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This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Labor in the New Economy Volume Author/Editor: Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael Harper, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 978-0-226-00143-2; 0-226-00143-1 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/abra08-1 Conference Date: November 16-17, 2007 Publication Date: October 2010 Chapter Title: Front matter, table of contents, prefatory note Chapter Author: Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, Michael J. Harper Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c12476 Chapter pages in book: (i - xii)

Labor in the New Economy

Studies in Income and Wealth Volume 71 National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Research in Income and Wealth

Labor in the New Economy Edited by Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael J. Harper The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London

KATHARINE G. ABRAHAM is professor in the Joint Program in Survey Methodology, adjunct professor of economics, and faculty associate of the Maryland Population Research Center, University of Maryland, and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. JAMES R. SPLETZER is a senior research economist at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. MICHAEL J. HARPER is associate commissioner for productivity and technology at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London 2010 by the National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 2010 Printed in the United States of America 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN-13: 978-0-226-00143-2 (cloth) ISBN-10: 0-226-00143-1 (cloth) Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (2007: Bethesda, MD) Labor in the new economy / edited by Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael J. Harper. p. cm. (Studies in income and wealth ; v. 71) Includes revised versions of the papers and discussions presented at the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth, held in Bethesda, Maryland, Nov. 16 17, 2007. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-0-226-00143-2 (alk. paper) ISBN-10: 0-226-00143-1 (alk. paper) 1. Labor market United States Congresses. 2. Wage differentials United States Congresses. 3. Job security United States Congresses. I. Abraham, Katharine G. II. Spletzer, James. III. Harper, Michael J. IV. National Bureau of Economic Research. V. Title. VI. Series: Studies in income and wealth ; v. 71. HD5724.C683 2007 331.120973 dc22 2010012103 o The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of the American National Standard for Information Sciences Permanence of Paper for Printed Library Materials, ANSI Z39.48-1992.

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Contents Prefatory Note xi Introduction 1 Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael J. Harper I. TRENDS IN COMPENSATION AND JOB QUALITY 1. What Do We Really Know about Changes in Wage Inequality? 17 Thomas Lemieux Comment: Lawrence F. Katz 2. Recent Trends in Compensation Inequality 63 Brooks Pierce Comment: Daniel S. Hamermesh 3. Are the New Jobs Good Jobs? 101 Katharine G. Abraham and James R. Spletzer Comment: Erica L. Groshen 4. New Data for Answering Old Questions Regarding Employee Stock Options 149 Kevin F. Hallock and Craig A. Olson Comment: Chris Riddell vii

viii Contents II. LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS, JOB SECURITY, AND JOB ATTACHMENT III. HOURS OF WORK 5. Adjusted Estimates of Worker Flows and Job Openings in JOLTS 187 Steven J. Davis, R. Jason Faberman, John C. Haltiwanger, and Ian Rucker Comment: Robert E. Hall 6. Job Loss and the Decline in Job Security in the United States 223 Henry S. Farber Comment: Ann Huff Stevens 7. What Do We Know about Contracting Out in the United States? Evidence from Household and Establishment Surveys 267 Matthew Dey, Susan Houseman, and Anne Polivka Comment: Daniel G. Sullivan 8. Measuring Tradable Services and the Task Content of Offshorable Services Jobs 309 J. Bradford Jensen and Lori G. Kletzer Comment: Susan M. Collins 9. Why Do BLS Hours Series Tell Different Stories about Trends in Hours Worked? 343 Harley Frazis and Jay Stewart Comment: Charles Brown IV. THE EFFECTS OF CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS 10. The Effect of Population Aging on the Aggregate Labor Market 377 Bruce Fallick, Charles Fleischman, and Jonathan Pingle Comment: Gary Burtless 11. Emerging Labor Market Trends and Workplace Safety and Health 425 Nicole Nestoriak and John Ruser Comment: Jeff E. Biddle

Contents ix 12. Measuring Labor Composition: A Comparison of Alternate Methodologies 457 Cindy Zoghi Comment: Stephanie Aaronson Contributors 493 Author Index 497 Subject Index 503

Prefatory Note This volume contains revised versions of most of the papers and discussions presented at the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth entitled Labor in the New Economy, held in Bethesda, Maryland, on November 16 17, 2007. Funds for the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth are supplied by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Census Bureau, the Federal Reserve Board, the Internal Revenue Service, and Statistics Canada. We are indebted to these organizations for their support. We thank Katharine G. Abraham, James R. Spletzer, and Michael J. Harper, who served as conference organizers and editors of the volume. Executive Committee, November 2007 John M. Abowd Susanto Basu Ernst R. Berndt Carol A. Corrado Robert C. Feenstra John Greenlees John C. Haltiwanger Michael J. Harper Charles R. Hulten, chair Ron Jarmin John Bradford Jensen Lawrence Katz J. Steven Landefeld Brent Moulton Thomas B. Petska Mark J. Roberts Matthew Shapiro David W. Wilcox xi