State Politics & Policy Quarterly Online Appendix for: Comparing Two Measures of Electoral Integrity in the American States Patrick Flavin, Baylor University, Patrick_J_Flavin@baylor.edu Gregory Shufeldt, Butler University, gshufeld@butler.edu Table 1A: The Relationship between Principal Components and Citizens Attitudes About Whether They Think Politicians are Trustworthy EIP Component 1 -.0055168 (.0222993) EIP Component 2.0385569 (.0300714) Pew Component 1.0120433 (.0089933) Pew Component 2 -.0042225 (.0135363) Pew Component 3.0009495 (.0234339) Pew Component 4 -.0313376 (.0183533) Pew Component 5.0179676 (.0211103) Pew Component 6.0283249* (.0118035) ANES respondent s belief that politicians are trustworthy (1=Disagree strongly, 2=Disagree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Agree somewhat, 5=Agree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported below in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 1
Table 1B: The Relationship between Individual Indicators and Citizens Attitudes About Whether They Think Politicians are Trustworthy EIP Electoral Laws Indicator.000539 (.0015192) EIP Electoral Procedures Indicator.0019776 (.0025097) EIP Boundaries Indicator 0.0022065 (0.001764) EIP Voter Registration Indicator -.003678 (.0031396) EIP Party Registration Indicator.003998 (.0029789) EIP Campaign Media Indicator.0041495 (.0028813) EIP Campaign Finance Indicator.0054556 (.003756) EIP Voting Process Indicator -.0008993 (.004518) EIP Vote Count Indicator -.0051534 (0.0054503) EIP Post-Election Indicator -.0012682 (.0036126) EIP Electoral Authorities Indicator -.0006633 (.0024541) Pew Registration Status Website Lookup Indicator.0595388 (.0856414) Pew Precinct Ballot Website Lookup Indicator.0291779 (.0560726) Pew Absentee Status Website Lookup Indicator.0303786 (.0544859) Pew Provisional Ballot Status Website Lookup Indicator.0418374 (.0672008) Pew Registrations Rejected Indicator.2518464 (.7896009) Pew Provisional Ballots Cast Indicator 2.471735 (1.445236) Pew Percentage of Provisional Ballots Rejected Indicator 35.62376* (8.052781) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Rejected Indicator 12.17105 (6.895157) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Unreturned Indicator.0796126 (.1935623) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Rejected Indicator.8597311 (.5834538) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.0481158 (.1230785) Pew Data Completeness Indicator.3773662 (.6805828) Pew Post-Election Audit Requirement Indicator -.0037898 (.0481132) Pew Disability or Illness Related Voting Problems Indicator -1.138158 (.8052061) Pew Registration or Absentee Problems Indicator -.1460582 (1.136857) Pew Availability of Online Registration Indicator.0250347 (.0555781) Pew Voting Wait Time Indicator -.0011605 (.0090552) Pew Voter Registration Rate Indicator -1.002311* (.4828347) Pew Voter Turnout Rate Indicator -.3166119 (.3322453) ANES respondent s belief that politicians are trustworthy (1=Disagree strongly, 2=Disagree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Agree somewhat, 5=Agree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported to the right in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 2
Table 2A: The Relationship between Principal Components and Citizens Trust in the Federal Government EIP Component 1.0319916 (.0198687) EIP Component 2.0063601 (.0235937) Pew Component 1 -.0101284 (.0111764) Pew Component 2.0126783 (.0077678) Pew Component 3.0148698 (.0231825) Pew Component 4 -.0361984 (.0260608) Pew Component 5.0058949 (.0295869) Pew Component 6.0039556 (.0145514) ANES respondent s belief that they can trust the federal government to do what is right (1=Never, 2=Some of the time, 3=About half of the time, 4=Most of the time, 5=Always). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported below in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 3
