Public anger about corporate power dominant factor in views on trade & TPP July 2016
Methodology National survey of 900 likely 2016 voters. This survey took place June 23-28. Respondents who voted in the 2012 election, 2014 election, or registered since the 2014 election were selected from the national voter file. Likely voters were determined based on stated intention of voting in 2016. Data shown in this deck is among all 2016 likely voters unless otherwise noted. Margin of error for the full sample = +/-3.27 percentage points at 95% confidence. Margin of error will be higher among subgroups. Sixty-six percent of respondents were reached by cell phone, in order to account for everchanging demographics and accurately sample the full electorate in each state. Regression analysis. A series of fractional logistic regressions were conducted to obtain the marginal effects of the explanatory variable (TPP statements and arguments) on outcome variables (re-asks on the value of past trade deals, re-ask on support for TPP, and support for a Member of Congress voting for TPP), representing the change in outcome probabilities estimated for the explanatory variable, all else held equal. No causation is implied by these results. 1
STARTING POINT 2
Bad thing Good thing Americans say without intensity, past deals are good, with Democrats more favorable than GOP In general, do you think that free trade agreements between the United States and other countries have been a good thing or bad thing for the United States? Have past trade agreements been a good thing or bad thing for the US? Good thing strongly Bad thing strongly Good: +15 Good: +36 Good: +10 Bad: +9 51 62 50 39 15 18 16 8 15 9 19 21 36 26 40 48 Total Democrats Independents Republicans 3
Bad thing Good thing White working class men oppose, college women in favor In general, do you think that free trade agreements between the United States and other countries have been a good thing or bad thing for the United States? Have past trade agreements been a good thing or bad thing for the US? Bad: +27 Good thing strongly Good: +23 Bad thing strongly Good: +18 Good: +41 30 51 56 65 6 10 21 17 26 11 19 9 24 34 38 59 White Non-College Men White Non-College Women College Men College Women 4
Slight negative starting point on trade, but TPP views still unformed Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. Just The Trans-Pacific Partnership, known as TPP, the proposed new trade agreement between the United States and 11 other Pacific and Latin American countries [, such as Vietnam, Australian, Mexico and Japan] NAFTA, the North American Trade Agreement with Mexico, Canada and the United States Mean: 42.0 Net: -9 Neutral: 22 Don t know: 34 18 Very warm (75-100) Very cool (0-25) Mean: 44.6 Net: -4 Neutral: 25 Don t know: 14 28 6 11 20 25 27 32 5
Democrats warmest, but TPP mostly unknown/neutral Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. Mean: 51.7 Net: +10 Very warm (75-100) Very cool (0-25) REMOVE WS The Trans-Pacific Partnership, known as TPP, the proposed new trade agreement between the United States and 11 other Pacific and Latin American countries [, such as Vietnam, Australian, Mexico and Japan] Mean: 42.0 Net: -9 Neutral: 22 Don t know: 34 Neutral: 24 Don t know: 32 Mean: 36.5 Net: -19 Neutral: 22 Don t know: 28 Mean: 32.8 Net: -25 Neutral: 19 Don t know: 40 Mean: 53.5 Net: +15 Neutral: 26 Don t know: 30 Mean: 28.7 Net: -34 Neutral: 20 Don t know: 35 27 18 11 6 20 12 17 27 29 16 8 26 2 11 9 25 14 35 33 6 32 40 Total Democrats Independents Republicans Clinton voters Trump voters 6
Oppose Support Many still undecided on TPP and opinions lack intensity As you may know, the United States is currently considering a new trade agreement with 11 other countries in Asia and Latin America called the Trans-Pacific Partnership or TPP. From what you know, do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Support strongly Oppose: +3 Oppose: +8 Don t know: 27 Don t know: 22 Oppose strongly Support: +32 Don t know: 26 Oppose: +40 Don t know: 29 53 35 35 8 5 13 20 21 8 21 38 43 15 34 55 Total Independents Clinton voters Trump voters 7
Oppose Support White working class men ready to oppose TPP As you may know, the United States is currently considering a new trade agreement with 11 other countries in Asia and Latin America called the Trans-Pacific Partnership or TPP. From what you know, do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Support strongly Oppose strongly Oppose: +44 Oppose: +11 Support: +8 Support: +23 Don t know: 20 Don t know: 37 Don t know: 15 Don t know: 33 18 34 62 47 45 26 14 9 11 23 14 22 37 39 White Non-College Men White Non-College Women College Men College Women 8
TRADE DEBATE 9
Anti-corporate mood animating electorate with intensity, unlike trade Now, I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. Mean: 43.8 Mean: 38.4 Neutral: 31 DK: 8 25 CEOs of big companies Very warm (75-100) Very cool (0-25) Neutral: 31 DK: 9 Mean: 38.7 Neutral: 29 DK: 8 17 19 REMOVE WS Mean: 53.4 Neutral: 33 DK: 6 Net: -11 Net: -26 Net: -25 Net: 15 8 8 14 24 14 28 31 38 36 43 44 23 Total Democrats Independents Republicans 10
