Tennessee Polling Executive Summary Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870 Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 620 likely voters across Tennessee. The poll was conducted from August 9 th through the 11 th and has a margin of error of ±3.9%. The totals may not round to 100% because of rounding. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users and interactive voice responses. The results are weighted by voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Gravis Marketing. 3) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump s job performance? Q3: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 11.9% 23.9% 15.8% 9.6% 21.9% 20.9% 8.1% 18.8% 14.9% Somewhat Disapprove 18.8% 14.4% 10.3% 55.0% 12.0% 4.4% 3.4% 21.9% 5.7% Strongly Approve 5.8% 34.9% 63.4% 6.5% 35.7% 42.2% 54.5% 23.9% 51.7% Strongly Disapprove 59.7% 21.7% 4.3% 25.5% 27.7% 25.1% 28.0% 30.1% 22.7% Uncertain 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 3.4% 2.6% 7.5% 6.0% 5.2% 4.9% 1
4) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Corker s job performance? Q4: CORKERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 31.5% 27.8% 24.4% 20.0% 34.5% 25.4% 26.4% 21.7% 34.0% Somewhat Disapprove 31.3% 30.7% 9.6% 16.2% 27.8% 21.3% 20.7% 23.7% 21.1% Strongly Approve 10.1% 8.2% 10.9% 2.1% 10.0% 10.5% 14.5% 8.4% 11.5% Strongly Disapprove 12.8% 9.7% 43.5% 30.6% 14.4% 27.2% 29.4% 23.4% 25.0% Uncertain 14.2% 23.6% 11.6% 31.2% 13.3% 15.6% 9.0% 22.8% 8.4% 5) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Senator Alexander s job performance? 2
Q5: ALEXANDERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 26.3% 42.3% 40.0% 34.8% 31.6% 38.8% 41.0% 34.1% 38.9% Somewhat Disapprove 34.1% 13.3% 18.8% 6.4% 32.7% 16.8% 25.5% 23.7% 20.0% Strongly Approve 5.9% 4.4% 13.9% 2.1% 10.0% 10.1% 9.2% 7.4% 10.0% Strongly Disapprove 23.1% 25.7% 8.3% 9.1% 19.0% 20.5% 18.6% 15.6% 20.5% Uncertain 10.6% 14.2% 18.9% 47.6% 6.6% 13.7% 5.6% 19.1% 10.5% 6) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Governor Haslam s job performance? Q6: HASLAMPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 35.0% 45.7% 44.4% 56.9% 38.1% 45.0% 31.3% 41.9% 41.8% Somewhat Disapprove 20.1% 16.2% 12.4% 8.4% 10.3% 18.7% 25.3% 17.0% 14.7% Strongly Approve 12.2% 21.9% 20.3% 11.9% 22.9% 12.2% 26.2% 12.1% 25.0% Strongly Disapprove 23.1% 6.4% 10.4% 13.0% 20.6% 8.3% 10.2% 15.0% 11.2% Uncertain 9.5% 9.8% 12.4% 9.8% 8.1% 15.7% 7.1% 14.0% 7.2% 3
7) If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Bill Lee and Karl Dean, who would you vote for? Q7: LEEVSDEAN Democrat Karl Dean 79.0% 42.2% 7.3% 52.1% 39.1% 37.6% 34.6% 38.8% 40.5% Republican Bill Lee 15.9% 39.1% 87.7% 32.9% 53.1% 55.1% 56.2% 48.7% 54.2% Uncertain 5.2% 18.7% 5.0% 15.0% 7.8% 7.3% 9.3% 12.4% 5.3% 8) If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Phil Bredesen and Marsha Blackburn, who would you vote for? Democrat Independent or In Another Party Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65 or older Female Male Q8: BREDESENVSBLACKBURN Democrat Phil Bredesen 89.4% 40.6% 11.8% 35.4% 49.0% 44.7% 42.5% 46.7% 41.5% Republican Marsha Blackburn 6.5% 40.1% 85.6% 32.4% 43.7% 55.2% 53.7% 40.8% 55.6% Uncertain 4.1% 19.3% 2.6% 32.2% 7.3% 0.1% 3.8% 12.5% 2.9% 4
9) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would support Nancy Pelosi to be Speaker of the House? Q9: SUPPORTPELOSI Less Likely 32.8% 51.8% 64.6% 44.5% 33.6% 65.3% 58.7% 41.0% 61.9% More Likely 32.8% 8.1% 6.8% 1.7% 24.9% 10.7% 18.0% 17.2% 13.1% Uncertain 34.4% 40.1% 28.6% 53.8% 41.5% 24.0% 23.3% 41.8% 25.0% 10) Would you more or less likely support a candidate for Congress if you knew they would vote to impeach President Donald J. Trump? Q10: IMPEACHTRUMP Less Likely 11.1% 46.9% 75.5% 13.9% 43.6% 60.2% 56.0% 39.7% 55.4% More Likely 75.7% 42.0% 19.5% 80.8% 52.3% 28.7% 26.7% 48.8% 37.6% Uncertain 13.2% 11.1% 5.0% 5.3% 4.1% 11.1% 17.3% 11.5% 6.9% 5
11) Do you currently approve or disapprove of the Tax Reform Bill that was signed into law recently? Q11: TAXREFORM Approve 11.5% 42.1% 65.0% 20.4% 35.2% 55.7% 44.4% 27.7% 57.1% Disapprove 63.5% 30.4% 5.1% 14.4% 44.1% 26.0% 29.3% 30.6% 30.5% Uncertain 25.0% 27.5% 29.8% 65.2% 20.6% 18.3% 26.3% 41.7% 12.4% 12) Do you support or oppose the legalization of same-sex marriage in the United States? Q12: SAMESEXMARRIAGE Oppose 33.4% 34.0% 81.3% 37.6% 35.6% 68.4% 64.1% 41.7% 64.7% Support 55.6% 49.1% 13.1% 56.0% 50.7% 23.8% 22.5% 48.6% 23.8% Uncertain 11.0% 16.9% 5.6% 6.4% 13.7% 7.8% 13.5% 9.7% 11.5% 6
13) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion in Tennessee? Q13: ABORTION Oppose 51.8% 35.5% 25.8% 58.3% 39.0% 29.5% 29.1% 42.1% 30.7% Support 20.6% 22.0% 56.1% 31.1% 25.8% 44.3% 37.2% 35.0% 35.4% Uncertain 27.6% 42.5% 18.1% 10.6% 35.2% 26.2% 33.7% 22.9% 33.8% 14) Do you support or oppose a ban on the ability to obtain an abortion after a pregnancy has lasted for 20 weeks in Tennessee? Q14: ABORTION20WEEK Oppose 37.3% 32.5% 34.0% 17.5% 33.8% 35.3% 47.5% 28.8% 40.9% Support 35.8% 40.9% 50.8% 59.9% 41.6% 47.0% 27.1% 54.1% 31.6% Uncertain 26.9% 26.5% 15.2% 22.7% 24.6% 17.7% 25.4% 17.1% 27.5% 7
15) Do you support or oppose laws that would stop LGBTQ individuals from being discriminated against in regards to employment, housing, and healthcare in Tennessee? Q15: LGBTQRIGHT Oppose 21.6% 14.4% 24.9% 18.3% 10.9% 27.4% 26.9% 19.0% 22.9% Support 56.1% 56.4% 43.3% 74.6% 66.2% 37.4% 33.3% 61.7% 39.6% Uncertain 22.2% 29.1% 31.8% 7.1% 22.9% 35.2% 39.8% 19.3% 37.6% 16) Do you support or oppose President Trump s actions regarding removing the United States from the Iranian Nuclear Agreement? Q16: IRANNUCLEAR Oppose 60.9% 30.0% 4.4% 17.6% 41.5% 24.3% 27.8% 30.4% 28.2% Support 18.8% 40.6% 85.6% 41.9% 44.5% 61.1% 54.9% 39.5% 65.1% Uncertain 20.3% 29.4% 10.1% 40.5% 14.0% 14.6% 17.3% 30.1% 6.7% 8
17) As you may know there is an investigation into possible dealings with President Trump s associates and Russia being led by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Do you believe the investigation is justified or do you believe it is politically motivated? Q17: RUSSIA Justified 75.4% 46.2% 17.9% 75.7% 44.3% 32.7% 38.6% 50.0% 37.3% Politically motivated 17.1% 52.2% 79.8% 17.2% 52.9% 63.7% 58.5% 44.6% 60.8% Uncertain 7.5% 1.6% 2.4% 7.1% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 5.4% 1.9% 18) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Special Counsel Robert Mueller s job performance? Q18: MUELLERPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 12.6% 4.8% 12.8% 36.7% 8.4% 2.7% 6.8% 12.6% 8.0% Somewhat Disapprove 11.7% 14.4% 15.0% 10.0% 6.9% 23.6% 10.7% 17.1% 10.3% Strongly Approve 49.3% 27.6% 10.6% 5.2% 39.5% 28.3% 24.2% 28.0% 27.0% Strongly Disapprove 6.9% 28.6% 46.1% 1.5% 26.8% 34.6% 42.8% 16.7% 42.1% Uncertain 19.5% 24.6% 15.5% 46.6% 18.3% 10.7% 15.4% 25.7% 12.6% 9
19) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the Mainstream Media s job performance? Q19: MEDIAPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 25.6% 6.1% 4.3% 17.1% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 14.5% 8.1% Somewhat Disapprove 6.2% 38.3% 14.9% 31.1% 15.7% 19.0% 14.9% 20.0% 17.8% Strongly Approve 43.5% 12.9% 8.3% 2.9% 26.1% 21.9% 23.1% 21.5% 19.6% Strongly Disapprove 6.4% 38.4% 59.6% 3.8% 39.7% 43.3% 47.0% 27.7% 47.0% Uncertain 18.2% 4.3% 12.9% 45.1% 8.3% 5.6% 4.2% 16.3% 7.5% 20) Would you approve or disapprove of a border wall built between the border of Mexico and the U.S.? Q20: BORDERWALL Approve 24.7% 49.9% 83.8% 23.9% 52.8% 68.6% 61.9% 44.4% 67.8% Disapprove 67.5% 46.6% 13.7% 69.5% 43.4% 29.7% 29.9% 49.6% 29.5% Uncertain 7.8% 3.5% 2.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8% 8.2% 6.0% 2.7% 10
21) Do you believe the U.S. Senate should consider President Trump s nominee, Brett Kavanaugh to fill the vacancy of Justice Kennedy, who is retiring? Q21: SENTATEJUSTICE No 69.1% 24.2% 3.5% 27.4% 39.2% 25.9% 23.8% 32.0% 27.4% Uncertain 22.2% 26.2% 8.9% 46.0% 17.2% 8.2% 15.0% 26.4% 9.0% Yes 8.7% 49.6% 87.7% 26.6% 43.6% 65.9% 61.3% 41.6% 63.6% 22) Are you more or less likely to support a candidate for U.S. Senate who will confirm a Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court? Q22: KAVANAUGHCANDIDATE Less Likely 61.0% 24.4% 4.2% 19.0% 38.4% 23.5% 24.5% 29.0% 26.2% More Likely 9.8% 43.4% 78.5% 33.1% 34.6% 59.7% 55.1% 39.6% 55.1% Uncertain 29.2% 32.2% 17.3% 47.9% 26.9% 16.8% 20.4% 31.4% 18.7% 11
23) Do you think that Brett Kavanaugh is qualified to be a justice on the U.S. Supreme Court? Q23: KAVANAUGHQUALIFIED No 55.0% 11.3% 3.4% 24.5% 23.1% 21.2% 18.1% 26.4% 16.6% Uncertain 28.8% 38.8% 15.5% 47.5% 35.3% 13.2% 19.1% 31.0% 21.4% Yes 16.2% 49.9% 81.1% 28.0% 41.6% 65.6% 62.7% 42.6% 62.0% 24) Do you support or oppose abolishing the immigration and customs enforcement agency, commonly referred to as ICE? Q24: ABOLISHICE Oppose 40.1% 73.4% 62.9% 44.1% 66.9% 66.1% 45.4% 52.7% 65.6% Support 31.6% 12.2% 23.3% 37.2% 21.2% 18.6% 20.8% 27.9% 17.0% Uncertain 28.4% 14.4% 13.7% 18.7% 11.9% 15.3% 33.8% 19.4% 17.4% 12
25) Are you more or less likely to support a candidate in House or Senate who will abolish the immigration and customs enforcement agency, commonly referred to as ICE? Q25: ABOLISHICECANDIDATE Less Likely 28.2% 53.5% 62.0% 43.5% 42.5% 60.2% 44.4% 40.4% 58.5% More Likely 36.5% 18.0% 18.0% 34.4% 26.9% 19.2% 18.4% 31.3% 15.4% Uncertain 35.4% 28.5% 20.0% 22.1% 30.6% 20.5% 37.2% 28.3% 26.1% The following questions are for demographic purposes: 1) Are you registered to vote in Tennessee? 2) How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Tennessee Midterm Elections? 13
26) What is your party affiliation? 27) What is your political ideology? 28) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background? 29) What race do you identify yourself as? 14
30) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? 31) What is the highest level of education have you completed? 32) How old are you? 33) What is your gender? 15