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No. 13-289 IN THE Supreme Court of the United States PFIZER INC.; WARNER-LAMBERT COMPANY, LLC, Petitioners, v. KAISER FOUNDATION HEALTH PLAN, INC., ET AL., Respondents. PFIZER INC.; WARNER-LAMBERT COMPANY, LLC, Petitioners, v. HARDEN MANUFACTURING CORPORATION, ET AL., Respondents. PFIZER INC.; WARNER-LAMBERT COMPANY, LLC, Petitioners, v. AETNA, INC., Respondent. On Petition for Writs of Certiorari to the United States Court of Appeals for the First Circuit PETITIONERS REPLY BRIEF KATHLEEN M. SULLIVAN Counsel of Record SHEILA BIRNBAUM MARK CHEFFO QUINN EMANUEL URQUHART & SULLIVAN, LLP 51 Madison Avenue, 22nd Floor New York, NY 10010 (212) 849-7000 kathleensullivan@ quinnemanuel.com November 19, 2013 Counsel for Petitioners WILSON-EPES PRINTING CO., INC. (202) 789-0096 WASHINGTON, D. C. 20002

TABLE OF CONTENTS Page TABLE OF AUTHORITIES... ii ARGUMENT... 1 CONCLUSION... 12 (i)

ii TABLE OF AUTHORITIES CASES Page Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corp., 547 U.S. 451 (2006)... 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 In re Avandia Mktg., Sales Practices & Prods. Liab. Litig., 2013 WL 5761202 (E.D. Pa. Oct. 23, 2013) 9 Bridge v. Phoenix Bond & Indem. Co., 128 S. Ct. 2131 (2008)... 3 Hemi Group, LLC v. City of New York, 559 U.S. 1 (2010)... 1, 4, 5, 6, 8 Holmes v. Sec. Investor Protection Corp., 503 U.S. 258 (1992)... 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 New York Times Co. v. Sullivan, 376 U.S. 254 (1964)... 8 UFCW Local 1776 v. Eli Lilly & Co., 620 F.3d 121 (2d Cir. 2010)... 2, 7, 10 United Food & Commercial Workers Central Pa. & Regional Health & Welfare Fund v. Amgen, Inc., 400 F. App x 255 (9th Cir. 2010)... 7 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. v. Dukes, 131 S. Ct. 2541 (2011)... 9 MISCELLANEOUS Keeton et al., PROSSER & KEETON ON TORTS (5th ed. 1984)... 11

ARGUMENT Respondents do not dispute that this Court s split decision in Hemi Group, LLC v. City of New York, 559 U.S. 1 (2010), has created confusion and uncertainty concerning the role of intent and foreseeability in establishing proximate causation in civil RICO cases. Nor do respondents dispute the practical importance of that recurring question. As the amici in support of petitioners underscore, the scope of the civil RICO proximate-causation standard is of exceptional importance to the business community, and to the pharmaceutical industry in particular. WLF Br. 7. A loose standard like the one applied below foments litigation by encouraging massive class-based treble damages claims, see id. at 7-8, and in the present context also chills the dissemination of valuable clinical information concerning off-label uses of prescription drugs, see PhRMA Br. 15-17. Rather than challenging the importance of the proximate-causation question presented by the petition, respondents assert that the petition does not present that question but merely challenges the sufficiency of the evidence of proximate causation presented below. That is incorrect. The petition squarely presents the legal issue that divided the Court in Hemi Group. While the court of appeals nominally embraced the direct relation test set forth in Holmes v. Securities Investor Protection Corporation, 503 U.S. 258 (1992), and Anza v. Ideal Steel Supply Corporation, 547 U.S. 451 (2006), the court of appeals did not analyze the length of the causal chain or the presence of independent causal factors as those decisions require, but instead found proximate causation determined by intent and foreseeability alone. Certiorari should be granted to

