Public opinion survey in Crimea The survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine. Sample size of the survey was 600 telephone interviews (using mobile and landline phone numbers). The fieldwork was carried out from 06.03.2014 till 11.03.2014. The data was weighted by gender, age, region of respondent`s living and settlement size according to statistical data from the State Committee of Statistics of Ukraine on January, 1, 2012. Tables by age Q4. Type of settlement 102 51,41% 97 46,00% 70 36,41% 268 44,70% 96 48,59% 114 54,00% 122 63,59% 332 55,30% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Village 64 32,26% 75 35,89% 49 25,64% 189 31,41% Urban-type settlement 34 17,11% 17 7,87% 21 10,95% 71 11,90% City 100 50,63% 118 56,24% 122 63,41% 340 56,69% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00%
Size of settlement Q6. Did you support or oppose the overthrow of President Yanukovych? Q7. Do you consider the current government in Kiev the legitimate representatives of the Ukrainian people? Village 64 32,26% 75 35,89% 49 25,64% 189 31,41% City with population under 50 thsd 62 31,28% 37 17,38% 34 17,78% 133 22,08% City with population 50-500 thsd 72 36,46% 98 46,73% 109 56,58% 279 46,51% City with population over 500 thsd 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Support 106 53,53% 117 55,53% 100 52,14% 323 53,79% Oppose 83 41,88% 74 35,42% 78 40,43% 235 39,15% Hard to answer 9 4,59% 19 9,05% 14 7,42% 42 7,06% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 52 26,38% 30 14,33% 31 15,90% 113 18,80% No 133 67,33% 168 80,05% 149 77,53% 451 75,06% No opinion/don t know 12 6,28% 12 5,62% 13 6,57% 37 6,14% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Q8. It has been widely reported that Russian-affiliated military personnel have taken control of Crimea. Do you believe this action by Russia to be justified or unjustified? Strongly justified 70 35,33% 88 42,08% 88 45,90% 247 41,08% Somewhat justified 40 20,43% 42 20,03% 35 18,25% 118 19,59% Somewhat unjustified 29 14,76% 21 9,82% 12 6,05% 61 10,23% Strongly unjustified 43 21,72% 32 15,20% 26 13,53% 101 16,80% No opinion/don t know 15 7,77% 27 12,87% 31 16,28% 74 12,29% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00%
Go to war with Russia to defend Ukraine s sovereignty Enter into dialogue with Yanukovych or other representatives of its Russianspeaking population to seek a reconciliation agreement 4 2,12% 1 0,41% 1 0,53% 6 1,01% 33 16,76% 31 14,90% 23 11,76% 87 14,51% Q9. Do you believe the current Ukrainian government in Kiev should [check all that apply]: Call for international conference including EU, Russia and the UN in order to form an agreement that will be enforced by international peacekeeping forces 57 29,08% 26 12,50% 31 16,03% 115 19,08% Initiate referendums in the regions of the country under the supervision of international observers where they can decide their future (region of Ukraine, autonomous region, independence) 120 60,94% 138 65,56% 114 59,32% 372 62,04% No opinion/don t know 20 10,25% 30 14,18% 34 17,82% 84 14,05% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q10. Do you believe the US and EU should (select all that apply): Q11. Do you believe the UN should send observers into the Ukraine to prevent bloodshed? Send military support to defend Ukraine. 14 7,09% 4 1,85% 2 0,93% 20 3,28% Engage Putin diplomatically 82 41,73% 86 41,06% 71 36,76% 240 39,90% Place strong economic sanctions on Russia until it removes troops from 34 17,37% 20 9,41% 16 8,48% 70 11,73% Ukrainian territory. Not intervene at all in the current situation 94 47,77% 119 56,68% 107 55,47% 320 53,36% No opinion/don t know 7 3,52% 6 2,75% 17 8,82% 30 4,95% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 62 31,44% 42 19,90% 43 22,31% 147 24,47% No 125 63,43% 154 73,23% 133 69,02% 412 68,66% No opinion/don t know 10 5,13% 14 6,86% 17 8,67% 41 6,87% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Association