THE LAW OF THE JUNGLE

Transcription

1 NZIIA Conference 2018 THE LAW OF THE JUNGLE How can New Zealand Navigate Global Disruption? Tuesday 27 February 2018 Michael Fowler Centre, Wellington Keynote: Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern REGISTER HERE The NZIIA Conference 2018 brings leading thinkers and decision-makers together to look forward to see how New Zealand can navigate global disruption. This is a unique chance for you to be inspired, look forward, exchange ideas, and connect with leading experts from home and abroad.

2 NZIIA Conference 2018 THE LAW OF THE JUNGLE How can New Zealand Navigate Global Disruption? About The NZIIA Conference 2018 brings leading thinkers together to discuss how New Zealand can navigate global disruption. The conference addresses the tectonic shifts rocking the geo-political landscape today: collective security in a multipolar world, economic stability with protectionism on the rise, and changes in the world order. This conference will encourage blue-sky thinking on how New Zealand, a small state dependent on an open rules-based global system, can thrive in an unsettled world. What risks sit under the radar but can dramatically affect New Zealand inc. and our economic wellbeing? What trade, technology, and security policies should New Zealand pursue to capitalise on the current global disruption? How will the current international climate impact New Zealanders? Outline Registration and Refreshments WELCOME OPENING KEYNOTE - A Vision for Global NZ, Prime Minister of New Zealand SESSION 1 - The World Order Today: Is it Fit for Purpose? Refreshments SESSION 2 - Security: Threats without Borders SESSION 3 - Asia Pacific: Game of Thrones in our Backyard? Lunch supported by the British High Commission KEYNOTE CONVERSATION - Nobel Peace Prize Laureate SESSION 4 - Diffusion of Power in the Digital Age Refreshments supported by the NZ China Council SESSION 5 - World Economy & Trade: Is Asia Re-inventing the Rules? CONCLUDING REMARKS Speakers and Chairs

3 Rt Hon Jacinda Ardern Prime Minister Maty Nikkhou-O'Brien Executive Director, NZIIA (Conf Host) Sir Doug Kidd President, NZIIA Andrew Thomas Correspondent, Al Jazeera Rt Hon Jim Bolger, Former Prime Minister HE Laura Clarke British High Commissioner Prof Dingli Shen Fudan University Em Prof Sir Ken Keith VUW Law School HE Ewen McDonald Australian High Commissioner Prof Rouben Azizian Director, CDSS Lt Gen Tim Keating Chief of the NZ Defence Force Dr Matthew Reid Médecins Sans Frontières Prof Tim Naish Director, Antarctic Centre, VUW Dr Fiona Barker Victoria University Simon Murdoch Asia-NZ Foundation Allan Gyngell President, AIIA Dr Cleo Paskal Chatham House Dr Anna Powles Massey University Joy Dunsheath President UNANZ Tim Wright Nobel Peace Prize Laureate ICAN Dan O Brien Technology Advisor Andrew Hampton Director, GCSB Prof Robert Patman Otago University Greg Doone Strategy & Data PwC Alexandra Lutyens Digital Unit, MFAT H E Toshihisa Takata Japanese Ambassador Vangelis Vitalis Deputy Secretary, MFAT Stephen Jacobi, Executive Director, NZ China Council Tim Ng Deputy Secretary, Treasury Em Prof Rob Rabel, Vice-President, NZIIA

4 Agenda Registration and refreshments Welcome and opening remarks Maty Nikkhou-O Brien, Executive Director, New Zealand Institute of International Affairs (NZIIA) KEYNOTE SPEECH - A Vision for Global NZ, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern Chair: Hon Sir Douglas Kidd, President, NZIIA Speaker: Rt Hon Jacinda Ardern, Prime Minister of New Zealand SESSION 1 - The World Order Today: Is it Fit for Purpose? The world will not stand still as Western democracies attend to domestic swings. The inexorable shift of economic power from West to East in the past two decades demonstrates that modernity takes many shapes and forms. Whilst developed states struggle to tackle the unfair distribution of global gains, others leapfrog and lift millions out of poverty. The unipolar moment described famously as the End of History in the late 1990s was fleeting, and the liberal world order, as it stands today, is under question. Are the systems and norms, largely developed in the 20 th century, that underpin relations between states adapted to today s world? Who does New Zealand look to for global leadership when moral authority in international relations is sorely lacking? What could cause the world order to break further and how can we prevent it? Chair: Andrew Thomas, Sydney Correspondent, Al Jazeera Speakers: - Rt Hon James Bolger, former Prime Minister of New Zealand - HE Laura Clarke, British High Commissioner to New Zealand - Prof Dingli Shen, Professor and Associate Dean, Institute of International Studies, Fudan University - Sir Ken Keith, Emeritus Professor, School of Law, VUW, former Judge at International Court of Justice - HE Ewen McDonald, Australian High Commissioner to New Zealand Break and refreshments SESSION 2 - Security: Threats without Borders The advent of our global civilisation has placed the sovereignty of nation-states in question. Hard boundaries, such as national borders, are no barrier for the currency of today s world the whole-scale spread of information. In this session, we will talk about security challenges that cross borders: food security, terrorism, and climate change among others. How can we anticipate and plan for state collapse where civil conflict is driven by displacement and natural disaster? What role can New Zealand s soft power play in today s highly polarised international political climate? Chair: Prof Rouben Azizian, Director, Centre for Defence and Security Studies, Massey University Lead Speaker: Lt Gen Tim Keating, Chief of the New Zealand Defence Force Speakers: - Dr Matthew Reid, Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF - Doctors Without Borders) - Prof Tim Naish, Director, Antarctic Research Centre, Victoria University of Wellington