2 determine whether that purported interpretation of the direct relation test is consistent with this Court s precedents. Respondents likewise err in asserting that the petition merely challenges the sufficiency of the evidence of but-for causation rather than presenting an important legal question concerning aggregate proof. The court of appeals held that respondents could satisfy their burden of proof of but-for-causation by presenting aggregate, statistical evidence that petitioners marketing influenced prescriptions. The court of appeals thus relieved respondents of their burden of proof and shifted that burden onto petitioners: Rather than requiring respondents to prove that individual doctors had relied upon petitioners alleged misrepresentations in making prescribing decisions, the court required petitioners to prove that they had not. Whether aggregate proof may thus substitute for any particularized showing of but-for causation under RICO is a legal question, not a factual one, and respondents do not dispute its importance. For these reasons, and because the court of appeals reached the opposite result with respect to both issues in UFCW Local 1776 v. Eli Lilly & Co., 620 F.3d 121 (2d Cir. 2010), certiorari should be granted. 1. None of the respondents disputes that finding proximate cause based solely on intent and foreseeability would conflict with the Court s decisions in Holmes and Anza. Instead, respondents deny that the First Circuit did so. That is demonstrably incorrect. a. The Harden respondents assert that the court of appeals considered the direct relation test for proximate causation in addition to a foreseeability

3 analysis and found proximate causation through both tests. Harden Opp. 14; see id. at 16-19. In particular, they note that the First Circuit acknowledged the direct-relation test and ruled that a reasonable jury could have found that the injury to the Harden plaintiffs was direct, id. at 18 (quoting Pet. App. 70a). But this passing reference to directness is dwarfed by the court of appeals overwhelming focus on intent and foreseeability. The very sentence quoted by the Harden respondents goes on to suggest that the injury was direct because the plaintiffs have adduced evidence that they were the primary and intended victims of [Pfizer s] scheme to defraud. Pet. App. 70a (quoting Bridge v. Phoenix Bond & Indem. Co., 533 U.S. 639, 650 (2008)). Likewise, Harden states that the causal chain was not attenuated because Pfizer knew that the structure of the American health care system meant that almost all off-label Neurontin prescriptions written by physicians would be paid for by TPPs, because Pfizer s marketing strategy specifically aimed to increase Neurontin s market share in prescriptions for which TPPs would pay, and because the Harden plaintiffs injury was a foreseeable and natural consequence of Pfizer s scheme. Id. (quoting Bridge, 553 U.S. at 658). That is the language of foreseeability and intent, not directness. In the Kaiser and Aetna cases, the court of appeals similarly found that respondents had established proximate causation through evidence of intent and foreseeability. The court held in Kaiser, for example, that the causal chain in this case is anything but attenuated because Pfizer knew of the structure of the American health care system, Pet. App. 29a; that

4 Pfizer s scheme worked as intended, inducing a huge increase in Neurontin prescriptions for off-label uses, id. at 30a; and that Pfizer relied on the expectation that physicians would base their prescribing decisions on Pfizer s fraudulent marketing, id. at 31a. Similarly, in Aetna, the court of appeals found proximate causation because a reasonable jury could have concluded that Aetna was the intended victim of defendants fraudulent scheme and Aetna s economic injury was a foreseeable and natural consequence of this scheme. Id. at 91a. Thus, to the extent the court of appeals analyzed directness at all, it simply equated directness with intent and foreseeability. But as Anza held and the Hemi Group plurality made clear, such factors cannot establish proximate causation. As the Hemi Group plurality stated, [o]ur precedents make clear that in the RICO context, the focus is on the directness of the relationship between the conduct and the harm. Indeed, Anza and Holmes never even mention the concept of foreseeability. 559 U.S. at 12. And as this Court held in Anza, [a] RICO plaintiff cannot circumvent the proximate-cause requirement simply by claiming that the defendant s aim was to increase market share at a competitor s expense. 547 U.S. at 460. Moreover, the court of appeals specifically rejected any reliance upon the length of the causal chain or the presence of independent causal factors. The court reject[ed] Pfizer s core defense that there are too many steps in the causal chain between its misrepresentations and Kaiser s alleged injury, Pet. App. 28a, and disregarded the presence of other, independent causal factors namely, the prescribing decisions of thousands of independent doctors, id. at