Agreement with the EU 27 13,47% 18 8,42% 13 6,99% 58 9,62% Q12. Would you prefer Ukraine to join Customs Union with Russia, Belarus an Association Agreement with the EU 116 58,65% 137 65,21% 140 72,55% 393 65,41% and Kazakhstan or join the Customs Union with Russia, Neither 49 24,89% 44 20,97% 23 11,97% 116 19,37% Belarus and Kazakhstan? No opinion/don t know 6 2,99% 11 5,40% 16 8,48% 34 5,60% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q13. Ultimately would you prefer to see Ukraine more closely aligned with Europe and the West, with Russia, or fairly equally with both? Europe and the West 13 6,51% 9 4,27% 6 3,22% 28 4,67% Russia 75 38,13% 93 43,99% 83 42,92% 250 41,72% Equally with both 91 45,99% 95 45,27% 89 46,39% 275 45,87% None of the above 16 8,22% 7 3,21% 7 3,71% 30 5,02% No opinion/don t know 2 1,14% 7 3,26% 7 3,76% 16 2,72% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Q14. Would you support or oppose a plan that called for all sides to engage in talks aimed at guaranteeing the rights of minorities, the withdrawal of Russian troops back to their bases, and all of Ukraine to participate in internationally-monitored elections to determine the country s future? Strongly support 57 28,65% 65 30,68% 60 31,03% 181 30,13% Somewhat support 74 37,25% 48 22,95% 40 20,91% 162 27,00% Somewhat oppose 30 15,11% 31 14,66% 24 12,28% 84 14,05% Strongly oppose 20 10,31% 38 18,00% 34 17,69% 92 15,37% No opinion/don t know 17 8,68% 29 13,71% 35 18,08% 81 13,46% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Q15. The Parliament in Kiev recently voted to abolish the law that allows each region to use the languages of ethnic minorities as a second official language. Did you approve or disapprove of Parliament doing this? Strong approve 24 11,99% 27 12,88% 30 15,42% 80 13,40% Somewhat approve 25 12,45% 21 9,85% 15 7,86% 60 10,07% Somewhat disapprove 41 20,52% 33 15,77% 19 10,04% 93 15,49% Strongly disapprove 97 49,34% 121 57,38% 103 53,28% 321 53,42% No opinion/don t know 11 5,70% 9 4,12% 26 13,41% 46 7,62% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q16. Do you support or oppose the political views of groups like Svoboda and Right Sector? Strongly support 13 6,43% 4 1,79% 8 3,96% 24 4,01% Somewhat support 21 10,82% 8 3,78% 5 2,71% 35 5,75% Somewhat oppose 26 13,15% 24 11,28% 8 4,01% 57 9,57% Strongly oppose 120 60,72% 161 76,33% 145 75,19% 425 70,83% No opinion/don t know 18 8,88% 14 6,82% 27 14,13% 59 9,84% 197 100,00% 210 100,00% 193 100,00% 600 100,00% Tables by gender Q2. under 18 years 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 18-35 years 102 37,83% 96 28,90% 197 32,89% 36-55 years 97 36,05% 114 34,20% 210 35,03% 56 years and over 70 26,13% 122 36,89% 193 32,08% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Q4. Type of settlement Village 87 32,36% 102 30,64% 189 31,41% Urban-type settlement 40 14,87% 32 9,50% 71 11,90% City 142 52,78% 199 59,86% 340 56,69% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00%
Size of settlement Q6. Did you support or oppose the overthrow of President Yanukovych? Q7. Do you consider the current government in Kiev the legitimate representatives of the Ukrainian people? Q8. It has been widely reported that Russian-affiliated military personnel have taken control of Crimea. Do you believe this action by Russia to be justified or unjustified? Village 87 32,36% 102 30,64% 189 31,41% City with population under 50 thsd 70 26,21% 62 18,74% 133 22,08% City with population 50-500 thsd 111 41,44% 168 50,62% 279 46,51% City with population over 500 thsd 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Support 151 56,19% 172 51,84% 323 53,79% Oppose 97 36,27% 138 41,48% 235 39,15% Hard to answer 20 7,54% 22 6,68% 42 7,06% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 56 20,73% 57 17,23% 113 18,80% No 194 72,14% 257 77,42% 451 75,06% No opinion/don t know 19 7,13% 18 5,34% 37 