arabyouthsurvey.com Algeria Bahrain Egypt Iraq Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Libya Morroco Oman Palestine Qatar Saudi Arabia Tunisia UAE Yemen April 7, 2014 arabyouthsurvey.com
ABOUT THE 2014 SURVEY 3,500 face-to-face interviews conducted by PSB Arab youth in the age group of 18-24 years Sample split 50:50 male/female 16 countries GCC: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE Levant: Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon and PalesDne North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia Other: Yemen 2
THE RESEARCH WAS DESIGNED TO SEEK OPINION FROM ARAB YOUTH ON THE FOLLOWING SUBJECTS: 3
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THE STUDY WAS COMMISSIONED IN DECEMBER 2013. THE INTERVIEWS TOOK PLACE FROM DECEMBER 2013 TO JANUARY 2014. SAMPLE DETAILS ARE GIVEN BELOW:!"#$#%&'()**+,-*(./0%1"#23 456!"#$$!7&%!"%$$ 8&1&"!"%$$ 9&:"&#%!"%$$ ;<5!"#$$ ;0=!"%$$ 6$>?1!"#$$ @/"A&%!"%$$ B2C&%/%!"%$$ &'()*+,'-).$/ 0(12,3) )4$/ *5+,) 44/ 0,6,7,) 8$$/ 9-:,;+)).$/ <(=,-3)>-3:) %$/ >,-?5) 4$/ &77,6)) 4$/ @A-?(3) B$/ *(',-).$/ @,3-6,+) 4$/ &C)9,::,6).4/ DA;;,+).$/ &C)E,=,CC-) #$3+ &CAF,6;?-,) %4/ G?'-;) %4/ H,-;,) %$/ H+,?I,+) )%$/ *,77,7) %$/ &C)&+7,;-) %$/ 0,615(?,) %4/ J,?K,) %4/ L?-M5C-) %$/ N,?=,6-:,) #$/ P"
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TIMELINE (JANUARY 2013 - JANUARY 2014) 30 women are sworn into Saudi Shura Council President Algeria has a spends three months in France being treated Hassan Rouhani wins presidential election in Iran Hamad al-thani of Qatar after his father abdicates President Morsi is Israel and Palestine in Washington There are now 700,000 refugees in Lebanon from Syria Saudi Arabia turns down a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council Fighting begins in the Anbar Province of Iraq January February March Apri May June July August September October November December January Major protests Massive demonstrations in Egypt Syria s agrees to destroy its chemical weapons US and UK suspend non armed support of Syrian rebels AYS 2013 Tamam Salam forming new government in Lebanon Britain deports Muslim cleric Abu Qatada to Jordan Hundreds of Syrian chemical weapons AYS 2014 7
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arabyouthsurvey.com A GROWING NUMBER OF ARAB YOUTH ARE EMBRACING MODERN VALUES, WHILE FAMILY, FRIENDS AND RELIGION CONTINUE TO SHAPE THEIR OPINIONS AND INFLUENCE THEIR LIVES 9
VALUES AND BELIEFS Which of the following is closest to your view? Traditional values mean a lot to me, and ought to be preserved for generations to come. Traditional values are outdated and belong in the past. I am keen to embrace modern values and beliefs. 83 65 60 54 35 40 46 17 2011 2012 2013 2014 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 10
VALUES AND BELIEFS BY COUNTRY Traditional values mean a lot to me, and ought to be preserved for generations to come. Traditional values are outdated and belong in the past. I am keen to embrace modern values and beliefs. 2014 54 57 51 54 57 55 57 60 55 50 55 54 49 56 55 51 54 56 54 46 43 49 46 43 45 43 40 45 50 45 46 51 44 45 49 46 44 46 Among All Egypt Jordan Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Tunisia Libya Algeria Morocco Yemen Palestine GCC Non GCC Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 11
arabyouthsurvey.com LIFE INFLUENCES How far would you say each of the following influence you and your outlook on life? (% Very influential) 2013 2014 73 67 69 66 58 56 49 46 38 33 35 32 28 29 32 30 31 31 29 30 26 19 22 20 19 16 Parents Family Religion Friends Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" Community Social leaders media/ bloggers Music Media Politicians/ Authors/ Government writers leaders Business leaders Sports Pop stars TV celebrities 12