Opposition statements about TPP are very powerful Now, I'm going to read you what some economists, consumer groups and political leaders who OPPOSE the agreement are saying about it. Is that a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to OPPOSE the TPP? TPP OPPOSITION STATEMENTS ANTI-CORPORATE + ISDS FOCUS The TPP covers 40 percent of the global economy, yet it was negotiated in secret with hundreds of corporate advisors while the public was locked out. The key provision in TPP grants new rights to thousands of foreign corporations to sue the U.S. government before a panel of 3 corporate lawyers. These lawyers can award the corporations unlimited sums to be paid by America's taxpayers, including for the loss of expected future profits. These foreign corporations need only convince the lawyers that a U.S. law or safety regulation violates their TPP rights. Their decisions are not subject to appeal and the amount awarded has no limit. This agreement is not good for American taxpayers. It means higher drug prices. It makes it easier to send jobs overseas, means fewer jobs and lower wages, and a government that doesn't work for us. Very convincing 70 36 ANTI-CORPORATE +ISDS +JOBS/WAGES + SAFETY The TPP covers 40 percent of the global economy, yet it was negotiated in secret with hundreds of corporate advisors while the public was locked out. It grants new rights to foreign corporations to sue the U.S. government before a panel of 3 corporate lawyers. Modeled after past trade agreements that have already cost us millions of American jobs, it would make it even easier for corporations to ship jobs overseas. It would lower wages by pitting Americans against workers making 65 cents an hour in countries like Vietnam. The TPP will also require us to import food that does not meet U.S. safety standards, limit policies to combat climate change, and raise drug prices. This TPP trade agreement is not good for American taxpayers and workers. It means that government will not work for working families and the middle class. Very convincing 70 40 11
Pro-TPP statement much less convincing Now, I'm going to read you what President Obama, some Republican leaders and major American businesses who SUPPORT the agreement are saying about it. Is that a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to SUPPORT the TPP? PRO-TPP STATEMENT Very convincing The TPP is a new trade agreement that brings together 12 countries representing 40 percent of the global economy. It would strengthen America's economy by removing barriers to selling our goods overseas, including eliminating more than 57 18,000 taxes other countries put on products made in America. It levels the playing field and improves people's lives in partner countries by setting the highest enforceable labor and environmental standards. It strengthens the intellectual property protections our innovators need to take risks and create. Once the TPP is in place, American businesses will export more and that means supporting more higher-paying jobs here. As we speak, China is negotiating a trade deal that would carve up these fast-growing markets at our expense, putting American jobs and businesses at risk. But TPP will ensure America writes the rules for the global economy in the 21st century, not China. 20 12
Both opposition statements dominate pro-tpp proposition and shifts opinions Now, I'm going to read you what some economists, consumer groups and political leaders who OPPOSE the agreement are saying about it. / Now, I'm going to read you what President Obama, some Republican leaders and major American businesses who SUPPORT the agreement are saying about it. Is that a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to OPPOSE / SUPPORT the TPP? TPP STATEMENTS Very convincing 70 70 57 36 40 20 Anti-Corporate + ISDS Focus Anti-Corporate + ISDS + Jobs Wages + Safety Pro-TPP Statement 13
The college educated are listening to the TPP opposition Now, I'm going to read you what some economists, consumer groups and political leaders who OPPOSE the agreement are saying about it. / Now, I'm going to read you what President Obama, some Republican leaders and major American businesses who SUPPORT the agreement are saying about it. Is that a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to OPPOSE/SUPPORT the TPP? Anti-Corporate + ISDS Focus TPP STATEMENTS Very convincing Anti-Corporate + ISDS + Jobs Wages + Safety 66 66 69 74 66 55 33 38 20 33 41 23 Anti-TPP Statements Pro-TPP Statement Anti-TPP Statements Pro-TPP Statement College Educated Men College Educated Women 14
ISDS-anti-TPP statement has biggest impact on punishing member of Congress 15
