Appendix J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, 51 DOI: / , The Author(s) 2014

Similar documents
Breakthrough Elections Mixed Regimes, Democracy Assistance, and International Diffusion

Democratic Breakthroughs and Revolutions in Five Postcommunist Countries: Comparative Perspectives on the Fourth Wave

Journal of Applied Science and Agriculture

The Factors Behind Electoral Revolutions In The Postcommunist World

As we move further from the twenty-year anniversary of the collapse of. Beyond the Transition Paradigm:

From roses to bullets: the rise and decline of

FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AND ELECTORAL REVOLUTIONS

T he mission statement of Perspectives on Politics states. Enough! Electoral Fraud, Collective Action Problems, and Post-Communist Colored Revolutions

The Putin Regime, Populism Promotion and the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election

Flowers in Place of Guns: An Analysis of Kyrgyzstan s Tulip Revolution in Theoretical Context

These Colors May Run

What Hinders Reform in Ukraine?

Afghanistan 2014: Ripe for Revolution?

Political Science 552 Communist and Post-Communist Politics State University of New York at Albany Fall 2015

Convergence in Post-Soviet Political Systems?

Russian and Post-Soviet Politics

Ukraine s Orange Revolution

Mixed Regimes in Postcommunist Eurasia: Tipping Democratic and Tipping Authoritarian. Valerie Bunce, Cornell University

AT THE HARRIMAN INSTITUTE Timothy M. Frye, Director

Available online: 23 Mar To link to this article:

Corruption and Democracy

Ukrainian Teeter-Totter VICES AND VIRTUES OF A NEOPATRIMONIAL DEMOCRACY

DICTATORSHIPS IN THE FORMER SOVIET UNION: TRANSITIONAL MISHAP OR INTENTIONAL DESIGN?

Assessing the role of transnational networks of support in color revolutions : successes and failures in Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia.

7-07 Working Paper Series

Measuring Presidential Power in Post-Communist Countries: Rectification of Mistakes 1

established initially in 2000, can properly be called populist. I argue that it has many

ISSN: (Print) X (Online) Journal homepage:

THOMAS AMBROSIO Research

The European Union played a significant role in the Ukraine

International diffusion and postcommunist electoral revolutions

PS 122: SOVIET, RUSSIAN, AND POST-SOVIET POLITICS Fall term, 2010 T&Th 12 noon - 1:15 (Block F+) TERR RM. Course description and objectives

Electoral Protests in Ukraine in 2004

RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC

Introduction: Perspectives on the Orange Revolution

Ukraine Between a Multivector Foreign Policy and Euro- Atlantic Integration

In Love with Power: Non Democratic Regimes in Central and Eastern Europe After 1945

Escalating Uncertainty

Nonviolent Resistance in Hybrid Regimes: Youth Movements in Post-Communist States

The Color Revolutions Betrayed

Russia. Part 2: Institutions

Countering Color Revolutions

Professor Regina Smyth Fall 2016 Office Hours (WH 407): Monday 10:00-1:00, and by appointment. POLS 657: Post-Communist Politics

Informal Institutions in Hybrid Regimes: the Case of Ukraine

As fickle as the recent moves of Yushchenko and his party may look, they highlight Our Ukraine's deep-seated motivations.

S ince 2000, four successful revolutions have occurred

A Regional Tradition: Popular Mobilization Against Dictators under Communism and Postcommunism

Political Science 552 Communist and Post-Communist Politics State University of New York at Albany Spring 2012

Eric M. McGlinchey Aiding the Internet in Central Asia, with Erica J. Johnson, Democratization 14(2):

Crimea from playground to battleground

Course description and objectives

This page intentionally left blank

Russian and Post-Soviet Politics

MEASURING PRESIDENTIAL POWER IN POST-SOVIET COUNTRIES

YORK UNIVERSITY Department of Political Science POLS A POST COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATIONS: CAN EAST BECOME WEST? Fall 2014

Political Science 000 Political Economy of Russia MWF 0:00-0:00 PM, Room: TBD

Policy paper Domestic Election Observation in Europe - Strategy and Perspectives

How Hybrid Regimes Respond to Mobilized Protest

Sovereign democracy : Russia's response to the color revolutions.

Replacing the President by the Ballot Box

Yawning Through the Arab Spring RESILIENT REGIMES IN CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS

Course description and objectives

RUSSIA S SECURITY INTERESTS: DOMINATING UKRAINE

The Soviet Successor States (130AA) UCSD Summer Session I 2013

Authoritarian collapse: concepts, causes and knowledge accumulation

The Full Cycle of Political Evolution in Russia

GOVERNMENT 334: RUSSIAN/POST-SOVIET POLITICS

Towards Unity Belarusian Opposition Before the Presidential Election 2006

From the CIS to the SES A New Integrationist Game in Post-Soviet Space

PROTEST IN TRANSITION: THE LEGAL REGULATION OF FREEDOM OF ASSEMBLY IN GEORGIA AND ARMENIA

NATIONS IN TRANSIT 2011

American boots and Russian vodka External factors in the colour revolutions of Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan

Youth Movements in Post-Communist Societies: A Model of Nonviolent Resistance

Politics 115 Post-Soviet Politics. Spring 2010 Stephen Crowley MWF 3:30-4:20 King 123

REMAPPING UKRAINE 15 th Century BCE to 21 st Century CE. Osher Lifelong Learning Institute Vanderbilt University Winter Term 2015 Mary Pat Silveira

UKRAINE: BLUE CHALLENGES

REVOLUTIONS, NEW TECHNOLOGIES, SOCIAL CHANGE: HOW HAS THE INTERNET INFLUENCED RECENT REVOLUTIONS? by Amy Whiteside. Baltimore, Maryland May 2014

Inna Melnykovska a b c, Rainer Schweickert a b c & Tetiana Kostiuchenko a b c a Freie Universität Berlin & Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel

Importing Orange? Prospects for Belarusian Democratization

AGAINST ALL ODDS: DEMOCRATIC TRANSFORMATION IN KYRGYZSTAN. Cholpon Alymbekova

Category: OPINION 01 Aug 2002, KYIV POST. Autonomist sentiment stirring in western Ukraine Taras Kuzio

Elections in the Former Glorious Soviet Union

Reconsidering Revolutions: The Impact of Breakthrough Elections on Democratization in Croatia, Serbia, Moldova, and Georgia

Democracy and Democratization INTL Cross-regional studies College of Charleston, Spring 2019

in Post-Soviet Countries A thesis presented to the faculty of In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Arts

PROSPECTS FOR CONSTITUTIONALISM IN POST-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES

Course Syllabus PLS 336 Russian & Post-Soviet Politics University of North Carolina Wilmington Spring Semester, 2009

PARADOXES OF CONSTITUTIONAL POLITICS IN THE POST-SOVIET SPACE

Democratization Fall 2017

Civil Society Proxies Expressing Political Preferences: the cases of Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and Ukraine

Democracy and Markets in Developing Countries 790:395:10

Year That Changed Ukraine

Russian Foreign Policy and Putin s Fear of Revolution

Testimony before the Canadian House of Commons Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs and International Development

COLGATE UNIVERSITY. POSC 153A: INTRODUCTION TO COMPARATIVE POLITICS (Spring 2017)

CIEE Study Center St. Petersburg

POLITICAL SCIENCE AND POLITICS IN UKRAINE AFTER THE FEBRUARY REVOLUTION

A fractured identity, a fractured democracy: the national facet of Ukraine s transition

Belarus in the region of the Eastern Partnership countries ( )

A student cannot receive a grade for the course unless he/she completes all writing assignments.

Transcription:

Appendix J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-07872-4, Ó The Author(s) 2014 51

52 Appendix Table A.1 Selected Cases of Color Revolutions in Eurasia in Comparison Country Year Election Incumbent Oppositional leader(s) Outcomes Serbia 2000 Presidential Slobodan Milošević Vojislav Koštunica Resignation Milošević Zoran Ðind ić Presidency Koštunica (until 2003) Parliamentary elections DOS government (prime minister Ðind ić) Georgia 2003 Parliamentary Eduard Shevardnadze (Aslan Abashidze) Mikhail Saakashvili Resignation Shevardnadze and later, Abashidze Nino Burjanadze Opposition-dominated parliament (prime minister Zhvania) Zurab Zhvania Presidential elections Presidency Saakashvili (until 2013) Armenia 2003/2004 Presidential Robert Kocharian Stepan Demirchian Presidential elections Artashes Geghamian Acknowledgement of fraud by the Constitutional Court [ referendum of confidence (never conducted) Presidency Kocharian (until 2008) Ukraine 2004/2005 Presidential Leonid Kuchma (not running) Viktor Yushchenko Legal battle over election result Viktor Yanukovych (designated successor) Yulia Tymoshenko Recognition election result Yanukovych Presidency Yushchenko (until 2010) Collapse Orange Collation Unstable political alliances and self-blockade Presidential elections 2010 Presidency Yanukovich (until 2014) (continued)

Appendix 53 Table A.1 (continued) Country Year Election Incumbent Oppositional leader(s) Outcomes Kyrgyzstan 2005 Parliamentary Askar Akaev Kurmanbek Bakiev Resignation Akaev Roza Otunbaeva Opposition dominated parliament Presidential elections Presidency Bakiev (until 2010) Protests 2010 ([ interim government Otunbaeva) Azerbaijan 2005 Parliamentary Ilham Aliev Isa Gambar Parliamentary elections, victory Ali Masimov YAP Presidential elections 2008, 2013 Presidency Aliev (until present) Belarus 2006 Presidential Aliaksandr Lukashenka Aliaksandr Milinkevich Presidential elections Aliaksandr Kazulin Presidency Lukashenka (until present) Parliamentary elections 2008, 2012 Russia 2011/2012 Parliamentary and presidential Vladimir Putin (prime minister running for president) Extra-parliamentary opposition mobilizing for protest: Alexei Navalni Boris Nemtsov Sergei Udaltsov Parliamentary elections, victory United Russia (prime minister Medvedev) Presidential elections Presidency Putin (until present)