5 - Dr Fiona Barker, Senior Lecturer, Political Science and International Relations Programme, Victoria University SESSION 3 - Asia Pacific: Game of Thrones in our Backyard? The tightrope of doing business and enhancing security is a key challenge in our Asia Pacific neighbourhood. New Zealand treads judiciously; the China Free Trade Agreement has brought great economic boon, whilst New Zealand s security arrangements are still very much linked to traditional partners. Heightened concerns over North Korea threaten the basis of international security within the Pacific. Does New Zealand have to choose between security and the economy? What are the political ramifications of trade and investment initiatives that include some nations but exclude others? Chair: Simon Murdoch, Asia NZ Foundation Speakers: - Allan Gyngell, National President, Australian Institute of International Affairs (AIIA) - Dr Cleo Paskal, Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Resources, Chatham House - Prof Dingli Shen, Professor and Associate Dean, Institute of International Studies, Fudan University - Dr Anna Powles, Senior Lecturer, Security Studies, Centre for Defence & Security Studies, Massey University Networking lunch supported by the British High Commission INTERNATIONAL SECURITY CONVERSATION - Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Chair: Joy Dunsheath, National President, United Nations Association of New Zealand Speaker: Tim Wright, Asia-Pacific Director, 2017 Nobel Peace Prize Laureate International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) Journalist: Andrew Thomas, Al Jazeera SESSION 4 - Diffusion of Power in the Digital Age From cyber security to the impact of social media on diplomacy, technology plays a role in every area of foreign policy. What is the role of traditional diplomacy when a single tweet can alter decade-long policies? Military innovations such as automated weaponry could make the decision to go to war easier, which would shift the burden of armed conflict further onto civilians and create questions concerning accountability. Who would be legally responsible for a robot s actions: the commander, programmer, manufacturer, or robot itself? Will cyber security become the primary battlefield in interstate conflict? Could personal data stored by multinational corporations pose a security threat? Chair: Dan O Brien, Technology Advisor Speakers: - Andrew Hampton, Director General, Government Communications Security Bureau (GCSB) - Prof Robert Patman, Department of Politics, Otago University - Greg Doone, Director, Digital Strategy and Data, PwC - Alexandra Lutyens, Unit Manager, Digital, MFAT Networking break and refreshments supported by the NZ China Council SESSION 5 - World Economy & Trade: Is Asia Re-inventing the Rules? Emerging economies are projected to continue their notable growth over the next 25 years. China and India s economic rise mean that by 2050 these two nations are predicted to account for over a third of the

6 world economy (GDP in PPPs). Initiatives such as the one trillion dollar One Belt One Road, and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, where New Zealand is a founding member, seem set to change the established order. How can existing institutions, such as the IMF and the World Bank, whose voting mechanisms are stacked against emerging markets, adjust to this new reality? Chair: Andrew Thomas, Al Jazeera Speakers: - HE Toshihisa Takata, Ambassador of Japan to New Zealand - Vangelis Vitalis, Deputy Secretary (Trade and Economic) and Chief Negotiator, CPTPP, MFAT - Stephen Jacobi, Executive Director, NZ International Business Forum, NZ China Council, APEC Business Advisory Council (NZ) - Tim Ng, Deputy Secretary, Chief Economic Advisor, The Treasury Concluding remarks Emeritus Prof Rob Rabel, Vice President, NZIIA Maty Nikkhou-O Brien, Executive Director, NZIIA End of conference Proudly Supported by Gold Sponsor Silver Sponsor Bronze Sponsor Media Sponsor For more information contact the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs T: (04) E: nziia@vuw.ac.nz W: #NZIIA2018