Cutting taxes to create export jobs, human rights top pro-tpp list Now I'm going to read you some things SUPPORTERS of the new trade agreement are saying. Please tell me whether it is a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to SUPPORT the TPP. ARGUMENTS FOR TPP Very convincing CUTS TAXES/CREATE EXPORTJOBS: TPP eliminates 18,000 taxes other countries put on American-made goods so we can export more. The more American businesses sell abroad, the more high-paying American jobs we can maintain and create here at home. HUMAN RIGHTS: TPP has the strongest labor and environmental standards of any trade agreement ever negotiated, including bans on forced labor and requiring countries to allow independent unions, protecting some of the most vulnerable populations in the world CHINA: China is negotiating its own trade agreement with Asian nations that excludes the U.S. TPP will ensure American businesses have better access to fast-growing Asian markets and solidify our leadership in the Pacific so America, not China, writes the rules of the global economy in the 21st century. SMALL BIZ: By cutting taxes other countries charge on American goods and eliminating paperwork, the TPP will make it easier for small businesses to export and do business overseas so every American business can benefit from the global economy. PRO-ISDS: TPP will ensure American businesses, including small businesses, are treated fairly when operating overseas by guaranteeing the basic principles of U.S. law are respected and providing a neutral venue to solve disputes with governments in countries that have weak legal systems LEVEL FIELD: TPP strengthens the rule of law in the Asia-Pacific region and ensures other countries play by America's rules because when American workers and businesses compete on a level playing field, nobody in the world can beat us. UNLIKE NAFTA: Trade deals haven't always lived up to the hype. The TPP updates our existing trade agreements and allows us to correct the problems on past trade agreements like NAFTA to bring them more in line with our goals and values. 29 23 21 20 19 16 14 63 57 56 58 55 48 53 16
Six top anti-tpp arguments beat top pro-tpp argument Now I'm going to read you what some OPPONENTS are saying about the new trade agreement, TPP. Please tell me whether it raises very serious doubts, somewhat serious doubts, minor doubts, or no real doubts in your own mind about TPP? Very serious doubts Somewhat serious doubts ARGUMENTS AGAINST TPP FOOD SAFETY: The U.S. currently rejects a significant portion of food imports from TPP countries like Vietnam and Malaysia as unsafe, but TPP would require us to accept food imports that do not meet U.S. safety standards. ISDS LAWYERS: TPP will allow foreign corporations to sue the U.S. government in private tribunals/ corporate courts run by three corporate lawyers who rotate between judging these cases and representing corporations, which is a conflict of interest, and there is no outside appeal ISDS FUTURE PROFITS: Under TPP, the American taxpayers could be forced to pay foreign corporations compensation for any American law or safety rule. They can sue for their current losses but also future expected profits, and there is no limit to the amount they can win from U.S. taxpayers. LOWER WAGES/FEWER JOBS: TPP will pit American workers against workers in Vietnam making less than 65 cents an hour. Economists who have looked at this deal say it will lower wages for 90 percent of Americans and gives corporations more incentives to move American jobs overseas ISDS CORPORATE RIGHTS: TPP gives foreign corporations that come to the U.S. even more rights and privileges than the American people and our businesses, and elevates foreign corporations to the status of the U.S. government by allowing them to sue our country in special tribunals/corporate courts. SECRET CORPORATE NEGOTIATIONS: The terms of the new TPP trade agreement were negotiated in secret with over 500 corporate advisors, but the people, the press, and even the U.S. Congress were shut out so it favors corporations, not working families. BIPARTISAN DISAPPROVAL: For the first time, the presidential nominees of both parties, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, oppose this new trade agreement because it does nothing to stop currency manipulation, will hurt U.S. wages and jobs, and means higher drug prices BAD FOR CLIMATE: All of the countries in the world are working to combat climate change, but TPP would forbid many of the policies we need to stop the climate crisis. 47 46 41 38 38 38 33 23 74 77 72 71 70 68 67 57 17
ISDS lawyers (awarding for future profits lost) and food safety concerns strongest across party lines Now I'm going to read you what some OPPONENTS are saying about the new trade agreement, TPP. Please tell me whether it raises very serious doubts, somewhat serious doubts, minor doubts, or no real doubts in your own mind about TPP? DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENTS REPUBLICANS Very serious doubts Somewhat serious doubts Food Safety 38 66 ISDS Lawyers 59 84 Food Safety 60 86 ISDS Lawyers 33 69 ISDS Future Profits 56 78 ISDS Lawyers 55 81 Secret Corporate Negotiations 33 59 Food Safety 42 73 ISDS Future Profits 50 80 18