Table 2B: The Relationship between Individual Indicators and Citizens Trust in the Federal Government EIP Electoral Laws Indicator.0023228 (.0013127) EIP Electoral Procedures Indicator.0039877 (.002057) EIP Boundaries Indicator -.0005183 (.0011937) EIP Voter Registration Indicator.0039168 (.0031112) EIP Party Registration Indicator.0051064* (.0017276) EIP Campaign Media Indicator.0037414 (.0024902) EIP Campaign Finance Indicator.0008775 (.0026012) EIP Voting Process Indicator.0043911 (.003334) EIP Vote Count Indicator.0036847 (.0031175) EIP Post-Election Indicator -.0010891 (.0030252) EIP Electoral Authorities Indicator.0018653 (.0018044) Pew Registration Status Website Lookup Indicator.030202 (.0576043) Pew Precinct Ballot Website Lookup Indicator -.0074553 (.0400455) Pew Absentee Status Website Lookup Indicator.0183786 (.0361066) Pew Provisional Ballot Status Website Lookup Indicator.0684651 (.035539) Pew Registrations Rejected Indicator -.5792198 (.6149946) Pew Provisional Ballots Cast Indicator 1.391266 (1.538186) Pew Percentage of Provisional Ballots Rejected Indicator -4.97147 (8.549326) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Rejected Indicator.6126169 (7.395037) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.1348576 (.158093) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Rejected Indicator.1622031 (.4682066) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.2052632* (.1020029) Pew Data Completeness Indicator.3492406 (.3162302) Pew Post-Election Audit Requirement Indicator.0279885 (.0483772) Pew Disability or Illness Related Voting Problems Indicator -1.015382 (.7146297) Pew Registration or Absentee Problems Indicator -1.06849 (1.671317) Pew Availability of Online Registration Indicator.0096605 (.0383877) Pew Voting Wait Time Indicator -.0086634 (.0063507) Pew Voter Registration Rate Indicator.2647267 (.3842558) Pew Voter Turnout Rate Indicator.0599611 (.2266926) ANES respondent s belief that they can trust the federal government to do what is right (1=Never, 2=Some of the time, 3=About half of the time, 4=Most of the time, 5=Always). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported to the right in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 4
Table 3A: The Relationship between Principal Components and Citizens Attitudes About Whether They Believe Public Officials Care What People Like Them Think EIP Component 1.0187354 (.0175993) EIP Component 2 -.0367985 (.0205536) Pew Component 1 -.0095583 (.0104082) Pew Component 2.006475 (.0100484) Pew Component 3 -.0081552 (.0283022) Pew Component 4 -.023206 (.03027) Pew Component 5 -.0213385 (.0196736) Pew Component 6 0.197625 (.016515) ANES respondent s belief that public officials don t care much about what people like them think (1=Agree strongly, 2=Agree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Disagree somewhat, 5=Disagree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported below in parentheses).all models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a twotailed test. 5
Table 3B: The Relationship between Individual Indicators and Citizens Attitudes About Whether They Believe Public Officials Care What People Like Them Think EIP Electoral Laws Indicator -.0003411 (.0012022) EIP Electoral Procedures Indicator.0013595 (.0023209) EIP Boundaries Indicator -.000264 (.0011566) EIP Voter Registration Indicator.0031413 (.0027263) EIP Party Registration Indicator -.0034544 (.002254) EIP Campaign Media Indicator -.0012951 (.0031482) EIP Campaign Finance Indicator -.0031308 (.0021499) EIP Voting Process Indicator.0016084 (.0034178) EIP Vote Count Indicator.0013624 (.0034279) EIP Post-Election Indicator -.0005991 (.0029104) EIP Electoral Authorities Indicator.0019655 (.0018096) Pew Registration Status Website Lookup Indicator.1149746* (.0519267) Pew Precinct Ballot Website Lookup Indicator.0041218 (.0444033) Pew Absentee Status Website Lookup Indicator.0121986 (.0321637) Pew Provisional Ballot Status Website Lookup Indicator -.0512876 (.0299724) Pew Registrations Rejected Indicator -.0896823 (.6273094) Pew Provisional Ballots Cast Indicator -.2285372 (1.611802) Pew Percentage of Provisional Ballots Rejected Indicator -12.33746 (7.498816) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Rejected Indicator 3.117426 (9.525169) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.0908017 (.2026689) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Rejected Indicator -.870587 (.4488974) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.0443512 (.1157857) Pew Data Completeness