Florida Latino Voters Survey Findings

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Transcription:

Florida Latino Voters Survey Findings 1

1 Demographics

Demographics of Florida Latino Voters Gender Age Education Union household Men 4 Women 18-29 year olds 14 30-44 year olds 21 4-4 year olds 19-4 year olds 19 Seniors + 27 High school or less 21 Some college 33 College degree 28 Post Graduate 1 Yes 10 No 88 Country or territory of origin Cuba 28 Puerto Rico 22 Colombia 8 Dominican Republic Mexico 4 Venezuela 4 All other 29 Party registration Democrat 40 Independent 28 Republican 33 Region North Florida 8 Orlando Area 1 East Florida 18 Miami 39 West Florida 18 3

2 Political Landscape

Bill Nelson holds a small lead in the U.S. Senate race, with the race close among most demographic groups Senate Race Current Vote Nelson Scott Overall 44 1 41 Men Women 43 4 1 13 41 42 < years of age 43 17 40 + 4 43 Democrats 72 1 Independents Republicans 43 13 22 3 7 Non-college College 41 49 14 14 4 37

Nelson does better in the North & Orlando regions; among Puerto Ricans, he is strongest with women and college graduates Senate Race Current Vote Nelson Scott Overall 44 1 41 North Florida East Florida West Florida Orlando Miami 0 4 2 3 1 1 17 28 38 42 32 49 Cuban American Puerto Rican PR Men PR Women PR < PR + PR College PR Non-college 33 44 31 4 41 4 0 40 10 20 1 20 19 19 19 2 7 37 49 27 39 3 24 4

3 Issues

Immigration-related issues top the list of concerns among all major Latino voter demographic groups What would you say is the most important issue or problem that will affect your vote for U.S. Senate? Immigration/Family separation/dreamers Jobs/unemployment/economy Health care/hospitals Taxes 22% Overall 21% Orlando 17% Puerto Rican 21% Cuban 9 7 11 7 9 4 4 1 8

When asked about specific issues, Florida Latino voters place a priority on jobs, health care and immigration For each of the following issues, please tell me how important it is that your next senator address it. Creating jobs High importance* Somewhat/Don t know Not important Puerto Rican 83 1 2 Cuban 84 89 Expanding health care coverage 7 14 10 81 4 Addressing the issue of immigrants & family separation 73 17 10 81 Passing comprehensive immigration reform 72 20 8 77 70 Rebuilding Puerto Rico 4 24 82 8 Developing affordable housing 2 27 11 72 9 Addressing climate change 0 23 17 8 Standing up to Veneuzelan regime 4 33 21 40 7 Standing up to Cuban regime 37 31 32 37 2 *Most important + very important 9

Most Latino voters believe the state has not done enough to create affordable housing Is Florida state government doing enough to create affordable housing? Overall Not enough Right amount Too much 1 22 North Florida East Florida West Florida Orlando Miami 2 3 1 7 0 20 19 22 24 24 3 4 3 8 Cuban American Puerto Rican PR Men PR Women PR < PR + PR College PR Non-college 2 4 0 3 1 7 23 24 22 2 2 23 29 21 2 2 3 1 4 2 2 10

The President is seen as not having done enough to welcome Puerto Ricans to the state, especially among Puerto Ricans For each of the following, please tell me if they ve done enough to welcome Puerto Ricans to the state in the wake of Hurricane Maria. Not enough Right amount Too much Orlando Puerto Rican Cuban Governor Rick Scott 3 41 8 31 9 38 4 2 13 Senator Bill Nelson 29 33 23 32 2 24 President Donald Trump 8 28 9 2 72 2 3 7 The Federal government 49 3 48 2 2 29 State government 38 4 38 4 44 2 24 11

Over half of all groups believe global warming is happening, with even Republican Latinos more likely than not to say it is happening Do you think global warming is happening? Overall Yes Don t know No 77 18 Democrats Independents Republicans 91 80 7 4 1 37 Cuban American Puerto Rican PR Men PR Women PR < PR + PR College PR Non-college 71 78 8 8 83 74 88 72 7 11 8 4 1 9 23 14 2 13 1 11 1

Over three quarters of Florida Latino voters say the issue of global warming is serious, including over half of Republicans agree How serious an issue is global warming on a 1-10 scale, with 10 being very serious and 1 being not serious at all? Overall Serious (-10) Not that serious (3-) 7 Not serious (1-2) 8 Democrats Independents Republicans 89 82 3 22 10 1 19 Cuban American Puerto Rican PR Men PR Women PR < PR + PR College PR Non-college 9 7 8 84 70 8 71 23 17 14 13 18 8 7 1 10 7 11 3 1 7 7 13

4 Participation

Florida Latino voters say the current situation in the U.S. is motivating them to vote in more elections and register others to vote For each of the following activities, please tell me if the current situation in the U.S. has made you more or less likely to do that activity, or has it had no effect on whether or not you will do it? More likely DK/No effect Less likely Orlando Puerto Rican Cuban Voting in more elections 78 18 4 74 77 4 7 Registering others to vote 2 10 7 9 8 10 Attending political events such as rallies, marches and speeches 4 33 22 40 28 39 27 41 20 Getting involved in political campaigns 44 31 2 3 29 39 29 38 23 1

Methodology

Methodology Global Strategy Group conducted a telephone survey of 400 registered Latino voters statewide in Florida and an oversample to yield 144 interviews in the Orlando area between July 30-August, 2018. The sampling margin of error on the base survey of 400 interviews is +/-4.9% at the 9% confidence level. The margin of error on the Orlando Area oversample is +/-8.2% at the 9% confidence level. The margin of error on sub-samples may be larger. Interviews were conducted in Spanish and English. Calls were made to both cell phones and landlines. 17