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Transcription:

Democracy Corps Frequency Questionnaire July 21-25, 2012 700 Likely Voters Q.3 (LANDLINE SAMPLE) First of all, are you registered to vote at this address? Yes... 100 No... - (Refused)... - (ref:screen1) Q.4 Many people weren't able to vote in the 2008 election for president between Barack Obama and John McCain. How about you? Were you able to vote, or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted... 97 Not registered in 2008/Ineligible/too young... 3 Did not vote... - (Can't remember/don't know)... - (Refused)... - (ref:vote08) Q.5 As you may know, there was an election in 2010 for Congress and other offices. Many people weren't able to vote. How about you? Were you able to vote or for some reason were you unable to vote? Voted... 82 Did not vote... 11 (Can't remember/don't know)... 3 (Refused)... - Not registered/ineligible/too young... 4 (ref:vote10)

2 Q.7 Are you married, single, living with a partner, separated, divorced, or widowed? Married... 59 Single... 21 Separated/Divorced... 9 Widowed... 6 Living with partner... 4 (Don't know/refused)... 1 Sep/Div/Wid... 15 Unmarried... 40 (ref:marital) Q.10 I know it is a long way off, but what are the chances of your voting in the election for President and Congress this November: are you almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote? Almost certain... 92 Probably... 8 50-50... - Will not vote... - (Don't know)... 1 (Refused)... 0 (ref:cp10) Q.11 Generally speaking, do you think that things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction... 36 Wrong track... 58 (Don't know/refused)... 6 Right - Wrong... -21 (ref:direct)

3 Q.12 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Strongly approve... 33 Somewhat approve... 18 Somewhat disapprove... 8 Strongly disapprove... 38 (Don't know/refused)... 4 approve... 50 disapprove... 46 Approve - disapprove... 4 (ref:boapp) Q.13 Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives? Strongly approve... 12 Somewhat approve... 20 Somewhat disapprove... 19 Strongly disapprove... 45 (Don't know/refused)... 4 approve... 32 disapprove... 64 Approve - disapprove... -33 (ref:repapp)

4 Q.14 Now, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. Warm % % % % % - Mean Warm Cool >75 <26 ID Cool 14 The Republican Party... 42.6 33 47 16 36 98-13 15 The Democratic Party... 46.8 40 43 23 33 98-3 16 The Republican Congress... 39.9 31 49 12 37 97-18 17 Democrats in Congress... 45.4 36 44 19 32 97-8 18 Barack Obama... 51.5 49 41 38 36 99 7 19 Mitt Romney... 43.0 38 46 18 35 95-8 20 The N.R.A., or National Rifle Association... 53.4 44 32 29 25 93 11 21 Pro-life, anti-abortion groups... 49.1 39 38 27 30 94 0 22 Gay marriage... 46.7 39 43 31 39 95-4 23 The state of the economy... 37.2 22 56 4 36 98-34 24 The state of your personal finances... 57.8 51 21 24 14 95 30 25 The Tea Party movement... 40.0 28 44 16 38 88-16 26 The new health care reform law... 44.7 40 43 26 37 92-3 27 (PC) (SPLIT A) A plan to replace the current campaign finance system of large private contributions with one where campaigns get limited public funding with no large contributions... 57.3 38 21 27 15 80 17 28 (PC) (SPLIT B) A plan to replace the current campaign finance system of large private contributions with one that relies on small contributions and limited public funds... 57.7 39 21 27 15 81 18 (ref:therm04/204/205)

5 Q.31 I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the presidential election this November, if the election for president were held today and the candidates were -- Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? Democrat Barack Obama... 48 Lean Democrat Barack Obama... 2 Republican Mitt Romney... 44 Lean Republican Mitt Romney... 2 (Other candidate)... 2 Lean (Other candidate)... 0 (Undecided)... 2 (Refused)... 0 (Will not vote in 2012)... 0 Democrat Barack Obama... 50 Republican Mitt Romney... 46 (Other candidate)... 2 (ref:prez12a) Q.33 Even though you are not supporting Democrat Barack Obama now, what are the chances that you might support Democrat Barack Obama in the election for President this November -- is there a fair chance that you might support Democrat Barack Obama, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support Democrat Barack Obama? Fair chance... 3 A small chance... 4 Just a very slight chance... 4 No chance at all... 39 (Don't know/refused)... 0 Obama supporter... 50 (ref:prezvcs1)

6 Q.34 Even though you are not supporting Republican Mitt Romney now, what are the chances that you might support Republican Mitt Romney in the election for President this November -- is there a fair chance that you might support Republican Mitt Romney, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all that you might support Republican Mitt Romney? Fair chance... 3 A small chance... 5 Just a very slight chance... 8 No chance at all... 39 (Don't know/refused)... 0 Romney supporter... 46 (ref:prezvcs2) Q.35 I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress this November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (REPUBLICAN HOUSE CANDIDATE)? 1 Democratic candidate... 44 Lean Democratic candidate... 3 Republican candidate... 43 Lean Republican candidate... 3 (Other candidate)... 1 Lean (Other candidate)... 0 (Undecided)... 5 (Refused)... 2 Democratic candidate... 46 Republican candidate... 46 (Other candidate)... 1 (ref:cong10) Q.37 I am going to read a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think the Democrats or the Republicans would do a better job with each issue. If you do not know, just tell me and we'll move on. Dem Dem Rep Rep Dem Much Smwt Smwt Much Nei- DK/ - Bttr Bttr Bttr Bttr Both ther Ref Dem Rep Rep 37 The economy... 24 17 19 26 1 4 10 41 45-4 (ref:betjob) 1 In the landline sample, the incumbent names were inserted preceded by party identification. Generic the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate were inserted for the opposition. For the cell phone sample and open seat districts, both candidates were given as generic.