arabyouthsurvey.com YOUNGSTERS ARE CONFIDENT IN THEIR NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS ABILITY TO DEAL WITH A WIDE RANGE OF ISSUES. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM IMPACT OF THE ARAB SPRING IS DROPPING 13
arabyouthsurvey.com CONFIDENCE IN NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS ABILITIES How confident are you in your national governments abilities to deal with the following issues? 22 16 20 12 18 18 17 14 24 13 18 28 31 23 31 38 36 31 63 35 Living 67 32 Economic stability 25 23 17 21 20 26 War 20 25 22 57 29 Unemploy- Population ment change Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 29 Health 29 28 Urbanisation Scarcity of resources 27 Political stability 26 32 58 25 26 20 21 23 21 Climate change Wealth creation 30 61 30 32 36 32 68 31 19 19 35 21 66 34 24 25 Nuclear Terrorism proliferation 24 Poverty 14
IMPACT OF THE ARAB SPRING How far do you agree or disagree with the following? Agree a lot / somewhat Disagree a lot / somewhat Don t know Following the uprisings across the Arab world, I feel the Arab world is better off 2012 2013 2014 54 70 72 34 24 24 7 11 4 As a result of the uprising, I feel I will be better off in five years 2012 2013 2014 58 71 74 26 24 17 16 10 5 Base: Among All 15
arabyouthsurvey.com RISING LIVING COSTS AND UNEMPLOYMENT ARE THE BIGGEST CONCERNS FOR YOUTH ACROSS THE MIDDLE EAST 16
CONCERN ABOUT KEY ISSUES How concerned would you say you are about each of the following issues? (% Very concerned) (Top 5) 2011 2012 2013 2014 Rising cost of living Unemployment National economy Opportunities for women Threat of terrorism 40 42 44 44 43 43 46 47 48 49 49 49 57 63 62 63 *New category in 2014 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 17
CONCERN ABOUT KEY ISSUES-GCC/NON-GCC SPLIT How concerned would you say you are about each of the following issues? (% Very concerned) Rising cost of living GCC Non-GCC 63 62 Unemployment GCC 39 Non-GCC 55 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 18
CONCERN ABOUT THE RISING COST OF LIVING BY COUNTRY How concerned would you say you are about the rising cost of living? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 4 6 2 2 3 2 8 8 8 10 9 7 5 12 8 9 9 3 4 7 9 11 12 25 27 27 22 24 26 22 30 26 20 24 29 28 30 22 25 25 63 61 61 64 62 62 61 61 62 67 64 63 63 62 67 61 61 All Egypt Jordan Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Tunisia Libya Algeria Morocco Yemen Palestine Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 19
CONCERN ABOUT UNEMPLOYMENT BY COUNTRY How concerned would you say you are about each of the following issues? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned 4 20 24 3 4 18 16 18 24 10 8 9 24 24 21 29 26 32 12 9 25 28 26 29 6 8 22 21 18 26 6 12 27 8 6 14 21 24 17 3 19 19 9 22 22 7 4 16 23 27 18 49 62 56 38 42 39 36 34 54 46 55 55 55 59 47 50 55 All Egypt Jordan Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Tunisia Libya Algeria Morocco Yemen Palestine Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 20
arabyouthsurvey.com ARAB YOUTH BELIEVE THAT CIVIL UNREST IS THE BIGGEST OBSTACLE FACING THE REGION 21
BIGGEST OBSTACLES FACING THE MIDDLE EAST What do you believe is the biggest obstacle facing the Middle East? (Top 5) 2012 2013 2014 55 41 44 41 43 38 30 30 28 21 21 18 19 Base: Among All Civil unrest Lack of democracy Threat of terrorism Lack of strong leadership Rise of the Muslim Brotherhood and Islamist movements *New category in 2014 * 22
TOP TWO OBSTACLES-GCC/NON-GCC SPLIT What do you believe is the biggest obstacle facing the Middle East? (Top 2) Civil unrest GCC Non-GCC 55 55 Lack of democracy GCC Non-GCC 38 38 Base: Among All 23
