Course Prerequisites: first-year Ph.D. sequence in microeconomics and econometrics.

Transcription

1 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Department of Economics Fall 2014 Econ 551: Microeconomic Issues in Development Economics Monday/Wednesday 12:30-1:50 David Kinley Hall, Room 215 Instructor: Richard Akresh Office: David Kinley Hall, Room Office Hours: Monday/Wednesday 3:20-4:20 or by appointment Website: faculty.las.illinois.edu/akresh/ Course Description: This course examines the current literature on the microeconomics of development in poor countries. We will cover household structure (neoclassical and intrahousehold bargaining), risk, credit constraints and insurance, human capital investment (education and health), HIV/AIDS, conflict, and the role of social networks and institutions. We will also read several recent or current-year job market papers from microeconomic development students. The first few weeks of the course are focused on an applied econometrics overview where we examine econometric techniques that researchers use to identify causal relationships. Course Prerequisites: first-year Ph.D. sequence in microeconomics and econometrics. Course Objectives: The first objective is to provide a critical overview of the current microeconomic development literature and central debates in economic development. The second objective is to understand econometric and methodological issues that arise when doing microeconomic development research. In particular, we will focus on how hypotheses may be tested with data and how to identify causal relationships. The third objective is to prepare students to conduct original research in applied micro and to help identify possible dissertation topics. Course Requirements: Read the required articles before class, attend all lectures, and participate in class discussion. Present one assigned reading and lead class discussion on that reading. The discussion will summarize the paper, discuss the theoretical model and key assumptions, discuss the empirical identification strategy, present the results, and then discuss the most important weaknesses of the paper and provide suggestions for future research on that topic. Write 2 referee reports for approved papers and complete the empirical problem sets. Write an empirical research paper due Friday December 12, 2014 at 5pm. The paper can be a replication of an approved empirical paper in development economics or an empirical paper with 1

2 original research. The paper must have sections describing the research question and why it is relevant, discussion of the related literature with an explanation of how this paper advances that literature, presentation of data, and discussion of empirical identification strategies and results. During my office hours during the semester, I expect to have meetings with each student to discuss their paper. Research proposal presentation: Each student will give a 15 minute presentation of their research paper/proposal. We will discuss the details of the presentation later in the semester. Students are strongly encouraged to attend the applied micro seminar (on Mondays 9:30-11:00) as well as all applied micro recruiting talks. Attending seminars is a good way to learn about current research topics, see working papers in progress, and learn how to give oral presentations and handle questions. Student Assessment: The class grade will comprise: Research paper (35%), class presentation of assigned paper (15%), class presentation of research proposal (15%), referee reports and problem sets (20%), and class discussion (15%). All assignments are to be turned in at the beginning of the class in which they are due. Late assignments receive no credit. Recommended texts: Bardhan, Pranab and Christopher Udry Development Microeconomics. Oxford University Press. Deaton, Angus The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconomic Approach to Development Policy. Johns Hopkins University Press. The 5-volume Handbook of Development Economics is an excellent reference, with thorough overviews of many development economics topics. Ray, Debraj Development Economics. Princeton University Press. This is an excellent undergraduate text in development economics that has clear non-technical explanations for many of the issues we will study. Papers marked with a * are required reading and will be used as a basis for classroom discussion; the other papers listed are background reading and will be referred to as time and interest permit. Emergency Response Recommendations: The university maintains guidelines for emergency responses. A list of recommendations when to evacuate and when to find shelter are available at: x Floor plans for specific buildings are available at: 2

3 Statement on Accommodations: To obtain disability-related academic adjustments and/or auxiliary aids, students with disabilities must contact the course instructor and the Disability Resources Educational Services (DRES) as soon as possible. To contact DRES you may visit 1207 S. Oak Street, Champaign, call (V/TTY), or a message to disability@uiuc.edu. Academic Integrity: The University has the responsibility for maintaining academic integrity so as to protect the quality of education and research on our campus and to protect those who depend upon our integrity. Expectations of Students. It is the responsibility of each student to refrain from infractions of academic integrity, from conduct that may lead to suspicion of such infractions, and from conduct that aids others in such infractions. Students have been given notice of this Part by virtue of its publication. Regardless of whether a student has actually read this Part, a student is charged with knowledge of it. Ignorance is not a defense. The University s full academic integrity policy is available at: COURSE OUTLINE I. Applied Econometrics Overview A. Overview and Program Evaluation *Duflo, Esther Schooling and Labor Market Consequences of School Construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an Unusual Policy Experiment, American Economic Review 91(4), *Angelucci, Manuela and Giacomo De Giorgi Indirect Effects of an Aid Program: How Do Cash Injections Affect Ineligibles Consumption? American Economic Review, 99(1), Angrist, Joshua and Alan Krueger Empirical Strategies in Labor Economics in Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 3, Orley Ashenfelter and David Card, editors. Meyer, Bruce D Natural and Quasi-Experiments in Economics, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13(2), Longer version is NBER Technical Working Paper 170. Angrist, Joshua and Alan Krueger Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15(4), Freeman, David Statistical Models and Shoe Leather. Sociological Methodology, 21:

4 Lee, David and Thomas Lemieux Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics, NBER Working Paper Duflo, Esther, Rachel Glennerster, and Michael Kremer Using Randomization in Development Economics Research: A Toolkit. NBER Technical Working Paper No. 333 [ B. Debate over Randomization Duflo, Esther and Abhijit Banerjee The Experimental Approach to Development Economics. NBER Working Paper Deaton, Angus Instruments of Development: Randomization in the Tropics, and the Search for the Elusive Keys to Economic Development. NBER Working Paper Heckman, James and Sergio Urzua Comparing IV with Structural Models: What Simple IV Can and Cannot Identify. NBER Working Paper Imbens, Guido Better LATE Than Nothing: Some Comments on Deaton (2009) and Heckman and Urzua (2009). NBER Working Paper II. Human Capital Investment A. Cash Transfers *Baird, Sarah, Craig McIntosh, and Berk Ozler Cash or Condition? Evidence from a Randomized Cash Transfer Program. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(4): *Akresh, Richard, Damien de Walque, and Harounan Kazianga Cash Transfers and Child Schooling: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation of the Role of Conditionality. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper *Barrera-Osorio, Felipe, Marianne Bertrand, Leigh Linden, and Francisco Perez Improving the Design of Conditional Transfer Programs: Evidence from a Randomized Education Experiment in Colombia. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3(2): *Benhassine, Najy, Florencia Devoto, Esther Duflo, Pascaline Dupas, and Victor Pouliquen Turning a Shove into a Nudge? A Labeled Cash Transfer for Education. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, forthcoming *Haushofer, Johannes and Jeremy Shapiro Household Response to Income Changes: Evidence from an Unconditional Cash Transfer Program in Kenya. Working paper. B. Education *Yang, Dean and Sharon Maccini Under the Weather: Health, Schooling, and Economic Consequences of Early-Life Rainfall. American Economic Review, 99(3):

5 *Berry, Jim Child Control in Education Decisions: An Evaluation of Targeted Incentives to Learn in India. Cornell working paper. *Jensen, Robert The (Perceived) Returns to Education and the Demand for Schooling," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(2): *Behrman, Jere, Susan Parker, Petra Todd, and Kenneth Wolpin Aligning Learning Incentives of Students and Teachers: Results from a Social Experiment in Mexican High Schools. Working paper. Akresh, Richard School Enrollment Impacts of Non-traditional Household Structure. University of Illinois working Paper. Angrist, Joshua and Victor Lavy Using Maimonides Rule to Estimate the Effects of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(2): Behrman, Jere, Andrew Foster, Mark Rosenzweig, and Prem Vashishtha Women s Schooling, Home Teaching, and Economic Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 107(4) Kremer, Michael, Paul Glewwe, Sylvie Moulin, and Eric Zitzewitz Retrospective vs. Prospective Analyses of School Inputs: The Case of Flip Charts in Kenya, Journal of Development Economics, 74(1), C. Health and Nutrition *Kremer, Michael and Edward Miguel Worms: Identifying Impacts on Education and Health in the Presence of Treatment Externalities. Econometrica, 72(1), *Akresh, Richard, Leonardo Lucchetti, and Harsha Thirumurthy Wars and Child Health: Evidence from the Eritrean-Ethiopian Conflict. Journal of Development Economics, 99(2): *Cohen, Jessica and Pascaline Dupas Free Distribution or Cost Sharing? Evidence from a Randomized Malaria Prevention Experiment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 125(1): *Robinson, Jonathan and Ethan Yet Transactional Sex as a Response to Risk in Western Kenya. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3(1): *Bleakley, Hoyt Malaria Eradication in the Americas: A Retrospective Analysis of Childhood Exposure. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2(2): *Field, Erica, Omar Robles, and Maximo Torero Iodine Deficiency and Schooling Attainment in Tanzania. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(4): *Thomas, Duncan, et al Iron Deficiency and the Well-Being of Older Adults: Early Results from a Randomized Nutrition Intervention. Manuscript, UCLA. 5