7 Q.39 Now I am going to read you a list of issues and I want you to tell me whether, overall, you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would do a better job with each issue. If you do not know, just tell me and we'll move on. BO BO MR MR BO Much Smwt Smwt Much Nei- DK/ - Bttr Bttr Bttr Bttr Both ther Ref BO MR MR 39 The economy... 30 15 12 32 0 2 9 45 44 0 40 (SPLIT A) On your side... 32 12 13 24 0 4 16 44 37 7 41 (SPLIT B) Sharing my values... 38 12 10 27 0 4 10 49 37 13 (ref:pbetjob) Q.67 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes. What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? 1-11th grade... 3 High School graduate... 20 Non-college post H.S.... 1 Some college... 28 College graduate... 29 Post-graduate school... 17 (Don't know/refused)... 2 (ref:educ) Q.68 Are you a member of a labor union? Is any member of your household a union member? Yes: Respondent belongs... 11 Household member... 6 No member belongs... 81 (Don't know/refused)... 2 Union Household... 17 (ref:union)

8 Q.69 I'm going to read you a list of economic experiences some people have recently had. For each one, please tell me if you have directly experienced this in the last year, if your family has directly experienced this in the last year, or if someone you know well, like a friend, neighbor or co-worker, has experienced this or if no one you know well has experienced it. Impct Impct Impct No Dk/ Self No Self Fam Know Impct Ref Self Fam Close Impct 69 Loss of a job... 10 18 27 41 4 10 28 55 41 70 Reduced wages, hours or benefits at work... 14 18 19 43 6 14 32 51 43 71 (SPLIT A) Lost health insurance coverage... 9 15 14 57 5 9 23 38 57 72 (SPLIT B) Fallen behind on mortgage payments or home was foreclosed on... 7 8 26 55 4 7 14 40 55 73 Got a new job... 10 21 23 41 5 10 31 54 41 74 Rejoined the job market and began to look for work again... 11 20 26 38 5 11 31 57 38 75 (SPLIT A) Made big changes to buying habits at the grocery store due to rising prices... 37 18 10 29 6 37 55 64 29 (ref:econimpc) Q.76 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican or what? Strong Democrat... 26 Weak Democrat... 12 Independent-lean Democrat... 8 Independent... 6 Independent-lean Republican... 11 Weak Republican... 11 Strong Republican... 22 (Don't know/refused)... 5 (ref:ptyid1)

9 Q.79 Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal? Liberal... 22 Moderate... 33 Conservative... 37 (Don't know/refused)... 8 (ref:ideo1) [217 RESPONDENTS] Q.80 (ASK IN CELL SAMPLE ONLY) Now, thinking about your telephone use, is there at least one telephone INSIDE your home that is currently working and is not a cell phone? Yes... 52 No... 48 (DK/Refused)... 0 (ref:landline) [482 RESPONDENTS] Q.81 (ASK IN LANDLINE SAMPLE ONLY) Now thinking about your telephone use, do you have a working cell phone? Yes... 83 No... 15 (DK/Refused)... 2 (ref:cellline)

10 [513 RESPONDENTS] Q.82 Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get..? Phone Use All or almost all calls on a cell phone... 26 Some on a cell phone and some on a regular home phone... 40 All or almost all calls on a regular home phone... 33 (Don't Know/Refused)... 2 (ref:dualuse) Cell Only... 15 Cell Mostly... 19 Dual User... 29 Landline Mostly... 24 Landline Only... 10 Landline Unknown... 3 Cell Mostly (from Cell Sample)... 7 Cell Mostly (from Landline Sample)... 12 Q.83 Do you have any children 18 years of age or younger living at home? Q.84 What is your religion? Yes... 32 No... 63 (Don't know/refused)... 5 (ref:kids) Protestant... 50 Catholic... 22 Jewish... 2 Muslim... 0 (Don't know/refused)... 26 (ref:relig1)

11 Q.85 How often do you attend religious services -- more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, several times a year, or hardly ever? Once or twice a month... 1 Several times a year... 15 Hardly ever... 14 (Never)... 20 (Don't know/refused)... 5 More than once a week... 9 Once a week... 36 (ref:relig2) [576 Respondents] Q.86 Now let me ask you about the election for Congress last November. Did you vote for (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE) or (DEMOCRATIC HOUSE CANDIDATE)? (2010 House Democrat)... 39 (2010 House Republican)... 42 (Other candidate)... 3 (Did Not Vote for Congress)... 3 (Don't Know/Refused)... 12 (ref:vtcg2010) [678 Respondents] Q.87 In the 2008 election for president, did you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama... 50 Republican John McCain... 41 (Ralph Nader)... 0 (Bob Barr)... - (Other)... 2 (Don't Know/Refused)... 7 (ref:vote2008)

12 Q.88 What racial or ethnic group best describes you? Q.6 In what year were you born? White... 75 African-American or Black... 12 Hispanic or Latino... 9 Native American... 1 Asian... 1 (Other)... 2 (Don't know/refused)... 1 (ref:racethn) Q.2 Record respondent's gender 18-24... 9 25-29... 8 30-34... 6 35-39... 11 40-44... 9 45-49... 10 50-54... 10 55-59... 8 60-64... 10 65 and over... 18 (No answer)... 2 (ref:age) Male... 47 Female... 53 (ref:gender)