arabyouthsurvey.com ENTREPRENEURIAL SPIRIT IS HIGH AND A GROWING NUMBER OF YOUNG ARABS WOULD LIKE TO WORK IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR 24
ENTREPRENEURSHIP BY COUNTRY Do you feel people of this generation are more likely to start a business than in previous generations? Yes No Don t know 12 12 10 16 15 16 11 12 13 13 14 16 12 6 10 14 8 14 12 21 18 18 20 20 20 22 20 20 20 26 16 16 27 20 24 21 21 21 67 71 71 64 64 65 67 68 67 66 59 69 72 66 70 62 71 66 68 All Egypt Jordan Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Tunisia Libya Algeria Morocco Yemen Palestine GCC Non- GCC Base: Among All 25
WORK SECTOR PREFERENCE-GCC/NON-GCC SPLIT Would you prefer to work in government or for the private sector? (% Private sector and % Government sector) Government 2012 2013 2014 Private Sector 2012 2013 2014 64 50 46 43 43 43 36 24 31 28 31 19 GCC Non-GCC GCC Non-GCC Base: Among All - not showing those that said Don t know" 26
arabyouthsurvey.com THE UAE IS THE COUNTRY THAT MOST ARAB YOUTH WOULD LIKE TO LIVE IN AND IS SEEN AS A MODEL FOR THEIR COUNTRY TO EMULATE 27
MODEL NATIONS Which country in the world, if any, would you like to live in? 2014 39 21 14 13 13 UAE United States Saudi Arabia France Qatar 2013 31 18 16 16 14 UAE France United States Turkey Saudi Arabia Base: Among All!R"
DESIRED COUNTRY TO EMULATE Which country in the world, if any, would you most like your country to be like? 2014 39 25 14 10 7 UAE United States France Turkey China 2013 30 17 16 16 13 UAE France United States Turkey China Base: Among All!S"
arabyouthsurvey.com ARAB YOUTH CONSIDER THEIR COUNTRY S BIGGEST ALLIES TO BE REGIONAL NEIGHBOURS SUCH AS SAUDI ARABIA AND THE UAE RATHER THAN TRADITIONAL WESTERN COUNTRIES 30
COUNTRY S BIGGEST ALLIES Who would you say is your country s biggest ally? Among all 2012 Among all 2013 Among all 2014 35 37 36 33 33 33 32 30 25 25 24 25 19 18 22 Saudi Arabia UAE Qatar Kuwait United States Base: Among All 31
BIGGEST ALLIES-GCC/NON-GCC SPLIT Who would you say is your country s biggest ally? (Top 5) '(() ) ) *+,-'((!"!"!!!! #$ #% #" #" #& ## 71/62);:1=21 4;< 9131:./0123 4,2356)731358 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" N!"
arabyouthsurvey.com ARAB YOUTH ARE INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT OBESITY AND LIFESTYLE DISEASES AND DO NOT BELIEVE THAT HEALTHCARE IN THEIR COUNTRY IS IMPROVING 33
HEALTH ISSUES Which of the following health issues concerns you most? 2013 2014 26 28 12 11 17 11 14 11 10 20 2 3 Obesity Diabetes Cancer Heart disease Other I am not concerned about health issues 34
HEALTHCARE SERVICES-GCC/NON-GCC SPLIT In the last year do you feel that the healthcare in your country has? Improved Stayed the same Got worse Among All 34 52 14 GCC 34 52 14 Non-GCC 33 53 14 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 35
arabyouthsurvey.com AN OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF YOUNG ARABS BELIEVE THEY ARE ENTITLED TO SUBSIDISED ENERGY COSTS, WHILE CONCERN ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE IS LOW ACROSS THE REGION 36
ENERGY SUBSIDIES BY COUNTRY Do you think energy, electricity and transport fuel such as gasoline and diesel should be subsidised by your government? Yes No 26 30 26 25 25 25 26 32 22 31 27 26 28 22 21 23 22 27 25 74 70 74 75 75 75 74 68 78 69 73 74 72 78 79 77 78 73 75 Among All Egypt Jordan Kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Oman Lebanon Bahrain Iraq Tunisia Libya Algeria Morocco Yemen Palestine GCC Non GCC Base: Among All 37