6,14% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Strongly justified 116 43,40% 130 39,21% 247 41,08% Somewhat justified 45 16,74% 73 21,89% 118 19,59% Somewhat unjustified 23 8,63% 38 11,53% 61 10,23% Strongly unjustified 55 20,41% 46 13,89% 101 16,80% No opinion/don t know 29 10,82% 45 13,47% 74 12,29% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q9. Do you believe the current Ukrainian government in Kiev should [check all that apply]: Go to war with Russia to defend Ukraine s sovereignty Enter into dialogue with Yanukovych or other representatives of its Russianspeaking population to seek a reconciliation agreement Call for international conference including EU, Russia and the UN in order to form an agreement that will be enforced by international peacekeeping forces Initiate referendums in the regions of the country under the supervision of international observers where they can decide their future (region of Ukraine, autonomous region, independence) 4 1,32% 3 0,76% 6 1,01% 38 14,03% 49 14,89% 87 14,51% 60 22,36% 55 16,43% 115 19,08% 152 56,67% 220 66,38% 372 62,04% No opinion/don t know 39 14,51% 45 13,69% 84 14,05% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q10. Do you believe the US and EU should (select all that apply): Q11. Do you believe the UN should send observers into the Ukraine to prevent bloodshed? Send military support to defend Ukraine 13 4,80% 7 2,05% 20 3,28% Engage Putin diplomatically 108 40,29% 131 39,59% 240 39,90% Place strong economic sanctions on Russia until it removes troops from 36 13,30% 35 10,46% 70 11,73% Ukrainian territory Not intervene at all in the current situation 133 49,52% 187 56,47% 320 53,36% No opinion/don t know 16 5,98% 14 4,11% 30 4,95% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 64 23,92% 83 24,92% 147 24,47% No 192 71,69% 220 66,21% 412 68,66% No opinion/don t know 12 4,39% 29 8,88% 41 6,87% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Association Agreement with the EU 31 11,57% 27 8,05% 58 9,62% Q12. Would you prefer Ukraine to join Customs Union with Russia, Belarus an Association Agreement with the EU 174 64,75% 219 65,94% 393 65,41% and Kazakhstan or join the Customs Union with Russia, Neither 49 18,19% 68 20,33% 116 19,37% Belarus and Kazakhstan? No opinion/don t know 15 5,50% 19 5,68% 34 5,60% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q13. Ultimately would you prefer to see Ukraine more closely aligned with Europe and the West, with Russia, or fairly equally with both? Europe and the West 17 6,36% 11 3,31% 28 4,67% Russia 104 38,66% 147 44,20% 250 41,72% Equally with both 133 49,67% 142 42,79% 275 45,87% None of the above 8 3,16% 22 6,53% 30 5,02% No opinion/don t know 6 2,16% 11 3,18% 16 2,72% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Q14. Would you support or oppose a plan that called for all sides to engage in talks aimed at guaranteeing the rights of minorities, the withdrawal of Russian troops back to their bases, and all of Ukraine to participate in internationally-monitored elections to determine the country s future? Q15. The Parliament in Kiev recently voted to abolish the law that allows each region to use the languages of ethnic minorities as a second official language. Did you approve or disapprove of Parliament doing this? Strongly support 88 32,81% 93 27,95% 181 30,13% Somewhat support 66 24,62% 96 28,92% 162 27,00% Somewhat oppose 38 14,31% 46 13,83% 84 14,05% Strongly oppose 44 16,22% 49 14,69% 92 15,37% No opinion/don t know 32 12,04% 49 14,61% 81 13,46% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Strong approve 34 12,52% 47 14,11% 80 13,40% Somewhat approve 25 9,42% 35 10,59% 60 10,07% Somewhat disapprove 44 16,30% 49 14,84% 93 15,49% Strongly disapprove 148 55,14% 173 52,03% 321 53,42% No opinion/don t know 18 6,62% 28 8,42% 46 7,62% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q16. Do you support or oppose the political views