Politics, Policies, and Economic Prosperity in Latin America

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POLI 134D Topics/Latin American Politics Fall 2015 Monday, Wednesday, Friday 10:00AM-10:50AM York, Room 4080A Politics, Policies, and Economic Prosperity in Latin America Prof. Sebastian M. Saiegh ssaiegh@ucsd.edu 858-534-7237 Office Hours: Wednesday 12:30PM-2:30PM, office SSB #365. Course Description This course focuses on the political economy of Latin America. We will examine the development policies followed by the countries in the region. Following a review of simple economic models of growth, we will analyze the track record of Latin American economies. Finally, we will discuss how public policies and political institutions affect economic prosperity. Format The class will meet three times per week for the duration of the quarter. Each meeting will be devoted to a new theme/idea. Every topic presented in class is paired with one required reading. The lectures will review the concepts discussed in these readings, but should be taken neither as a duplication nor as a substitute for them. In other words, you should not assume that because you came to class, you can skip the readings, and/or that because you made the readings you may not attend the lectures. Assignments Each week students are expected to read the materials. Students are expected to take a midterm exam, and final exam. The midterm exam is worth 35% of the final grade, and the final exam accounts for 50% of the final grade. Discussion and general class participation accounts for the remaining 15%. Extensions, incompletes, etc. will be given in accordance with UCSD policy. Except under very pressing circumstances, they will be discouraged. 1

Course Policies Academic Integrity. Students in this course are expected to comply with UCSD s Policy on Integrity of Scholarship. In particular, plagiarism is considered a dishonest practice and a serious academic offense. Hence, there will be a zero tolerance policy with respect to these practices: any student violating the obligation of academic integrity during the term will automatically fail the class. Copies of the current version of the UCSD Policy on Integrity of Scholarship, also commonly referred to as the Academic Dishonesty Policy, may be found on the Academic Senate webpage: http://www-senate.ucsd.edu/academicintegrity/academicintegrity.htm Disabilities. If you have a disability that requires special testing accommodations or other classroom modifications, you need to notify both me and the Office for Students with Disabilities (OSD). You may be asked to provide documentation of your disability to determine the appropriateness of accommodations. To notify the OSD, call (858) 534-4382 to schedule an appointment. Course Materials Readings for weeks 1-3 are drawn the following book (available for purchase): Easterly, William. 2002. The Elusive Quest for Growth. Cambridge: MIT Press (hereafter: Easterly). The other readings come from articles available online through the UCSD Library System (marked in this syllabus by ). In addition there are some readings drawn from book chapters, and non-electronic journals. These articles (marked by ) can be downloaded from E-Reserves or will be made available by the instructor. Course Outline and Readings Week 0 (September 25) Introduction. Week 1 (September 28- October 2) September 28: The Quest for Prosperity September 30: Mechanics of Growth I (Easterly, ch. 2) October 2: Mechanics of Growth II (Easterly, ch. 3) 2

Week 2 (October 5 - October 9) October 5: Increasing Returns (Easterly, ch. 8) October 7: Technological Change (Easterly, ch. 9) October 9: Contextual Factors (Easterly, ch. 10) Week 3 (October 12 - October 16 ) October 12: Politics, Policies and the Economy * Krueger, Ann O. 1990. Government Failures in Development, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol 4, 3: 9-23. October 14: Bad Governments (Easterly, ch. 11) October 16: Predatory Governments (Easterly, ch. 12) Week 4 (October 19 - October 23) October 19: Latin America s track record ** Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). 2013.Three decades of uneven and unstable growth. Santiago, Chile: United Nations. October 21: Populism ** Dornbusch, Rudiger and Sebastian Edwards. 1991. The Macroeconomics of Populism, in Dornbusch and Edwards (Eds.) The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, Ch. 1. October 23: The Washington Consensus ** Birdsall, Nancy, Augusto de la Torre and Felipe Valencia Caicedo. 2011. The Washington Consensus: Assesing a Damaged Brand, in Ocampo and Ros (Eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics. New York: Oxford University Press, Ch. 4. Week 5 (October 26- October 30) October 26: Argentina s economic implosion Documentary The empty ATM October 28: Review Session October 30: Midterm Exam 3

Week 6 (November 2 - November 6) November 2: The Pink Tide * Panizza, Francisco. 2005. Unarmed Utopia Revisited: The Resurgence of Left-of-Centre Politics in Latin America, Political Studies. Vol. 53: 716-734. November 4: Economic Policies I * Flores-Macías, Gustavo. 2010. Explaining Leftist Governments Economic Policies in Latin America, in Comparative Politics: 413-433. November 6: Economic Policies II ** Kaufman, Robert R. 2011. The Political Left, the Export Boom, and the Populist Temptation, in Levitsky and Roberts (Eds.) The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, Ch. 4. Week 7 (November 9 - November 13) November 9: The Great Recession * Ocampo, Jose Antonio. 2009. Latin America and the global financial crisis, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33: 703-724. November 11: NO CLASS - VETERANS DAY HOLIDAY November 13: Growth in the Face of Global Headwinds * Powell, Andrew (Coord.) 2013. Rethinking Reforms. Washington, D.C.: IDB, Ch. 3. Week 8 (November 16 - November 20) November 16: Sustaining Prosperity * Levy, Santiago and Norbert Schady. 2013. Latin America s Social Policy Challenge: Education, Social Insurance, Redistribution, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 27: 193-218. November 18: Informal Economy ** Tokman, Victor E. 2011. Employment: The Dominance of the Informal Economy, in Ocampo and Ros (Eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics. New York: Oxford University Press, Ch. 30. 4

November 20: Argentina, once again ** Argentina: a century of decline, The Economist, February 15, 2014. Week 9 (November 23 - November 27) November 23: Rethinking Reforms I ** Rodrik, Dani. 2002. After Neoliberalism, What?, paper presented at the Alternatives to Neoliberalism Conference, May 23-24, 2002. November 25: Rethinking Reforms II ** Lora, Eduardo. 2012. Structural Reforms in Latin America: What Has Been Reformed and How to Measure It, IDB working paper series, No. 346 November 27: NO CLASS - THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY Week 10 (November 30 - December 4) November 30: Policymaking ** Ardanaz, Martín, Carlos Scartascini and Mariano Tommasi. 2011. Political Institutions, Policymaking, and Economic Policy in Latin America, in Ocampo and Ros (Eds.) The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Economics. New York: Oxford University Press, Ch. 3. December 2: Institutions ** Kingstone, Peter. 2011. The Political Economy of Latin America, Ch. 5. December 4: Final Overview Final Exam: Friday December 11-8:00AM - 10:59AM 5