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obituary Atal Bihari Vajpayee 25 DECEMBER 1924-16 AUGUST 2018 Deep Gratitude and Humble Condolences on the sad demise of the Icon who strengthened the Country s Defence and Security with his Vision. Team September 2018 DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT 1

publisher s view An ISO 9001:2015 Certified Magazine Volume 9 Issue 12 September 2018 Chairman Shyam Sunder Publisher and CEO Pawan Agrawal President Urvashi J Agrawal Director Shishir Bhushan Editor-in-Chief Manvendra Singh Copy Editor Vandana Bhatia Palli Copcom & Ops OSD Navjeet Sood Graphic Designer Prem Singh Representative (J&K) Salil Sharma Correspondent (Europe) Dominika Cosic Production Dilshad and Dabeer IT Operations Amber Sharma Photographer Subhash Subscriptions Taniya Sharma Legal Advisor Deepak Gupta E-mail: (first name)@dsalert.org info: info@dsalert.org articles: articles@dsalert.org subscription: subscription@dsalert.org online edition: online@dsalert.org advertisement: advt@dsalert.org Editorial and Corporate Office Prabhat Prakashan Tower 4/19, Asaf Ali Road New Delhi-110002 (India) +91-011-23243999, 23287999, 9958382999 info@dsalert.org www.dsalert.org Disclaimer All rights reserved. Reproduction and translation in any language in whole or in part by any means without permission from Defence and Security Alert is prohibited. Opinions expressed are those of the individual writers and do not necessarily reflect those of the publisher and/or editors. All disputes are subject to jurisdiction of Delhi Courts. Defence and Security Alert is printed, published and owned by Pawan Agrawal and printed at Bosco Society For Printing, Don Bosco Technical Institute, Okhla Road, New Delhi-110025 and published at 4/19, Asaf Ali Road, New Delhi (India). Editor: Manvendra Singh The Icon of Indian Politics, former Prime Minister Late Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee, strengthened the National Security in a big way considering the future threats and we, at DSA, pay our heartiest homage on his sad demise. We salute to him and his vision! FROM SPORTSMAN TO STATESMAN What a new record has been set up by Imran Khan, Prime Minister of Pakistan, by being elected! It is for the first time in the history of Asian politics that any sportsman has reached the level of a Prime Minister. Congratulations to him! The foremost lesson that a sportsperson imbibes during his / her tenure on the playing field is team spirit. It is only this quality that ensures that the sportsperson attains the highest level in the chosen field and earns name and fame. I believe that Imran Khan had learnt this in the initial stage of being a cricketer and only his team spirit made him an icon of cricket in the world. Now that he is the Prime Minister of Pakistan he has a much bigger field to play. But the sole question is that will he be able to maintain that same spirit as the Prime Minister? The situation under which he has been elected as the supreme leader in Pakistan assembly is already quite dicey due to the interference of the Pakistan Army. A real sportsman always honours the opposite team and its members in the spirit of fair play. The situation in Pakistan is well known to the world and I doubt if he will be able to maintain the same team spirit as the PM within the country and outside and especially with India. It is a big challenge for this sportsman to play fair with India due to the pressure of three factors: Pakistan Army, the Inter-Services Intelligence and Islamic terrorist outfits in Pakistan. I think if he is able to maintain his spirit to manage these factors of concern to India, only then every cricket lover will salute him. But if he is unable to do so then it will be a very tough time for Pakistan, its society and moreover, its economy which is already dwindling. India and Pakistan have been cricket lovers and will always be so but at the same time are big time rivals in the geopolitical arena. We still have big hopes from the cricket icon to play fair with India in all respects in his new role. This edition has been focussed on the outcome of Pakistan s recent elections and the way forward which will enable you to understand its impact on India s national security. I hope you will find many interesting and informative facts in this edition. Happy reading! 2 September 2018 DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT Pawan Agrawal

editor s note DSA IS AS MUCH YOURS, AS IT IS OURS! There is no denying the fact that the change has occurred in Pakistan. The duopoly of power has been broken; something akin to Aam Aadmi Party winning the Delhi Assembly Elections. For the first time, Imran Khan s PTI will lead a government at the Federal Level which is not a small achievement. The voting pattern has been extraordinary in different provinces. But allegations persist that this change has supposedly been managed. Foreign observers and Pakistani comments suggest that the Pakistan Army stands accused of having fixed the election. Which may or may not be true, but it needs addressing since all perceptions are based on at least a piece of truth. But addressing that allegation, and others, is the business of Pakistan Army, an institution that has and will continue to play a significant role in the domestic and international affairs of the country it is supposed to protect. Imran Khan has done nothing, so far, to suggest that he is under the tutelage of the Pakistan Army. India has greeted Imran Khan with dignity that his victory deserves. Gentle tentative steps are being taken to suggest that a dialogue can began sometime. Pakistan s new Foreign Minister, Shah Mehmood Qureshi, is actually an old hand in the ministry, and in dealing with India. May his tenure this time around have better chances of an actual dialogue rather than being sabotaged by terrorist incidents as in the past! The only problem being that India is getting into election mode rather soon and attention to esoteric things like foreign policy tend to take a back seat during poll time. So, it is time that an institutional framework is drawn out that sustains talks and dialogues among the political fraternity. Officials of the two foreign ministries could put together a system whereby a routine dialogue continues, and which doesn t require constant political interface. That would go a long way in clearing the air and producing a conducive environment for further enhancement of relations. Anything that increases people s interaction with each other across the boundary must be encouraged. It cannot remain solely a Wagah foot stomping exercise where people act as cheerleaders of jingoism. The time has come to accept the prevailing reality. Just as dialogue with China is structured around the new reality, it is time to accept the fact that the army is a significant policy-player in Pakistan. It is well-nigh time that the two countries put together a structured dialogue process between the two militaries. For too long now, Pakistan has been subject to the fears of its army influencing domestic and foreign policies. Thus, bringing much misery to its people and neighbours, east and west. It is time that a dialogue begin that puts a rest to these imagined fears and pave the way to new normality. Both countries need it, as do their people. Manvendra Singh September 2018 DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT 3

contents An ISO 9001:2015 Certified Magazine PAKISTAN MILITARY MAJORITY NATION LT GEN PC KATOCH PVSM, UYSM, AVSM, SC (RETD) CIVIL ADMINISTRATION IN PAKISTAN AMB ASHOK SAJJANHAR IS IMRAN IRRELEVANT? PROF HARSH V PANT ARMY HQ ENGINEERED POLITY LT GEN DALIP BHARDWAJ PVSM, VSM (RETD) UNHOLY NEXUS MANISHA CHAURASIYA DEMOCRACY UNDER DEBT: THE BLEAK FUTURE VIJAY KUMAR YADAV MISSILE THREAT FROM PAKISTAN LT GEN (DR) V K SAXENA PVSM, AVSM, VSM (RETD) GLOBAL NEWS FRAMES: PAK ELECTIONS KRITI SINGH PAKISTAN S HOLD ON EXTREMISM COL SHAILENDER ARYA CAN IMRAN BREAK MILITARY GRIDLOCK? PROF SATISH KUMAR 05 09 14 18 22 26 31 37 42 47 4 September 2018 DEFENCE AND SECURITY ALERT