of groups like Svoboda and Right Sector? Strongly support 13 4,82% 11 3,36% 24 4,01% Somewhat support 18 6,84% 16 4,87% 35 5,75% Somewhat oppose 22 8,29% 35 10,60% 57 9,57% Strongly oppose 198 73,81% 227 68,42% 425 70,83% No opinion/don t know 17 6,24% 42 12,76% 59 9,84% 268 100,00% 332 100,00% 600 100,00% Tables by settment type (Simferopol and Sevastopol separately) 124 52,22% 87 46,06% 27 31,51% 30 34,32% 268 44,70% 114 47,78% 102 53,94% 59 68,49% 58 65,68% 332 55,30% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Q2. under 18 years 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 18-35 years 89 37,23% 64 33,78% 30 35,00% 15 17,22% 197 32,89% 36-55 years 80 33,39% 75 40,03% 25 28,89% 31 34,71% 210 35,03% 56 years and over 70 29,38% 49 26,19% 31 36,11% 42 48,06% 193 32,08% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Region Q4. Type of settlement Size of settlement Eastern 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Western 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Kiev 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Northern 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Central 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Southern 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% Crimea 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Village 0 0,00% 189 100,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 189 31,41% Urban-type settlement 71 30,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 71 11,90% City 167 70,00% 0 0,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 340 56,69% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Village 0 0,00% 189 100,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 189 31,41% City with population under 50 thsd 133 55,67% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 133 22,08% City with population 50-500 thsd 106 44,33% 0 0,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 279 46,51% City with population over 500 thsd 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 0 0,00% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q6. Did you support or oppose the overthrow of President Yanukovych? Q7. Do you consider the current government in Kiev the legitimate representatives of the Ukrainian people? Q8. It has been widely reported that Russian-affiliated military personnel have taken control of Crimea. Do you believe this action by Russia to be justified or unjustified? Support 136 57,26% 100 52,92% 44 51,00% 43 48,97% 323 53,79% Oppose 87 36,34% 76 40,39% 36 41,70% 37 41,65% 235 39,15% Hard to answer 15 6,41% 13 6,69% 6 7,30% 8 9,38% 42 7,06% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 37 15,57% 47 24,96% 16 18,46% 13 14,66% 113 18,80% No 188 78,97% 124 65,77% 67 78,15% 72 81,41% 451 75,06% No opinion/don t know 13 5,47% 17 9,27% 3 3,39% 3 3,93% 37 6,14% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Strongly justified 103 43,32% 70 37,05% 36 42,63% 37 42,16% 247 41,08% Somewhat justified 58 24,36% 27 14,12% 16 18,20% 17 19,76% 118 19,59% Somewhat unjustified 21 8,72% 23 12,10% 8 9,90% 9 10,66% 61 10,23% Strongly unjustified 33 13,75% 44 23,50% 14 16,63% 10 10,90% 101 16,81% No opinion/don t know 23 9,84% 25 13,23% 11 12,64% 15 16,53% 74 12,29% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q9. Do you believe the current Ukrainian government in Kiev should [check all that apply]: Go to war with Russia to defend Ukraine s sovereignty Enter into dialogue with Yanukovych or other representatives of its Russianspeaking population to seek a reconciliation agreement Call for international conference including EU, Russia and the UN in order to form an agreement that will be enforced by international peacekeeping forces 3 1,06% 1 0,65% 2 2,71% 0 0,00% 6 1,01% 31 12,90% 28 14,77% 20 22,95% 9 10,08% 87 14,51% 41 17,26% 43 22,92% 15 17,67% 15 17,20% 115 19,08% Initiate referendums in the regions of the country under the supervision