Performed by Commonwealth Leaders Fund The PA Statewide Benchmark Survey was conducted by IVR Interviews from August 13 - August 15 among a random sample of 2012 likely voters. The poll has a margin error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points. Results are weighted. Some percentages in crosstab reports for this poll may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Q1. Voter Likelihood: Thinking ahead, what is the likelihood that you will vote in the November 2018 General Election for Governor, United States Senator, Congress and other state legislative offices in Pennsylvania? Extremely Likely Very Likely Somewhat Likely Extremely Likely 1,686 83.81% Very Likely 156 7.76% Somewhat Likely 169 8.42% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 1 of 19
Q2. Age: Which of the following is your age range? Statewide General Benchmark August 18-34 35-54 55-64 65+ 18-34 143 7.09% 35-54 521 25.91% 55-64 523 26% 65+ 825 41% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 2 of 19
Q3. Gender: Are you male or are you female? Statewide General Benchmark August Male Female Male 868 43.13% Female 1,144 56.87% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 3 of 19
Q4. Party: With which political party are you registered? Democrat Republican Independent Other Democrat 948 47.11% Republican 863 42.89% Independent 161 8% Other 40 2% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 4 of 19
Q5. Voter Enthusiasm: Please tell us how enthusiastic you are in voting in the upcoming 2018 General Election for Governor, US Senator and other state legislative offices? Very Enthusiastic Somewhat Enthusiastic Not Very Enthusiastic Unenthusiastic Do Not Know Very Enthusiastic 1,301 64.67% Somewhat Enthusiastic 412 20.5% Not Very Enthusiastic 133 6.62% Unenthusiastic 73 3.63% Do Not Know 92 4.58% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 5 of 19
Q6. PA Direction: Generally speaking, would you say that Pennsylvania is headed in the right direction or off on the wrong track? Right Direction Off Track Right Direction 884 43.91% Off Track 1,128 56.09% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 6 of 19
Q7. Trump Approval: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve 843 41.9% Somewhat Approve 224 11.15% Somewhat Disapprove 84 4.17% Strongly Disapprove 822 40.83% Not Sure 39 1.94% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 7 of 19
Q8. Wolf Approval: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Wolf is handling his job as Governor? Strongly Approve Somewhat Appove Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure Strongly Approve 526 26.13% Somewhat Appove 506 25.17% Somewhat Disapprove 330 16.4% Strongly Disapprove 540 26.82% Not Sure 110 5.48% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 8 of 19
Q9. Governor Ballot: If the General Election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Democrat Tom Wolf or Republican Scott Wagner? Tom Wolf Scott Wagner Other Candidate Undecided Tom Wolf 927 46.08% Scott Wagner 872 43.34% Other Candidate 56 2.78% Undecided 157 7.79% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 9 of 19
Q10. US Senate Ballot: If the General Election for United State Senate were held today, would you vote for Democrat Bob Casey or Republican Lou Barletta? Bob Casey Lou Barletta Other Candidate Undecided Bob Casey 947 47.09% Lou Barletta 910 45.22% Other Candidate 32 1.59% Undecided 123 6.1% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 10 of 19
Q11. Wolf Opinion: For Tom Wolf: Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Not Formed Opinion Never Heard Of Very Favorable 606 30.13% Somewhat Favorable 449 22.34% Somewhat Unfavorable 324 16.11% Very Unfavorable 532 26.42% Not Formed Opinion 98 4.87% Never Heard Of 3 0.13% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 11 of 19
Q12. Wagner Opinion: For Scott Wagner: Statewide General Benchmark August Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Not Formed Opinion Never Heard Of Very Favorable 427 21.23% Somewhat Favorable 491 24.42% Somewhat Unfavorable 229 11.39% Very Unfavorable 422 20.96% Not Formed Opinion 394 19.59% Never Heard Of 48 2.41% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 12 of 19
Q13. Issue: Which of the following issues is most important to you when deciding on whom to vote for as your next Governor in Harrisburg? Taxes and Govt Spending Jobs and the Economy Education Healthcare Infrastructure and Transportation Reforming State Govt Open Space and Enviornment Crime and Safety Social Issues Taxes and Govt Spending 620 30.8% Jobs and the Economy 373 18.53% Education 249 12.39% Healthcare 310 15.4% Infrastructure and Transportation 87 4.34% Reforming State Govt 115 5.72% Open Space and Enviornment 42 2.09% Crime and Safety 28 1.39% Social Issues 188 9.34% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 13 of 19
Q14. Race: What is your race? White Not Hispanic Black Not Hispanic Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander Other White Not Hispanic 1,632 81.1% Black Not Hispanic 196 9.73% Hispanic 30 1.47% Asian or Pacific Islander 16 0.8% Other 139 6.91% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 14 of 19
Q15. Political Philosophy: Regarding your political philosophy and positions, do you consider yourself to be Very Conservative, Somewhat Conservative, Moderate, Somewhat Liberal or Very Liberal? Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal Very Conservative 521 25.9% Somewhat Conservative 538 26.74% Moderate 556 27.64% Somewhat Liberal 260 12.91% Very Liberal 137 6.81% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 15 of 19
Q16. Marital Status Which of the following choices describes your current marital status? Single Never Married Married Separated Divorced Widowed Single Never Married 296 14.7% Married 1,217 60.48% Separated 34 1.71% Divorced 166 8.25% Widowed 299 14.86% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 16 of 19
Q17. Education: What is your highest level of education? Statewide General Benchmark August Some High School High School Graduate Technical or Vocational School College Graduate Post Graduate or Professional Some High School 85 4.25% High School Graduate 624 31.02% Technical or Vocational School 273 13.59% College Graduate 608 30.22% Post Graduate or Professional 421 20.92% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 17 of 19
Q18. Geography: From file. South Central SEPA Lehigh Valley Northeast Heartland Southwest Northwest South Central 285 14.14% SEPA 568 28.24% Lehigh Valley 161 8.02% Northeast 263 13.05% Heartland 207 10.31% Southwest 423 21.02% Northwest 105 5.22% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 18 of 19
Q19. Vote History: From File. 2 of 4 3 of 4 4 of 4 2 of 4 357 17.72% 3 of 4 435 21.63% 4 of 4 1,220 60.65% Statewide General Benchmark August. 08.13.2018-08.15.2018 19 of 19