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Provisional programme Asia and the rules-based international system: perceptions, challenges and ideas for change Monday 13 Wednesday 15 March 2017 WP1537 To be held in Singapore The term rules-based international system (RBIS) is often used to denote the international norms, laws and institutions that have helped to shape, influence and regulate relations between countries since the end of the Second World War. The more succinct International order and international system are other terms used to characterise this global governance architecture. There is wide agreement in any event that this global governance architecture has contributed significantly to international peace and prosperity. In the 21st century Asia and Asian countries have gradually assumed much greater prominence on many issues that are critical to international security and economic development. It is consequently important for Asian countries and others that are major security and economic actors in the region to exchange views and thinking regarding the role of the rules-based international system and its contribution to regional stability, security and economic growth. There have largely been more critiques of shortcomings of the current rules-based international system than concrete proposals for reform. This meeting will attempt to encourage a shared understanding of how the rules-based international system might evolve and thereby contribute to driving continued economic development in China and other Asian countries, as well as increased regional and global stability. What could a redesign of international rules and institutions look like? Is a redesign needed or can adjustments be made within the framework of existing rules and institutions? This Wilton Park meeting will: Examine and compare understandings of the evolution of the international rulesbased system and what it means for resolution of disputes that affect regional stability. Consider the role of existing and new institutions such as AIIB and how international and regional security architecture might evolve. Discuss how to tackle global issues that heavily affect economic growth, such as corruption, trade, transparency, rule of law and accountability. In association with: 070317 RG/IA

Speakers invited and themes proposed ^ denotes expected, role in programme to be confirmed; * denotes to be confirmed Monday 13 March Participants arrive 1900 Reception followed by Conference dinner with dinner speaker Walter Woon David Marshall Professor of Law, National University of Singapore and Dean, Singapore Institute of Legal Education; former Attorney-General and former Ambassador of Singapore Tuesday 14 March 0900 Welcome and introduction Robert Grant Programme Director, Wilton Park, Steyning Daljit Singh Senior Research Fellow and Coordinator, Regional Strategic and Political Studies Programme, ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore 0915-1045 1. The role of the international system in Asia 1045-1115 Tea/coffee Over the past three decades, Asia has experienced remarkable economic growth and the absence of major interstate armed conflict. To what extent can this peace and prosperity be attributed to the role played by the rules-based international system? What role have Asian states played in the development of current international rules? What elements of RBIS have been most important in enabling it to contribute to Asian peace and prosperity? Are there ways in which these elements can be explicitly recognised, protected, enforced and propagated? Are there proposals for how rules and norms might evolve to maximise security and economic benefits for the region? What is the interplay within the system between rules, institutions and power? Tran Truong Thuy Deputy Director, Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Hanoi Steven Everts Senior Advisor, European External Action Service, Brussels 1115-1300 2. Visions for Asia s future What visions for Asia s future do regional states have? How would they like to see the region evolve in terms of relations between themselves, relations with external powers, and institutional architecture? What benefits does the rules-based order provide to different states; smaller, less powerful ones as well as major powers? Do Asians have sufficiently shared cultures and values on which to base a proposed evolution in the rules-based order? If so, what are those cultures and values and how would they be translated into rules and institutional development that could support security and prosperity? If not, then what mechanisms do Asians need/want to have in place for a functional international system to operate? Do they even feel a rules- based international system is necessary? Is there an alternative? What would it look like? Rahimah Abdulrahim Executive Director, The Habibie Center, Jakarta

Wang Dong Director, Center for Northeast Asian Strategy, Peking University, Beijing Colin Willett Former Deputy Assistant Secretary, Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, US Department of State, Washington DC Abhijit Singh Head, Maritime Policy Initiative, Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi 1300-1500 Lunch served in Kwee Zeen Restaurant 1500-1630 3. Confidence and security building initiatives Does East Asia need some form of crisis management system? What goals might such a system have? What might it look like? What kinds of crises would it address? What are initial measures that could be taken towards building it? What institutions might be involved? Could greater information sharing and transparency help avoid accidental confrontations and build confidence? Ian Storey Research Fellow, ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore LI Nan Senior Research Fellow, East Asia Institute, National University of Singapore Satoru Mori Professor, Hosei University, Tokyo 1630-1715 Group photograph followed by tea/coffee 1715-1900 4. Regional economic development What does the concept of inclusive economic development concretely mean for the region? How can rules and institutions most effectively support inclusive economic development? What trading conditions and relationships can best support regional economic development? What role can the Belt and Road initiative play in this regard? What are respective understandings of corruption, transparency and accountability, how they interrelate and how they may affect stability and prosperity? What infrastructure investment is the region looking for and how can these needs best be met? What is the scope for collaboration between different multilateral investment organisations (Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank, Asian Development Bank, World Bank)? Danny Quah Professor of Economics, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, Singapore Takaaki Asano Research Fellow, The Tokyo Foundation Chen Chenchen Research Fellow and Deputy Director of Macroeconomics Department, Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China, Beijing 1900 Reception followed by dinner Wednesday 15 March 0900-1030 5. Peacekeeping and conflict prevention: what impact on conceptions of sovereignty? Is there a tension between conceptions of sovereignty and the needs of modern

1030-1100 Tea/coffee peacekeeping operations as well as conflict prevention initiatives? Is the notion of responsibility to protect, for example, in accordance with the more traditional idea of nonintervention? Dino Patti Djalal Founder, Foreign Policy Community of Indonesia, Jakarta ^Arjen Patti van den Berg Deputy Director, Asia and Oceania Department: Head, East Asia Cluster, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, The Hague 1100-1300 6. Working groups on aspects of the rules-based international system Group 1 The role of culture and values in Asia s future Mely Caballero-Anthony Associate Professor, Head, Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore *To be confirmed Group 2 Rules and institutions: can Asians develop a shared vision for the region? Vannarith Chheang Chairman of Advisory Board, Cambodian Institute for Strategic Studies, Phnom Penh James Kim Director, DC Division, The Asan Institute for Policy Studies, Seoul Group 3 Confidence and security building measures Euan Graham Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney Cheng-Chwee Kuik Associate Professor, Strategic Studies and International Relations Programme, National University of Malaysia, Bangi Group 4 Trade and investment Sarah Yueting Tong Senior Research Fellow, East Asian Institute, National University of Singapore Suman Bery Non-Resident Fellow, Bruegel, Brussels 1300-1430 Lunch served in Kwee Zeen Restaurant 1430-1530 7. Working group report back in plenary session 1530-1600 Tea/coffee 1600-1610 8. equestionnaire Completion of online equestionnaire 1610-1715 9. Conclusions: what is the shared understanding of how the benefits

1730 Participants depart of the rules-based system can be protected and strengthened? What identifiable measures for progress and reform can be drawn from the discussions? What can be done with them? What can be done to increase regional security, stability and prosperity in Asia? James Loi Partner, The Asia Group, Washington DC Ruizhuang Zhang Professor and Dean, The Academy of International Studies, Nankai University, Tianjin Tang Siew Mun Head, ASEAN Studies Centre, ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore This is a preview programme and as such may be subject to change. This is an invitation only conference. Enquiries about participation to: Sarah-Jane Holtam, Project Manager T: +44 (0)1903 817690 F: +44 (0)1903 879231 E: sarah-jane.holtam@wiltonpark.org.uk Enquiries about the programme to: Dr Robert Grant, Programme Director T: +44 (0)1903 817797 F: +44 (0)1903 879231 E: robert.grant@wiltonpark.org.uk