of international observers where they can decide their future (region of Ukraine, autonomous region, independence) 154 64,64% 116 61,32% 46 53,86% 57 64,47% 372 62,04% No opinion/don t know 31 13,03% 21 11,23% 13 15,18% 19 21,78% 84 14,06% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q10. Do you believe the US and EU should (select all that apply): Q11. Do you believe the UN should send observers into the Ukraine to prevent bloodshed? Send military support to defend Ukraine 9 3,79% 7 3,93% 3 3,80% 0 0,00% 20 3,28% Engage Putin diplomatically 99 41,45% 85 45,01% 22 25,97% 34 38,31% 240 39,90% Place strong economic sanctions on Russia until it removes troops from 22 9,42% 27 14,43% 13 15,08% 8 8,94% 70 11,73% Ukrainian territory Not intervene at all in the current situation 128 53,63% 86 45,85% 55 64,79% 51 57,62% 320 53,36% No opinion/don t know 13 5,51% 7 3,87% 3 3,46% 6 7,18% 30 4,95% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Yes 52 21,73% 55 29,22% 25 29,50% 15 16,88% 147 24,47% No 172 72,03% 120 63,66% 56 65,89% 64 72,91% 412 68,66% No opinion/don t know 15 6,25% 13 7,12% 4 4,62% 9 10,21% 41 6,87% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Association Agreement with the EU 22 9,09% 20 10,82% 7 8,41% 9 9,69% 58 9,62% Q12. Would you prefer Ukraine to join Customs Union with Russia, Belarus an Association Agreement with the EU 155 64,91% 120 63,67% 56 65,00% 63 70,86% 393 65,41% and Kazakhstan or join the Customs Union with Russia, Neither 49 20,42% 39 20,48% 19 22,11% 10 11,54% 116 19,37% Belarus and Kazakhstan? No opinion/don t know 13 5,59% 9 5,03% 4 4,49% 7 7,92% 34 5,60% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q13. Ultimately would you prefer to see Ukraine more closely aligned with Europe and the West, with Russia, or fairly equally with both? Europe and the West 11 4,60% 11 5,99% 3 3,80% 3 2,89% 28 4,67% Russia 99 41,58% 75 39,73% 33 38,94% 43 49,05% 250 41,72% Equally with both 117 49,01% 84 44,66% 38 44,94% 36 40,87% 275 45,87% None of the above 8 3,56% 12 6,62% 7 7,65% 3 3,01% 30 5,02% No opinion/don t know 3 1,26% 6 3,00% 4 4,67% 4 4,19% 16 2,72% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Q14. Would you support or oppose a plan that called for all sides to engage in talks aimed at guaranteeing the rights of minorities, the withdrawal of Russian troops back to their bases, and all of Ukraine to participate in internationally-monitored elections to determine the country s future? Strongly support 62 25,96% 73 38,92% 23 26,61% 23 25,97% 181 30,13% Somewhat support 75 31,65% 45 24,07% 20 23,05% 22 24,55% 162 27,00% Somewhat oppose 34 14,22% 26 13,59% 13 14,92% 12 13,68% 84 14,05% Strongly oppose 36 15,30% 23 12,00% 16 19,25% 17 19,00% 92 15,37% No opinion/don t know 31 12,87% 22 11,41% 14 16,17% 15 16,79% 81 13,46% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00% Q15. The Parliament in Kiev recently voted to abolish the law that allows each region to use the languages of ethnic minorities as a second official language. Did you approve or disapprove of Parliament doing this? Strong approve 31 13,11% 32 16,98% 9 10,88% 8 8,97% 80 13,40% Somewhat approve 24 10,20% 22 11,57% 5 6,30% 9 10,14% 60 10,07% Somewhat disapprove 37 15,73% 35 18,40% 12 13,65% 9 10,45% 93 15,49% Strongly disapprove 131 54,91% 84 44,47% 52 61,34% 54 60,87% 321 53,42% No opinion/don t know 14 6,06% 16 8,58% 7 7,83% 8 9,57% 46 7,62% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%
Q16. Do you support or oppose the political views of groups like Svoboda and Right Sector? Strongly support 8 3,29% 14 7,46% 1 1,52% 1 1,02% 24 4,01% Somewhat support 15 6,35% 13 6,75% 3 3,42% 4 4,27% 35 5,75% Somewhat oppose 22 9,17% 19 10,11% 9 10,45% 8 8,63% 57 9,57% Strongly oppose 173 72,69% 124 65,81% 62 72,82% 66 74,61% 425 70,83% No opinion/don t know 20 8,52% 19 9,87% 10 11,79% 10 11,48% 59 9,84% 238 100,00% 189 100,00% 86 100,00% 88 100,00% 600 100,00%