Monthly Trading Report Trading Date: Feb Monthly Trading Report February 2018

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Transcription:

Trading Date: Feb 8 Monthly Trading Report February 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Figure : February 8 (% change over previous month) 6 4 % Major Market Indicators Figure : Summary of Trading Data USEP () Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum February 8 Weekdays Saturday Sunday 98.39 4.48 96.9 495.5 465.55 487.4 74.5 75.6 75.53 8 6 Forecasted Demand (MW) Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum 585 5435 535 6676 68 584 466 4679 4464 4 4 USEP Forecasted Demand CCGT/Cogen/Trigen Supply ST Supply Reserve Regulation () Primary Contingency Regulation Generation (MW) CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT.99.7.4.9 9.6 8.59 5.7 4.55 8.8 57 535 55 36 37 36... Disclaimer This Report is prepared and provided for general information purposes only. Information in this Report was obtained or deriv ed from sources that the Energy Market Company Pte Ltd (EMC) considers reliable. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable at time of printing. EMC does not represent that information in this Report is accurate or complete and it should not be rel ied upon as such. In particular, in presentation of charts, certain assumptions were made which may not be stated therein. As such, EMC assumes no fiduciary res ponsibility or liability for any construction or interpretation you may take based on the information contained nor for any consequences, financial or otherwi se, from transactions where information in this Report may be relied upon. You should make your own appraisal and should consult, to the extent necessar y, your own professional advisors to ensure that any decision made based on the information in this Report is suitable for your circumstances. If you have any sp ecific queries about this Report or its contents, you should contact us at marketoperationsb@emcsg.com. Page of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 USEP, Demand and Supply Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP 7 Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP 5 3 9 7 5 MW 7 6 5 4 3 3 Feb 4 Feb 7 Feb Feb 3 Feb 6 Feb 9 Feb Feb 5 Feb 8 Feb Figure 4: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP for Last Months Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP MW 65 6 9 55 7 5 45 5 4 3 35 Page of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 USEP, Demand and Supply Figure 5: YOY % Change of USEP for Last Months % 8 6 4 Figure 6: YOY % Change of Forecasted Demand for Last Months % 4 3 3 4 Page 3 of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Ancillary Prices Figure 7: Primary Reserve Price 8 6 4 8 6 4 Feb 8 Feb 5 Feb Feb Figure 8: Contingency Reserve Price 7 6 5 4 3 Feb 8 Feb 5 Feb Feb Primary Reserve Price () Contingency Reserve Price () Monthly Average.69 Monthly Average.3 Previous Month.6 Previous Month 6.9 Change 4.3% Change 74.% Max 3 Max 85 Min. Min. Figure 9: Regulation Price 7 6 5 4 3 Feb 8 Feb 5 Feb Feb Regulation Price () Monthly Average 6.9 Previous Month.96 Change 4.4% Max 43.7 Min.3 Page 4 of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Generation Figure : Average Generation by Type MW CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 7 6 5 4 3 Feb 4 Feb 7 Feb Feb 3 Feb 6 Feb 9 Feb Feb 5 Feb 8 Feb Figure : Average Generation by Type for Last Months MW 7 CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6 5 4 3 Figure : Instances of GT Scheduled for Last Months.5.5.5 Page 5 of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Settlement Figure 3: Monthly Energy Payment for Last Months $ Million 38 37 36 35 34 33 3 3 3 9 8 Figure 4: Monthly Reserve Payment for Last Months $ Million 6 5 4 3 Figure 5: Monthly Regulation Payment for Last Months $ Million Page 6 of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Figure 6: Price Statistics for Year 8 USEP () Forecasted Demand (MW) Generation (%) Average Min Max Average Min Max CCGT/Cogen/ Trigen Jan 86. 68.3 5.48 56 4335 6636 97.53.47. Feb 98.57 74.5 495.5 568 4464 6676 97.59.4. Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly 9. 68.3 495.5 565 4335 6676 97.56.44. Q 9. 68.3 495.5 565 4335 6676 97.56.44. Q Q3 Q4 ST GT Average Price () Average Requirements (MW) Primary Reserve Primary Contingency Reserve Regulation Contingency Reserve Reserve Regulation Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q Q Q3 Q4.6.69.36.36 6.9.96 76 59.3 6.9 83 597 9.34 4.3 79 594 9.34 4.3 79 594 5 5 Page 7 of 8

Trading Date: Feb 8 Figure 7: WEP, Fuel Oil, Vesting Price and Tariffs for Year 8 WEP() Fuel Oil(US$/MT) BVP() Average HSFO 8 CST Vesting price LVP() Vesting price Jan 86.3 49.37 43.7 54.9 Feb 98.89 43.53 43.7 54.9 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly 9.8 4.85 43.7 54.9 Q 9.8 4.85 43.7 54.9 Q Q3 Q4 Tariffs( /kwh) Domestic Electricity Tariffs.56.56.56.56 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly USEP AFP HEUC 86..3.77..6.6 98.57.35.83.4.6.9 9..8.6.7.9.9 WEP Components () MEUC Q Q Q3 Q4 9..8.6.7 Note: Data since January 3 can be available via data subscription package at www.emcsg.com/datasubscriptionform.3.3 EMC Fees PSO Fees Page 8 of 8