Frye Gov
Family 18-21 at least 85% same as parents 40-60% Worldview [a.k.a. religion or philosophy] Class Region Experiences Gender Race Personal Historical Education [Teachers are #2 shapers]
The Process and Problems
Left Fiscal Liberal Taxes are to REDISTRIBUTE WEALTH MORE EVENLY & MORE social programs; government can solve social problems Corporations are bad; unions good Social Liberal Government can solve social issues [ex:crime] essential goodness of man Personal morality [choice], social problems are either nature or environmental issues Equality of results Linear View Moderates Right Fiscal Conservative Less taxes, less debt [fewer programs]; private and local efforts more efficient than federal programs opposed to government forcing redistribution of wealth Pro-business, free trade Social Conservative Keep order by defending good against the danger of evil Traditional morality social problems are moral failures Equality of opportunity Foreign Policy Liberal Internationalist; UN good Belief in universal progress Foreign Policy Conservative Exceptionalism [uniqueness] of USA Strong defense of US interests Not our job to fix planet
Racists Reactionaries Marxists Socialists Green Party secular Liberals [Progressives] Fiscal Liberal Social Liberal Foreign Policy Liberal religious secular Libertarians Nuanced View Social Liberal Fiscal Conservative Conservative Democrats Indep. Moderates Moderate Republicans Social Conservative Tea Party {$$$} Conservatives Fiscal Conservative Social Conservative Foreign Policy Conservative religious/ traditional religious Fiscal Liberal Populist [Compassionate Conservative]
Federalists 1792 to 1815 DEPRESSION _ FDR {Dem} has an active, big government and wins over minorities Democratic Republicans later DEMOCRATS 1792 - p Whigs 1828 to 1850s CIVIL WAR Republicans are anti-slavery; Democrats associated with South 1960s & 70s Republicans embrace traditional values and small government, while Democrats embrace new social values Republicans 1854 - p
DEMOCRATS 1790s-1900s farmers and slaveholders 1900s-1960s Split between Southern whites [ Dixiecrats ], framers, Urban workers and minorities, and moderates 1900: Progressive wing {Wilson] wants reform FDR s New Deal coalition recruits new Democrats, especially minorities 1960s- Moves toward more liberal positions [moderates and liberals] REPUBLICANS 1850s 1870s anti-slavery and Union 1870s 1940s business, northerners, city dwellers 1900: Progressive wing [Teddy Roosevelt] vs. Business wing 1950s present anticommunist, middle class, small government, probusiness toward more conservative positions [conservatives and moderates]
1976 THE BIG SHIFT 2000
Ideological 3d Party types 2010
Younger [some conservative/ libertarian trending] Older [though Boomers trend center-left] Women [weak trend] Men [weak trend] Unions More education Less education Professors Journalists Liberal arts Entertainers Military Cops Finance, MBAs Engineers Independent Business
Jews Mainline Protestant New Age / Eastern Rel. Nonreligious Catholics Black Evangelicals Evangelicals Mormons Blacks Native Americans Asians [>5%] Hispanics 14% now - 25% by 2025 Whites [weak trend] Urban Suburbs Exurbs Rural
JoCo Mormons Kansas City Chicago Utah LA San Diego [military] Native American & Hispanic population Large Hispanic population Miami
Portland Salem Eugene 4 th District JoCo GP 2d District Peter DeFazio [D] 4 th Dist Greg Walden [R] 2d Dist.
The Process and Problems
Exploratory committee; network within party Fund raise Announce then campaign Do you have a name? TONE THEME TARGET Incumbents win in Senate 90% and in House 95% - tough to be the challenger Organize staff and volunteers Local offices, State office, PREZ: national office Fundraise! File papers Grassroots Run ads Raise money New media Advisors : position papers Debates Signatures to get on the ballot [in all 50 states for Pres.]
STEP ONE Each state has a way to pick EACH POLITICAL PARTIES winning CANDIDATE Caucus a few people gather in a room to vote in each neighborhood Iowa first Closed Primary only party members get that party s ballot Open Primary Independents can vote for one party or the other Runoff Top two vote getters run again [may be same party] STEP TWO General campaign [Summer to 1 st Tuesday in NOVEMBER] and GENERAL election everyone gets the same ballot
JAN JUNE: Primaries and Caucuses Jan Iowa, NH, SC, Fla Mar Super Tuesday * Get DELEGATES Pres For Congress In some states the top 2 vote getters go at it even if both are from the same party. Party winners face each other in NOV JULY or AUG: Convention General campaign in the fall [incl. debates] Running mate Platform Pres General election [1 st Tues in Nov] Superdelgates [Dems] party leaders [not elected in primary Actually picks delegates to ELECTORAL COLLEGE which votes in late DEC JAN Sworn in!
# of Senators plus # of Reps DC gets 3 Each state is winner take all [except in Maine & Nebraska] Must have majority 270 of 538] or else [TIE BREAKER] HOUSE picks President 1800 and 1824 SENATE picks VP Allows winners with less than 50% to win Lincoln 60, Wilson 12, Clinton 92 Electors are often bound to vote their commitment [but not always] Has never picked a winner other than the one who won on election night.
Possible to win popular and lose electoral due to formula 1824, 1876, 1888, 2000 Inequality: 1:650k in California; 1:200K in Wyoming Possible to win 10 top states only and win
2008 Electoral College Numbers