Democrats not initially opposed to TPP share ISDS lawyers, food concerns Democrats NOT Opposed to TPP ARGUMENTS AGAINST TPP ISDS LAWYERS: TPP will allow foreign corporations to sue the U.S. government in private tribunals/ corporate courts run by three corporate lawyers who rotate between judging these cases and representing corporations, which is a conflict of interest, and there is no outside appeal Very serious doubts Somewhat serious doubts 46 77 FOOD SAFETY: The U.S. currently rejects a significant portion of food imports from TPP countries like Vietnam and Malaysia as unsafe, but TPP would require us to accept food imports that do not meet U.S. safety standards. LOWER WAGES/FEWER JOBS: TPP will pit American workers against workers in Vietnam making less than 65 cents an hour. Economists who have looked at this deal say it will lower wages for 90 percent of Americans and gives corporations more incentives to move American jobs overseas ISDS CORPORATE RIGHTS: TPP gives foreign corporations that come to the U.S. even more rights and privileges than the American people and our businesses, and elevates foreign corporations to the status of the U.S. government by allowing them to sue our country in special tribunals/corporate courts. BIPARTISAN DISAPPROVAL: For the first time, the presidential nominees of both parties, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, oppose this new trade agreement because it does nothing to stop currency manipulation, will hurt U.S. wages and jobs, and means higher drug prices SECRET CORPORATE NEGOTIATIONS: The terms of the new TPP trade agreement were negotiated in secret with over 500 corporate advisors, but the people, the press, and even the U.S. Congress were shut out so it favors corporations, not working families. BAD FOR CLIMATE: All of the countries in the world are working to combat climate change, but TPP would forbid many of the policies we need to stop the climate crisis. ISDS FUTURE PROFITS: Under TPP, the American taxpayers could be forced to pay foreign corporations compensation for any American law or safety rule. They can sue for their current losses but also future expected profits, and there is no limit to the amount they can win from U.S. taxpayers. 37 25 26 24 26 24 15 64 59 57 57 53 56 57 19
TPP critique focused on ISDS corporate rights produces greatest willingness to punish Congressperson supporting TPP 20
TRADE DEBATE IMPACT 21
Bad thing Good thing All partisan segments shift against past trade agreements And in general, do you think that free trade agreements between the United States and other countries have been a good thing or bad thing for the United States? Have past trade agreements been a good thing or bad thing for the US? -12 Good thing strongly Bad thing strongly -9-12 -14 +15 +3 +36 +27 +10 +2 +9 +23 51 46 62 58 50 44 39 33 15 11 18 15 16 8 6 15 20 9 12 19 25 21 27 36 43 26 31 40 46 48 56 Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Total Democrats Independents Republicans 22
Bad thing Oppose Good thing Support Democrats not initially oppose to TPP shift to opposition Have past trade agreements been a good thing or bad thing for the US? Good thing strongly DEMOCRATS NOT OPPOSED TO TPP Bad thing strongly Do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Support strongly Oppose strongly -13-65 +69 +56 +67 +2 DK: 33 DK: 14 77 73 67 44 12 8 19 17 17 20 42 Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask 23
Oppose Support Exposure to pro & con arguments moves country, Democrats against TPP Now let me ask you again, from what you know, do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the proposed new trade agreement between the United States and 11 other countries in Asia and Latin America, also known as TPP? Do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? -37 Support strongly Oppose strongly -39-35 -39 +3 DK: 27 35 25 50 8 13 20 11 45 25 38 Initial Total +40 DK: 10 65 Re-ask +25 +14 +8 +43 +32 +71 DK: 25 DK: 12 DK: 22 DK: 8 DK: 32 DK: 8 37 35 30 21 51 43 Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Democrats Independents Republicans 25 51 68 18 29 50 11 59 82 24
Oppose Support College educated now oppose TPP & working class opposition deepens Now let me ask you again, from what you know, do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership, the proposed new trade agreement between the United States and 11 other countries in Asia and Latin America, also known as TPP? Do you support or oppose the Trans-Pacific Partnership? Support strongly Oppose strongly -23-42 -21-62 +44 +67 +11 +53 +8 +13 +23 +39 DK:20 DK: 5 DK: 37 DK: 11 DK: 15 DK: 7 DK: 33 DK: 15 18 14 36 62 Initial 60 81 Re-ask White Non- College Men 26 13 37 18 49 71 White Non-College Women 47 40 45 14 10 9 23 37 14 22 39 53 Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask Initial Re-ask College Men 23 44 62 College Women 25
