Poverty and the Two Concepts of Relative Deprivation: Implications for EU poverty measurement

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Poverty and the Two Concepts of Relative Deprivation: Implications for EU poverty measurement Tony Fahey E-mail: tony.fahey@ucd.ie Seminar presentation, CASE Social Exclusion Seminar Series, London School of Economics, 2 November 2011 UCD School of Applied Social Studies Scoil an Léinn Shóisialta Fheidhmeannaigh UCD

Starting question: How to measure poverty in the EU? 20000 SILC 2007 15000 Median income, one person household, PPS Poverty threshold, 60% of median 10000 5000 0

Per cent Heating deprivation Comparison of EU countries clustered by level of GDP per capita (European Quality of Life Survey 2003) % who cannot afford to keep home warm in winter 70 60 50 40 30 top q'tile 2nd q'tile 3rd q'tile bottom q'tile 20 10 0 CC3 EU6 Lo EU7 Int EU12 Hi

Mean Satisfaction with standard of living by income quartile in clusters of EU countries (European Quality of Life Survey, 2003) 9 8 7 6 5 top q'tile 2nd q'tile 3rd q'tile bottom q'tile 4 3 2 CC3 EU6 Lo EU7 Int EU12 Hi

Issues for today We lack the conceptual framework and the language needed to deal with complex relative deprivation at EU level especially, but parallels also at national level Complexities involved already pre-figured in history of relative deprivation as a concept Need to recover that history and exploit its relevance for poverty research today

Three arguments: 1. Concept of relative deprivation in poverty research a simplified version of original concept in social psychology (1940s & 1950s) 2. Poverty measurement in EU has begun to return towards original concept but unconsciously 3. Poverty research in general needs to embrace [elements of] the complex approach

Relative deprivation: US origins Social comparison in sociology, social psychology, economics (Veblen, Mead, Cooley, Duesenberry, Festinger) Stouffer: The American Soldier (1949) US army research on morale & motivation among US troops in WW II, 1940-45 Ultimate concerns: battle effectiveness, well-being Effects of hardship on morale: inconsistent patterns Frames of reference an important mediating factor Reference group theory (Merton 1950, 1956) relative deprivation as instance of reference group behaviour causes & effects of reference groups membership v non-membership groups multiple reference groups

UK/European version W.G. Runciman Relative Deprivation & Social Justice (1966) Is subjective relative deprivation a useful poverty indicator/guide to policy? Key test: Is resentment justified (a) empirically? (b) by reference to standards of social justice? Investigated (a) British working class militancy 1918-1960; (b) survey data from 1962; (c) Rawls theory of justice Answer: usually no The only generalisation which can be confidently advanced is that the relationship between inequality and grievance only intermittently corresponds with either the extent and degree of actual inequality, or the magnitude and frequency of relative deprivation which an appeal to social justice would vindicate Implication: relative deprivation has no value as poverty indicator

.../cont P Townsend (1979) Poverty in the UK Poverty can be defined objectively and applied consistently only in terms of the concept of relative deprivation BUT must be objective : A definition of poverty may have to rest on value judgements. But this does not mean that a definition cannot be objective and that it cannot be distinguished from social or individual opinion (p. 38) Definition of poverty: Exclusion from ordinary living patterns by lack of resources (p. 31) no reference to feelings/subjectivity researcher defines objective poverty threshold underlying concern: poverty as undesirable social outcome that public policy should aim to eliminate

Complex v simple relative deprivation: four differences Complex Simple 1. Analytical purpose Explanation: Focus on agency Monitoring social outcomes: Social indicators research 2. Framing Multiple & complex; The core issue Singular, fixed, observerdetermined 3. Units of analysis Multiple: individual & group deprivation Mainly households (sometimes individuals) 4. Subjective perceptions Central Disputed: debate over status as social indicators Social indicators: where science & policy intersect 1. Empirically robust 2. Normatively clear: more or less = better 3. Amenable to policy intervention / useful for monitoring policy outcomes

Poverty measurement in EU Definition (based on Townsend): lack of resources (economic, social, cultural) needed for participation in normal activities of societies in which people live Key indicator: relative income poverty, framed in national terms < 60% median equivalised household income (SILC 2007) 25 22 21 17 19 12 19 11 10 18 20 14 20 12 20 13 13 11 15 12 15 10 18 12 16 19 14

2006: emergence of dual framing Material deprivation: relative consumption poverty, framed in EU-wide terms Enforced lack of 3+ consumption items (out of 9) 72 Material deprivation 53 45 38 30 37 30 31 15 16 22 22 13 10 14 15 9 12 6 12 7 12 6 10 10 10 3

The subjective dimension Does it support singular or dual view of framing? % with difficulty in making ends meet 68 49 42 40 41 38 53 37 37 45 24 11 31 26 27 20 8 16 8 16 7 6 11 21 11 14 7

Bulgaria Romania Poland Latvia Lithuania Hungary Slovakia Estonia Portugal Malta Czech Rep Slovenia Greece Cyprus Italy Spain France Belgium Germany UK Finland Denmark Sweden Austria Netherlands Ireland L'bourg Units of analysis: Poor states & regions: singular EU-wide framing 250 200 State Richest region Poorest region GDP per head: EU27=100 150 100 50 0

Analytical purpose: Beyond social indicators? Social cohesion as a theme Impact of poverty on social cohesion? From social indicators to behavioural analysis? RD not the only form of social comparison Upward, downward, sideways comparisons Negative & positive affect (grievance, admiration, sympathy, antagonism.) Individual and collective deprivation The economic crisis as test: Who feels disgruntled and why? What do they do (exit, loyalty, voice)

Some implications Framing: a core issue for poverty indicators So far, dictated by policy Has science anything to offer? Beyond social indicators? From evidence-based policy to policy-based evidence Should we have behavioural poverty research? cf. Akerlof & Kranton Identity Economics The importance of analytical purpose Policy-guidance v explanation/understanding Analysing social cohesion Regional & national effects on well-being (cf. neighbourhood effects ) Reversing Runciman: subjective perceptions as means to explore framing and units of analysis