5 31a. But as Holmes and Anza recognized, such factors are key to the distinct requirement of direct causation imposed by RICO. Holmes recognized that [t]he general tendency of the law, in regard to damages at least, is not to go beyond the first step and thus required some direct relation between the injury asserted and the injurious conduct, 503 U.S. at 268, 271 (quotation omitted). Holmes and Anza also considered whether the plaintiffs damages were attributable to other, independent factors, Holmes, 503 U.S. at 269; accord Anza, 547 U.S. at 459, as the Harden respondents acknowledge, Harden Opp. 19. Thus, the Harden respondents err in suggesting that the court of appeals did not rest its proximatecausation holding on intent and foreseeability alone. b. Rather than arguing that the First Circuit applied both the direct-relation and foreseeability tests, the Kaiser respondents mistakenly assert that Holmes s direct-relation test turns on whether the plaintiffs injuries were derivative of the harm suffered more directly by another person or entity. Kaiser Opp. 19-22. But this Court has considered the availability of a more direct victim to bring suit as a factor to be considered only after finding no direct causal connection, Anza, 547 U.S. at 457-60, noting that [t]he requirement of a direct causal connection is especially warranted where the immediate victims of an alleged RICO violation can be expected to vindicate the laws by pursuing their own claims, id. at 460 (emphasis added). Hemi Group does the same: after finding the absence of any direct relation because the plaintiff s theory require[d] [the Court] to move well beyond the first step, 559 U.S. at 10, the plurality noted that the existence of better situated plaintiffs was [o]ne consideration relevant to the directrelationship requirement, id. at 11-12. The Kaiser

6 respondents thus fail to dispel the conflict between the court of appeals decision and this Court s precedents. 2. Because respondents wrongly assume the correctness of the court of appeals proximatecausation test, they mistakenly argue that Pfizer s petition reduces to a sufficiency-of-the-evidence challenge. Kaiser Opp. 23-27; Harden Opp. 23-27. Their assumption is incorrect, for the First Circuit found proximate causation based on intent and foreseeability rather than the directness of the causal chain as required by Holmes, Anza, and the Hemi Group plurality. Thus, far from presenting a factual question concerning sufficiency, the petition presents a legal question concerning the standard governing RICO proximate causation. The Kaiser respondents err in suggesting (Kaiser Opp. 27-28 (citing Pet. App. 30a n.13)) that, even if the standard for proximate causation is directness, Kaiser satisfied that standard through proof of its direct reliance on petitioners representations. As the Kaiser respondents neglect to mention, that proof involved petitioners communications with Kaiser s Drug Information Service ( DIS ) and Pharmacy and Therapeutic ( P&T ) committees, which manage the regional Permanente Medical Groups ( PMG ) formularies. See Pet. App. 30a n.13; see also id. at 9a-10a. Neither of those bodies prescribes drugs: the DIS disseminates general information concerning prescription drugs, which the P&T committees in turn use in establishing PMG formularies, see id. at 104a- 106a. There are thus multiple intervening steps between petitioners alleged misrepresentations to Kaiser s DIS and P&T committees and any ultimate prescribing decisions made by physicians relying on PMG formularies. Accordingly, Kaiser, no less than

