Workshop #36 The 114th Congress and the DoD Budget. Colonel Randy Toris OUSD Comptroller/BAA 3 June 2016

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Transcription:

Workshop #36 The 114th Congress and the DoD Budget Colonel Randy Toris OUSD Comptroller/BAA 3 June 2016

Who ARE you people??? 2

The Overhead View The Congressional environment The current picture Why do you care? 3

114 th Congress, 2nd Session 435 Members Plus 6 non voting members (Delegates) 100 Members 246 Republicans 188 Democrats 1 Vacant 54 Republicans 44 Democrats 2 Independents 4

A Day in the Life 5

House of Representatives 435 Members United States House of Representatives Majority rule and speed Average age: 57 years Average length of service: 9.1 years (4.6 terms) Longest consecutive service: John Conyers (D- MI), 50 years, began serving in 1965 Military experience: 81 (including 2 delegates) On few committees * 6 non-voting members 6

Senate 100 Members United States Senate Consensus & methodical Average Age: 62 years Average length of service: 10.2 years (1.7 terms) Longest consecutive service: Patrick Leahy (D- VT), 39 years, began serving in 1975 Military experience: 20 On numerous committees 7

Congressional Defense Committees Four CDCs provide oversight of DoD Authorizers: House & Senate Armed Services Committees (HASC/SASC) Primary focus: Policy & Confirmations (Senate) HASC/SASC mark up the President s Budget Request Result = National Defense Authorization Act Appropriators: House & Senate Appropriations Defense (HAC-D, SAC-D) and MILCON-VA Subcommittees Primary focus: Appropriation of dollars (obs / expenditures) HAC-D/SAC-D mark up the President s Budget Request Result = Defense and MILCON-VA Appropriations Bills RELATIONSHIPS ARE THE KEY PARTICULARLY WITH CDCS 8

Congressional Defense Committees SASC SAC-D McCain (AZ) HASC Reed (RI) Cochran (MS) HAC-D Durbin (IL) Thornberry (TX) Smith (WA) Frelinghuysen (NJ) Visclosky (IN) 9

Senate Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense Republicans (8) Chairman Vice Chairman Democrats (6) Lamar Alexander (TN) Richard Shelby (AL) Mitch McConnell (KY) Thad Cochran (MS) Richard Durbin (IL) Patrick Leahy (VT) Dianne Feinstein (CA) Barbara Mikulski (MD) Roy Blunt (MO) Lindsey Graham (SC) Lisa Murkowski (AK) Susan Collins (ME) Patty Murray (WA) Jack Reed (RI) Ranking Order Ranking Order

House Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense Republicans (10) Chairman Ranking Democrats (6) Ken Calvert (CA) Ander Crenshaw (FL) Kay Granger (TX) Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ) Peter Visclosky (IN) Betty McCollum (MN) Steve Israel (NM) C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger (MD) John Carter (TX) Robert Aderholt (AL) Steve Womack (AR) Tom Cole (OK) Tim Ryan (OH) Marcy Kaptur (OH) Tom Graves (GA) Mario Diaz-Balart (FL)

Congressional Staff Personal Staff Each individual Member office varies in staffing Chief of Staff, Legislative Director (LD), Military Legislative Assistant (MLA), They re Legislative there for Correspondent one of (LC), etc. three reasons: Promote Member (Constituent) interests 1) Uhhh, member Professional Staff interest Work for the Committee 2) To take leadership 3) To add Professional Staff Members (PSMs) work portfolios which divide up the Committee s work Promote Good Government, Chairman s interests, Committee Members interests, and fact-of-life issues 12

Budget Enactment Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Budget Resolution Self-discipline mechanism Sets Budget Authority, ceiling, & outlay targets HBC SBC F F CONF F F 1 st Concurrent Resolution Authorization Approves programs and policies HASC SASC SUBCOM SUBCOM HASC SASC F F CONF F F Authorization Bill PRESIDENT SIGNS Appropriations Actually funds programs in four major categories: Military Personnel (MILPERS) Operation & Maintenance (O&M) Military Construction (MILCON) Investment Programs Top 4 Testimony and Air Staff Engagement HAC SAC SUBCOM SUBCOM HAC SAC F F CONF F F Appropriation Bills PRESIDENT SIGNS 13

Appropriation without Authorization??? Supplementals In the absence of an authorization. CRA Does the Auth match the Approps EXACTLY? 14

Current State of Play FY17 is an election year what timeline? Bipartisan Budget Act 2015 versus Budget Resolution The Trump factor 34 seats in Senate up for grabs (the wave) 15

Regular Order in FY17? Senate majority vs cloture Scalia Replacement BBA2015 versus Republican base Gitmo Riders and Ryan 16

Speaker Ryan and his Mandate for Transparency Allow all voices to be heard everyone is part if the process! Energy and Water approps bill defeated 112-305 Germaneness? Meh. "sit down with our members and have a family discussion about how best to proceed, so that the appropriations process cannot be sabotaged and derailed. Defense bill on Floor week of 6th 17

An Ode to Esther James Madison, 6 Feb 1788 If men were angels, no government would be necessary. If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary. In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men, the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself. 18

PB17 $523.9B + $58.8B = $582.7B Is OCO a floor or a ceiling? 19

The OCO Gimmick Ver 1.0 Short-term fix Don t you WANT the money? GOP: Don t you like the military? Defense Hawk vs Budget Hawk? 20

PB16 Approach Kill It or Veto It! House MILCON/VA Approps Approvals 08: 409 to 2 09: 409 to 4 10: 415 to 3 11: 411 to 6 12: 411 to 5 13: 407 to 12 14: 421 to 4 15: 416 to 1 16: 255 to 163 21

OCO Gimmick 2.0 We ll authorize you higher than requested and then MAKE you do an OCO Supplemental before 30 April Buy base items with OCO dollars (House) 22

CRA Why this matters to you? 535 - Periodic outreach and trust matter staffers too! Don t forget the congressional lens SECDEF s recruiting and retention

Personnel and Readiness PB17 1.6% pay raise HASC and HAC-D already at 2.1%...SASC is on the way Modest change to Tricare fees for retirees ($3.5B FYDP savings) HASC $200M savings, SASC $2.4B savings, HAC-D $900M cost Pharmacy co-pays (saves $300M) HASC and HAC-D denied Others Transgender, Women in combat.do they have costs? 24

Thanks, I Think McCain s amendment ($18B of the gimmick): Army: $6.4B Navy: $5.6B AF: $1.6B End strength adds: $2.7B SAC-D version: Meet PB no gimmick BUT 450 cuts for $15.1B 25

Questions 26