This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Similar documents
Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press. Volume ISBN: ; (cloth) Volume URL:

Volume Title: Housing and the Financial Crisis. Volume Author/Editor: Edward L. Glaeser and Todd Sinai, editors

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Title: The Economics of Food Price Volatility

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Science and Engineering Careers in the United States: An Analysis of Markets and Employment

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Author/Editor: Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael Harper, editors

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Title: The Inflation-Targeting Debate

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Title: Analyses in the Economics of Aging

Volume Title: International Trade in Services and Intangibles in the Era of Globalization

Innovation. Policy. and. the Economy. National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume 7. edited by Adam B. Jaffe, Josh Lerner, and Scott Stern

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Author/Editor: David Card and Richard B. Freeman. Volume URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Author/Editor: Sebastian Edwards, editor

Volume Title: The Political Economy of American Trade Policy. Volume URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Title: The Risks of Financial Institutions

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research. Volume Title: Globalization and Poverty

Volume Title: The Analysis of Firms and Employees: Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches

Volume Title: Health and Welfare during Industrialization. Volume Author/Editor: Richard H. Steckel and Roderick Floud, Eds.

Volume Title: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 5. Volume Author/Editor: David Bradford, editor. Volume URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Differences and Changes in Wage Structures. Volume URL:

Volume Title: The Regionalization of the World Economy. Volume URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Author/Editor: John B. Shoven and John Whalley, editors. Volume URL:

Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press, Volume URL:

Volume Title: Transition in Eastern Europe, Volume 2, The. Volume URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Well Worth Saving: How the New Deal Safeguarded Home Ownership

Volume Title: Empirical Studies of Strategic Trade Policy. Volume Author/Editor: Paul Krugman and Alasdair Smith, editors

Volume Author/Editor: Jeffrey Frankel and Miles Kahler, editors. Volume Publisher: The University of Chicago Press

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Chapter URL:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis. Volume URL:

Volume Title: The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America. Volume URL:

Volume URL: Chapter Title: Front matter, "Issues in Pension Economics"

Economic Development in the Americas since 1500 Endowments and Institutions

Volume Title: Federal Tax Policy and Charitable Giving. Volume URL:

Volume Title: The Interpolation of Time Series by Related Series. Volume URL:

Volume URL: Chapter Title: Front matter, R&D, Patents, and Productivity

Volume URL: Chapter Title: Front matter, The Defining Moment

Volume URL: Chapter Author: Gary Fromm, Richard Schmalensee. Chapter URL:

Chapter URL:

Volume Author/Editor: Frederick R. Macaulay. Volume URL:

Volume URL:

Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press. Volume URL:

The Politics of Major Policy Reform in Postwar America

This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Small-Scale Industry in the Soviet Union. Volume URL:

BOOKS Trading Barriers: Immigration, and the Remaking of Globalization (Forthcoming, Princeton University Press)

Economic Perspectives

Bawn CV July Kathleen Bawn. Associate Professor Department of Political Science phone: UCLA fax:

Chapter URL:

Assistant Professor Political Science, University of Wisconsin Madison, Thrice Family Scholar

Self-Financed Candidates in Congressional Elections

Boundary Control Subnational Authoritarianism in Federal Democracies

SYLLABUS. We will endeavor to teach you about three things in the course of this fall:

Econ 133 Global Inequality and Growth. Gender inequality in the labor market. Gabriel Zucman

BOOK PROJECT Trading Barriers: Firms, Immigration, and the Remaking of Globalization (Forthcoming, Princeton University Press)

KENNETH A. SCHULTZ. Employment Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, September 2010-present

Economics 366A: Topics in Economic History (Micro) Spring 2013

Volume URL: Chapter Title: Front matter, "Money in Historical Perspective"

A CONTEMPORARY APPROACH TO RACE, CLASS, AND GENDER

The Original Position

This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research

A HISTORIOGRAPHY OF THE MODERN SOCIAL SCIENCES

American Mathematical Society. Council Minutes. Chicago, Illinois. 05 April 2008 at noon. Prepared 17 April Abstract

Volume Title: Immigration and the Foreign Born. Volume Author/Editor: Simon Kuznets and Ernest Rubin. Volume URL:

Morality at the Ballot

Women and the Economy

The Jurisprudence of Emergency

Representing the Advantaged: How Politicians Reinforce Inequality. Forthcoming July Cambridge University Press.