6 *Maluccio, John, John Hoddinott, Jere Behrman, Reynaldo Martorell, Agnes Quisumbing, and Aryeh Stein The Impact of Improving Nutrition During Early Childhood on Education among Guatemalan Adults. Economic Journal, 119(537): Strauss, John and Duncan Thomas Health, Nutrition and Economic Development, Journal of Economic Literature 36(2): Thomas, Duncan and John Strauss Health and Wages: Evidence on Men and Women in Urban Brazil. Journal of Econometrics, 77, Bundervoet, Tom, Philip Verwimp, and Richard Akresh Health and Civil War in Rural Burundi. Journal of Human Resources, 44(2), Akresh, Richard, Philip Verwimp, and Tom Bundervoet Civil War, Crop Failure, and Child Stunting in Rwanda. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 59(4): Kuziemko, Iliyana and Seema Jayachandran Why Do Mothers Breastfeed Girls Less than Boys: Evidence and Implications for Child Health in India. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(3): Baird, Sarah, Joan Hamory Hicks, Michael Kremer, and Edward Miguel Worms at Work: Long-run Impacts of Child Health Gains. Working paper. Bardhan and Udry, Chapter 10. D. Fetal Origins *Almond, Douglas and Bhashkar Mazumder Health Capital and the Prenatal Environment: The Effect of Ramadan Observance during Pregnancy. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 3(4): *Akresh, Richard, Emilie Bagby, Damien de Walque, and Harounan Kazianga Child Labor, Schooling, and Child Ability. University of Illinois working paper. *Adhvaryu, Achyuta and Anant Nyshadham Endowments at Birth and Parents Investments in Children. Yale University working paper. *Bharadwaj, Prashant and Leah Lakdawala Discrimination Begins in the Womb: Evidence of Sex Selective Prenatal Investments. Journal of Human Resources. *Macours, Karen, Norbert Schady, and Renos Vakis. Cash Transfers, Behavioral Changes, and Cognitive Development in Early Childhood: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(2): *Barham, Tania Enhancing Cognitive Functioning: Medium-Term Effects of a Health and Family Planning Program in Matlab. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(1):

7 Almond, Douglas and Janet Currie Human Capital Development Before Age Five. In Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol4b, ed. Orley Ashenfelter, David Card. Amsterdam: Elsevier, E. HIV/AIDS *Thornton, Rebecca The Demand for, and Impact of, Learning HIV Status. American Economic Review, 98(5), *Thirumurthy, Harsha, Joshua Graff Zivin, and Markus Goldstein The Economic Impact of AIDS Treatment: Labor Supply in Western Kenya. Journal of Human Resources, 43(3), *Goldstein Markus, Joshua Graff Zivin, James Habyarimana, Cristian Pop-Eleches, and Harsha Thirumurthy The effect of absenteeism and clinic protocol on health outcomes: the case of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Kenya. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2013; 5(2): Godlonton, Susan, Jobiba Chinkhumba, and Rebecca Thornton Demand for Medical Male Circumcision. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 6(2): Zivin, Joshua Graff, Harsha Thirumurthy, and Markus Goldstein AIDS Treatment and Intrahousehold Resource Allocation: Children s Nutrition and Schooling. Journal of Public Economics, 93: III. Conflict A. Impacts of conflict *Akresh, Richard and Damien de Walque Armed Conflict and Schooling: Evidence from the 1994 Rwandan Genocide. Working paper. *Blattman, Christopher and Jeannie Annan The Consequences of Child Soldiering. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(4): *Miguel, Edward and John Bellows War and Local Collective Action in Sierra Leone. Journal of Public Economics, 93(11-12): B. Causes of Conflict *Angrist, Joshua and Adriana Kugler Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Columbia. Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(2), *Dube, Oeindrila and Juan Vargas Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia. Review of Economic Studies, 80(4): *Yanagizawa-Drott, David. Forthcoming. Propaganda and Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Rwandan Genocide. Quarterly Journal of Economics, forthcoming. 7

8 *Sanchez de la Sierra, Raul On the Origin of States: Stationary Bandits and Taxation in Eastern Congo. Job market paper. *Dell, Melissa, Benjamin Jones, and Benjamin Olken Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 4(3): Miguel, Edward, Shanker Satyanath, and Ernest Sergenti Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach. Journal of Political Economy, 112(4): Blattman, Christopher and Edward Miguel Civil War. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(1): Davis, Donald and David Weinstein. Bones, Bombs, and Breakpoints: The Geography of Economic Activity. American Economic Review, 92(5): IV. Neoclassical Agricultural Household Model A. Standard Model *Pitt, Mark, Mark Rosenzweig and MD. Nazmul Hassan Productivity, Health and Inequality in the Intra-household Distribution of Food in Low-Income Countries, American Economic Review 80: Benjamin, Dwayne Household Composition, Labor Markets and Labor Demand: Testing for Separation in Agricultural Household Models, Econometrica 60: Deaton, Angus and Christina Paxson Economies of Scale, Household Size, and the Demand for Food, Journal of Political Economy, 106/5: Fafchamps, Marcel Sequential Labor Decisions under Uncertainty: An Estimable Household Model of West African Farmers. Econometrica 61, Foster, Andrew and Mark Rosenzweig Household Division and Rural Economic Growth, Review of Economic Studies, 69(4): Singh, Inderjit, Lyn Squire, and John Strauss Agricultural Household Models: Extensions, Applications and Policy, Johns Hopkins University Press, Chapters 1-2. B. Critique: Is the Household the Appropriate Unit of Analysis? *Thomas, Duncan Intra-Household Resource Allocation: An Inferential Approach, Journal of Human Resources 25(4): *Dercon, Stefan and Pramila Krishnan In Sickness and in Health: Risk Sharing within Households in Ethiopia, Journal of Political Economy, 108(4): *Udry, Christopher Gender, Agricultural Productivity and the Theory of the Household, Journal of Political Economy, 104(5):

