POLISH INFORMATION AND FOREIGN INVESTMENT AGENCY Business opportunities in Poland Sławomir Majman President Polish Information and Foreign Investment Agency (PAIiIZ) Rome, 6th April 2011
Poland - Key Facts Area: Population: Currency: 312 700 sq km 6th in European Union 38,12 million 6th in European Union Polish Zloty (EUR 1 ~ 4.00 PLN) GDP total: ca. EUR 494 billion (PPP, 2009) GDP growth: 4.8% (2008), 1.7% (2009), 3.8% (2010) Membership: EU, NATO, OECD, WTO, Schengen Zone
GDP changes in 2010 NO 0,4% SE 5,5% FI 3,1% EE 3,1% LV -0,3% IR DK 2,1% LT 1,3% -1,0% UK 1,3% NL 1,8% BE 2,1% DE 3,6% CZ 2,4% PL +3,8% SK 4,0% FR 1,6% AT 2,0% HU 1,2% RO -1,3% IT PT 1,4% ES -0,1% 1,3% GR BG 0,2% TR 7,5% -4,5% Źródło: Eurostat
The future seems to be bright - GDP forecasts for 2011 are very favorable 4,5 Percentage change y/y 4 3,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 0,8 1,1 1,5 1,6 1,8 2 2,4 4,1 Spain Italy The Netherlands Euro zone EU 27 UK Germany Poland Source: European Commission, Interim Forecast, March 2011.
Competitive Advantages Location & economic fundamentals strategic location in continental Europe part of trans-european transportation corridor the only country of the EU with positive GDP growth in 2009 38 million consumers young, well-educated work force ca 11% of university students in the EU increasing labour productivity Investment incentives 14 Special Economic Zones grants co financed from the EU (EUR 90 bn)
Poland is much less affected by the crisis than neighbouring countries 1. Stricter banks credit policies before crisis compared to other countries 2. No dynamic growth of foreign debt as in other countries 3. Financial instruments far less sophisticated as in the other countries 4. Smaller influence of stock market on the economy than in the other countries 5. Falling natural resources prices 6. Huge internal market
Leverages: Size of the market Markets served: Internal market of 38 mn people Unlimited access to the EU market Strong relations with CIS and Balkan states 1000 km radius 250 mn people Stable economy: GDP growth in Poland 1.7% vs -4.2% in the EU in 2009 Current GDP: 3.8% in 2010, 4% in 2011 Main growth factors: domestic demand and foreign trade 2000 km radius 550 mn people
Leverages: Human resources (I) Main academic centers Students in CEE Tricity Szczecin Poznan Warsaw 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Wroclaw Lodz Poland Romania Hungary Czech.Rep. Bulgaria Slovenia Krakow 20 M enterprising and multilingual young people about 2 M students, over 400 K graduates each year 87% of students can communicate in a foreign language 50% of the population is less than 35 years old, 35% under 25 (every 3rd has higher education in the 20 29 age group) a nationwide network of 448 universities and technical universities Source: EIU, Eurostat
Leverages: Human resources (II) Foreign language capability by age groups 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Language proficiency is one of the strongest points for Poland as a BPO center Children learn foreign languages from the age of 6 0% 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 English German Russian Source: CBOS Survey Foreign language capability among students 100% 80% 60% English is the most popular foreign language in Poland 40% 20% 0% English German Russian French Spanish Learning of foreign languages is obligatory in the Polish education system Source: Randstad, October 2008
Leverages: Perception (I) Poland s main strengths against global competitors: Growth of the market Size of the local market Access to regional markets Cooperation with suppliers and business partners Investment incentives system Stable investment environment Poland is 11th most attractive investment location in the world Source:UNCTAD, World Investment Prospects Survey 2009-2011
Leverages: Perception (II) Poland the biggest rise in comparison to the previous edition (2007); 2. place in Europe, 6. place in the world. Country China USA 2010 rank 1 2 2007 rank 1 3 Differen ce 0 1 50% companies postpone investment projects due to the crisis. India Brazil Germany 3 4 5 2 6 10-1 2 5 Poland 6 22 16 20 15 10 5 16 11 5 5 4 top 15 differences 2 2 1 0 0 0-1 -3-6 -9 Australia Mexico Canada UK UEA 7 8 9 10 11 11 19 14 4 8 4 11 5-6 -3 0 Vietnam 12 12 0-5 -10-15 Poland Mexico Germany Canada Australia Brazil Other Persian USA China Vietnam France India UEA UK Hong Kong France Hong Kong Other Persian Gulf countries 13 14 15 13 5 17 0-9 2 Source: AT Kearney, 2010
Leverages: Perception (III) Poland is in a group of the most attractive countries for investments having the most favorable economic and polical environment Major strengths of Poland: - Controlled inflation/cpi - Competitive CIT levels - Significant internal demand Forecasted GDP changes in 2011 (%) 0 2 4 6 8 Australia 3,5 USA 3 Germany 2 Chile 6 Poland Mexico 3,7 4,2 Source: Harvard Business Review Polska.
Leverages: State aid I. CIT exemption in Special Economic Zone only available in Special Economic Zone (SEZ) II. III. IV. Government grants through individual negotiations individually approved and granted by the Ministry of the Economy based on the Council of Ministers Resolution Real estate tax exemption subject to negotiation with the local authorities only in case if the investor is the owner of the building (provided by the Commune Council) Cash grants available through EU Funds subject to negotiation with different managing institutions depending on the investment project key parameters All above presented instruments can be combined together however the total amount of state aid cannot exceed the maximum aid intensity
Leverages: EU funds EU support for 2007-2013 Structural instruments (EUR 67,3 bln) Rural Development Programme (EUR 13,2 bln) European Fisheries Fund(EUR 0,6 bln) 6 national operational programmes and 16 regional ESF, ERDF, CF Investment in food processing, wholesale, training for farmers and foresters Investment in fish processing and marketing
Source: NBP. FDI Flow to Poland a long term view 1.6 2.8 3.6 4.3 5.7 6.8 10.3 6.4 4.4 4.1 10.2 8.3 10.1 10.0 15.7 17.2 1.4 7.5 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 EUR billions 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 I 2011 EU accession Long term upward trend. In 2008 and 2009 FDI flow at the same level. 2010: estimates (will be changed).
PAIiIZ projects in 2010 Number of completed projects: 58 Estimated value: EUR 973,2 mn New jobs: 10 711 Key sectors: BPO machinery electronics Main source countries: USA Sweden France In April 2011 PAIiIZ cooperates with 154 investors willing to invest EUR 6.4 bn and to employ 38 000 people Source: PAIiIZ, 2011
Services and Manufacturing Hub in Poland Automotive White Electronics Aviation BPO R&D goods
Why Poland? Recap Strategic location gateway to the EU Economic and political stability Availability of skilled human resources Effective incentives system including EU-Funds
Thank you for your attention 00-585 Warszawa, ul. Bagatela 12 tel. (+48 22) 334 98 00, fax (+48 22) 334 99 99 e-mail: post@paiz.gov.pl