References Alieva L (2006) Azerbaijan s frustrating elections. J Democracy 17:147 160 Ambrosio T (2010) Constructing a framework of authoritarian diffusion: concepts, dynamics, and future research. Int Stud Perspect 11:375 392 Ambrosio T (2010) Russia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds.) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures, Routledge, New York, pp 136 155 Aneja A (2011) Protest movements in West Asia: some impressions. Strateg Anal 35:547 551 Aron L (2012) Russia s protesters: the people, ideals, and prospects. In: Russia Outlook Beissinger MR (2007) Structure and example in modular political phenomena: the diffusion of bulldozer/rose/orange/tulip revolutions. Perspect Polit 5:259 276 Beissinger Mark R (2009) An interrelated wave. J Democracy 20:74 77 Berglund C (2013) Georgia. In: Berglund S et al (eds) Handbook of political change in Eastern Europe, 3rd edn. Cheltenham/Northampton, pp 775 823 Bunce VJ, Wolchik SL (2010) A regional tradition: the diffusion of democratic change under communism and postcommunism. In: Bunce VJ, McFaul M, Stoner-Weiss K (eds) Democracy and authoritarianism in the postcommunist world. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 30 56 Bunce VJ, Wolchik SL (2011) Defeating authoritarian leaders in postcommunist countries. Cambridge University Press, New York Cheterian V (2010) Azerbaijan. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 101 117 Companjen FJ (2010) Georgia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 13 29 Copsey N (2010) Ukraine. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 30 44 Dimitrov MK (2009) Popular autocrats. J Democracy 20:78 81 Hale HE (2005) Regime cycles: democracy, autocracy, and revolution in Post-Soviet Eurasia. World Polit 58:133 165 Horvath R (2012) Putin s preventive counter-revolution: Post-Soviet authoritarianism and the spectre of the velvet revolution. New York Howard MM (2003) The weakness of civil society in post-communist Europe. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Juraev S (2010) Back on track? Kyrgyz authoritarianism after the tulip revolution. Ponars Eurasia Policy Memo 95:1 6 de Krnjević-Mišković D (2001) Serbia s prudent revolution. J Democracy 12(3):96 110 Kuzio Taras (2006) Civil society, youth and societal mobilization in democratic revolutions. Communist Post-Communist Stud 39:365 386 Lane D (2009) Coloured revolution as a political phenomenon. J Communist Stud Transit Polit 25:113 135 Lewis D (2010) Kyrgyzstan. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 45 61 J. Gerlach, Color Revolutions in Eurasia, SpringerBriefs in Political Science, 55 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-07872-4, Ó The Author(s) 2014

56 References Markus U (2010) Belarus. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 118 135 McFaul M (2005) Transitions from postcommunism. J Democracy 16:5 19 Megoran N (2008) Framing Andijon, narrating the nation: Islam Karimov s account of the events of 13 May 2005. Cent Asian Surv 27(1):15 31 Mill JS (1974) A system of logic. London Mitchell LA (2012) The color revolutions. Philadelphia Nikolayenko O (2009) Youth movements in post-communist societies. A model of nonviolent resistance. In: Center on democracy, development, and the rule of law (CDDRL working papers Orttung RW (2013) Navalny and the Moscow mayoral election. Russ Anal Dig 136:2 6 Popper KR (1969) Logik der Forschung (3rd edn). Tübingen Przeworski A (1991) Democracy and the market: political and economic reform in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Radnitz S (2010) A horse of a different color: revolution and regression in Kyrgyzstan. In: Bunce VJ, McFaul M, Stoner-Weiss K (eds) Democracy and authoritarianism in the postcommunist world. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 300 324 Silitski V (2005) Preempting democracy: the case of Belarus. J Democracy 16:83 97 Silitski V (2010) Survival of the fittest domestic and international dimensions of the authoritarian reaction in the former Soviet union following the colored revolutions. Communist and Post- Communist Stud 43:339 350 Tucker JA (2007) Enough! Electoral fraud, collective action problems, and post-communist colored revolutions. Perspect Polit 5:535 551 Way L (2008) The real causes of the color revolutions. J Democracy 19:55 69 Way LA, Levitsky S (2010) Competitive authoritarianism: hybrid regimes after the cold war. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Way LA, Levitsky S (2007) Linkage leverage, and the post-communist divide. East Eur Polit Soc 21:48 66 Way LA, Levitsky S (2006) Linkage versus leverage rethinking the international dimension of regime change. Comp Polit 38:379 400 Way LA, Levitsky S (2006) The dynamics of autocratic coercion after the cold war. Communist and Post-Communist Stud 39:387 410 Wilson A (2005) Virtual politics: faking democracy in the post-soviet world. Yale University Press, London White S, McAllister I (2014) Did Russia (nearly) have a facebook revolution in 2011? Social media s challenge to authoritarianism. Politics 34:72 84 Yanitsky O (2013) From civic protest to political reform: the case of Russia. In: Center of Studies on Politics and Society (CSPS) Working Papers Zolyan M (2010) Armenia. In: Beacháin DÓ, Polese A (eds) The colour revolutions in the former Soviet republics: successes and failures. Routledge, New York, pp 83 100