The Economic Dimensions of Crime

HUMAN RIGHTS IN THE CONSTITUTIONAL LAW OF THE UNITED STATES

Risa Alexandra Brooks, Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Political Science Marquette University

Challenges for Europe

Economics 469 Economics of Global Health and Population Spring 2008 [preliminary]

Consortium of Social Science Associations

Associate Professor, University of Wisconsin Madison Department of Political Science, 2015 current

Appendix A REPORT TO THE PRESIDENT ON THE ACTIVITIES OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS DURING 1984

HENK E. GOEMANS. Harkness Hall Rochester, NY

Direct Democracy's Impact on American Political Institutions

Associate Professor, University of Wisconsin Madison Department of Political Science, 2015 current

Anna L. Harvey March 16, 2007

Representing the Advantaged: How Politicians Reinforce Inequality New York: Cambridge University Press.

1973, UC Berkeley, Political Science, with honors 1975, Columbia University, International Affairs 1983, UCLA, Political Science

Liberating Economics

engineers, scientists, architects, mathematicians and executives/managers.

Advances in Economics and Econometrics

AND TRANSITIONAL JUSTICE

Democracy and Redistribution

Living Far Apart Together: Dual-Career Location Constraints and Marital Non-Cohabitation

Demography, Immigration and Labor Markets (4.5 ECTS) Spring 2018

Transcription:

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Human Capital in History: The American Record Volume Author/Editor: Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-16389-X (cloth); 978-0-226-16389-5 (cloth); 978-0-226-16392-5 (eisbn) Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/bous12-1 Conference Date: December 7-8, 2012 Publication Date: October 2014 Chapter Title: Front matter, table of contents, acknowledgements Chapter Author(s): Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, Robert A. Margo Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c13793 Chapter pages in book: (p. i xii)

Human Capital in History

This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Human Capital in History: The American Record Volume Author/Editor: Leah P. Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-16389-X (cloth); 978-0-226-16389-5 (cloth); 978-0-226-16392-5 (eisbn) Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/bous12-1 Conference Date: December 7-8, 2012 Publication Date: October 2014 Chapter Title: Front matter, table of contents, acknowledgements Chapter Author(s): Leah P. Boustan, Carola Frydman, Robert Margo Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c13793 Chapter pages in book: (p. i xii)

A National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report

Human Capital in History The American Record Edited by Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London

Leah PLatt Boustan is associate professor of economics at the University of California, Los Angeles, and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. CaroLa Frydman is assistant professor of economics at Boston University and a faculty research fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research. robert a. margo is professor of economics at Boston University and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London 2014 by National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 2014. Printed in the United States of America 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN- 13: 978-0-226-16389-5 (cloth) ISBN-13: 978-0-226-16392-5 (e-book) DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226163925.001.0001 Library of Congress Cataloging- in-publication Data Human capital in history : the American record / edited by Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo. pages ; cm. (A National Bureau of Economic Research conference report) ISBN 978-0-226-16389-5 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-226-16392-5 (e- book) 1. Human capital United States. 2. Labor supply United States History. I. Boustan, Leah Platt. II. Frydman, Carola. III. Margo, Robert A. (Robert Andrew), 1954 IV. Series: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report. HD4904.7.H858425 2014 302.0973 dc23 2014008636 o This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/ NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper).