Less likely More likely Post exposure to pro & con arguments, voters ready to punish votes for TPP Imagine that your Member of Congress were to vote to pass the Trans-Pacific Partnership when Congress considers it after the election. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that Member of Congress? More or less likely to vote for a Member of Congress voting for TPP Much more likely Much less likely +37 +18 +38 +59 DK: 15 DK: 14 DK: 20 DK: 11 +2 DK: 16 24 34 6 8 36 25 21 15 43 46 41 9-20 61 Total 52 59 74 Democrats Independents Republicans 43 Dems NOT Opposed to TPP 26
Less likely More likely One-third of Rising American Electorate ready to punish too Imagine that your Member of Congress were to vote to pass the Trans-Pacific Partnership when Congress considers it after the election. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that Member of Congress? More or less likely to vote for a Member of Congress voting for TPP Support strongly Oppose strongly +29 +37 +29 +22 DK: 16 DK: 16 DK: 13 DK: 16 28 24 29 31 7 6 8 31 34 33 24 57 61 58 53 Rising American Electorate Unmarried Women Minorities Millennials 27
Less likely More likely Half of working class, quarter of college educated ready to punish Imagine that your Member of Congress were to vote to pass the Trans-Pacific Partnership when Congress considers it after the election. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for that Member of Congress? More or less likely to vote for a Member of Congress voting for TPP Support strongly Oppose strongly +58 +48 +15 +26 DK: 8 DK: 15 DK: 17 DK: 18 17 19 51 43 34 28 8 6 25 28 75 67 49 54 Non-College Non-College Men College Men College Women Women 28
LAME DUCK MESSAGING 29
Middle class message addresses TPP & President Obama As you may know, President Obama is expected to submit the TPP agreement for a vote in Congress after the election and before the newly elected President and Members of Congress are sworn into office. Now I'm going to read you some things that some Members of Congress are saying about the proposed new trade agreement. LAME DUCK MESSAGES Much more positive Somewhat more positive MIDDLE CLASS: I am opposed to taking up the agreement. Both presidential candidates, my colleagues on both sides of the aisle, and the country's leading economists agree that TPP would be bad for the middle class. I know President Obama has the right intentions, but we need to put TPP aside and focus on other ways to help the middle class. ECONOMY: I have to oppose the agreement. The leading presidential candidates and the best economists all agree that TPP will lead to lower wages for hard-working Americans and more American jobs moving overseas. This is too important to the American economy to get wrong. 33 33 53 63 LEGACY: I am opposed to taking up the agreement, and I'm thinking about President Obama. He doesn't get the credit he deserves for saving the economy despite unprecedented opposition, but TPP will undermine all of this progress and tarnish his legacy. I cannot in good conscious support this trade agreement unless major changes are made to protect the middle class CORPORATIONS:I have to oppose the agreement. If TPP passes, it would give corporations new powers to attack our laws, raid our treasury and offshore more jobs. Congress cannot be allowed to pass the TPP after the election when retiring politicians and those who lose reelection are thinking more about their new corporate lobbying jobs than the people who they used to represent 21 21 43 51 30
No greater intensity for legacy message among Democrats Now I'm going to read you some things that some Members of Congress are saying about the proposed new trade agreement. LAME DUCK MESSAGES Democrats NOT Opposed to TPP Much more positive Somewhat more positive MIDDLE CLASS: I am opposed to taking up the agreement. Both presidential candidates, my colleagues on both sides of the aisle, and the country's leading economists agree that TPP would be bad for the middle class. I know President Obama has the right intentions, but we need to put TPP aside and focus on other ways to help the middle class. 20 56 ECONOMY: I have to oppose the agreement. The leading presidential candidates and the best economists all agree that TPP will lead to lower wages for hard-working Americans and more American jobs moving overseas. This is too important to the American economy to get wrong. 23 47 LEGACY: I am opposed to taking up the agreement, and I'm thinking about President Obama. He doesn't get the credit he deserves for saving the economy despite unprecedented opposition, but TPP will undermine all of this progress and tarnish his legacy. I cannot in good conscious support this trade agreement unless major changes are made to protect the middle class CORPORATIONS:I have to oppose the agreement. If TPP passes, it would give corporations new powers to attack our laws, raid our treasury and offshore more jobs. Congress cannot be allowed to pass the TPP after the election when retiring politicians and those who lose reelection are thinking more about their new corporate lobbying jobs than the people who they used to represent 17 15 45 57 31