BIGGEST CHALLENGE FACING THE MIDDLE EAST Which of the following would you say is the biggest challenge facing the Middle East today? 2014 Rising cost of living National economy Corruption in government and public life Pan-Arab economy Personal debt Unemployment The loss of traditional values and culture Threat of terrorism Human rights Unrest in Syria Standards of living Crime / law and order The gap between the rich and the poor Opportunities for women Road safety Impact of the events of the Arab Spring The quality of education Shortage of affordable housing Rise of Islamist movements/role of Islam in political life Lack of political franchise/right to vote Shortage of good quality health care Access to clean water Increasing militarisation and/or nuclear proliferation in the Middle East Reliable electricity supply Censorship/lack of press freedom Climate change and the environment 6 11 11 10 10 9 13 23 23 22 22 21 20 19 19 19 18 17 17 15 15 15 27 32 37 40 51 Base: Rebased to remove Don t know" 38
arabyouthsurvey.com TELEVISION IS THE MOST POPULAR SOURCE OF NEWS FOR THE SIXTH YEAR RUNNING, BUT A GROWING NUMBER OF YOUNG ARABS ARE TURNING TO ONLINE AND SOCIAL NETWORKS TO GET THEIR NEWS 39
NEWS SOURCES Where do you get your news? 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 76 79 72 75 62 47 42 51 59 59 65 62 41 32 31 31 28 29 29 24 25 20 21 15 16 17 14 10 6 7 6 8 7 Television Online Newspapers Social media Friends and family Radio Magazines Base: Among All - not showing those that said Don t know and I m not interested in news 40
TRUSTED NEWS SOURCES In your opinion what is the most trusted source of news? 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 60 52 49 40 43 39 22 26 19 18 9 9 14 4 1 3 1 2 3 1 2 0 1 TV news channels Social Media Newspapers Radio shows Magazines Base: Among All - not showing those that said Don t know and Other 41
NEWS CONSUMPTION How often do you update yourself on news and current affairs? 2011 2012 2013 2014 Daily Nearly every day 2-3 times a week Once a week Once every 2-3 weeks Once a month Never 18 22 22 15 6 11 8 52 19 10 6 1 2 5 46 15 13 6 4 3 9 47 18 9 7 3 2 8 Base: Among All 42
arabyouthsurvey.com TOP 10 FINDINGS 1 2 A GROWING NUMBER OF ARAB YOUTH ARE EMBRACING MODERN VALUES, WHILE FAMILY, FRIENDS AND RELIGION CONTINUE TO SHAPE THEIR OPINIONS AND INFLUENCE THEIR LIVES 3 YOUNGSTERS ARE CONFIDENT IN THEIR ABILITY TO DEAL WITH A WIDE RANGE OF ISSUES. CONFIDENCE IN THE LONG TERM IMPACT OF THE ARAB SPRING IS DROPPING 4 ARAB YOUTH BELIEVE THAT CIVIL UNREST IS THE BIGGEST OBSTACLE FACING THE REGION RISING LIVING COSTS AND UNEMPLOYMENT ARE THE BIGGEST CONCERNS FOR YOUTH ACROSS THE MIDDLE EAST 5 ENTREPRENEURIAL SPIRIT IS HIGH AND A GROWING NUMBER OF YOUNG ARABS WOULD LIKE TO WORK FOR THE PRIVATE SECTOR 43
arabyouthsurvey.com TOP 10 FINDINGS 6 7 THE UAE IS THE COUNTRY THAT MOST ARAB YOUTH WOULD LIKE TO LIVE IN AND IS SEEN AS A MODEL FOR THEIR COUNTRY TO EMULATE 9 8 ARAB YOUTH CONSIDER THEIR SAUDI ARABIA AND THE UAE RATHER THAN TRADITIONAL WESTERN ALLIES AN OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF YOUNG ARABS BELIEVE THEY ARE ENTITLED TO SUBSIDISED ENERGY COSTS, WHILE CONCERN ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE IS LOW ACROSS THE REGION ARAB YOUTH ARE INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT OBESITY AND LIFESTYLE DISEASES AND DO NOT BELIEVE THAT HEALTHCARE IN THEIR COUNTRY IS IMPROVING 10 TELEVISION IS THE MOST POPULAR SOURCE OF NEWS FOR THE SIXTH YEAR RUNNING, BUT A GROWING NUMBER OF YOUNG ARABS ARE TURNING TO ONLINE AND SOCIAL NETWORKS TO GET THEIR NEWS 44
arabyouthsurvey.com Algeria Bahrain Egypt Iraq Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Libya Morroco Oman Palestine Qatar Saudi Arabia Tunisia UAE Yemen April 7, 2014 arabyouthsurvey.com