9 *Akresh, Richard (In)Efficiency in Intrahousehold Allocations. University of Illinois working paper. *Duflo, Esther Grandmothers and Granddaughters: Old Age Pension and Intrahousehold Allocation in South Africa. World Bank Economic Review, 17(1), *Bobonis, Gustavo Is the Allocation of Resources within the Household Efficient? New Evidence from a Randomized Experiment. Journal of Political Economy, 117(3), *Nava Ashraf Spousal Control and Intra-Household Decision Making: An Experimental Study in the Philippines. American Economic Review, 99(4): Case, Anne and Angus Deaton Large Cash Transfers to the Elderly in South Africa, Economic Journal 108: Udry, Christopher Intrahousehold Resource Allocation in Côte d Ivoire: Social Norms, Separate Accounts, and Consumption Choices. Yale University Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper No V. Risk-sharing and Responses to Crises *Frankenberg, Elizabeth, James P. Smith, and Duncan Thomas "Economic Shocks, Wealth, and Welfare." Journal of Human Resources, 38(2): *Akresh, Richard Flexibility of Household Structure: Child Fostering Decisions in Burkina Faso. Journal of Human Resources, 44(4), Kazianga, Harounan and Christopher Udry Consumption Smoothing? Livestock, Insurance, and Drought in Rural Burkina Faso. Journal of Development Economics, 79(2): Fafchamps, Marcel, Christopher Udry, and Katherine Czukas Drought and Saving in West Africa: Are Livestock a Buffer Stock? Journal of Development Economics, 55(2): Rosenzweig, Mark and Oded Stark Consumption Smoothing, Migration, and Marriage: Evidence from Rural India. Journal of Political Economy, 97(4): VI. Social Networks *Munshi, Kaivan Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U.S. Labor Market. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(2), *Munshi, Kaivan, and Mark Rosenzweig "Traditional Institutions Meet the Modern World: Caste, Gender, and Schooling Choice in a Globalizing Economy." American Economic Review, 96(4), Fafchamps, Marcel and Susan Lund Risk-Sharing Networks in Rural Philippines. Journal of Development Economics, 71(2),

10 VII. Institutions and History *Nunn, Nathan The Long-Term Effects of Africa s Slave Trades, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(1): *Field, Erica Entitled to Work: Urban Property Rights and the Labor Supply in Peru, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(4): *Goldstein, Marcus and Chris Udry The Profits of Power: Land Rights and Agricultural Investment in Ghana. Journal of Political Economy, 116(6): Dell, Melissa The Persistent Effects of Peru s Mining Mita. Econometrica, 78(6): Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. American Economic Review, 91(5): VIII. Technology *Aker, Jenny, Paul Collier, and Pedro Vicente Is Information Power? Using Mobile Phones and Free Newspapers during an Election in Mozambique. Working paper. *Jensen, Robert and Emily Oster The Power of TV: Cable Television and Women s Status in India. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(3): Aker, Jenny, Christopher Ksoll, and Travis Lybbert Can Mobile Phones Improve Learning? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Niger. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(4): IX. Government Public Service Provision A. Service Provision *Bjorkman, Martina, and Jakob Svensson Power to the People: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment of Community-Based Monitoring in Uganda. Quarterly Journal of Economics 124 (2): *Muralidharan, Karthik and Venkatesh Sundararaman Teacher Performance Pay: Experimental Evidence from India. Journal of Political Economy, 119(1): B. Corruption *Ferraz, Claudio and Frederico Finan Exposing Corrupt Politicians: The Effect of Brazil s Publicly Released Audits on Electoral Outcomes. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(2): *Olken, Ben and Patrick Barron The Simple Economics of Extortion: Evidence from Trucking in Aceh. Journal of Political Economy, 117(3): X. Recent Microeconomic Development Job Market Papers *Papers to be added in late November