ISDS 32
ISDS-focused opposition statement as powerful as jobs focused message Now, I'm going to read you what some economists, consumer groups and political leaders who OPPOSE the agreement are saying about it. Is that a very convincing, somewhat convincing, a little convincing, or not at all convincing reason to OPPOSE the TPP? TPP OPPOSITION STATEMENT ANTI-CORPORATE + ISDS FOCUS The TPP covers 40 percent of the global economy, yet it was negotiated in secret with hundreds of corporate advisors while the public was locked out. The key provision in TPP grants new rights to thousands of foreign corporations to sue the U.S. government before a panel of 3 corporate lawyers. These lawyers can award the corporations unlimited sums to be paid by America's taxpayers, including for the loss of expected future profits. These foreign corporations need only convince the lawyers that a U.S. law or safety regulation violates their TPP rights. Their decisions are not subject to appeal and the amount awarded has no limit. This agreement is not good for American taxpayers. It means higher drug prices. It makes it easier to send jobs overseas, means fewer jobs and lower wages, and a government that doesn't work for us. Very convincing 70 36 33
Voters concerned ISDS facilitates offshoring of jobs and cases judged by private sector lawyers also representing corporations As you may know, the proposed new trade agreement, TPP, includes a system called Investor-State Dispute Settlement, or ISDS. I am going to read you a list of its elements and please tell me which TWO things are the most concerning to you. This system makes it safer and cheaper for corporations to move American jobs overseas The corporate attorneys serving as judges are not impartial because they also represent corporations in this system. 27 29 ecisions by three corporate attorneys about our laws and tax dollars are not subject to appeal. It gives foreign corporations operating here greater rights than the American people or American companies. Three corporate lawyers decide these cases about our laws and tax dollars Corporations can win unlimited taxpayer funds from governments. Corporations may sue for current losses and loss of all future expected profits 23 21 21 19 17 All 10 34
Jobs moving overseas & private sector lawyers as judges most dubious features of ISDS for those least critical of past pacts/tpp As you may know, the proposed new trade agreement, TPP, includes a system called Investor-State Dispute Settlement, or ISDS. I am going to read you a list of its elements and please tell me which TWO things are the most concerning to you. Democrats NOT Opposed to TPP Democrats Past Trade Deals Good Shift To Oppose TPP Jobs overseas 33 Jobs overseas 35 Lawyers not impartial 31 Lawyers not impartial 28 Lawyers not impartial 30 Jobs overseas 30 Unlimited txpyr funds 27 3 corp lawyers 22 Foreign corp power 28 3 corp lawyers 22 No appeal 21 No appeal 24 No appeal 20 Unlimited txpyr funds 21 Unlimited txpyr funds 19 Foreign corp power 18 Corps may sue 19 3 corp lawyers 17 Corps may sue 16 Foreign corp power 18 Corps may sue 15 35
Lawyers acting as judges not being impartial a top concern across party lines As you may know, the proposed new trade agreement, TPP, includes a system called Investor-State Dispute Settlement, or ISDS. I am going to read you a list of its elements and please tell me which TWO things are the most concerning to you. Democrat Independent Republican Jobs overseas 33 Lawyers not impartial 27 Lawyers not impartial 29 Lawyers not impartial 27 No appeal 24 Foreign corp power 29 3 corp lawyers 24 Foreign corp power 22 Jobs overseas 29 Unlimited txpyr funds 24 Corps may sue 21 No appeal 23 No appeal 23 Jobs overseas 21 Corps may sue 18 Foreign corp power 15 3 corp lawyers 21 3 corp lawyers 18 Corps may sue 15 Unlimited txpyr funds 19 Unlimited txpyr funds 13 36
Open ended response to ISDS centers on this not being for the ordinary working taxpayer After hearing this list, how would you describe this part of the agreement? Use your own words and use your imagination. Total Bad for working Americans 30 Does not benefit the people/taxpayers Insert chart with 18 Jobs shipped overseas open ends 12 Benefits corporations 17 Crony capitalism 7 Benefits corporations 7 Too much corporate control of government 3 Three lawyer process 13 No appeals/loss of sovereignty 6 Unfair, not impartial 4 Only three lawyers 3 Other negative 20 Positive 5 Other/DK/Refused 23 37
After hearing this list, how would you describe this part of the agreement? Use your own words and use your imagination. 38
Shift to TPP opposition driven by critique focused on ISDS 39
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