrosio T (2010) Constructing a framework of authoritarian diffusion: concepts, dynamics, and future research. Int Stud Perspect 11: Ambrosio T (2010) Russia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds.) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures, Routledge, New York, pp Aneja A (2011) Protest movements in West Asia: some impressions. Strateg Anal 35: Aron L (2012) Russia s protesters: the people, ideals, and prospects. In: Russia Outlook Beissinger MR (2007) Structure and example in modular political phenomena: the diffusion of bulldozer/rose/orange/tulip revolutions. Perspect Polit 5: Beissinger Mark R (2009) An interrelated wave. J Democracy 20:74 77 Berglund C (2013) Georgia. In: Berglund S et al (eds) Handbook of political change in Eastern Europe, 3rd edn. Cheltenham/Northampton, pp Bunce VJ, Wolchik SL (2010) A regional tradition: the diffusion of democratic change under communism and postcommunism. In: Bunce VJ, McFaul M, Stoner-Weiss K (eds) Democracy and authoritarianism in the postcommunist world. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp Bunce VJ, Wolchik SL (2011) Defeating authoritarian leaders in postcommunist countries. Cambridge University Press, New York Cheterian V (2010) Azerbaijan. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp Companjen FJ (2010) Georgia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp Copsey N (2010) Ukraine. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp Dimitrov MK (2009) Popular autocrats. J Democracy 20:78 81 Hale HE (2005) Regime cycles: democracy, autocracy, and revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia. World Polit 58: Horvath R (2012) Putin s preventive counter-revolution: Post-Soviet authoritarianism and the spectre of the velvet revolution. New York Howard MM (2003) The weakness of civil society in post-communist Europe. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Juraev S (2010) Back on track? Kyrgyz authoritarianism after the tulip revolution. Ponars Eurasia Policy Memo 95:1 6 de Krnjević-Mišković D (2001) Serbia s prudent revolution. J Democracy 12(3): Kuzio Taras (2006) Civil society, youth and societal mobilization in democratic revolutions. Communist Post-Communist Stud 39: Lane D (2009) Coloured revolution as a political phenomenon. J Communist Stud Transit Polit 25: Lewis D (2010) Kyrgyzstan. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, 55 DOI: / , Ó The Author(s) 2014

5 56 References Markus U (2010) Belarus. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp McFaul M (2005) Transitions from postcommunism. J Democracy 16:5 19 Megoran N (2008) Framing Andijon, narrating the nation: Islam Karimov s account of the events of 13 May Cent Asian Surv 27(1):15 31 Mill JS (1974) A system of logic. London Mitchell LA (2012) The color revolutions. Philadelphia Nikolayenko O (2009) Youth movements in post-communist societies. A model of nonviolent resistance. In: Center on democracy, development, and the rule of law (CDDRL working papers Orttung RW (2013) Navalny and the Moscow mayoral election. Russ Anal Dig 136:2 6 Popper KR (1969) Logik der Forschung (3rd edn). Tübingen Przeworski A (1991) Democracy and the market: political and economic reform in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Radnitz S (2010) A horse of a different color: revolution and regression in Kyrgyzstan. In: Bunce VJ, McFaul M, Stoner-Weiss K (eds) Democracy and authoritarianism in the postcommunist world. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp Silitski V (2005) Preempting democracy: the case of Belarus. J Democracy 16:83 97 Silitski V (2010) Survival of the fittest domestic and international dimensions of the authoritarian reaction in the former Soviet union following the colored revolutions. Communist and Post- Communist Stud 43: Tucker JA (2007) Enough! Electoral fraud, collective action problems, and post-communist colored revolutions. Perspect Polit 5: Way L (2008) The real causes of the color revolutions. J Democracy 19:55 69 Way LA, Levitsky S (2010) Competitive authoritarianism: hybrid regimes after the cold war. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Way LA, Levitsky S (2007) Linkage leverage, and the post-communist divide. East Eur Polit Soc 21:48 66 Way LA, Levitsky S (2006) Linkage versus leverage rethinking the international dimension of regime change. Comp Polit 38: Way LA, Levitsky S (2006) The dynamics of autocratic coercion after the cold war. Communist and Post-Communist Stud 39: Wilson A (2005) Virtual politics: faking democracy in the post-soviet world. Yale University Press, London White S, McAllister I (2014) Did Russia (nearly) have a facebook revolution in 2011? Social media s challenge to authoritarianism. Politics 34:72 84 Yanitsky O (2013) From civic protest to political reform: the case of Russia. In: Center of Studies on Politics and Society (CSPS) Working Papers Zolyan M (2010) Armenia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp

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