National Bureau of Economic Research OYcers Kathleen B. Cooper, chairman Martin B. Zimmerman, vice chairman James M. Poterba, president and chief executive oycer Robert Mednick, treasurer Kelly Horak, controller and assistant corporate secretary Alterra Milone, corporate secretary Directors at Large Peter C. Aldrich Elizabeth E. Bailey John H. Biggs John S. Clarkeson Don R. Conlan Kathleen B. Cooper Charles H. Dallara George C. Eads Jessica P. Einhorn Mohamed El-Erian Linda Ewing Jacob A. Frenkel Judith M. Gueron Robert S. Hamada Peter Blair Henry Karen N. Horn John Lipsky Laurence H. Meyer Michael H. Moskow Alicia H. Munnell Robert T. Parry James M. Poterba John S. Reed Marina v. N. Whitman Martin B. Zimmerman Directors by University Appointment George Akerlof, California, Berkeley Jagdish Bhagwati, Columbia Timothy Bresnahan, Stanford Alan V. DeardorV, Michigan Ray C. Fair, Yale Edward Foster, Minnesota John P. Gould, Chicago Mark Grinblatt, California, Los Angeles Bruce Hansen, Wisconsin Madison Marjorie B. McElroy, Duke Joel Mokyr, Northwestern Andrew Postlewaite, Pennsylvania Uwe E. Reinhardt, Princeton Richard L. Schmalensee, Massachusetts Institute of Technology David B. YoYe, Harvard Directors by Appointment of Other Organizations Bart van Ark, The Conference Board Jean-Paul Chavas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Martin Gruber, American Finance Association Ellen L. Hughes- Cromwick, National Association for Business Economics Thea Lee, American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations William W. Lewis, Committee for Economic Development Robert Mednick, American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Alan L. Olmstead, Economic History Association Peter L. Rousseau, American Economic Association Gregor W. Smith, Canadian Economics Association Directors Emeriti Glen G. Cain Carl F. Christ Franklin Fisher George Hatsopoulos Saul H. Hymans Rudolph A. Oswald Peter G. Peterson Nathan Rosenberg John J. Siegfried Craig Swan

Relation of the Directors to the Work and Publications of the National Bureau of Economic Research 1. The object of the NBER is to ascertain and present to the economics profession, and to the public more generally, important economic facts and their interpretation in a scientific manner without policy recommendations. The Board of Directors is charged with the responsibility of ensuring that the work of the NBER is carried on in strict conformity with this object. 2. The President shall establish an internal review process to ensure that book manuscripts proposed for publication DO NOT contain policy recommendations. This shall apply both to the proceedings of conferences and to manuscripts by a single author or by one or more co- authors but shall not apply to authors of comments at NBER conferences who are not NBER ayliates. 3. No book manuscript reporting research shall be published by the NBER until the President has sent to each member of the Board a notice that a manuscript is recommended for publication and that in the President s opinion it is suitable for publication in accordance with the above principles of the NBER. Such notification will include a table of contents and an abstract or summary of the manuscript s content, a list of contributors if applicable, and a response form for use by Directors who desire a copy of the manuscript for review. Each manuscript shall contain a summary drawing attention to the nature and treatment of the problem studied and the main conclusions reached. 4. No volume shall be published until forty- five days have elapsed from the above notification of intention to publish it. During this period a copy shall be sent to any Director requesting it, and if any Director objects to publication on the grounds that the manuscript contains policy recommendations, the objection will be presented to the author(s) or editor(s). In case of dispute, all members of the Board shall be notified, and the President shall appoint an ad hoc committee of the Board to decide the matter; thirty days additional shall be granted for this purpose. 5. The President shall present annually to the Board a report describing the internal manuscript review process, any objections made by Directors before publication or by anyone after publication, any disputes about such matters, and how they were handled. 6. Publications of the NBER issued for informational purposes concerning the work of the Bureau, or issued to inform the public of the activities at the Bureau, including but not limited to the NBER Digest and Reporter, shall be consistent with the object stated in paragraph 1. They shall contain a specific disclaimer noting that they have not passed through the review procedures required in this resolution. The Executive Committee of the Board is charged with the review of all such publications from time to time. 7. NBER working papers and manuscripts distributed on the Bureau s web site are not deemed to be publications for the purpose of this resolution, but they shall be consistent with the object stated in paragraph 1. Working papers shall contain a specific disclaimer noting that they have not passed through the review procedures required in this resolution. The NBER s web site shall contain a similar disclaimer. The President shall establish an internal review process to ensure that the working papers and the web site do not contain policy recommendations, and shall report annually to the Board on this process and any concerns raised in connection with it. 8. Unless otherwise determined by the Board or exempted by the terms of paragraphs 6 and 7, a copy of this resolution shall be printed in each NBER publication as described in paragraph 2 above.