Indicator.0799259 (.2260801) Pew Post-Election Audit Requirement Indicator.0263467 (.0381359) Pew Disability or Illness Related Voting Problems Indicator -.8813179 (.9754859) Pew Registration or Absentee Problems Indicator 1.987511* (.8149162) Pew Availability of Online Registration Indicator -.0221532 (.0279421) Pew Voting Wait Time Indicator -.0093469 (.006156) Pew Voter Registration Rate Indicator.3517698 (.4012894) Pew Voter Turnout Rate Indicator.1122698 (.238197) ANES respondent s belief that public officials don t care much about what people like them think (1=Agree strongly, 2=Agree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Disagree somewhat, 5=Disagree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported to the right in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a twotailed test. 6
Table 4A: The Relationship between Principal Components and Citizens Attitudes About Whether People Like Them Have a Say in What Government Does EIP Component 1 -.0342656 (.0246941) EIP Component 2 -.031086 (.0356701) Pew Component 1 -.0038974 (.0134151) Pew Component 2.0112315 (.0139395) Pew Component 3.0375714 (.0352456) Pew Component 4 -.0385143 (.0427953) Pew Component 5 -.0320537 (.0306506) Pew Component 6 -.0067549 (.0280345) ANES respondent s belief that people like them don t have a say in what government does (1=Agree strongly, 2=Agree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Disagree somewhat, 5=Disagree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported below in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 7
Table 4B: The Relationship between Individual Indicators and Citizens Attitudes About Whether People Like Them Have a Say in What Government Does EIP Electoral Laws Indicator -.0019749 (.0017049) EIP Electoral Procedures Indicator -.0045824 (.0031644) EIP Boundaries Indicator -.0006454 (.0017021) EIP Voter Registration Indicator -.0037627 (.004346) EIP Party Registration Indicator -.0049455 (.0041063) EIP Campaign Media Indicator -.0055236 (.0039192) EIP Campaign Finance Indicator -.0054564 (.0041081) EIP Voting Process Indicator -.0032484 (.004504) EIP Vote Count Indicator -.0021747 (.0054873) EIP Post-Election Indicator -.0019261 (.0045129) EIP Electoral Authorities Indicator -.0042972 (.0023931) Pew Registration Status Website Lookup Indicator.024208 (.0926578) Pew Precinct Ballot Website Lookup Indicator -.0336893 (.044957) Pew Absentee Status Website Lookup Indicator.0401013 (.0420492) Pew Provisional Ballot Status Website Lookup Indicator -.0352449 (.0446684) Pew Registrations Rejected Indicator -.3811234 (1.081892) Pew Provisional Ballots Cast Indicator 3.78083 (2.024426) Pew Percentage of Provisional Ballots Rejected Indicator 4.056294 (13.9994) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Rejected Indicator -.6563248 (7.056044) Pew Percentage of Mail Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.07034 (.2809308) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Rejected Indicator -.71094 (.4214321) Pew Percentage of Military and Overseas Ballots Unreturned Indicator -.2789751 (.1396201) Pew Data Completeness Indicator.4169597 (.3437148) Pew Post-Election Audit Requirement Indicator.0162801 (.0485262) Pew Disability or Illness Related Voting Problems Indicator -.4201492 (.9541274) Pew Registration or Absentee Problems Indicator 1.459589 (1.216785) Pew Availability of Online Registration Indicator -.045135 (.0420779) Pew Voting Wait Time Indicator -.0040624 (.0071791) Pew Voter Registration Rate Indicator -.1508005 (.5063255) Pew Voter Turnout Rate Indicator -.1553786 (.313053) ANES respondent s belief that people like them don t have a say in what government does (1=Agree strongly, 2=Agree somewhat, 3=Neither agree nor disagree, 4=Disagree somewhat, 5=Disagree strongly). Cell entries are the OLS regression coefficient for the indicated independent variable (with standard errors clustered by state reported to the right in parentheses). All models control for intensity of partisanship, attention to politics, education, income, gender, age, race, and the % non-white, % foreign born, and closeness of the 2016 presidential election in a respondent s state. * denotes p<.05 using a two-tailed test. 8