7 Aetna and Harden, presents the question whether the length of the causal chain and presence of independent causal factors may preclude a finding of proximate causation as a matter of law. 3. Because any proximate-causation analysis that ignores the independent prescribing decisions of thousands of physicians can hardly be understood as applying a direct-relation test, the two other circuits to consider the question have reached conclusions that conflict with the decision below. Respondents fail in their attempts to reconcile the First Circuit s decisions with those Second and Ninth Circuit decisions. First, respondents fail in their attempt to dispel conflict with the Second Circuit s decision in Lilly, 620 F.3d 121. While they note (Harden Opp. 21; Kaiser Opp. 28; Aetna Opp. 8-9) that the Second Circuit allowed certain individual quantity effect claims to proceed on remand, the court there did so only because the district court had not considered those claims independently of class certification at summary judgment. See Lilly, 620 F.3d at 136. The Second Circuit s ruling upholding denial of class certification, however, squarely conflicts with the decisions below in holding that [t]he nature of prescriptions means that this theory of causation is interrupted by the independent actions of prescribing physicians, which thwarts any attempt to show proximate cause through generalized proof. Id. at 135. Second, while respondents emphasize (Harden Opp. 20-21; Kaiser Opp. 29-30 & n.7; Aetna Opp. 9) that the Ninth Circuit s decision in United Food & Commercial Workers Central Pennsylvania & Regional Health & Welfare Fund v. Amgen, Inc., 400 F. App x 255 (9th Cir. 2010), is unpublished and gave several bases for its judgment, they do not (and cannot) dispute that its

8 proximate-causation ruling directly conflicts with the decisions below. 4. Respondents do not dispute the practical importance of clarifying the confusion over RICO s proximate-causation standard in the wake of Hemi Group s failure to reach a majority. As WLF explains in its amicus brief, the First Circuit s equation of proximate causation with intent and foreseeability lowers the bar to treble damages under RICO, which will make it much easier for claimants of all stripes to bring gargantuan damage claims before juries. WLF Br. 8. And as PhRMA explains in its amicus brief, the First Circuit s loose standard also poses risks to public health. Prescription drugs have many clinically effective and medically necessary off-label uses, PhRMA Br. 12, and the free flow of information about such uses, which enables doctors to make the best prescribing choices, see id. at 14-15, will be chilled by the First Circuit s decisions, id. at 15-17. Respondents protests (Kaiser Opp. 30-32; Harden Opp. 33-36) that fraud is not protected speech and that federal law prohibits untruthful off-label promotions miss the point. As this Court has long recognized, limits must be imposed on liability even for false speech in order to avoid chilling protected speech: A speaker threatened by lawsuits will tend to make only statements which steer far wide[] of the unlawful zone. New York Times Co. v. Sullivan, 376 U.S. 254, 279 (1964) (citation omitted). Where the line between false and critically useful speech in the off-label use context is hazy, lowering the bar to treble damages for the former cannot help but chill the latter. The Harden respondents incorrectly assert (Harden Opp. 38) that a proper reading of the decisions of the court of appeals reveals that nothing therein removes

9 or relaxes RICO s rigorous pleading and proof requirements. To the contrary, disregarding the length of the causal chain asserted and the presence of independent causal factors will inevitably make it easier for RICO plaintiffs to prove proximate cause. The Harden respondents also wrongly assert (id.) that the facts and evidence in these cases are unusual. To the contrary, dozens of similar suits have been brought, as the cases cited in the petition demonstrate, see Pet. 26 n.6, and as the amicus briefs confirm, see PhRMA Br. 3; WLF Br. 7-8. Just last month, a district court in the Third Circuit held, citing Kaiser, that when the plaintiff is a primary and intended victim and the injury is foreseeable, the [prescribing] doctor s independent actions do not break the causal chain. In re Avandia Mktg., Sales Practices & Prods. Liab. Litig., 2013 WL 5761202, *6 (E.D. Pa. Oct. 23, 2013) (footnotes omitted). Finally, the Harden respondents err in asserting (Harden Opp. 39) that the recent creation of a national clinical trial registry diminishes the risk of such suits, for few (if any) RICO fraud cases are based solely on suppression of trial results, the only form of misconduct that the registry combats. 5. Respondents fare no better in opposing review of the second question presented whether but-for causation and damages may be established through aggregate evidence that fails to show any individualized causation. They do not dispute that the question is important, especially given the concerns that this Court has expressed in other contexts concerning Trial by Formula. See, e.g., Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. v. Dukes, 131 S. Ct. 2541, 2560-61 (2011). And their objections to review are unpersuasive. a. Respondents contend (Kaiser Opp. 28-29, 33; Harden Opp. 27-31; Aetna Opp. 10-12) that there is no