In memory of and with deep gratitude to Gary Becker and Robert Fogel, teachers and mentors of many, beacons to Claudia Goldin

Contents Acknowledgments xi Introduction 1 Leah Platt Boustan, Carola Frydman, and Robert A. Margo 1. Technical Change and the Relative Demand for Skilled Labor: The United States in Historical Perspective 15 Lawrence F. Katz and Robert A. Margo 2. Explaining Trends in High School Graduation: The Changing Elementary and Secondary Education Policy Landscape and Income Inequality over the Last Half Century 59 Nora Gordon Comment: Sarah J. Reber 3. The Role of Immigrant Children in Their Parents Assimilation in the United States, 1850 2010 97 Ilyana Kuziemko and Joseph Ferrie 4. Health, Education, and Income in the United States, 1820 2000 121 Hoyt Bleakley, Dora Costa, and Adriana Lleras-Muney ix

x Contents 5. The Female Labor Force and Long- Run Development: The American Experience in Comparative Perspective 161 Claudia Olivetti Comment: Francine D. Blau 6. The Origin and Persistence of Black- White DiVerences in Women s Labor Force Participation 205 Leah Platt Boustan and William J. Collins 7. Cohabitation and the Uneven Retreat from Marriage in the United States, 1950 2010 241 Shelly Lundberg and Robert A. Pollak 8. Is There a Case for a Second Demographic Transition? Three Distinctive Features of the Post- 1960 US Fertility Decline 273 Martha J. Bailey, Melanie Guldi, and Brad J. Hershbein 9. A Pollution Theory of Discrimination: Male and Female DiVerences in Occupations and Earnings 313 Claudia Goldin Comment: Cecilia Elena Rouse 10. The Supply of Gender Stereotypes and Discriminatory Beliefs 355 Edward L. Glaeser and Yueran Ma 11. Claudia Goldin 391 Stanley L. Engerman Contributors 395 Author Index 397 Subject Index 403

Acknowledgments We would like to express our appreciation to the National Bureau of Economic Research and to the Spencer Foundation for their financial support of the Human Capital in History conference and the conference volume, and to the NBER Conference Department for its assistance with conference management. We also thank the following scholars who served as formal discussants or gave prepared remarks at the Human Capital in History conference: David Autor, MIT and NBER (Katz and Margo) Sarah J. Reber, UCLA and NBER (Gordon) Robert Whaples, Wake Forest University (Kuziemko and Ferrie) Richard H. Steckel, Ohio State and NBER (Bleakley, Costa, and Lleras- Muney) Francine D. Blau, Cornell University and NBER (Olivetti) Richard B. Freeman, Harvard University and NBER (Boustan and Collins) Richard Easterlin, University of Southern California (Bailey, Guldi, and Hershbein) Cecilia E. Rouse, Princeton University and NBER (Goldin) Matthew E. Kahn, UCLA and NBER (Glaeser and Ma) Stanley L. Engerman, University of Rochester and NBER (prepared remarks) Gary Becker, University of Chicago (prepared remarks) xi