10 circuit conflict regarding aggregate proof and that the Second Circuit s ruling in Lilly is distinguishable because the statistical regression analysis here is more probative than the aggregate evidence in Lilly. But the issue warranting review is whether such aggregate evidence may be used to shift the burden of proof on causation a legal issue unaffected by variations in evidence across cases. In any event, the Second Circuit s ruling was based not on the probative value of the evidence but rather on its failure to account for the independent factors influencing physicians prescribing decisions. See Lilly, 620 F.3d at 135 (holding general proof of but-for causation impossible because the evidence showed that at least some doctors were not misled ). As the courts below recognized, respondents regression analysis likewise did not account for those factors. Pet. App. 38a, 43a, 328a. Thus, Lilly s but-for causation ruling cannot be reconciled with the decisions below. b. The Kaiser respondents also err in contending (Kaiser Opp. 33) that petitioners are challenging only the sufficiency of the evidence of but-for causation. To the contrary, the petition challenges the legal ruling below that aggregate evidence is enough to shift the burden of proof. A statistical analysis showing a correlation between petitioners marketing expenditures and the total number of prescriptions cannot show that petitioners alleged misrepresentations caused any individual prescribing decision. See, e.g., Pet. App. 285a-286a, 326a-328a. Yet the court of appeals allowed aggregate evidence to relieve respondents of the burden of proving such causation and shift to petitioners the burden of disproving it. Id. at 43a. The Kaiser respondents misleadingly insist (Kaiser Opp. 26) that they presented direct evidence of

11 physician prescribing reasons, when in fact that the evidence they cite concerns monographs prepared by Kaiser s DIS and decisions by P&T committees concerning drug formularies, not the decisions of prescribing physicians. See Pet. App. 155a-161a, 212a-217a. The Harden respondents likewise err in asserting (Harden Opp. 31) that [n]o reasonable physician would prescribe an allegedly ineffective drug except in reliance on fraudulent marketing, omitting to note that every prescribing physician who testified at trial denied such reliance, see Pet. 10 (citing Pet. App. 164a), or that Neurontin is recommended to this day by drug compendia and respected health-care organizations for off-label uses, see Pet. 7. c. Respondents cannot justify the burden shift imposed by the court of appeals by suggesting (Harden Opp. 26-27; Kaiser Opp. 24, 36) that petitioners bear the burden on an affirmative defense based on intervening or superseding cause. Such affirmative defenses do not come into play until cause in fact is established. Keeton et al., PROSSER & KEETON ON TORTS 44 at 301 (5th ed. 1984). Here, the court of appeals relieved respondents of the burden of proving but-for causation in the first place. Taken together, the First Circuit s rulings that aggregate proof suffices for but-for causation while proximate causation requires only general knowledge of the American health care system make the decisions below a virtual roadmap for plaintiffs lawyers to misuse civil RICO and its treble damages regime to impose massive liability on pharmaceutical manufacturers and other defendants. These rulings warrant this Court s review.

12 CONCLUSION The petition should be granted. Respectfully submitted, November 19, 2013 KATHLEEN M. SULLIVAN Counsel of Record SHEILA BIRNBAUM MARK CHEFFO QUINN EMANUEL URQUHART & SULLIVAN, LLP 51 Madison Avenue, 22nd Floor New York, NY 10010 (212) 849-7000 kathleensullivan@ quinnemanuel.com Counsel for Petitioners